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Oil crash hits South Korea market for exotic investment products – Financial Times

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When South Korean housewife Song Mi-kyung invested in an exchange-traded fund linked to oil prices five years ago, she thought she was on to a sure thing.

But Ms Song is among the retail traders that have been hit by this week’s crash in oil prices after investing in the country’s booming market for quirky, derivative-linked products.

ETFs such as the one Ms Song bought are so-called structured products — a sector where investment has grown by 500 per cent over the past 10 years. The market is valued at about $87bn (Won104tn). The instruments are often marketed at pensioners seeking a chunkier yield on their savings and include roughly $1.5bn in derivatives tied to the price of oil. 

In less volatile market conditions, some structured notes can perform like bonds, paying out a single-digit coupon until maturity. But investors risk losing their entire principal if the price of the underlying asset — such as oil — falls below a threshold.

Ms Song’s nightmare scenario materialised this week when Saudi Arabia launched an oil price war, prompting the price of crude oil to crash by 30 per cent in a single day.

“I invested about Won19m ($16,000) about five years ago when oil prices were around $40-$50,” she said. “I thought that I could easily make money because almost everyone at that time was expecting oil prices to go up.” She added that her principal is now worth about 60 per cent less compared with when she first invested. Ms Song did not wish to provide the name of the product she invested in or the company that issued it.

Analysts have previously warned that the derivative products favoured by South Korean investors can worsen market turbulence during sudden downturns. 

South Korea’s financial watchdog is investigating whether there has been any “illegality involved” in the sale of such products, according to a person with direct knowledge of the matter. “We are looking closely into this as a drop in oil prices increases the chance of investors suffering losses from these oil-linked [notes].”

Many investors have yet to cash out, instead hoping for an oil price recovery before their products mature. A sudden jump in redemptions could cause problems for issuers, said Tae Jong Ok, an analyst at Moody’s who has raised concerns over risk-taking at South Korean securities companies.

“If there is a significant cancellation of these products the securities companies may be faced with very short-term liquidity issues . . . they would need to sell the underlying assets, unwind their derivatives, which could entail some significant losses during a time of stress when others might be trying to do the same thing.”

Mirae Asset Daewoo Securities, a Seoul brokerage, said the group had received “a lot of inquiries from investors about what they should do with their oil-linked investments” after Monday’s price collapse. “We have been advising them to hold the products until they mature because oil prices could rebound.”

The chief executive of another large South Korean brokerage also pointed to the possibility of an oil price recovery, suggesting that investors should understand the risks involved.

“There is not much we can do to stem investor losses because oil prices are beyond our control,” he said. “These are not bank savings, every investment product carries some risks. Regulators should not overreact to this.”

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Tesla shares soar more than 14% as Trump win is seen boosting Elon Musk’s electric vehicle company

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NEW YORK (AP) — Shares of Tesla soared Wednesday as investors bet that the electric vehicle maker and its CEO Elon Musk will benefit from Donald Trump’s return to the White House.

Tesla stands to make significant gains under a Trump administration with the threat of diminished subsidies for alternative energy and electric vehicles doing the most harm to smaller competitors. Trump’s plans for extensive tariffs on Chinese imports make it less likely that Chinese EVs will be sold in bulk in the U.S. anytime soon.

“Tesla has the scale and scope that is unmatched,” said Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, in a note to investors. “This dynamic could give Musk and Tesla a clear competitive advantage in a non-EV subsidy environment, coupled by likely higher China tariffs that would continue to push away cheaper Chinese EV players.”

Tesla shares jumped 14.8% Wednesday while shares of rival electric vehicle makers tumbled. Nio, based in Shanghai, fell 5.3%. Shares of electric truck maker Rivian dropped 8.3% and Lucid Group fell 5.3%.

Tesla dominates sales of electric vehicles in the U.S, with 48.9% in market share through the middle of 2024, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

Subsidies for clean energy are part of the Inflation Reduction Act, signed into law by President Joe Biden in 2022. It included tax credits for manufacturing, along with tax credits for consumers of electric vehicles.

Musk was one of Trump’s biggest donors, spending at least $119 million mobilizing Trump’s supporters to back the Republican nominee. He also pledged to give away $1 million a day to voters signing a petition for his political action committee.

In some ways, it has been a rocky year for Tesla, with sales and profit declining through the first half of the year. Profit did rise 17.3% in the third quarter.

The U.S. opened an investigation into the company’s “Full Self-Driving” system after reports of crashes in low-visibility conditions, including one that killed a pedestrian. The investigation covers roughly 2.4 million Teslas from the 2016 through 2024 model years.

And investors sent company shares tumbling last month after Tesla unveiled its long-awaited robotaxi at a Hollywood studio Thursday night, seeing not much progress at Tesla on autonomous vehicles while other companies have been making notable progress.

Tesla began selling the software, which is called “Full Self-Driving,” nine years ago. But there are doubts about its reliability.

The stock is now showing a 16.1% gain for the year after rising the past two days.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX composite up more than 100 points, U.S. stock markets mixed

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 100 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in base metal and utility stocks, while U.S. stock markets were mixed.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 103.40 points at 24,542.48.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 192.31 points at 42,932.73. The S&P 500 index was up 7.14 points at 5,822.40, while the Nasdaq composite was down 9.03 points at 18,306.56.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.44 cents US on Tuesday.

The November crude oil contract was down 71 cents at US$69.87 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down eight cents at US$2.42 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$7.20 at US$2,686.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up a penny at US$4.35 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 16, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX up more than 200 points, U.S. markets also higher

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 200 points in late-morning trading, while U.S. stock markets were also headed higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 205.86 points at 24,508.12.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 336.62 points at 42,790.74. The S&P 500 index was up 34.19 points at 5,814.24, while the Nasdaq composite was up 60.27 points at 18.342.32.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.71 cents US on Thursday.

The November crude oil contract was down 15 cents at US$75.70 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down two cents at US$2.65 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$29.60 at US$2,668.90 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents at US$4.47 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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