Op-ed on rolling blackouts: It's economics, not politics, sustaining generation during polar vortices and such - Power Engineering Magazine | Canada News Media
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Op-ed on rolling blackouts: It's economics, not politics, sustaining generation during polar vortices and such – Power Engineering Magazine

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Photo of Martha’s Task offices, Bartlesville, OK, courtesy of Laura Summers

By Rod Walton, content director for Power Engineering and POWERGEN+

Hello PE readers, I typically take my stories posted here and then share them via social media. This time I’m doing it backwards.

I wrote this up for my personal Facebook after seeing so many posts blaming this or that generation resource for the rolling blackouts hitting the U.S. south and midwest. As you know, system operations like MISO, SPP and ERCOT are cutting power for hours at a time so it can match demand to supply during this incredible cold streak.

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It was written to share with friends who are not experts in the industry, but then neither am I compared to you, the industry professional. It may be oversimplified, but hopefully it contains clarity and truth. Here is my FB commentary:

Parks and Recreation.

“I’ve seen a few of my Facebook friends blame clean energy resources such as frozen wind turbines in Texas as cause for the rolling power outages. As a guy who has covered energy for 13 years, I can tell you that is not the real problem.

“The real issue is economics and supply and demand balances. Electricity cannot be stored or saved in a tank on any utility-scale level right now, so it flows and flows until it is consumed or grounded. Utilities must plan based on long-developed and accurate forecasts to balance load and demand. They don’t have capacity to keep gas in the tank, so to speak.

“Power plants are giant things with millions of parts which must move in tandem. Few of them can just fire up and down at will, so they operate at a certain percentage capacity for a period of time, then ratcheted up or down as need be. Those moves take time.Right now we have households hoarding as much heat as they can, and furnaces or heating elements are working overtime. This pulls from the grid, which in turns is powered by the generators at the plant.

“Those supply scenarios don’t turn on a dime. Utilities must plan ahead and spend millions in capital to meet the demand they forecast way out ahead. Why does a grocery store run out of bread and toilet paper? Because they plan their inventories way out in front, then a virus or an election or just some rumor about Revelations unfolding happens, and fearful residents buy up and hoard. Thus, the shortages. And this cold streak is an unprecedented event, so it puts an unforeseen strain on the grid. It is not the utility’s fault, nor any particular power resource such as coal, nuclear, gas, wind or solar. It’s just economics, plus human behavior.

“We need it all — fossil, nuclear and other zero-carbon resources. Carbon emissions and climate impact are real. Balance is key. Politics are not.”

(Rod Walton is content director for Power Engineering, POWERGEN International and the virtual POWERGEN+ series, which resumes Wednesday and Thursday at www.powergenplus.com. He is a 13-year veteran covering energy both as a newspaper reporter, business editor and events content director. Walton can be reached at 918-831-9177 and rod.walton@clarionevents.com).

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N.S. election: NDP promises to end fixed-term leases, impose rent-control system

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HALIFAX – Nova Scotia’s temporary rent cap and a loophole that allows landlords to avoid it were the targets of the provincial New Democrats on Thursday, as they promised to protect tenants from evictions and excessive hikes if elected Nov. 26.

An NDP government would ban fixed-term leases, establish rent control, and immediately slash the province’s temporary rent cap in half to 2.5 per cent, leader Claudia Chender said on the fifth day of the provincial election campaign.

“For too many people, the cost of rent is driving people out of the communities they love,” she said. “These protections will save renters money, keep our communities affordable, and most importantly help people plan their futures.”

Chender criticized the Progressive Conservative government’s record on housing, saying the average one-bedroom apartment in the province costs $2,000 a month, while rent overall has increased by 18 per cent in the last year.

The government’s decision to extend the temporary cap on rent increases to the end of 2027 is insufficient, she said, because landlords can use fixed-term leases to jack up the rent higher.

A fixed-term lease does not automatically renew when its term ends, after which landlords can raise the rent as much as they want if they rent to someone new. Critics of fixed-term leases say they encourage landlords to evict tenants in order to raise the rent past the cap.

Though there’s no way to know exactly how many renters in Nova Scotia are on fixed-term leases — that type of residency data is not tracked — Chender told reporters that at every door her party has knocked on, residents have cited anxiety over affording and keeping a place to live.

Meanwhile, a separate affordability issue was the focus of Liberal Leader Zach Churchill on Thursday, as he announced his party would cut provincial income taxes by raising the basic personal exemption amount to $15,705 — at a cost to the government of $348 million.

Churchill said something has to be done to reduce taxes in the province, which he said are among the highest in Canada at a time when people are struggling with the cost of living.

“We know that over the last three years Nova Scotia has gone from being one of the most affordable places to live in our country to one of the most expensive,” he said. “This has created a real affordability crisis for seniors, for families and for young people.”

The existing exemption is $8,744, and for people making less than $25,000 a year, the province gives an “adjustment,” which increases the basic personal amount by $3,000; the adjustment decreases gradually and ends for people earning more than $75,000.

Churchill said a Liberal government would double the adjustment for people who earn less than $75,000, at a cost of $55 million per year.

The Liberal leader said his party will respect its promise to cut income taxes — and respect its pledge made in February to cut the harmonized sales tax by two points — even if doing so will lead to a “short-term” budget deficit.

Earlier this week, the Progressive Conservatives pledged a tax cut that would increase the basic personal exemption to $11,744, while just prior to the election call the party promised a one percentage point cut to the HST — commitments Churchill characterized as “half measures.”

In an interview Thursday, Tory Leader Tim Houston scoffed at his opponent’s suggestion.

“We are putting a plan forward that is reasonable that we can do while maintaining a level of services,” Houston said. “Mr. Churchill can just say whatever he wants, I have to be reasonable.”

Houston travelled to Sydney, N.S., on Thursday where he announced his party would establish a provincially run travel nurse team to help areas with nursing shortages.

Houston said the team would eliminate the need to hire travel nurses from private companies, and would be composed of Nova Scotia Health employees who will have access to the same pay and benefits as other nurses in the public system.

The program would begin as a pilot project by the end of the year, involving a 30-member team of nurses who would staff hospital emergency departments at an estimated cost of $5.3 million.

“We have to be smart and systematic as we roll it out,” Houston said. “There will probably be some learning and we will take that and if we need to modify it (the program) we will.”

At dissolution, the Progressive Conservatives held 34 seats in the 55-seat legislature, the Liberals held 14 seats, the NDP had six and there was one Independent.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 31, 2024.

— With files by Cassidy McMackon in Halifax.

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Liberals look to move past leadership drama with eye on next campaign

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OTTAWA – The Liberal caucus turned its attention to the party’s plan for the next election on Wednesday, after an unsuccessful attempt by some MPs to oust Prime Minister Justin Trudeau last week.

Longtime Liberal operative Andrew Bevan was named the new national campaign director two weeks ago and made his first presentation to the full caucus during the weekly meeting.

The next election must be held by Oct. 20, 2025, but it could come much sooner. The Conservatives and Bloc Québécois have pledged to try to bring down the minority government this fall.

NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh said Wednesday that his party wouldn’t help them topple the Liberals. The Conservatives and Bloc don’t have enough MPs between them to defeat the government if the Liberals and NDP vote together.

The presentation was initially scheduled to happen last Wednesday, but that nearly three-hour meeting was instead dominated by discussions of Trudeau’s leadership.

Toronto-area MP Nate Erskine-Smith said the party’s leadership was not the focus of caucus this week, and the priority was hearing from Bevan.

“It was very much focused on: these are the next steps from a party perspective, and people were able to weigh in with their own feedback as far as it goes,” Erskine-Smith said following the meeting.

“That question from last week to what’s the finality, that wasn’t part of it.”

MPs were not able to share specific details of what was discussed in the meeting due to caucus confidentiality.

At last week’s meeting, a group of around two dozen MPs presented a letter to Trudeau calling on him to step aside. The dissenters gave him until Monday to make a decision — but he made it clear he plans to lead the party in the next election.

Several MPs have since said they want to hold a secret ballot vote to decide on whether Trudeau should stay on as leader. However, the Liberal party chose after the last election not to use Reform Act rules that would have allowed a caucus to hold a secret vote to oust the leader.

British Columbia MP Patrick Weiler said he thinks the leadership concerns are not over.

“I think we had a very good meeting last week, and I think there are a lot of unresolved questions from that, that still need to be addressed,” Weiler said while heading to question period on Wednesday.

“I think there are a lot of people that are still looking for some answers to those things and until that’s addressed, that’s going to be lingering.”

But several other MPs and cabinet ministers said they feel the matter is resolved and it’s time to move on to planning for the next campaign.

Judy Sgro, a veteran Ontario MP of nearly 25 years, said even though the Liberals are trailing the Conservatives in the polls, she believes they can pull off a victory.

“I’ve been through five leaders, this is my fifth leader. Most of the time they’re unpopular, but we still manage to win,” she said.

Erskine-Smith said the “overwhelming focus” for now is on what comes next, but he could see leadership troubles come up again depending on the results of two upcoming votes.

Byelections are pending in former Liberal ridings on both coasts: a vote must happen in Cloverdale—Langley City by Jan. 13 and in Halifax by April 14.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 30, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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N.S. parties focus on affordability on the campaign trail

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N.S. parties focus on affordability on the campaign trail

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