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Nvidia Stock: Is There Any Value Left After Its 60% Jump? Morgan Stanley Weighs In – TipRanks.com – TipRanks

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To the surprise of exactly no one, Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) reported blowout results on Wednesday evening, sending its stock flying more than 16% higher on Thursday. This propelled the stock’s year-to-date performance to a whopping 60% surge.

And surprising or no, the Q4 2023 numbers Nvidia reported quite simply boggle the mind:

  • Sales roared ahead 265% year over year, to $22.1 billion.
  • Data center sales – the unit that houses the AI chips production – in particular surged 409%.
  • Adjusted profits were up 486% year over year.
  • And GAAP profits did even better, rising 765% to $4.93 per diluted share.

Morgan Stanley analyst Joseph Moore, who was already feeling pretty optimistic about Nvidia stock before the earnings news, came away even more so, reiterating his “overweight” rating (i.e. buy) on Nvidia, and raising his price target from $750 to $795 a share. (To watch Moore’s track record, click here)

What did he like about the report, specifically?

AI demand remains “remarkable,” enthused the analyst, with Nvidia reporting $4.5 billion more data center revenue than even Nvidia itself had predicted was possible. Granted, heading into the report, Moore was already thinking that Nvidia’s predictions were too low, leading him to revise his own forecast “sharply” upward just a few weeks ago. But then Nvidia went and beat even his revised forecast.

And we’re not just talking about better sales numbers. As Moore points out, Nvidia also “upsided” its gross profit margin on those sales (so more revenue dollars, and also more profit pennies squeezed out of each such dollar). In total, Nvidia managed to earn gross profit margins of 76% in Q4 2023, and incredible 1270 basis point improvement over just one year ago.

What’s more, this doesn’t appear to be some kind of flash in the pan. Commenting on how things are looking in the AI semiconductor market, Nvidia advised that “demand will be well above supply by a material amount” in the coming year. And as any student of economics can tell you, when demand rises faster than supply, prices – and profit margins – just keep going higher.

The fact that Nvidia is saying its supply of H100 AI chips is already “allocated” (i.e. preorders are waiting to be filled) “supply through end of life” of that line of chips, while supplies of the upcoming B100 chip are already “sold out for several quarters” just reinforces the view that there’s a huge supply crunch in progress here, while demand continues unabated.

Unsurprisingly then, Nvidia’s guidance for the first quarter of 2024 already underway looks very strong indeed. Sales are forecast at $24 billion (and Moore thinks they’ll even be a little stronger than that). Gross profit margins, already well into the stratosphere, are only going to get more stratospheric, growing from 76% in Q4 2023 to 77% in Q1 2024. And the fact that most Wall Street analysts are only forecasting $21.4 billion in Q1 sales, and less than 75% gross profit margins, means it’s looking all but certain that Nvidia is going to beat earnings once again three months from now.

Skeptics can argue all they want, that good news like this cannot last forever. But for now at least, it does seem like Nvidia’s good news is going to last for at least another quarter.

Like the Morgan Stanley analyst, the rest of the Street is bullish on NVDA. 38 Buy ratings compared to only 2 Holds add up to a Strong Buy consensus rating. (See NVDA stock forecast)

To find good ideas for stocks trading at attractive valuations, visit TipRanks’ Best Stocks to Buy, a tool that unites all of TipRanks’ equity insights.

Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the featured analysts. The content is intended to be used for informational purposes only. It is very important to do your own analysis before making any investment.

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Roots sees room for expansion in activewear, reports $5.2M Q2 loss and sales drop

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TORONTO – Roots Corp. may have built its brand on all things comfy and cosy, but its CEO says activewear is now “really becoming a core part” of the brand.

The category, which at Roots spans leggings, tracksuits, sports bras and bike shorts, has seen such sustained double-digit growth that Meghan Roach plans to make it a key part of the business’ future.

“It’s an area … you will see us continue to expand upon,” she told analysts on a Friday call.

The Toronto-based retailer’s push into activewear has taken shape over many years and included several turns as the official designer and supplier of Team Canada’s Olympic uniform.

But consumers have had plenty of choice when it comes to workout gear and other apparel suited to their sporting needs. On top of the slew of athletic brands like Nike and Adidas, shoppers have also gravitated toward Lululemon Athletica Inc., Alo and Vuori, ramping up competition in the activewear category.

Roach feels Roots’ toehold in the category stems from the fit, feel and following its merchandise has cultivated.

“Our product really resonates with (shoppers) because you can wear it through multiple different use cases and occasions,” she said.

“We’ve been seeing customers come back again and again for some of these core products in our activewear collection.”

Her remarks came the same day as Roots revealed it lost $5.2 million in its latest quarter compared with a loss of $5.3 million in the same quarter last year.

The company said the second-quarter loss amounted to 13 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended Aug. 3, the same as a year earlier.

In presenting the results, Roach reminded analysts that the first half of the year is usually “seasonally small,” representing just 30 per cent of the company’s annual sales.

Sales for the second quarter totalled $47.7 million, down from $49.4 million in the same quarter last year.

The move lower came as direct-to-consumer sales amounted to $36.4 million, down from $37.1 million a year earlier, as comparable sales edged down 0.2 per cent.

The numbers reflect the fact that Roots continued to grapple with inventory challenges in the company’s Cooper fleece line that first cropped up in its previous quarter.

Roots recently began to use artificial intelligence to assist with daily inventory replenishments and said more tools helping with allocation will go live in the next quarter.

Beyond that time period, the company intends to keep exploring AI and renovate more of its stores.

It will also re-evaluate its design ranks.

Roots announced Friday that chief product officer Karuna Scheinfeld has stepped down.

Rather than fill the role, the company plans to hire senior level design talent with international experience in the outdoor and activewear sectors who will take on tasks previously done by the chief product officer.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:ROOT)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Talks on today over HandyDART strike affecting vulnerable people in Metro Vancouver

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VANCOUVER – Mediated talks between the union representing HandyDART workers in Metro Vancouver and its employer, Transdev, are set to resume today as a strike that has stopped most services drags into a second week.

No timeline has been set for the length of the negotiations, but Joe McCann, president of the Amalgamated Transit Union Local 1724, says they are willing to stay there as long as it takes, even if talks drag on all night.

About 600 employees of the door-to-door transit service for people unable to navigate the conventional transit system have been on strike since last Tuesday, pausing service for all but essential medical trips.

Hundreds of drivers rallied outside TransLink’s head office earlier this week, calling for the transportation provider to intervene in the dispute with Transdev, which was contracted to oversee HandyDART service.

Transdev said earlier this week that it will provide a reply to the union’s latest proposal on Thursday.

A statement from the company said it “strongly believes” that their employees deserve fair wages, and that a fair contract “must balance the needs of their employees, clients and taxpayers.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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