Not just gasoline — experts expect oil price spike to soon impact cost of plane tickets, too | Canada News Media
Connect with us

Business

Not just gasoline — experts expect oil price spike to soon impact cost of plane tickets, too

Published

 on

Drivers are very much aware of the higher price to fill up as of late, and experts say air travellers should expect a similar sticker shock soon.

The cost of jet fuel is subject to the same forces that have caused gasoline prices to rise to their highest price in years.

A Bloomberg index of U.S. jet fuel prices shows the price of jet fuel has risen to top $4 US a gallon ($1.35 Cdn per litre) this week — more than twice what it went for as recently as December, and four times the cost prior to the pandemic.

Jet fuel is one of the biggest costs that airlines bear, so experts say that surge will affect the price that travellers pay to fly, if it hasn’t already.

“In terms of airfares, I can’t say that I’ve seen any impact yet [but] I’m sure it’s coming,” said Christine Latremoille with Uniglobe travel agency in Dorval, Que.

Latremoille said airfares have been ticking higher for a while, as 2022 was setting up to be one of the biggest years for travel on record after two years of delayed vacations during the pandemic.

Anyone who hasn’t booked a flight in a while may be in for a surprise, she said. Canadians are no doubt well aware of high inflation pushing up their cost of living, but record-setting demand for travel has pushed prices up even higher than they might otherwise be.

“The airline industry has suffered such losses over the last year and a half,” she said.

“At some point or another, they were going to recoup their losses.”

And that was before Russia’s invasion of Ukraine caused the price of oil to skyrocket. Because airlines are so vulnerable to the highly volatile oil price, they often try to limit that risk by what’s known as hedging — locking in a dependable supply of jet fuel in advance, for an agreed-upon price.

That strategy cost them in the pandemic, when demand for all the jet fuel they had purchased plummeted. “Coronavirus-driven lockdowns taught airlines why over-hedging can be dangerous,” Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Conroy Gaynor said, so many of them stopped doing it.

 

A traveller walks past a sign about COVID-19 testing at Pearson airport in Toronto last year. After two years of suppressed demand for travel, vacation plans have come roaring back, say experts. (Carlo Allegri/Reuters)

 

While it used to do it frequently, Air Canada hasn’t hedged itself on jet fuel for the past two years, company filings show, which makes the airline vulnerable to price spikes such as this one. But a spokesperson for the airline said it has no immediate plans to add new fuel surcharges, or adjust its pricing due to the conflict.

“There are a number of factors that go into airline pricing apart from fuel costs, including … competition, demand, marketing considerations and the type of traffic that a route serves,” Peter Fitzpatrick said.

“We always say ticket pricing is dynamic and that fares can change frequently, both up and down, for these and other reasons [so] one cannot assign any price movements that may occur to any one particular cause.”

A spokesperson for WestJet said it has not “made any deliberate change to our systems in response to the rising cost of fuel,” and added that it currently does not levy any fuel surcharges.

“We are of course monitoring conditions but have made no decisions at this time,” the airline said.

Re-routing around Russia

Latremoille said fuel surcharges are especially problematic in Europe, where they can be double or triple the base price.

“I expect that to go up,” she said, adding that the issue, compounded by airspace restrictions, is likely going to impact summer travel plans.

Calls to drop all COVID-19 testing requirements for travel

To enter the country, Canada now requires travellers to provide a rapid antigen COVID-19 test instead of a PCR test, but many travellers and experts say it might be time to drop testing requirements entirely. 1:49

Many routes from Europe and North America bound for Asia would typically fly over Russian airspace as the most efficient way around the globe. But after Russia closed its airspace, not being able to do that is adding costs in the form of excess fuel needed for less efficient routes. Finnish carrier Finnair warned of exactly that this week, with CEO Topi Manner saying virtually all of the airline’s flights to Asia are no longer feasible.

“Bypassing the Russian airspace lengthens flight times to Asia considerably and, thus, the operation of most our passenger and cargo flights to Asia is not economically sustainable or competitive,” he said.

Air Canada recently rerouted a flight to Delhi so that it would no longer fly over Russian airspace, a move that added more time in air and fuel use to a flight that was already 14 hours, Latremoille said. “I’m starting to see a lack of interest in planning anything too far ahead,” she said.

Analyst Tim James with TD Bank said in a note to clients he thinks Canadian airlines are in a good position to weather the current uncertainty because “pent-up travel demand from Canadians will allow airlines to pass through most of the higher fuel costs.”

Latremoille said that pent-up demand is unlikely to dissipate, even if travellers have to pay a bit more to scratch that itch.

“I’ve been doing this for 40 years and I’ve never seen anything like this demand,” Latremoille said.

“The constant calls … people need to just literally get away.”

 

Source link

Continue Reading

Business

TD CEO to retire next year, takes responsibility for money laundering failures

Published

 on

 

TORONTO – TD Bank Group, which is mired in a money laundering scandal in the U.S., says chief executive Bharat Masrani will retire next year.

Masrani, who will retire officially on April 10, 2025, says the bank’s, “anti-money laundering challenges,” took place on his watch and he takes full responsibility.

The bank named Raymond Chun, TD’s group head, Canadian personal banking, as his successor.

As part of a transition plan, Chun will become chief operating officer on Nov. 1 before taking over the top job when Masrani steps down at the bank’s annual meeting next year.

TD also announced that Riaz Ahmed, group head, wholesale banking and president and CEO of TD Securities, will retire at the end of January 2025.

TD has taken billions in charges related to ongoing U.S. investigations into the failure of its anti-money laundering program.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 19, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Business

The #1 Skill I Look For When Hiring

Published

 on

File this column under “for what it’s worth.”

“Communication is one of the most important skills you require for a successful life.” — Catherine Pulsifer, author.

I’m one hundred percent in agreement with Pulsifer, which is why my evaluation of candidates begins with their writing skills. If a candidate’s writing skills and verbal communication skills, which I’ll assess when interviewing, aren’t well above average, I’ll pass on them regardless of their skills and experience.

 

Why?

 

Because business is fundamentally about getting other people to do things—getting employees to be productive, getting customers to buy your products or services, and getting vendors to agree to a counteroffer price. In business, as in life in general, you can’t make anything happen without effective communication; this is especially true when job searching when your writing is often an employer’s first impression of you.

 

Think of all the writing you engage in during a job search (resumes, cover letters, emails, texts) and all your other writing (LinkedIn profile, as well as posts and comments, blogs, articles, tweets, etc.) employers will read when they Google you to determine if you’re interview-worthy.

 

With so much of our communication today taking place via writing (email, text, collaboration platforms such as Microsoft Teams, Slack, ClickUp, WhatsApp and Rocket.Chat), the importance of proficient writing skills can’t be overstated.

 

When assessing a candidate’s writing skills, you probably think I’m looking for grammar and spelling errors. Although error-free writing is important—it shows professionalism and attention to detail—it’s not the primary reason I look at a candidate’s writing skills.

 

The way someone writes reveals how they think.

 

  • Clear writing = Clear thinking
  • Structured paragraphs = Structured mind
  • Impactful sentences = Impactful ideas

 

Effective writing isn’t about using sophisticated vocabulary. Hemingway demonstrated that deceptively simple, stripped-down prose can captivate readers. Effective writing takes intricate thoughts and presents them in a way that makes the reader think, “Damn! Why didn’t I see it that way?” A good writer is a dead giveaway for a good thinker. More than ever, the business world needs “good thinkers.”

 

Therefore, when I come across a candidate who’s a good writer, hence a good thinker, I know they’re likely to be able to write:

 

  • Emails that don’t get deleted immediately and are responded to
  • Simple, concise, and unambiguous instructions
  • Pitches that are likely to get read
  • Social media content that stops thumbs
  • Human-sounding website copy
  • Persuasively, while attuned to the reader’s possible sensitivities

 

Now, let’s talk about the elephant in the room: AI, which job seekers are using en masse. Earlier this year, I wrote that AI’s ability to hyper-increase an employee’s productivity—AI is still in its infancy; we’ve seen nothing yet—in certain professions, such as writing, sales and marketing, computer programming, office and admin, and customer service, makes it a “fewer employees needed” tool, which understandably greatly appeals to employers. In my opinion, the recent layoffs aren’t related to the economy; they’re due to employers adopting AI. Additionally, companies are trying to balance investing in AI with cost-cutting measures. CEOs who’ve previously said, “Our people are everything,” have arguably created today’s job market by obsessively focusing on AI to gain competitive advantages and reduce their largest expense, their payroll.

 

It wouldn’t be a stretch to assume that most AI usage involves generating written content, content that’s obvious to me, and likely to you as well, to have been written by AI. However, here’s the twist: I don’t particularly care.

 

Why?

 

Because the fundamental skill I’m looking for is the ability to organize thoughts and communicate effectively. What I care about is whether the candidate can take AI-generated content and transform it into something uniquely valuable. If they can, they’re demonstrating the skills of being a good thinker and communicator. It’s like being a great DJ; anyone can push play, but it takes skill to read a room and mix music that gets people pumped.

 

Using AI requires prompting effectively, which requires good writing skills to write clear and precise instructions that guide the AI to produce desired outcomes. Prompting AI effectively requires understanding structure, flow and impact. You need to know how to shape raw information, such as milestones throughout your career when you achieved quantitative results, into a compelling narrative.

So, what’s the best way to gain and enhance your writing skills? As with any skill, you’ve got to work at it.

Two rules guide my writing:

 

  • Use strong verbs and nouns instead of relying on adverbs, such as “She dashed to the store.” instead of “She ran quickly to the store.” or “He whispered to the child.” instead of “He spoke softly to the child.”
  • Avoid using long words when a shorter one will do, such as “use” instead of “utilize” or “ask” instead of “inquire.” As attention spans get shorter, I aim for clarity, simplicity and, most importantly, brevity in my writing.

 

Don’t just string words together; learn to organize your thoughts, think critically, and communicate clearly. Solid writing skills will significantly set you apart from your competition, giving you an advantage in your job search and career.

_____________________________________________________________________

 

Nick Kossovan, a well-seasoned veteran of the corporate landscape, offers “unsweetened” job search advice. You can send Nick your questions to artoffindingwork@gmail.com.

Continue Reading

Business

Politics likely pushed Air Canada toward deal with ‘unheard of’ gains for pilots

Published

 on

 

MONTREAL – Politics, public opinion and salary hikes south of the border helped push Air Canada toward a deal that secures major pay gains for pilots, experts say.

Hammered out over the weekend, the would-be agreement includes a cumulative wage hike of nearly 42 per cent over four years — an enormous bump by historical standards — according to one source who was not authorized to speak publicly on the matter. The previous 10-year contract granted increases of just two per cent annually.

The federal government’s stated unwillingness to step in paved the way for a deal, noted John Gradek, after Prime Minister Justin Trudeau made it plain the two sides should hash one out themselves.

“Public opinion basically pressed the federal cabinet, including the prime minister, to keep their hands clear of negotiations and looking at imposing a settlement,” said Gradek, who teaches aviation management at McGill University.

After late-night talks at a hotel near Toronto’s Pearson airport, the country’s biggest airline and the union representing 5,200-plus aviators announced early Sunday morning they had reached a tentative agreement, averting a strike that would have grounded flights and affected some 110,000 passengers daily.

The relative precariousness of the Liberal minority government as well as a push to appear more pro-labour underlay the prime minister’s hands-off approach to the negotiations.

Trudeau said Friday the government would not step in to fix the impasse — unlike during a massive railway work stoppage last month and a strike by WestJet mechanics over the Canada Day long weekend that workers claimed road roughshod over their constitutional right to collective bargaining. Trudeau said the government respects the right to strike and would only intervene if it became apparent no negotiated deal was possible.

“They felt that they really didn’t want to try for a third attempt at intervention and basically said, ‘Let’s let the airline decide how they want to deal with this one,'” said Gradek.

“Air Canada ran out of support as the week wore on, and by the time they got to Friday night, Saturday morning, there was nothing left for them to do but to basically try to get a deal set up and accepted by ALPA (Air Line Pilots Association).”

Trudeau’s government was also unlikely to consider back-to-work legislation after the NDP tore up its agreement to support the Liberal minority in Parliament, Gradek said. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre, whose party has traditionally toed a more pro-business line, also said last week that Tories “stand with the pilots” and swore off “pre-empting” the negotiations.

Air Canada CEO Michael Rousseau had asked Ottawa on Thursday to impose binding arbitration pre-emptively — “before any travel disruption starts” — if talks failed. Backed by business leaders, he’d hoped for an effective repeat of the Conservatives’ move to head off a strike in 2012 by legislating Air Canada pilots and ground crew to stick to their posts before any work stoppage could start.

The request may have fallen flat, however. Gradek said he believes there was less anxiety over the fallout from an airline strike than from the countrywide railway shutdown.

He also speculated that public frustration over thousands of cancelled flights would have flowed toward Air Canada rather than Ottawa, prompting the carrier to concede to a deal yielding “unheard of” gains for employees.

“It really was a total collapse of the Air Canada bargaining position,” he said.

Pilots are slated to vote in the coming weeks on the four-year contract.

Last year, pilots at Delta Air Lines, United Airlines and American Airlines secured agreements that included four-year pay boosts ranging from 34 per cent to 40 per cent, ramping up pressure on other carriers to raise wages.

After more than a year of bargaining, Air Canada put forward an offer in August centred around a 30 per cent wage hike over four years.

But the final deal, should union members approve it, grants a 26 per cent increase in the first year alone, retroactive to September 2023, according to the source. Three wage bumps of four per cent would follow in 2024 through 2026.

Passengers may wind up shouldering some of that financial load, one expert noted.

“At the end of the day, it’s all us consumers who are paying,” said Barry Prentice, who heads the University of Manitoba’s transport institute.

Higher fares may be mitigated by the persistence of budget carrier Flair Airlines and the rapid expansion of Porter Airlines — a growing Air Canada rival — as well as waning demand for leisure trips. Corporate travel also remains below pre-COVID-19 levels.

Air Canada said Sunday the tentative contract “recognizes the contributions and professionalism of Air Canada’s pilot group, while providing a framework for the future growth of the airline.”

The union issued a statement saying that, if ratified, the agreement will generate about $1.9 billion of additional value for Air Canada pilots over the course of the deal.

Meanwhile, labour tension with cabin crew looms on the horizon. Air Canada is poised to kick off negotiations with the union representing more than 10,000 flight attendants this year before the contract expires on March 31.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:AC)

Source link

Continue Reading

Trending

Exit mobile version