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Paving the path to your investment goals

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Sam Sivarajan has led wealth management teams at several of Canada’s largest financial institutions and holds a doctorate in behavioral finance. He is the author of two bestselling books and can be found at www.samsivarajan.com.

Would you wear the same outfit every day? Would you turn down the opportunity to lead your team in a championship game? Steve Jobs famously wore a black turtleneck every day. Clayton Christensen, an author and Harvard Business School professor, refused to play the championship basketball game in his student days because the game was on a Sunday, his Sabbath. What Mr. Jobs and Mr. Christensen both had was a framework for decision-making. This freed up mental resources and removed temptation when tough choices were thrown at them. They created the right framework for their lives.

Creating the right framework can also help investors make tough choices and avoid temptation. Silicon Valley Bank, for example, recently collapsed because it failed to hedge its interest-rate exposure. A strict hedging policy would have removed the temptation to “second-guess” the market. Many individual investors were hurt after being lured by siren calls of crypto and meme stock investments in recent years. A more defined investment strategy could have reduced such temptations.

This is not a recent phenomenon. It has always existed. There are many investors whose portfolios are littered with the damage trail left by previous fads – the dotcom bubble of the early 2000s, the resource boom of the mid-2000s, the cannabis boom a few years ago and so on. For many of these sectors, the sizzle was more than the steak. This is why planning and having a clear idea of investment goals can be the saving grace for investors.

As humans, we make plans all the time – where we’re going for dinner or which route we want to take to avoid traffic. We also change plans all the time, and we accept that making minor course corrections doesn’t mean we didn’t need a plan in the first place. But in planning their financial future, most people fail miserably. Jonathan Haidt, a social psychologist, talks about the conflict we all have within us between our rational side and our emotional side. He calls the rational side the “rider” and the emotional side the “elephant.” The rider sits on the elephant, holding the reins, and seems in control. But, given the sheer size of the elephant, if the elephant and the rider disagree, the rider is going to lose. The solution is to pave the path – making it easier for the elephant to follow the rider’s direction.

Many investors have a simple investment goal: beat the market. However, that goal is not easy to achieve – in fact, most professional money managers cannot do this consistently. And second, it may not even be a meaningful goal to chase. After all, if our neighbour buys a fancy sports car, it is unlikely we will blindly follow suit. In fact, most investors have several personal goals – ones that matter to our elephants. Most want to provide for their retirement and help their children get established. For these investors, these are meaningful goals.

These goals don’t require beating the market or reacting to every new investment theme or news item. But they do require paving the path for the elephant – through planning and an investment strategy that they can commit to. The goals-based investing approach incorporates investors’ multiple goals and recognizes that, for each of these goals, the investor has a different primary measure of risk and a different attitude to bearing that risk.

Some of these goals are “must-haves” and some are “nice-to-haves.” Saving for a down payment on a house in two years differs from saving for your kids’ college in 15 years, which is again different from saving for retirement in 25 years. One size does not fit all. Different goals require different primary measures of risk and will define different investment strategies. For the down payment, you would put the money in a savings account – you won’t see growth but also won’t have losses. For your retirement, you would invest some of your portfolio in stocks, where your money can grow and you have time to ride out market volatility.

Mr. Christensen said it well: “You can talk all you want about having a clear purpose and strategy for your life, but ultimately this means nothing if you are not investing the resources you have in a way that is consistent with your strategy. In the end, a strategy is nothing but good intentions unless it’s effectively implemented.”

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Tesla shares soar more than 14% as Trump win is seen boosting Elon Musk’s electric vehicle company

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NEW YORK (AP) — Shares of Tesla soared Wednesday as investors bet that the electric vehicle maker and its CEO Elon Musk will benefit from Donald Trump’s return to the White House.

Tesla stands to make significant gains under a Trump administration with the threat of diminished subsidies for alternative energy and electric vehicles doing the most harm to smaller competitors. Trump’s plans for extensive tariffs on Chinese imports make it less likely that Chinese EVs will be sold in bulk in the U.S. anytime soon.

“Tesla has the scale and scope that is unmatched,” said Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, in a note to investors. “This dynamic could give Musk and Tesla a clear competitive advantage in a non-EV subsidy environment, coupled by likely higher China tariffs that would continue to push away cheaper Chinese EV players.”

Tesla shares jumped 14.8% Wednesday while shares of rival electric vehicle makers tumbled. Nio, based in Shanghai, fell 5.3%. Shares of electric truck maker Rivian dropped 8.3% and Lucid Group fell 5.3%.

Tesla dominates sales of electric vehicles in the U.S, with 48.9% in market share through the middle of 2024, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

Subsidies for clean energy are part of the Inflation Reduction Act, signed into law by President Joe Biden in 2022. It included tax credits for manufacturing, along with tax credits for consumers of electric vehicles.

Musk was one of Trump’s biggest donors, spending at least $119 million mobilizing Trump’s supporters to back the Republican nominee. He also pledged to give away $1 million a day to voters signing a petition for his political action committee.

In some ways, it has been a rocky year for Tesla, with sales and profit declining through the first half of the year. Profit did rise 17.3% in the third quarter.

The U.S. opened an investigation into the company’s “Full Self-Driving” system after reports of crashes in low-visibility conditions, including one that killed a pedestrian. The investigation covers roughly 2.4 million Teslas from the 2016 through 2024 model years.

And investors sent company shares tumbling last month after Tesla unveiled its long-awaited robotaxi at a Hollywood studio Thursday night, seeing not much progress at Tesla on autonomous vehicles while other companies have been making notable progress.

Tesla began selling the software, which is called “Full Self-Driving,” nine years ago. But there are doubts about its reliability.

The stock is now showing a 16.1% gain for the year after rising the past two days.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX composite up more than 100 points, U.S. stock markets mixed

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 100 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in base metal and utility stocks, while U.S. stock markets were mixed.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 103.40 points at 24,542.48.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 192.31 points at 42,932.73. The S&P 500 index was up 7.14 points at 5,822.40, while the Nasdaq composite was down 9.03 points at 18,306.56.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.44 cents US on Tuesday.

The November crude oil contract was down 71 cents at US$69.87 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down eight cents at US$2.42 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$7.20 at US$2,686.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up a penny at US$4.35 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 16, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX up more than 200 points, U.S. markets also higher

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 200 points in late-morning trading, while U.S. stock markets were also headed higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 205.86 points at 24,508.12.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 336.62 points at 42,790.74. The S&P 500 index was up 34.19 points at 5,814.24, while the Nasdaq composite was up 60.27 points at 18.342.32.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.71 cents US on Thursday.

The November crude oil contract was down 15 cents at US$75.70 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down two cents at US$2.65 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$29.60 at US$2,668.90 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents at US$4.47 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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