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Mirtle: Why the Maple Leafs may need a trade to end their latest tailspin

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It’s hard to believe we’re back here in panic land again so soon in Toronto.

Although maybe it shouldn’t be.

There’s been a tendency early this season by some to write the Maple Leafs struggles off as a redux version of what happened last year, when they started slow and then played at a 119-point pace from Nov. 1 onwards.

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Only Colorado was better over that stretch.

There are a number of differences between that slow start and this one, however. For one, Auston Matthews isn’t coming off a significant surgery. For another, goaltending hasn’t really been the issue the way it was a year ago, when Michael Hutchinson was for some reason still starting games.

Even more significantly, I would argue, the Leafs have faced a very weak schedule — one of the easiest leaguewide so far — and their underlying results in terms of puck possession and expected goals have been extremely mediocre.

They’re not scoring. They’re not defending well. They’re not controlling play and simply getting unlucky. They’re just really, to put it charitably, meh right now.

The easy portion of the Leafs’ schedule is effectively over as of this weekend, too, with a back-to-back against Boston and Carolina looming. The rest of the way, the Leafs have one of the most difficult runs of any team.

If they can’t fix some of what ails them relatively quickly, major changes are going to be needed.

That’s not really news if you’re following the latest firestorms here in the city. Various media outlets and betting sites have had Sheldon Keefe on the hot seat from the start of the campaign, and this latest four-game losing streak has only dialled that talk up to 11.

And I get it. The coach is often the first to go in situations like this. They’re more disposable than stars making a lot of money, especially in a tight cap environment where roughly two-thirds of the league is either into long-term injured reserve or within a half million of the $82.5 million ceiling.

Keefe hasn’t been perfect in his tenure with the Leafs, but he has a .669 points percentage — one of the highest in league history — and led them to a 115-point campaign a year ago. He also isn’t responsible for a lot of the mess on the roster, including the lack of scoring options in the bottom six and the lack of defensive depth with Jake Muzzin, Timothy Liljegren and Jordie Benn all out.

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I believe they should give him more time to right the ship. And they should give him more to work with, too.

This brings us to the main alternative to firing the coach in early November — a trade.

While the start of the season isn’t the best time to be scouring the NHL’s trade market, and the Leafs are going to be dealing from a position of weakness given their losing skid, GM Kyle Dubas does have one thing in his favour. With Muzzin on LTIR — quite possibly for the rest of the season based on what I’m hearing — Toronto can put a large portion of his $5.625 million salary to work on the open market.

Some of that will have to be allocated to Liljegren, who just played a couple of games with the Marlies on the weekend as part of a rehab assignment. But even in a worst-case scenario, the Leafs will have an extra $4 million in financial flexibility, something that the vast majority of the teams likely in the playoff race simply do not.

In a best-case scenario, Dubas could look to trade some of his underperforming players as part of any move, freeing up even more salary room.

Some of the top candidates to go to shake things up could include Justin Holl ($2 million), Pierre Engvall ($2.25 million), Alexander Kerfoot ($3.5 million) or Nicolas Aube-Kubel ($1 million).

If they keep losing, perhaps some even bigger names are in the mix.

Even without subtracting a significant roster piece, however, the Leafs are now in a position to be players for a difference maker in a deal — assuming that some of what they give up is made up of prospects or picks.

(D. Ross Cameron / USA Today)

Jakob Chychrun is one name out there, although given he’s almost exclusively played the left side and with his recent injury history, there are some buyer-beware factors there. (The asking price from the Coyotes is also sky high.)

John Klingberg is an interesting idea, with the Ducks in freefall. He is only on a one-year deal and could help with Toronto’s puck-moving issues on the right side.

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Other pending UFA types the Leafs could target? Vladislav Gavrikov in Columbus is very intriguing, given how strong he is defensively. Damon Severson, Scott Mayfield, Shayne Gostisbehere, Dmitry Kulikov, Justin Braun, Kevin Shattenkirk and Troy Stecher are all potential rentals, too, and all of them can play the right side.

Defence is top of mind with how badly some of the Leafs blueliners are wobbling, but they could also deploy their cap space to find scoring help for the bottom-six forward group or try to add another goaltender to upgrade on third-stringer Erik Kallgren.

With the injuries they’ve had early on, the Leafs have been icing a lineup that is making $10 million or so under the cap on some nights. Recouping at least some of that by spending Muzzin’s salary is going to be vital within the coming months.

The Leafs have had some luck making these midseason deals and getting a shot in the arm, going back to when they added Muzzin almost four years ago. They also acquired Jack Campbell in a similarly tricky situation and beefed up their blue line twice a year ago by bringing in Ilya Lyubushkin and Mark Giordano.

It can be done.

But in addition to improving the roster, the other positive about going the trade route is the message that it sends, especially if it involves sending out a long-time teammate, even someone who plays down the lineup. The message is, in part, that the Leafs aren’t going to simply fire the coach at the first sign of trouble.

It’s also a message that more deals could be coming, should they continue to falter.

Because, frankly, this very much looks like a group of players who could use some of that outside motivation.

(Top photo of Leafs sadness: Debora Robinson / NHLI via Getty Images)

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Marchand says Maple Leafs are Bruins’ ‘biggest rival’ ahead of 1st-round series – NHL.com

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BOSTON – Forget Boston Bruins-Montreal Canadiens. 

For Brad Marchand, right now, it’s all about Bruins-Toronto Maple Leafs. 

“You see the excitement they have all throughout Canada when they’re in playoffs,” Marchand said Thursday. “Makes it a lot of fun to play them. And I think, just with the history we’ve had with them recently, they’re probably our biggest rival right now over the last decade. 

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“They’ve probably surpassed Montreal and any other team with kind of where our rivalry’s gone, just because we’ve both been so competitive with each other, and we’ve had a few playoff series. It definitely brings the emotion, the intensity, up in the games and the excitement for the fans. 

“It’s a lot of fun to play them.”

The Bruins and Maple Leafs will renew their rivalry in their first round series, which starts Saturday at TD Garden (8 p.m. ET; TBS, truTV, MAX, SN, CBC, TVAS). They’ll be familiar opponents. 

Over the past 11 seasons, the Bruins have faced the Maple Leafs four times in the postseason, starting with the epic 2013 matchup in the first round. That resulted in an all-time instant classic, the Game 7 in which the Bruins were down 4-1 in the third period and came roaring back for an overtime win that helped propel them to the Stanely Cup Final. 

That would prove to be the model and, in the intervening years, the Bruins have beaten them in each of the three subsequent series, including going to a Game 7 in the Eastern Conference First Round in 2018 and 2019. 

Which could easily be where this series is going. 

“Offensively they’re a gifted hockey club,” Bruins general manager Don Sweeney said Thursday. “They present a lot of challenges down around the netfront area. We’re going to have to be really sharp there. We’re a pretty good team defensively when we stick to what our principles are. So I expect it to be a tight series overall.”

But if anyone knows the Maple Leafs — and what to expect — it’s Marchand. In his career, he’s played 146 games in the Stanley Cup Playoffs, 11th most of any active player. Twenty-one of those games have come against the Maple Leafs, games in which Marchand has 21 points (seven goals, 14 assists).

“They’re always extremely competitive,” Marchand said. “You never know which way the series is going to go. But that’s what you want. That’s what you love about hockey is the competition aspect. They’re real competitors over there, especially the way they’re built right now. So it’s going to be a lot of fun, and that’s what playoffs is about. It’s about the best teams going head-to-head.”

But even though the history favors the Bruins — including having won each of the past six playoff matchups, dating back to the NHL’s expansion era in 1967-68 and each of the four regular-season games in 2023-24 — Marchand is throwing that out the window.

“That means nothing,” he said. 

The Maple Leafs bring the No. 2 offense in the NHL into their series, having scored 3.63 goals per game. They were led by Auston Matthews and his 69 goals this season, a new record for him and for the franchise. 

“You have to be hard on a guy like that and limit his time and space with the puck,” forward Charlie Coyle said. “He’s really good at getting in position to receive the puck and he’s got linemates who can put it right on his tape for him. You’ve just got to know where he is, especially in our D zone. He likes to loop away after cycling it and kind of find that sweet spot coming down Broadway there in the middle. It’s not just a one-person job.”

Nor is Matthews their only threat. 

“They have a lot of great players, skill players, who play hard and can be very dangerous around the net and create scoring opportunities,” forward Charlie Coyle said. “You’ve just got to be aware of who’s out there and who you’re against, who you’re matched up against, and play hard. Also, too, we’ve got to focus on our game and what we do well and when we do that, we trust each other and have that belief in each other, we’re a pretty good hockey team.”

Especially against the Maple Leafs. 

Marchand, who grew up in Halifax loving the Maple Leafs, still gets a thrill to see their alumni walking around Scotiabank Arena in the playoffs. And it’s even more special to be on the ice with them, to be competing against them — even more so when the Bruins keep winning. 

But that certainly doesn’t mean this series will be easy. 

“They’ll be a [heck] of a challenge,” Marchand said.

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NHL sets Round 1 schedule for 2024 Stanley Cup Playoffs – Daily Faceoff

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The chase for Lord Stanley’s silver chalice will begin on Saturday.

After what could be described as the most exciting season in NHL history that saw heartbreaks and last-ditch efforts to clinch playoff spots, players and staff now get ready as 16 teams go to battle.

We saw the Vancouver Canucks have a massive year and finish first in the Pacific Division with captain Quinn Hughes leading all defensemen in points. The Winnipeg Jets set a franchise record for most points. The Nashville Predators went on a franchise-record winning streak in order to lock themselves into a Wild Card spot, and the Washington Capitals clinched the last Wild Card spot in the East after a wild finish that saw the Detroit Red Wings and Philadelphia Flyers see their playoff hopes crumble in front of them.

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While Auston Matthews missed out on scoring 70 goals, Edmonton Oilers star Connor McDavid and Tampa Bay Lightning standout Nikita Kucherov became the first players since 1990-91 to record 100 assists in a single season. They joined Wayne Gretzky, Mario Lemieux and Bobby Orr as the only players to do so.

With the bracket set, it’s time to expect the unexpected. 

Here is the schedule for Round 1 of the 2024 Stanley Cup Playoffs:

Eastern Conference

#A1 Florida Panthers vs. #WC1 Tampa Bay Lightning

Date Game Time
Sunday, April 21 1. Tampa at Florida 12:30 p.m. ET
Tuesday, April 23 2. Tampa at Florida 7:30 p.m. ET
Thursday, April 25 3. Florida at Tampa 7 p.m. ET
Saturday, April 27 4. Florida at Tampa 5 p.m. ET
Monday, April 29 5. Tampa at Florida TBD
Wednesday, May 1 6. Florida at Tampa TBD
Saturday, May 4 7. Tampa at Florida TBD

#A2 Boston Bruins vs. #A3 Toronto Maple Leafs

Date Game Time
Saturday, April 20 1. Toronto at Boston 8 p.m. ET
Monday, April 22 2. Toronto at Boston 7 p.m. ET
Wednesday, April 24 3. Boston at Toronto 7 p.m. ET
Saturday, April 27 4. Boston at Toronto 8 p.m. ET
Tuesday, April 30 5. Toronto at Boston TBD
Thursday, May 2 6. Boston at Toronto TBD
Saturday, May 4 7. Toronto at Boston TBD

#M1 New York Rangers vs. #WC2 Washington Capitals

Date Game Time
Sunday, April 21 1. Washington at New York 3 p.m. ET
Tuesday, April 23 2. Washington at New York 7 p.m. ET
Friday, April 26 2. New York at Washington 7 p.m. ET
Sunday, April 28 2. New York at Washington 8 p.m. ET
Wednesday, May 1 2. Washington at New York TBD
Friday, May 3 2. New York at Washington TBD
Sunday, May 5 2. Washington at New York TBD

#M2 Carolina Hurricanes vs. #M3 New York Islanders

Date Game Time
Saturday, April 20 1. New York at Carolina 5 p.m. ET
Monday, April 22 2. New York at Carolina 7:30 p.m. ET
Thursday, April 25 3. Carolina at New York 7:30 p.m. ET
Saturday, April 27 4. Carolina at New York 2 p.m. ET
Tuesday, April 30 5. New York at Carolina TBD
Thursday, May 2 6. Carolina at New York TBD
Saturday, May 4 7. New York at Carolina TBD

Western Conference

#C1 Dallas Stars  vs. #WC2 Vegas Golden Knights

Date Game Time
Monday, April 22 1. Vegas at Dallas 9:30 p.m. ET
Wednesday, April 24 2. Vegas at Dallas 9:30 p.m. ET
Saturday, April 27 3. Dallas at Vegas 10:30 p.m. ET
Monday, April 29 4. Dallas at Vegas TBD
Wednesday, May 1 5. Vegas at Dallas TBD
Friday, May 3 6. Dallas at Vegas TBD
Sunday, May 5 7. Vegas at Dallas TBD

#C2 Winnipeg Jets vs. #C3 Colorado Avalanche

Date Game Time
Sunday, April 21 1. Colorado at Winnipeg 7 p.m. ET
Tuesday, April 23 2. Colorado at Winnipeg 9:30 p.m. ET
Friday, April 26 3. Winnipeg at Colorado 10 p.m. ET
Sunday, April 28 4. Winnipeg at Colorado 2:30 p.m. ET
Tuesday, April 30 5. Colorado at Winnipeg TBD
Thursday, May 2 6. Winnipeg at Colorado TBD
Saturday, May 4 7. Colorado at Winnipeg TBD

#P1 Vancouver Canucks vs. #WC1 Nashville Predators

Date Game Time
Sunday, April 21 1. Nashville at Vancouver 10 p.m. ET
Tuesday, April 23 2. Nashville at Vancouver 10 p.m. ET
Friday, April 26 3. Vancouver at Nashville 7:30 p.m. ET
Sunday, April 28 4. Vancouver at Nashville 5 p.m. ET
Tuesday, April 30 5. Nashville at Vancouver TBD
Friday, May 3 6. Vancouver at Nashville TBD
Sunday, May 5 7. Nashville at Vancouver TBD

#P2 Edmonton Oilers vs. #P3 Los Angeles Kings

Date Game Time
Monday, April 22 1. Los Angeles at Edmonton 10 p.m. ET
Wednesday, April 24 2. Los Angeles at Edmonton 10 p.m. ET
Friday, April 26 3. Edmonton at Los Angeles 10:30 p.m. ET
Sunday, April 28 4. Edmonton at Los Angeles 10:30 p.m. ET
Wednesday, May 1 5. Los Angeles at Edmonton TBD
Friday, May 3 6. Edmonton at Los Angeles TBD
Sunday, May 5 7. Los Angeles at Edmonton TBD

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With matchup vs. Kings decided, Oilers should be confident facing familiar foe – Sportsnet.ca

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