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Mortgage stress test in focus as rate hikes ratchet up pressure on borrowers – Yahoo Canada Finance

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The Bank of Canada’s move to hike its policy rate by 75 basis points Wednesday will be quickly noticed by variable-rate mortgage holders and those anxious to get off the homeownership sidelines, but if inflation persists and rates have to rise more quickly — something the central bank’s chief acknowledged was a possibility — the effects are not likely to stop there.

Yesterday’s move indicates the central bank is not letting up on its aggressive approach to tackling inflation, which eased in July to 7.6 per cent from 8.1 per cent in June and has made commercial banks and other financial institutions raise their mortgage rates in tandem with the Bank of Canada’s policy rate.

The series of rapid interest rate increases this year has fuelled concerns that homeowners will eventually begin to have trouble handling their increased mortgage payments.

Based on the Canadian Real Estate Association’s average home price of $629,971 in July, a variable rate of 4.45 per cent would result in monthly mortgage payments of roughly $2,787 assuming a 20 per cent down payment. Prior to today’s hike, the same mortgage holder would have paid $2,577 per month.

Alex Leduc, CEO of Canadian mortgage rate and analytic website www.myperch.io, noted that the difference of $210 per month was “not super material” but that it could still affect the average homebuyer.

Others in the industry see the latest rate hike as a huge strain on Canadians.

“Another 75 bps sucks significant discretionary income from the pockets of floating-rate borrowers,” said mortgage strategist Robert McLister in an email. “It also boosts the minimum mortgage stress test rate, which will dim housing sentiment further.”

The topic of the stress test resurfaced recently after the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board called for OSFI to revisit its rules.

“I wouldn’t bet on regulators blunting the stress test. The stress test is doing what it’s supposed to do.” McLister said. “Policymakers want to see higher-risk borrowers have higher qualifying hurdles as rates and unemployment rise. That’s what protects the financial system best.”

Christopher Alexander, president of RE/MAX Canada, however, said he thinks it’s time to review it.

“Asking people to qualify at seven per cent now is going to negatively affect more people than even the government, I would think, wants to. I’m all for responsible lending practices — that’s what got us through the financial crisis in 2008 — but the stress test is just putting too many people at a disadvantage considering how high interest rates are today,” Alexander said.

Dan Eisner, CEO of True North Mortgage, predicts changes to the stress test won’t take place until December, when the Bank of Canada’s final 2022 interest rate announcement is set to occur. However, if the market fares the way he expects, the stress test might not budge at all.

“By now buyers realize what is happening. I don’t think that this is the rate movement that turns buyers off more than they have been. It is quite the opposite,” he said.

He said he believes buyers are becoming more confident now that one of the final rate hikes has been announced.

“I think a lot of the talk right now is that this is one of the final moves the Bank of Canada is going to make. They may not make another rate increase and in fact if they do it’ll be a smaller one and so the five-year fixed rate might have plateaued and may not go any higher.”

Eisner noted that until recently, 60 per cent of his clients were taking a variable rate. He predicts that after the most recent rate announcement, the most popular rate will become a five-year fixed.

“If you’re a buyer out there, you arguably have a little bit more certainty with what is going to happen with your payments. We might actually see buyers saying, ‘Well, at least I know what my borrowing costs are so now I can be a little more confident to go out and buy.”

One thing that is certain is that there will be two more interest rate announcements coming out of the Bank of Canada this year.

James Laird, Co-CEO of Ratehub.ca and President of CanWise said that homeowners should expect rates to continue to rise, and not to get caught by surprise.

“Fixed-rate mortgage holders should budget for today’s higher rates when their next renewal comes up,” he said.

• Email: shcampbell@postmedia.com

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Roots sees room for expansion in activewear, reports $5.2M Q2 loss and sales drop

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TORONTO – Roots Corp. may have built its brand on all things comfy and cosy, but its CEO says activewear is now “really becoming a core part” of the brand.

The category, which at Roots spans leggings, tracksuits, sports bras and bike shorts, has seen such sustained double-digit growth that Meghan Roach plans to make it a key part of the business’ future.

“It’s an area … you will see us continue to expand upon,” she told analysts on a Friday call.

The Toronto-based retailer’s push into activewear has taken shape over many years and included several turns as the official designer and supplier of Team Canada’s Olympic uniform.

But consumers have had plenty of choice when it comes to workout gear and other apparel suited to their sporting needs. On top of the slew of athletic brands like Nike and Adidas, shoppers have also gravitated toward Lululemon Athletica Inc., Alo and Vuori, ramping up competition in the activewear category.

Roach feels Roots’ toehold in the category stems from the fit, feel and following its merchandise has cultivated.

“Our product really resonates with (shoppers) because you can wear it through multiple different use cases and occasions,” she said.

“We’ve been seeing customers come back again and again for some of these core products in our activewear collection.”

Her remarks came the same day as Roots revealed it lost $5.2 million in its latest quarter compared with a loss of $5.3 million in the same quarter last year.

The company said the second-quarter loss amounted to 13 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended Aug. 3, the same as a year earlier.

In presenting the results, Roach reminded analysts that the first half of the year is usually “seasonally small,” representing just 30 per cent of the company’s annual sales.

Sales for the second quarter totalled $47.7 million, down from $49.4 million in the same quarter last year.

The move lower came as direct-to-consumer sales amounted to $36.4 million, down from $37.1 million a year earlier, as comparable sales edged down 0.2 per cent.

The numbers reflect the fact that Roots continued to grapple with inventory challenges in the company’s Cooper fleece line that first cropped up in its previous quarter.

Roots recently began to use artificial intelligence to assist with daily inventory replenishments and said more tools helping with allocation will go live in the next quarter.

Beyond that time period, the company intends to keep exploring AI and renovate more of its stores.

It will also re-evaluate its design ranks.

Roots announced Friday that chief product officer Karuna Scheinfeld has stepped down.

Rather than fill the role, the company plans to hire senior level design talent with international experience in the outdoor and activewear sectors who will take on tasks previously done by the chief product officer.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:ROOT)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Talks on today over HandyDART strike affecting vulnerable people in Metro Vancouver

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VANCOUVER – Mediated talks between the union representing HandyDART workers in Metro Vancouver and its employer, Transdev, are set to resume today as a strike that has stopped most services drags into a second week.

No timeline has been set for the length of the negotiations, but Joe McCann, president of the Amalgamated Transit Union Local 1724, says they are willing to stay there as long as it takes, even if talks drag on all night.

About 600 employees of the door-to-door transit service for people unable to navigate the conventional transit system have been on strike since last Tuesday, pausing service for all but essential medical trips.

Hundreds of drivers rallied outside TransLink’s head office earlier this week, calling for the transportation provider to intervene in the dispute with Transdev, which was contracted to oversee HandyDART service.

Transdev said earlier this week that it will provide a reply to the union’s latest proposal on Thursday.

A statement from the company said it “strongly believes” that their employees deserve fair wages, and that a fair contract “must balance the needs of their employees, clients and taxpayers.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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