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NFL odds, lines, picks, spreads, best bets, predictions for Week 15, 2021: Model backing Saints, Steelers – CBS Sports

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No team has more wins than Arizona and no team has fewer than Detroit. Oddsmakers are expecting these trends to continue when these two get together as part of the Week 15 NFL schedule. The Cardinals are 13.5-point favorites at Caesars Sportsbook in the latest Week 15 NFL odds. At almost two touchdowns, it’s one of the largest NFL spreads of the entire season.

Detroit is 8-5 against the spread this year, so the team has been much more competitive than its record indicates. Is that enough for you to back the Lions in a matchup of former No. 1 overall picks as Jared Goff takes on Kyler Murray? All of the Week 15 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine’s advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 15 NFL picks now.

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The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 15 of the 2021 season on an incredible 132-96 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 15 NFL odds and locked in picks for every NFL matchup. Head here to see every pick.

Top Week 15 NFL predictions

One of the model’s strongest Week 15 NFL picks is that the Saints (+11) cover the spread against the Buccaneers. The Saints have won six of their last seven meetings against Tampa Bay and are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games against the Buccaneers.

New Orleans knocked off Tampa Bay 36-27 earlier this season, and New Orleans will try to keep its playoff hopes alive after dominating the Jets last week. In the Saints’ 30-9 victory over New York, quarterback Taysom Hill had a field day with his legs, rushing for 73 yards and two touchdowns while also throwing for 175 yards.

The model is predicting that Hill has another big day against a Tampa Bay defense that just allowed Josh Allen to eclipse 300 passing and 100 rushing yards. Hill is projected to average 5.8 yards per carry while also throwing for 162 yards and two touchdowns. Meanwhile, Alvin Kamara is projected to rack-up 99 all-purpose yards, helping the Saints cover the double-digit spread in 60 percent of simulations.

Another one of its Week 15 NFL predictions: The Steelers (+1.5) cover against the Titans at home. Pittsburgh will surely enjoy the mini-bye that came with playing on Thursday in Week 14. The Steelers are 2-0 against the spread this year when they have more than eight days of rest.

Tennessee is averaging nine fewer points per game since running back Derrick Henry was injured as well as under 300 yards of total offense. Its second-best playmaker, A.J. Brown, is also out with a chest injury, while Julio Jones has only topped 59 receiving yards once this season. With limited options, the model has quarterback Ryan Tannehill barely cracking 200 yards through the air, while Ben Roethlisberger has over 250.

Receivers Diontae Johnson and Chase Claypool are Roethlisberger’s primary targets and are expected to total nearly 150 receiving yards. With running back Najee Harris coming close to 100 scrimmage yards himself, the Steelers are projected to cover in well over 50 percent of simulations. The model also projects 47 combined points, so it has the Over (41.5) hitting almost 60 percent of the time.

How to make Week 15 NFL picks

The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 15 NFL schedule, and it’s calling for a Super Bowl contender to go down hard. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

So which NFL picks can you make with confidence, and which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned almost $7,200 since its inception, and find out.

Week 15 NFL odds, spreads, lines

Thursday, Dec. 16

Chiefs at Chargers (+3, 52)

Featured Game | Los Angeles Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Saturday, Dec. 18

Raiders at Browns (-3, 40)

Featured Game | Cleveland Browns vs. Las Vegas Raiders

Patriots at Colts (-2.5, 45.5)

Featured Game | Indianapolis Colts vs. New England Patriots

Sunday, Dec. 19

Washington Football Team at Eagles (-4.5, 44.5)

Featured Game | Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Football Team

Panthers at Bills (-10.5, 43.5)

Featured Game | Buffalo Bills vs. Carolina Panthers

Jets at Dolphins (-8.5, 42)

Featured Game | Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets

Cowboys at Giants (+10.5, 44.5)

Featured Game | New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys

Titans at Steelers (+1.5, 41.5)

Featured Game | Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Tennessee Titans

Texans at Jaguars (-3, 39.5)

Featured Game | Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans

Cardinals at Lions (+13.5, 47.5)

Featured Game | Detroit Lions vs. Arizona Cardinals

Falcons at 49ers (-9, 46)

Featured Game | San Francisco 49ers vs. Atlanta Falcons

Bengals at Broncos (-1.5, 44)

Featured Game | Denver Broncos vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Packers at Ravens (+4.5, 43.5)

Featured Game | Baltimore Ravens vs. Green Bay Packers

Seahawks at Rams (-4.5, 45.5)

Featured Game | Los Angeles Rams vs. Seattle Seahawks

Saints at Buccaneers (-11, 46.5)

Featured Game | Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints

Monday, Dec. 20

Vikings at Bears (+3.5, 44)

Featured Game | Chicago Bears vs. Minnesota Vikings

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NHL teams, take note: Alexandar Georgiev is proof that anything can happen in the playoffs

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It’s hard to say when, exactly, Alexandar Georgiev truly began to win some hearts and change some minds on Tuesday night.

Maybe it was in the back half of the second period; that was when the Colorado Avalanche, for the first time in their first-round Stanley Cup playoff series against the Winnipeg Jets, actually managed to hold a lead for more than, oh, two minutes or thereabouts. Maybe it was when the Avs walked into the locker room up 4-2 with 20 minutes to play.

Maybe it was midway through the third, when a series of saves by the Avalanche’s beleaguered starting goaltender helped preserve their two-goal buffer. Maybe it was when the buzzer sounded after their 5-2 win. Maybe it didn’t happen until the Avs made it into their locker room at Canada Life Centre, tied 1-1 with the Jets and headed for Denver.

At some point, though, it should’ve happened. If you were watching, you should’ve realized that Colorado — after a 7-6 Game 1 loss that had us all talking not just about all those goals, but at least one of the guys who’d allowed them — had squared things up, thanks in part to … well, that same guy.

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Georgiev, indeed, was the story of Game 2, stopping 28 of 30 shots, improving as the game progressed and providing a lesson on how quickly things can change in the playoffs — series to series, game to game, period to period, moment to moment. The narrative doesn’t always hold. Facts don’t always cooperate. Alexandar Georgiev, for one night and counting, was not a problem for the Colorado Avalanche. He was, in direct opposition to the way he played in Game 1, a solution. How could we view him as anything else?

He had a few big-moment saves, and most of them came midway through the third period with his team up 4-2. There he was with 12:44 remaining, stopping a puck that had awkwardly rolled off Nino Niederreiter’s stick; two missed posts by the Avs at the other end had helped spring Niederreiter for a breakaway. Game 1 Georgiev doesn’t make that save.

There he was, stopping Nikolaj Ehlers from the circle a few minutes later. There wasn’t an Avs defender within five feet, and there was nothing awkward about the puck Ehlers fired at his shoulder. Game 1 Georgiev gets scored on twice.

(That one might’ve been poetic justice. It was Ehlers who’d put the first puck of the night on Georgiev — a chip from center ice that he stopped, and that the crowd in Winnipeg greeted with the ol’ mock cheer. Whoops.)

By the end of it all, Georgiev had stared down Connor Hellebuyck and won, saving nearly 0.5 goals more than expected according to Natural Stat Trick, giving the Avalanche precisely what they needed and looking almost nothing like the guy we’d seen a couple days before. Conventional wisdom coming into this series was twofold: That the Avs have firepower, high-end talent and an overall edge — slight as it may be — on Winnipeg, and that Georgiev is shaky enough to nuke the whole thing.

That wasn’t without merit, either. Georgiev’s .897 save percentage in the regular season was six percentage points below the league average, and he hadn’t broken even in expected goals allowed (minus-0.21). He’d been even worse down the stretch, putting up an .856 save percentage in his final eight appearances, and worse still in Game 1, allowing seven goals on 23 shots and more than five goals more than expected. That’s not bad; that’s an oil spill. Writing him off would’ve been understandable. Writing off Jared Bednar for rolling him out there in Game 2 would’ve been understandable. Writing the Avs off — for all of Nathan MacKinnon and Cale Makar’s greatness — would’ve been understandable.

It just wouldn’t have been correct.

The fact that this all went down now, four days into a two-month ordeal, is a gift — because the postseason thus far has been short on surprises, almost as a rule. The Rangers and Oilers are overwhelming the Capitals and Kings. The Hurricanes are halfway done with the Islanders. The Canucks are struggling with the Predators. PanthersLightning is tight, but one team is clearly better than the other. BruinsMaple Leafs is a close matchup featuring psychic baggage that we don’t have time to unpack. In Golden KnightsStars, Mark Stone came back and scored a huge goal.

None of that should shock you. None of that should make you blink.

Georgiev being good enough for Colorado, though? After what we saw in Game 1? Strange, surprising and completely true. For now.

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"Laugh it off": Evander Kane says Oilers won’t take the bait against Kings | Offside

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The LA Kings tried every trick in the book to get the Edmonton Oilers off their game last night.

Hacks after the whistle, punches to the face, and interference with line changes were just some of the things that the Oilers had to endure, and throughout it all, there was not an ounce of retaliation.

All that badgering by the Kings resulted in at least two penalties against them and fuelled a red-hot Oilers power play that made them pay with three goals on four chances. That was by design for Edmonton, who knew that LA was going to try to pester them as much as they could.

That may have worked on past Oilers teams, but not this one.

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“We’ve been in a series now for the third year in a row with these guys,” Kane said after practice this morning. “We know them, they know us… it’s one of those things where maybe it makes it a little easier to kind of laugh it off, walk away, or take a shot.

“That type of stuff isn’t gonna affect us.”

Once upon a time, this type of play would get under the Oilers’ skin and result in retaliatory penalties. Yet, with a few hard-knock lessons handed down to them in the past few seasons, it seems like the team is as determined as ever to cut the extracurriculars and focus on getting revenge on the scoreboard.

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, the longest-tenured player on this Oilers team, had to keep his emotions in check with Kings defender Vladislav Gavrikov, who punched him in the face early in the game. The easy reaction would be to punch back, but the veteran Nugen-Hopkins took his licks and wound up scoring later in the game.

“It’s going to be physical, the emotions are high, and there’s probably going to be some stuff after the whistle,” Nugent-Hopkins told reporters this morning. “I think it’s important to stay poised out there and not retaliate and just play through the whistles and let the other stuff just kind of happen.”

Oilers head coach Kris Knoblauch also noticed his team’s discipline. Playoff hockey is full of emotion, and keeping those in check to focus on the larger goal is difficult. He was happy with how his team set the tone.

“It’s not necessarily easy to do,” Knoblauch said. “You get punched in the face and sometimes the referees feel it’s enough to call a penalty, sometimes it’s not… You just have to take them, and sometimes, you get rewarded with the power play.

“I liked our guy’s response and we want to be sticking up for each other, we want to have that pack mentality, but it’s really important that we’re not the ones taking that extra penalty.”

There is no doubt that the Kings will continue to poke and prod at the Oilers as the series continues. Keeping those retaliations in check will only get more difficult, but if the team can continue to succeed on the scoreboard, it could get easier.

 

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Thatcher Demko injured, out for Game 2 between Canucks and Predators

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Thatcher Demko returned from injury just in time for the start of the Stanley Cup Playoffs but now is injured again.

After the Vancouver Canucks’ victory in Game 1, Demko was not made available to the media as he was “receiving treatment.” This is not unusual, so was not heavily reported at the time. Monday’s practice was turned into an optional skate — just nine players participated — so Demko’s absence did not seem particularly significant.

But when Demko was also missing from Tuesday’s gameday skate, alarm bells started going off.

According to multiple reports — and now the Canucks’ head coach, Rick Tocchet —Demko will not play in Game 2 and is in fact questionable for the rest of their series against the Nashville Predators.

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Demko made 22 saves on 24 shots, none bigger — and potentially injury-inducing — than his first-period save on Anthony Beauvillier where he went into the full splits.

While this is not necessarily where Demko got injured, it would be understandable if it was. Demko still stayed in the game and didn’t seem to be experiencing any difficulties at the time.

Demko is a major difference-maker for the Canucks and his injury casts a pall over the team’s emotional Game 1 victory.

Tocchet confirmed that Demko will not start in Game 2 but said Demko did skate on Monday on his own. He also said that Demko’s injury is unrelated to the knee injury he suffered during the season that caused him to miss five weeks. Instead, Tocchet suggested Demko was day-to-day, leaving open the possibility for his return in the first round.

TSN’s Farhan Lalji, however, has reported that Demko’s injury could indeed be to the same knee, even if it is not the same exact injury.

If Demko does indeed miss the rest of the series, the pressure will be on Casey DeSmith, who had a strong season when called upon intermittently as the team’s backup but struggled when thrust into the number-one role when Demko was injured. Behind DeSmith is rookie Arturs Silovs, who has come through with heroic performances in international competition for Latvia but hasn’t been able to repeat those performances at the NHL level.

DeSmith played one game against the Predators this season, making 26 saves on 28 shots in a 5-2 victory in December.

While DeSmith has limited experience in the Stanley Cup Playoffs, his one appearance was spectacular.

On May 3, 2022, DeSmith had to step in for the injured Tristan Jarry for the Pittsburgh Penguins, starting their first postseason game against the New York Rangers. DeSmith made 48 saves on 51 shots before leaving the game in the second overtime with an injury of his own, with Louis Domingue stepping in to make 17 more saves for the win.

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