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Milei Announces Sweeping Reforms to Deregulate Argentina Economy

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(Bloomberg) — President Javier Milei announced sweeping reforms to reduce the hand of the state in Argentina’s economy, including steps to privatize companies, facilitate exports and end price controls, in a bold political move that’s likely to face pushback in congress and courts.

The libertarian leader listed 30 initial points of his plan in a televised address Wednesday night, adding they’re part of a broader package containing over 300 measures. He presented the all-around reforms as an attempt to free Argentines from the “oppression” of the state and its bureaucrats, in line with his campaign pledges.

“I’m signing an urgent decree that will kick-start the process of economic deregulation that Argentina needs so much,” Milei said in the speech delivered from the presidential palace in Buenos Aires, flanked by his entire cabinet. “That change starts today.”

His plan comes one week after Economy Minister Luis Caputo announced deep budget cuts and a 54% devaluation of the peso as part of a shock-therapy program designed to avoid hyperinflation and put the economy back on track. Markets have so far applauded the moves, sending bond prices to two-year highs and keeping the peso’s parallel exchange rates little changed.

Shares of state-run oil producer YPF SA rose more than 2% in early US trading on Thursday after Milei’s announcement, while sovereign bonds inched higher.

Read More: ‘There Is No Money’: Argentina Begins Economic Shock Remedy

Legal Battle

While Milei said he’ll send lawmakers a set of complementary proposals, it remains to be seen how far he can go in implementing his plan by emergency decree. What’s certain is that he’ll face opposition in congress, where he doesn’t have a majority even with the combined votes of the business-friendly coalition that’s likely to support him.

In addition, some of the measures and the decision to legislate by decree are likely to be challenged in the courts, and the opposition has already started to organize demonstrations against his policies.

“It’s quite a bold move for a president with legislative minority,” said Ignacio Labaqui, an analyst for Medley Global Advisors in Buenos Aires, adding that both chambers of congress would have to repeal the decree to invalidate the measures. “If the president loses popularity, congress could try to get its revenge.”

Labaqui said the expected political and legal battle over the decree would add uncertainty and prevent new investments in the short term.

The first major protest against Milei took place earlier on Wednesday and was largely contained by an unusually large police force, ensuring few streets were blocked. Some scattered demonstrations were spotted in Buenos Aires after the president’s speech.

Milei, a political outsider with no experience in office prior to the presidency, won Argentina’s election runoff last month after beating the incumbent Peronist coalition by almost 12 percentage points. His pledges to radically reform the state and end political privileges resonated with voters tired of triple-digit inflation and policy mismanagement in one of the world’s most volatile economies.

Here’s a list of Milei’s initial policy changes, whose architect was Federico Sturzenegger, a former central bank chief during the government of Mauricio Macri:

  • Prepare all state-owned companies to be privatized
  • Authorize the shareholder control of Aerolineas Argentinas to be partly of completely transferred to private parties
  • Deregulate satellite Internet services to allow SpaceX’s Starlink to operate in Argentina
  • Eliminate price controls on prepaid healthcare plans
  • Eliminate the monopoly of tourism agencies to deregulate the sector
  • Repeal the current Rent Law that limits price increases in a bid to normalize the real estate market
  • Repeal the current Land Law that limits ownership of land by foreigners in a bid to promote investments
  • Scrap the current Supply Law that allows the government to set minimum and maximum prices and profit margins for goods and services of private companies
  • Eliminate the Economy Ministry’s price observatory to “avoid the persecution of companies”

–With assistance from Giovanna Bellotti Azevedo.

(Updates with market reaction in fifth paragraph, analyst comment from seventh paragraph.)

 

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Canada’s unemployment rate holds steady at 6.5% in October, economy adds 15,000 jobs

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OTTAWA – Canada’s unemployment rate held steady at 6.5 per cent last month as hiring remained weak across the economy.

Statistics Canada’s labour force survey on Friday said employment rose by a modest 15,000 jobs in October.

Business, building and support services saw the largest gain in employment.

Meanwhile, finance, insurance, real estate, rental and leasing experienced the largest decline.

Many economists see weakness in the job market continuing in the short term, before the Bank of Canada’s interest rate cuts spark a rebound in economic growth next year.

Despite ongoing softness in the labour market, however, strong wage growth has raged on in Canada. Average hourly wages in October grew 4.9 per cent from a year ago, reaching $35.76.

Friday’s report also shed some light on the financial health of households.

According to the agency, 28.8 per cent of Canadians aged 15 or older were living in a household that had difficulty meeting financial needs – like food and housing – in the previous four weeks.

That was down from 33.1 per cent in October 2023 and 35.5 per cent in October 2022, but still above the 20.4 per cent figure recorded in October 2020.

People living in a rented home were more likely to report difficulty meeting financial needs, with nearly four in 10 reporting that was the case.

That compares with just under a quarter of those living in an owned home by a household member.

Immigrants were also more likely to report facing financial strain last month, with about four out of 10 immigrants who landed in the last year doing so.

That compares with about three in 10 more established immigrants and one in four of people born in Canada.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Health-care spending expected to outpace economy and reach $372 billion in 2024: CIHI

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The Canadian Institute for Health Information says health-care spending in Canada is projected to reach a new high in 2024.

The annual report released Thursday says total health spending is expected to hit $372 billion, or $9,054 per Canadian.

CIHI’s national analysis predicts expenditures will rise by 5.7 per cent in 2024, compared to 4.5 per cent in 2023 and 1.7 per cent in 2022.

This year’s health spending is estimated to represent 12.4 per cent of Canada’s gross domestic product. Excluding two years of the pandemic, it would be the highest ratio in the country’s history.

While it’s not unusual for health expenditures to outpace economic growth, the report says this could be the case for the next several years due to Canada’s growing population and its aging demographic.

Canada’s per capita spending on health care in 2022 was among the highest in the world, but still less than countries such as the United States and Sweden.

The report notes that the Canadian dental and pharmacare plans could push health-care spending even further as more people who previously couldn’t afford these services start using them.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

Canadian Press health coverage receives support through a partnership with the Canadian Medical Association. CP is solely responsible for this content.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Trump’s victory sparks concerns over ripple effect on Canadian economy

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As Canadians wake up to news that Donald Trump will return to the White House, the president-elect’s protectionist stance is casting a spotlight on what effect his second term will have on Canada-U.S. economic ties.

Some Canadian business leaders have expressed worry over Trump’s promise to introduce a universal 10 per cent tariff on all American imports.

A Canadian Chamber of Commerce report released last month suggested those tariffs would shrink the Canadian economy, resulting in around $30 billion per year in economic costs.

More than 77 per cent of Canadian exports go to the U.S.

Canada’s manufacturing sector faces the biggest risk should Trump push forward on imposing broad tariffs, said Canadian Manufacturers and Exporters president and CEO Dennis Darby. He said the sector is the “most trade-exposed” within Canada.

“It’s in the U.S.’s best interest, it’s in our best interest, but most importantly for consumers across North America, that we’re able to trade goods, materials, ingredients, as we have under the trade agreements,” Darby said in an interview.

“It’s a more complex or complicated outcome than it would have been with the Democrats, but we’ve had to deal with this before and we’re going to do our best to deal with it again.”

American economists have also warned Trump’s plan could cause inflation and possibly a recession, which could have ripple effects in Canada.

It’s consumers who will ultimately feel the burden of any inflationary effect caused by broad tariffs, said Darby.

“A tariff tends to raise costs, and it ultimately raises prices, so that’s something that we have to be prepared for,” he said.

“It could tilt production mandates. A tariff makes goods more expensive, but on the same token, it also will make inputs for the U.S. more expensive.”

A report last month by TD economist Marc Ercolao said research shows a full-scale implementation of Trump’s tariff plan could lead to a near-five per cent reduction in Canadian export volumes to the U.S. by early-2027, relative to current baseline forecasts.

Retaliation by Canada would also increase costs for domestic producers, and push import volumes lower in the process.

“Slowing import activity mitigates some of the negative net trade impact on total GDP enough to avoid a technical recession, but still produces a period of extended stagnation through 2025 and 2026,” Ercolao said.

Since the Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement came into effect in 2020, trade between Canada and the U.S. has surged by 46 per cent, according to the Toronto Region Board of Trade.

With that deal is up for review in 2026, Canadian Chamber of Commerce president and CEO Candace Laing said the Canadian government “must collaborate effectively with the Trump administration to preserve and strengthen our bilateral economic partnership.”

“With an impressive $3.6 billion in daily trade, Canada and the United States are each other’s closest international partners. The secure and efficient flow of goods and people across our border … remains essential for the economies of both countries,” she said in a statement.

“By resisting tariffs and trade barriers that will only raise prices and hurt consumers in both countries, Canada and the United States can strengthen resilient cross-border supply chains that enhance our shared economic security.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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