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New forecast calls for modest growth in Edmonton real estate market – Edmonton Journal

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“And for sellers, if they think they will wait six months because prices will go up, they will wait, too.”

This wait and see attitude may be one reason why the city is expected to lag behind the national average in the forecast. Royal LePage predicts prices nationally will increase 5.5 per cent in 2021, led by large centres like Vancouver, which is expected to see prices grow by nine per cent on average.

Unlike condominium-dominated Vancouver, Edmonton’s market will continue to be driven by demand for single-family detached homes. The forecast calls for prices to gain 1.5 per cent to $430,700.

Realtor Kathy Schmidt says demand for single-family homes under $400,000 will continue to be a hot spot in Edmonton.

“In some areas supply will be low enough to cause multiple offers,” says the broker/owner of Schmidt Realty Group Inc.
“Above that price point, buyers expect more house for their dollar,” as supply will continue to outpace demand.

Yet even demand in the higher end homes should gain momentum as it has already shown in 2020, says realtor Shami Sandhu, president of Realty One Group of Western Canada.

“Edmonton saw an increase of 28 per cent in homes over $1 million sold in 2020 versus 2019,” to 158 from 123 homes sold in this category.

Even the slumping condominium segment is expected to grow with the median price gaining one per cent to about $215,000.

“In general, overall transaction activity will be up in 2021,” Sandhu says.

Yet while the Edmonton market will see growing demand, it does not appear in danger of overheating like larger centres.

“Your buying power still just gets you way more here in Edmonton versus other cities,” Shearer says. “It’s a good place to be.”

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Mortgage rule changes will help spark demand, but supply is ‘core’ issue: economist

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TORONTO – One expert predicts Ottawa‘s changes to mortgage rules will help spur demand among potential homebuyers but says policies aimed at driving new supply are needed to address the “core issues” facing the market.

The federal government’s changes, set to come into force mid-December, include a higher price cap for insured mortgages to allow more people to qualify for a mortgage with less than a 20 per cent down payment.

The government will also expand its 30-year mortgage amortization to include first-time homebuyers buying any type of home, as well as anybody buying a newly built home.

CIBC Capital Markets deputy chief economist Benjamin Tal calls it a “significant” move likely to accelerate the recovery of the housing market, a process already underway as interest rates have begun to fall.

However, he says in a note that policymakers should aim to “prevent that from becoming too much of a good thing” through policies geared toward the supply side.

Tal says the main issue is the lack of supply available to respond to Canada’s rapidly increasing population, particularly in major cities.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17,2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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National housing market in ‘holding pattern’ as buyers patient for lower rates: CREA

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OTTAWA – The Canadian Real Estate Association says the number of homes sold in August fell compared with a year ago as the market remained largely stuck in a holding pattern despite borrowing costs beginning to come down.

The association says the number of homes sold in August fell 2.1 per cent compared with the same month last year.

On a seasonally adjusted month-over-month basis, national home sales edged up 1.3 per cent from July.

CREA senior economist Shaun Cathcart says that with forecasts of lower interest rates throughout the rest of this year and into 2025, “it makes sense that prospective buyers might continue to hold off for improved affordability, especially since prices are still well behaved in most of the country.”

The national average sale price for August amounted to $649,100, a 0.1 per cent increase compared with a year earlier.

The number of newly listed properties was up 1.1 per cent month-over-month.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Two Quebec real estate brokers suspended for using fake bids to drive up prices

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MONTREAL – Two Quebec real estate brokers are facing fines and years-long suspensions for submitting bogus offers on homes to drive up prices during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Christine Girouard has been suspended for 14 years and her business partner, Jonathan Dauphinais-Fortin, has been suspended for nine years after Quebec’s authority of real estate brokerage found they used fake bids to get buyers to raise their offers.

Girouard is a well-known broker who previously starred on a Quebec reality show that follows top real estate agents in the province.

She is facing a fine of $50,000, while Dauphinais-Fortin has been fined $10,000.

The two brokers were suspended in May 2023 after La Presse published an article about their practices.

One buyer ended up paying $40,000 more than his initial offer in 2022 after Girouard and Dauphinais-Fortin concocted a second bid on the house he wanted to buy.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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