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Oil Prices Begin To Bounce Back Following Dramatic Drop

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Crude oil prices were on the rise Thursday after booking substantial losses earlier in the week following two bank collapses in the United States that ignited fears of an industry meltdown.

The rebound in early Thursday trade followed an update on China’s growth outlook from Goldman Sachs, which reinforced expectations of stronger oil demand this year.

The update follows more upbeat forecasts for demand, from OPEC and the International Energy Agency, which went as far as to say it expected global oil demand to hit a record high this year, at 102 million barrels daily.

OPEC, for its part, said oil demand this year will rise by 2.32 million barrels daily with China accounting for a large portion of it. Yet the oil-producing group noted rising interest rates as cause for concern with regard to global economic growth.

“China’s reopening, following the lifting of the strict zero-COVID-19 policy, will add considerable momentum to global economic growth,” OPEC said in its latest Monthly Oil Market Report.

“The rapid rises in interest rates and global debt levels could cause significant negative spill-over effects, and may negatively impact the global growth dynamic.”

The latest news that provided some support to prices was the news that the Swiss central bank will lend up to $54 billion to troubled Credit Suisse to prop up its liquidity. The possibility of a bank collapse of such proportions would have been devastating for the industry and for oil prices.

Yet the price recovery has been shaky amid heightened uncertainty about the world’s banking sector.

“Market sentiment deteriorated as the banking crisis expanded to Europe from the U.S. The future trend will depend on the level of market angst even if fundamentals are not necessarily showing much in the way of bearish signs,” one analyst from Haitong Futures told Reuters earlier today.

By Irina Slav for Oilprice.com

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Netflix’s subscriber growth slows as gains from password-sharing crackdown subside

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Netflix on Thursday reported that its subscriber growth slowed dramatically during the summer, a sign the huge gains from the video-streaming service’s crackdown on freeloading viewers is tapering off.

The 5.1 million subscribers that Netflix added during the July-September period represented a 42% decline from the total gained during the same time last year. Even so, the company’s revenue and profit rose at a faster pace than analysts had projected, according to FactSet Research.

Netflix ended September with 282.7 million worldwide subscribers — far more than any other streaming service.

The Los Gatos, California, company earned $2.36 billion, or $5.40 per share, a 41% increase from the same time last year. Revenue climbed 15% from a year ago to $9.82 billion. Netflix management predicted the company’s revenue will rise at the same 15% year-over-year pace during the October-December period, slightly than better than analysts have been expecting.

The strong financial performance in the past quarter coupled with the upbeat forecast eclipsed any worries about slowing subscriber growth. Netflix’s stock price surged nearly 4% in extended trading after the numbers came out, building upon a more than 40% increase in the company’s shares so far this year.

The past quarter’s subscriber gains were the lowest posted in any three-month period since the beginning of last year. That drop-off indicates Netflix is shifting to a new phase after reaping the benefits from a ban on the once-rampant practice of sharing account passwords that enabled an estimated 100 million people watch its popular service without paying for it.

The crackdown, triggered by a rare loss of subscribers coming out of the pandemic in 2022, helped Netflix add 57 million subscribers from June 2022 through this June — an average of more than 7 million per quarter, while many of its industry rivals have been struggling as households curbed their discretionary spending.

Netflix’s gains also were propelled by a low-priced version of its service that included commercials for the first time in its history. The company still is only getting a small fraction of its revenue from the 2-year-old advertising push, but Netflix is intensifying its focus on that segment of its business to help boost its profits.

In a letter to shareholder, Netflix reiterated previous cautionary notes about its expansion into advertising, though the low-priced option including commercials has become its fastest growing segment.

“We have much more work to do improving our offering for advertisers, which will be a priority over the next few years,” Netflix management wrote in the letter.

As part of its evolution, Netflix has been increasingly supplementing its lineup of scripted TV series and movies with live programming, such as a Labor Day spectacle featuring renowned glutton Joey Chestnut setting a world record for gorging on hot dogs in a showdown with his longtime nemesis Takeru Kobayashi.

Netflix will be trying to attract more viewer during the current quarter with a Nov. 15 fight pitting former heavyweight champion Mike Tyson against Jake Paul, a YouTube sensation turned boxer, and two National Football League games on Christmas Day.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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