Ottawa’s real estate landscape continues to change as more homes hit the market, tempering the massive over-bidding trend of recent years.
Despite this shift, however, property prices are still high, and the market remains highly competitive, leaving many first-time homebuyers struggling to find well-priced properties.
In every neighborhood, signs of spring are popping up, with properties both for sale and sold. Vendula Seary, a renter in Kanata South, says it is increasingly difficult to become a first-time homebuyer.
“We’re currently trying to figure out how much we can afford and what we are able to buy. We both have jobs, it’s a dual income and we would love to stay in this area but I don’t know if that is possible within our budget,” says Seary, whose budget is around the half-million dollar mark. “We are not able to afford anything. The houses that are at a reasonable price, they go really, really fast.”
During the pandemic, the record-low number of properties for sale led to dramatic price spikes and increased competition. For instance, in 2022 a home in Ottawa’s New Edinburgh neighbourhood sold for $3.1M — $800,000 over the asking price. Today, a similar home, only a few doors down the same street, sold for around $2.2 million, slightly under the asking price.
“There has definitely been a shift in the market,” says Dan Salhany, a managing broker with RE/MAX Hallmark Realty Group. “There’s actually a significant pent up demand and we’re seeing it with the traction, with the traffic that’s coming through our open houses, with the inquiries that are coming in and just the number of calls. You may see some opportunities in the suburban markets, but in the urban areas, I think that we’re going to continue to see a higher demand, which is going to ultimately result in prices increasing.”
Salhaney notes there is some stabilization but says that demand continues to outpace supply, adding upward pressure on prices, many of which continue to sell at above-asking prices, despite higher lending rates.
“We’re at a point where I think there’s an acceptability level to where rates are at today. We’re still in in an affordable range, prices have pulled back and I think that if we see another decrease in interest rates, we’re going to see more movement in 2024,” he says. “I think that if people don’t figure out a way to get into the real estate market today, they’re going to struggle even more going into 2025. Prices will continue to rise.”
For Seary, the hope is that the family will be able to make a winning bid on a home in their price range later this season, and break the cycle of paying rent.
“If we decide to keep renting, the cost can be so large we would be stuck paying and there is no money to be saved to potentially buy later,” she says. “We need a bit of luck to get a good home.”
TORONTO – One expert predicts Ottawa‘s changes to mortgage rules will help spur demand among potential homebuyers but says policies aimed at driving new supply are needed to address the “core issues” facing the market.
The federal government’s changes, set to come into force mid-December, include a higher price cap for insured mortgages to allow more people to qualify for a mortgage with less than a 20 per cent down payment.
The government will also expand its 30-year mortgage amortization to include first-time homebuyers buying any type of home, as well as anybody buying a newly built home.
CIBC Capital Markets deputy chief economist Benjamin Tal calls it a “significant” move likely to accelerate the recovery of the housing market, a process already underway as interest rates have begun to fall.
However, he says in a note that policymakers should aim to “prevent that from becoming too much of a good thing” through policies geared toward the supply side.
Tal says the main issue is the lack of supply available to respond to Canada’s rapidly increasing population, particularly in major cities.
This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17,2024.
OTTAWA – The Canadian Real Estate Association says the number of homes sold in August fell compared with a year ago as the market remained largely stuck in a holding pattern despite borrowing costs beginning to come down.
The association says the number of homes sold in August fell 2.1 per cent compared with the same month last year.
On a seasonally adjusted month-over-month basis, national home sales edged up 1.3 per cent from July.
CREA senior economist Shaun Cathcart says that with forecasts of lower interest rates throughout the rest of this year and into 2025, “it makes sense that prospective buyers might continue to hold off for improved affordability, especially since prices are still well behaved in most of the country.”
The national average sale price for August amounted to $649,100, a 0.1 per cent increase compared with a year earlier.
The number of newly listed properties was up 1.1 per cent month-over-month.
This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.
MONTREAL – Two Quebec real estate brokers are facing fines and years-long suspensions for submitting bogus offers on homes to drive up prices during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Christine Girouard has been suspended for 14 years and her business partner, Jonathan Dauphinais-Fortin, has been suspended for nine years after Quebec’s authority of real estate brokerage found they used fake bids to get buyers to raise their offers.
Girouard is a well-known broker who previously starred on a Quebec reality show that follows top real estate agents in the province.
She is facing a fine of $50,000, while Dauphinais-Fortin has been fined $10,000.
The two brokers were suspended in May 2023 after La Presse published an article about their practices.
One buyer ended up paying $40,000 more than his initial offer in 2022 after Girouard and Dauphinais-Fortin concocted a second bid on the house he wanted to buy.
This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.
