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Omicron expected to fuel workplace ‘absenteeism’ in January as cases surge – Global News

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The number of people unable to work because of COVID-19 is likely being underestimated and will rise in the new year, a Canadian economist is warning, putting further strain on businesses already facing restrictions related to the Omicron wave.

Vancouver-based clothing retailer Lululemon Athletica gave markets a sign of the looming impact of isolated workers on Canada’s economy Monday, signaling that its full-year earnings would be on the lower end of expectations thanks to a series of pandemic-related concerns including “limited staff availability.”

Word that shifts are going unfilled at Lululemon follows Friday’s latest jobs numbers from Statistics Canada, which showed more than 55,000 net new positions added in December.

But some economists watching the Omicron wave sweep across the country say other figures in Statistics Canada’s Labour Force Survey could point to a tough month ahead for the Canadian economy.

Despite the jump in jobs during the typically busy holiday season, total hours worked in Canada saw “little change” from November to December, the agency reported.

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Lululemon says changing COVID restrictions, staffing issues will hurt Q4 earnings






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Health workers hope for Omicron peak soon as hospitals strained by record cases


Health workers hope for Omicron peak soon as hospitals strained by record cases
This figure, which accounts for lost hours due to sickness as well as extra hours taken for overtime, is key to measuring Omicron’s impact on the workforce, according to Stephen Brown, senior Canada economist at Capital Economics.

Current case figures in Canada would suggest maybe 0.5 per cent of workers are sidelined with an active COVID-19 infection, Brown tells Global News.

But given the way the fast-spreading Omicron variant has overwhelmed testing capacity in provinces such as Ontario, he believes the rate of “absenteeism” among Canadian workers on any given week is closer to 1.5 per cent.

Metro Inc., parent company of drugstore chain Jean Coutu, said in a statement on its website recently that it’s adjusting staffing models at the retailer to minimize the impact of “absenteeism” on its operations. Other sectors are also needing to adapt on the fly, including airlines cancelling trips without flight attendants available.

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Omicron COVID-19 variant concerning for Canadian food production, farm groups say

Dan Kelly, the president of the Canadian Federation of Independent Businesses (CFIB), says Omicron is a new beast when it comes to workplace disruptions.

“Almost every employer has somebody that may be touched by this, either themselves or a close family member, and they now might need to isolate. … That’s way, way up compared to other waves of the pandemic,” he told Global News on Monday.

While he applauded policy changes to shorten isolation periods for the virus to five days from 10, Kelly pointed to a lack of clarity around testing procedures in the latest wave as a significant obstacle for businesses who are unsure whether they can plan to have an employee back at work in a week’s time if they’re exhibiting even mild symptoms.






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Government reduces COVID-19 isolation period to 5 days to offset labour shortage


Government reduces COVID-19 isolation period to 5 days to offset labour shortage

Many owners are opting to close temporarily rather than attempt to run the ship with a skeleton crew, Kelly said, but he’s concerned that businesses already weakened by successive lockdowns will not reopen at the end of this current wave.

Brown says sectors such as construction and public-facing industries like retail and food services are going to feel outsized impacts from even marginal reductions to staff, depending on where they’re hit.

“If you’re a restaurant and your two chefs have got COVID, then you need to close the restaurant, even if the rest of your staff are absolutely fine because no one’s cooking. So that’s where the issues lie,” he says.

Brown expects employment figures in January will show a reduction in total hours worked and possibly net jobs as well, with Capital Economics trimming its gross domestic product projections for the first month of 2022.

Read more:

Work sick or stay home? Omicron, staff shortage put U.S. employees in a conundrum

Many businesses forced to close or reduce their hours due to lack of staff or other pandemic-related pains are eligible for support such as the new Hardest-Hit Business Recovery Program.

“If they have a revenue fall, for whatever reason — and a shortage of workers could be that reason — they could be covered,” Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland told reporters last week.

Brown believes current supports should be sufficient to get a majority of retailers and others affected by restrictions through a difficult first quarter of the year.

Read more:

Applications open for $300-a-week COVID-19 benefit in most provinces and territories

Brown said that while most businesses should be able to subsist on the current government support program, he sees pain points on the horizon when government support lifts and the Bank of Canada raises interest rates, a move his firm projects for April.

That’ll hit hard the businesses that took out loads of debt to survive the Omicron wave, he warns.

According to CFIB figures, the average small firm has taken on $170,000 in COVID-19-related debt.

Kelly said he’d like to see the Canada Emergency Business Account program, with forgivable loans built into the relief, reopened to help alleviate the burden.

— with files from The Canadian Press






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Ontario’s latest business supports found lacking by many


Ontario’s latest business supports found lacking by many

© 2022 Global News, a division of Corus Entertainment Inc.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Dollarama keeping an eye on competitors as Loblaw launches new ultra-discount chain

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Dollarama Inc.’s food aisles may have expanded far beyond sweet treats or piles of gum by the checkout counter in recent years, but its chief executive maintains his company is “not in the grocery business,” even if it’s keeping an eye on the sector.

“It’s just one small part of our store,” Neil Rossy told analysts on a Wednesday call, where he was questioned about the company’s food merchandise and rivals playing in the same space.

“We will keep an eye on all retailers — like all retailers keep an eye on us — to make sure that we’re competitive and we understand what’s out there.”

Over the last decade and as consumers have more recently sought deals, Dollarama’s food merchandise has expanded to include bread and pantry staples like cereal, rice and pasta sold at prices on par or below supermarkets.

However, the competition in the discount segment of the market Dollarama operates in intensified recently when the country’s biggest grocery chain began piloting a new ultra-discount store.

The No Name stores being tested by Loblaw Cos. Ltd. in Windsor, St. Catharines and Brockville, Ont., are billed as 20 per cent cheaper than discount retail competitors including No Frills. The grocery giant is able to offer such cost savings by relying on a smaller store footprint, fewer chilled products and a hearty range of No Name merchandise.

Though Rossy brushed off notions that his company is a supermarket challenger, grocers aren’t off his radar.

“All retailers in Canada are realistic about the fact that everyone is everyone’s competition on any given item or category,” he said.

Rossy declined to reveal how much of the chain’s sales would overlap with Loblaw or the food category, arguing the vast variety of items Dollarama sells is its strength rather than its grocery products alone.

“What makes Dollarama Dollarama is a very wide assortment of different departments that somewhat represent the old five-and-dime local convenience store,” he said.

The breadth of Dollarama’s offerings helped carry the company to a second-quarter profit of $285.9 million, up from $245.8 million in the same quarter last year as its sales rose 7.4 per cent.

The retailer said Wednesday the profit amounted to $1.02 per diluted share for the 13-week period ended July 28, up from 86 cents per diluted share a year earlier.

The period the quarter covers includes the start of summer, when Rossy said the weather was “terrible.”

“The weather got slightly better towards the end of the summer and our sales certainly increased, but not enough to make up for the season’s horrible start,” he said.

Sales totalled $1.56 billion for the quarter, up from $1.46 billion in the same quarter last year.

Comparable store sales, a key metric for retailers, increased 4.7 per cent, while the average transaction was down2.2 per cent and traffic was up seven per cent, RBC analyst Irene Nattel pointed out.

She told investors in a note that the numbers reflect “solid demand as cautious consumers focus on core consumables and everyday essentials.”

Analysts have attributed such behaviour to interest rates that have been slow to drop and high prices of key consumer goods, which are weighing on household budgets.

To cope, many Canadians have spent more time seeking deals, trading down to more affordable brands and forgoing small luxuries they would treat themselves to in better economic times.

“When people feel squeezed, they tend to shy away from discretionary, focus on the basics,” Rossy said. “When people are feeling good about their wallet, they tend to be more lax about the basics and more willing to spend on discretionary.”

The current economic situation has drawn in not just the average Canadian looking to save a buck or two, but also wealthier consumers.

“When the entire economy is feeling slightly squeezed, we get more consumers who might not have to or want to shop at a Dollarama generally or who enjoy shopping at a Dollarama but have the luxury of not having to worry about the price in some other store that they happen to be standing in that has those goods,” Rossy said.

“Well, when times are tougher, they’ll consider the extra five minutes to go to the store next door.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:DOL)

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U.S. regulator fines TD Bank US$28M for faulty consumer reports

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TORONTO – The U.S. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau has ordered TD Bank Group to pay US$28 million for repeatedly sharing inaccurate, negative information about its customers to consumer reporting companies.

The agency says TD has to pay US$7.76 million in total to tens of thousands of victims of its illegal actions, along with a US$20 million civil penalty.

It says TD shared information that contained systemic errors about credit card and bank deposit accounts to consumer reporting companies, which can include credit reports as well as screening reports for tenants and employees and other background checks.

CFPB director Rohit Chopra says in a statement that TD threatened the consumer reports of customers with fraudulent information then “barely lifted a finger to fix it,” and that regulators will need to “focus major attention” on TD Bank to change its course.

TD says in a statement it self-identified these issues and proactively worked to improve its practices, and that it is committed to delivering on its responsibilities to its customers.

The bank also faces scrutiny in the U.S. over its anti-money laundering program where it expects to pay more than US$3 billion in monetary penalties to resolve.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TD)

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