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Only 3 Real Estate Markets Saw Price Declines in Canada

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Canadian real estate buyers haven’t been slowed down, and cheap cash may be fueling a new rally – at least for now. Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) data shows the seasonally adjusted price of typical (benchmark) home, made big increases in June. The growth over the past 12 months has actually been so large, it represents the majority of gains over the past 3 years.

Price Increases Over The Past Year Represent Almost 90% of The 3-Year Gains

Canadian real estate prices are growing at a breakneck speed in contrast to the past few years. The seasonally adjusted benchmark price for a home reached $623,000 in June, up 0.50% from the previous month. Over the past 12 months, prices are up 5.65%. This may not sound like a lot compared to how some cities have moved, but according to CREA prices are only up 6.36% over the past 3 years. That would mean 88.83% of the price increase over the past 3 years, was realized in just the last year. It’s a lot of growth for a short period of time.

Canadian Real Estate Benchmark Change

The 12 month change in the unadjusted benchmark price of a home across Canada.

Source: CREA, Better Dwelling.

Canada’s Biggest Monthly Price Increases Were Huge

Canada’s biggest monthly price moves were monster increases. Hamilton made the biggest price increase with the benchmark hitting $669,700 in June, up a seasonally adjusted 2.26% from a month before. Quebec City followed with a benchmark of $252,700, up 2.25% from last year. Winnipeg made the third largest move with a benchmark of $277,500, up 1.87% from a month before. Of the three, Quebec City’s movement is the most notable. The monthly increase is so large, it’s actually bigger than the 12-month increase.

Canadian Real Estate Benchmark Price Change

The seasonally adjusted monthly price change for Canadian real estate markets.

Source: CREA, Better Dwelling.

Only 3 Canadian Real Estate Markets See Price Declines

There were only three real estate markets to see a monthly price decline, but they were some of the biggest. Calgary made the largest monthly drop with a benchmark of $403,500 in June, down 0.39% seasonally adjusted from the month before. Vancouver followed with a typical home dropping to $1,013,600, down 0.23% from a month before. Toronto was the third market with a benchmark of $852,900, down 0.18% from a month before. Not huge drops, and certainly not movements the size of the gains, but three declines nonetheless.

Canadian Real Estate Benchmark Price Change

The seasonally adjusted annual price change for Canadian real estate markets, compared to the 3-year change.

Source: CREA, Better Dwelling.

Canadian real estate prices made substantial gains over the past month, pushing annual gains much higher. Over the past year, prices have moved so quickly, they dwarf the movements of the two years prior. Large markets that have recently outperformed national price movements like Toronto and Vancouver however, are making slower gains – actually rolling back a little last month.

Source:- Better Dwelling

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Mortgage rule changes will help spark demand, but supply is ‘core’ issue: economist

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TORONTO – One expert predicts Ottawa‘s changes to mortgage rules will help spur demand among potential homebuyers but says policies aimed at driving new supply are needed to address the “core issues” facing the market.

The federal government’s changes, set to come into force mid-December, include a higher price cap for insured mortgages to allow more people to qualify for a mortgage with less than a 20 per cent down payment.

The government will also expand its 30-year mortgage amortization to include first-time homebuyers buying any type of home, as well as anybody buying a newly built home.

CIBC Capital Markets deputy chief economist Benjamin Tal calls it a “significant” move likely to accelerate the recovery of the housing market, a process already underway as interest rates have begun to fall.

However, he says in a note that policymakers should aim to “prevent that from becoming too much of a good thing” through policies geared toward the supply side.

Tal says the main issue is the lack of supply available to respond to Canada’s rapidly increasing population, particularly in major cities.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17,2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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National housing market in ‘holding pattern’ as buyers patient for lower rates: CREA

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OTTAWA – The Canadian Real Estate Association says the number of homes sold in August fell compared with a year ago as the market remained largely stuck in a holding pattern despite borrowing costs beginning to come down.

The association says the number of homes sold in August fell 2.1 per cent compared with the same month last year.

On a seasonally adjusted month-over-month basis, national home sales edged up 1.3 per cent from July.

CREA senior economist Shaun Cathcart says that with forecasts of lower interest rates throughout the rest of this year and into 2025, “it makes sense that prospective buyers might continue to hold off for improved affordability, especially since prices are still well behaved in most of the country.”

The national average sale price for August amounted to $649,100, a 0.1 per cent increase compared with a year earlier.

The number of newly listed properties was up 1.1 per cent month-over-month.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Two Quebec real estate brokers suspended for using fake bids to drive up prices

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MONTREAL – Two Quebec real estate brokers are facing fines and years-long suspensions for submitting bogus offers on homes to drive up prices during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Christine Girouard has been suspended for 14 years and her business partner, Jonathan Dauphinais-Fortin, has been suspended for nine years after Quebec’s authority of real estate brokerage found they used fake bids to get buyers to raise their offers.

Girouard is a well-known broker who previously starred on a Quebec reality show that follows top real estate agents in the province.

She is facing a fine of $50,000, while Dauphinais-Fortin has been fined $10,000.

The two brokers were suspended in May 2023 after La Presse published an article about their practices.

One buyer ended up paying $40,000 more than his initial offer in 2022 after Girouard and Dauphinais-Fortin concocted a second bid on the house he wanted to buy.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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