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N.B.’s sizzling real estate market shows no signs of cooling off

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Houses selling for over asking, getting multiple offers, selling sight-unseen. For New Brunswick’s sizzling real estate market, it’s all part of the new normal.

The Canadian Real Estate Association issued its October statistics on Monday, showing “historically strong” national home sales for the fourth straight month.

Even factoring in a “very quiet spring market” this year, the report said, it’s the second-highest January-October on record for national sales, trailing only 2016.

“For anyone waiting for the Canadian existing home market to begin to settle down … they’re going to have to wait a little longer,” Canadian Real Estate Association senior economist Shaun Cathcart said. “At this point, activity in 2020 has a real shot at setting an annual record.”

It’s a trend that has been playing out in New Brunswick for months — accompanied by buying behaviours the province hasn’t traditionally seen, the province’s real estate association president says.

It’s common now to have people buying houses sight unseen. Often, the first time they see it is on closing.– Andre Malenfant, New Brunswick Real Estate Association

“Every month we’re seeing record sales numbers,” New Brunswick Real Estate Association president Andre Malenfant said on Monday, noting homes are selling faster and for higher prices.

“Traditionally, we’ve been a balanced market, even a buyer’s market,” he said. “But now, we’re definitely a seller’s market.”

Malenfant said a series of factors are driving the climb, chief among them New Brunswick’s handling of the COVID-19 pandemic and “the law of supply and demand.”

“We’re continuing to see an increase in buyers coming from other provinces to get away from COVID,” Malenfant said. “We’ve handled it pretty well and we have attracted attention” across Canada because of it.

Buyers are mainly coming here from Ontario, Quebec and British Columbia, Malenfant said. They’re taking virtual tours of houses, offering over asking, sometimes even sparking bidding wars.

 

Real estate sales figures kept up their record pace for the month of October, New Brunswick Real Estate Association president André Malenfant said. ‘It’s definitely a seller’s market.’ (Submitted by André Malenfant)

 

“It’s common now to have people buying houses sight unseen,” Malenfant said. “Often, the first time they see it is on closing. So they take possession, lock themselves in the house and quarantine for 14 days.”

In some cases, he said, buyers will have a New Brunswick friend or relative come to tour the house before they buy it. But if that’s not an option, the virtual tour can be “quite detailed, quite precise,” with realtors zooming in closely on any facet of a home a potential buyer wants a closer look at.

A tighter-than-usual supply is also pushing prices up, with some people choosing not to list their home during the pandemic.

There are also greater numbers of retirees returning home to New Brunswick and retiring earlier than they’d planned because of the pandemic’s chill on economies out west, Malenfant said.

Prices in each of the three biggest cities are up, with the Greater Moncton area leading the pack with a 15.1 per cent year-over-year increase in house prices, followed by Saint John with an increase of 12.3 per cent and Fredericton with a 5.3 per cent increase.

But the biggest jump is in northern New Brunswick, where Malenfant said prices are up 48.8 per cent over last year.

So how long can buyers and sellers expect this trend to go on?

“Real estate is cyclical,” Malenfant said. “It will eventually slow down. Next year at this time we will likely see an increase in inventory, a lot of people putting their property up for sale. But I think it’s going to stay strong for a while yet.”


NEW BRUNSWICK HOME SALES STATS

Provincial 

  • Average house price in 2020: $203,233
  • Average house in 2019: $180,145
  • Year-over-year increase: 12.8 per cent

Greater Moncton 

  • Average house price in 2020: $225,200
  • Average house in 2019: $195,700
  • Year-over-year increase: 15.1 per cent

Saint John 

  • Average house price in 2020: $212,578
  • Average house in 2019: $189,340
  • Year-over-year increase: 12.3 per cent

Fredericton

  • Average house price in 2020: $196,511
  • Average house in 2019: $186,585
  • Year-over-year increase: 5.3 per cent

Source: Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA)

Source: – CBC.ca

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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