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Oil Futures Edge Lower After Initial Jolt From War in Israel

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(Bloomberg) — Oil steadied after the biggest jump in six months as markets digested the fallout from Hamas’s surprise attack on Israel over the weekend as well as the prospect of new economic stimulus measures in China.

Nearly 2,000 people have died so far as the conflict in Israel, which has the potential for wider geopolitical ramifications, entered a fourth day. West Texas Intermediate settled below $86 a barrel after jumping more than $3 on Monday.

While crude futures are moderating, rising tensions in the Middle East are keeping oil markets on alert, said Dennis Kissler, senior vice president for trading at BOK Financial Securities.

“If we continue to see escalation between Israel and Hamas, it’s just a matter of time until it reaches into oil-producing areas,” Kissler said. “All eyes will be watching Israel’s progress and any intentions they may have into Iran.”

While Israel and the Gaza Strip play a minor role in the world of oil, the Middle East accounts for about a third of global supply, and the market is still worried about potential threats. Stricter enforcement of US sanctions on Iranian crude exports and any blockades or attacks on vessels in key shipping lanes are the main risks, while the conflict also transforms the landscape for any potential US, Saudi and Israeli security pact.

President Joe Biden said some 14 American citizens had died, with others likely held hostage by Hamas. Iran denied on Monday that it was involved in the assault.

Meanwhile, China is considering new measures to help its economy meet the country’s official growth target. An announcement could come this month, people familiar with the matter said.

The conflict has ratcheted up the volatility of oil prices, which have swung over the past month as concerns over high interest rates and slowing growth halted a rally that had been underpinned by Saudi Arabian-led output cuts. On Monday, options markets saw their biggest swing in favor of bullish calls since March 2022, when Russia’s invasion of Ukraine was roiling markets.

To get Bloomberg’s Energy Daily newsletter into your inbox, click here.

–With assistance from Serene Cheong.

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Netflix’s subscriber growth slows as gains from password-sharing crackdown subside

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Netflix on Thursday reported that its subscriber growth slowed dramatically during the summer, a sign the huge gains from the video-streaming service’s crackdown on freeloading viewers is tapering off.

The 5.1 million subscribers that Netflix added during the July-September period represented a 42% decline from the total gained during the same time last year. Even so, the company’s revenue and profit rose at a faster pace than analysts had projected, according to FactSet Research.

Netflix ended September with 282.7 million worldwide subscribers — far more than any other streaming service.

The Los Gatos, California, company earned $2.36 billion, or $5.40 per share, a 41% increase from the same time last year. Revenue climbed 15% from a year ago to $9.82 billion. Netflix management predicted the company’s revenue will rise at the same 15% year-over-year pace during the October-December period, slightly than better than analysts have been expecting.

The strong financial performance in the past quarter coupled with the upbeat forecast eclipsed any worries about slowing subscriber growth. Netflix’s stock price surged nearly 4% in extended trading after the numbers came out, building upon a more than 40% increase in the company’s shares so far this year.

The past quarter’s subscriber gains were the lowest posted in any three-month period since the beginning of last year. That drop-off indicates Netflix is shifting to a new phase after reaping the benefits from a ban on the once-rampant practice of sharing account passwords that enabled an estimated 100 million people watch its popular service without paying for it.

The crackdown, triggered by a rare loss of subscribers coming out of the pandemic in 2022, helped Netflix add 57 million subscribers from June 2022 through this June — an average of more than 7 million per quarter, while many of its industry rivals have been struggling as households curbed their discretionary spending.

Netflix’s gains also were propelled by a low-priced version of its service that included commercials for the first time in its history. The company still is only getting a small fraction of its revenue from the 2-year-old advertising push, but Netflix is intensifying its focus on that segment of its business to help boost its profits.

In a letter to shareholder, Netflix reiterated previous cautionary notes about its expansion into advertising, though the low-priced option including commercials has become its fastest growing segment.

“We have much more work to do improving our offering for advertisers, which will be a priority over the next few years,” Netflix management wrote in the letter.

As part of its evolution, Netflix has been increasingly supplementing its lineup of scripted TV series and movies with live programming, such as a Labor Day spectacle featuring renowned glutton Joey Chestnut setting a world record for gorging on hot dogs in a showdown with his longtime nemesis Takeru Kobayashi.

Netflix will be trying to attract more viewer during the current quarter with a Nov. 15 fight pitting former heavyweight champion Mike Tyson against Jake Paul, a YouTube sensation turned boxer, and two National Football League games on Christmas Day.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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