Oil 'tailwind' helps Canadian dollar end weekly losing streak | Canada News Media
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Economy

Oil ‘tailwind’ helps Canadian dollar end weekly losing streak

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Canadian dollar

By Fergal Smith

TORONTO (Reuters) – The Canadian dollar rallied against its U.S. counterpart on Friday as oil notched a one-year high and investors shrugged off data showing Canada lost far more jobs than expected in January, with the loonie ending a three-week run of weekly declines.

The loonie was trading 0.5% higher at 1.2766 to the greenback, or 78.33 U.S. cents, having traded in a range of 1.2765 to 1.2832.

The currency was up 0.1% for the week despite gains for the U.S. dollar against a basket of major currencies.

“The bull market in commodities is a nice tailwind for the Canadian dollar,” said Adam Button, chief currency analyst at ForexLive.

The loonie is expected to rally further over the coming year as a global economic recovery takes hold, and the gains could accelerate if investors perceive the Bank of Canada is preparing to reduce monetary stimulus, strategists say.

U.S. crude oil futures settled 1.1% higher at $56.85 a barrel and Wall Street climbed to record highs as a smaller-than-expected rebound in the U.S. labor market last month highlighted the need for more government aid to shore up the economy.

Canada shed 212,800 jobs in January, with the declines driven by coronavirus lockdowns in populous Ontario and Quebec, Statistics Canada data showed. Analysts had expected a loss of 47,500 jobs.

“The details of the Canadian employment report are much better than the headline suggested,” Button said. “The hours worked is getting a lot of attention.”

Hours worked increased by 0.9%, boosting prospects for GDP growth, analyst said. Separate data showed Canada’s trade deficit narrowing more than expected to C$1.7 billion ($1.3 billion) as exports rose.

Canadian government bond yields were higher across a steeper curve, with the 10-year up 3.7 basis points at 1.001%. It touched its highest intraday since last March at 1.018%.

(Reporting by Fergal Smith; Editing by Paul Simao and Alistair Bell)

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Economy

PBO projects deficit exceeded Liberals’ $40B pledge, economy to rebound in 2025

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OTTAWA – The parliamentary budget officer says the federal government likely failed to keep its deficit below its promised $40 billion cap in the last fiscal year.

However the PBO also projects in its latest economic and fiscal outlook today that weak economic growth this year will begin to rebound in 2025.

The budget watchdog estimates in its report that the federal government posted a $46.8 billion deficit for the 2023-24 fiscal year.

Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland pledged a year ago to keep the deficit capped at $40 billion and in her spring budget said the deficit for 2023-24 stayed in line with that promise.

The final tally of the last year’s deficit will be confirmed when the government publishes its annual public accounts report this fall.

The PBO says economic growth will remain tepid this year but will rebound in 2025 as the Bank of Canada’s interest rate cuts stimulate spending and business investment.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Economy

Statistics Canada says levels of food insecurity rose in 2022

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OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says the level of food insecurity increased in 2022 as inflation hit peak levels.

In a report using data from the Canadian community health survey, the agency says 15.6 per cent of households experienced some level of food insecurity in 2022 after being relatively stable from 2017 to 2021.

The reading was up from 9.6 per cent in 2017 and 11.6 per cent in 2018.

Statistics Canada says the prevalence of household food insecurity was slightly lower and stable during the pandemic years as it fell to 8.5 per cent in the fall of 2020 and 9.1 per cent in 2021.

In addition to an increase in the prevalence of food insecurity in 2022, the agency says there was an increase in the severity as more households reported moderate or severe food insecurity.

It also noted an increase in the number of Canadians living in moderately or severely food insecure households was also seen in the Canadian income survey data collected in the first half of 2023.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct 16, 2024.

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Economy

Statistics Canada says manufacturing sales fell 1.3% to $69.4B in August

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OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says manufacturing sales in August fell to their lowest level since January 2022 as sales in the primary metal and petroleum and coal product subsectors fell.

The agency says manufacturing sales fell 1.3 per cent to $69.4 billion in August, after rising 1.1 per cent in July.

The drop came as sales in the primary metal subsector dropped 6.4 per cent to $5.3 billion in August, on lower prices and lower volumes.

Sales in the petroleum and coal product subsector fell 3.7 per cent to $7.8 billion in August on lower prices.

Meanwhile, sales of aerospace products and parts rose 7.3 per cent to $2.7 billion in August and wood product sales increased 3.8 per cent to $3.1 billion.

Overall manufacturing sales in constant dollars fell 0.8 per cent in August.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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