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Percentage of COVID-19 variant cases on the rise in Alberta – Global News

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The percentage of cases of COVID-19 variants of concern making up all active cases in the province is rising, and one mathematician said the province may be at a tipping point.

Chief medical officer of health Dr. Deena Hinshaw said that in late January, variant cases made up three per cent of all active cases; as of last Wednesday, she said that variant cases made up nine per cent of all active cases in the province.

READ MORE: The big picture: a timeline of increasing COVID-19 variants in Alberta

“Having that said, in other jurisdictions they have seen a much more rapid growth of variants of concern as a proportion of all COVID cases,” Hinshaw said.

“This means our health measures, both the overall restrictions as well as the targeted measures for variant cases, are working to slow the growth and if we continue to work together, we can continue to limit the spread.”

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Other numbers provided to Global News by Alberta Health show that from January 25 to 31 inclusive, there were 41 variant of concern cases and a total of 3,038 new cases of COVID-19 – or 1.3 per cent of new cases.

From March 3 to 9 inclusive, there were 230 variant of concern cases and a total of 2,282 new cases of COVID-19 – or 10 per cent of new cases.

“Please note that when a positive COVID case is identified by the lab, the sample is sent for variant screening or whole genome sequencing which can take some time. As a result, variant case counts are already included in the total cases reported. This means that each day, historic info on variant of concern cases is being updated, so numbers fluctuate day to day,” said spokesperson Sherene Khaw.






2:51
Toronto’s top doctor warns COVID-19 pandemic ‘not over’ as variant cases rise


Toronto’s top doctor warns COVID-19 pandemic ‘not over’ as variant cases rise

Developmental biologist Gosia Gasperowicz with the University of Calgary said cases of the variant are doubling fast.

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“It’s not as fast as they could but definitely they are growing,” she said.

“They are still a low absolute number and always with exponential growth, it looks innocent at low numbers…Once you start doubling from 300 then, just in two doubling times, you are at 1,200.”

Gasperowicz is a proponent of the COVID zero strategy, which aims to get COVID-19 cases down to zero. A growing number of variant cases could put Alberta is in a tricky position,” Gasperowicz said.

“We are doing better than other jurisdictions in not letting the variant grow as fast as it can grow but it’s still growing. We are not speeding at 200 km/h but 100 km/h, which is still speeding.

“Once restrictions are eased, there’s possibility for it to spread and it will spread.”

READ MORE: First cases of Brazil COVID-19 variant detected in Alberta

Gasperowicz said it is important for the R value of variants of concern to be reported, which they currently are not. Alberta Health only releases the R value for the province, Edmonton zone, Calgary zone and the rest of Alberta. Requests for the R value of variant cases to Alberta Health have been declined.

“This number is not reported and I think it should be,” she said.

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Mathematician Daniel Coombs with UBC said Alberta is at a “reasonable tipping point now” with nine or 10 per cent of cases qualifying as variants of concern.

“If you think of the variant as an entirely new disease, it is spreading into a more or less untouched population,” he said.

“In the same way there’s not a particular number of cases we really worry about with regular COVID, we just know we don’t want it to go up because you’ll end up with lots of people in hospital and other serious effects. It’s the same with the variant.”

Coombs said that, with the increase in percentage of variants in all active cases in Alberta, the prediction most people would make now would be more robust growth of the B.1.1.7. variant, which was first discovered in the U.K., and the predominant strain of a variant of concern in the province, over the next few weeks.

“Certainly what’s happened in other places in the world, is that the B.1.1.7., once it is finished invading, once it is growing robustly, it comes to completely dominate the epidemic,” he said.

Read more:
Ontario Hospital Association declares 3rd COVID-19 wave, cites sharp rise in variant cases

Coombs said it is now a race between the variants and vaccinations.

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“The sooner we can get the shots in arms, particularly in vulnerable people and people who come into contact with a lot of others, the better off we will be,” he said.

“Anything we can do to slow down the rapidly growing variants of concern, anything we can do to vaccinate faster and make sure no vaccines are left unused over the next few months is really critical.”

Read more:
AHS says website issues resolved as Alberta begins Phase 2A of COVID-19 vaccine rollout

Dr. Chris Mody, the head of the Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Infectious Diseases at the University of Calgary, said the arrival of the P.1 variant, the strain first identified in Brazil, was to be expected. Alberta recorded two cases of the P.1 strain over the weekend.

“Eventually we were going to see the variant…we knew it was coming,” he said.

Alberta saw 136 new variant cases over the weekend, a number Mody said is not entirely unanticipated.

“I think for a number of weeks, everybody has been saying the variants are coming. It is a question of how strong and how fast,” Mody said.

“We’re all hoping they will come slowly and in small numbers and so far we still are dealing with slow and small numbers. But the variants are, in terms of a virus, they’re an amazing virus. They are built to spread – that’s what a virus does.”

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2:46
Rising fears about COVID-19 variants spreading, rules relaxing


Rising fears about COVID-19 variants spreading, rules relaxing

On Monday, Hinshaw said Alberta identified 65 new variant cases, bringing the province’s total to 985 cases of a variant of concern. It’s not clear how many of those are current active cases.

“We certainly are seeing a growth of variant cases,” Hinshaw said Monday. “We’ve been able to slow the rate of growth through our interventions, but it is rising.”

She said the percentage of new COVID-19 cases that are variants of concern has risen over the last six weeks.

“We are seeing that per cent of new cases sitting at around 11 per cent-ish of our new cases right now, which of course is a concern as we see those numbers rise,” Hinshaw said.

Read more:
5 more residents from Edmonton’s Churchill Manor die over weekend amid COVID-19 variant outbreak

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Alberta’s top doctor said the province will be adding information to its website this week that shows the exact day each variant case was first identified.

“We want to make sure that Albertans have access to that daily information that shows what day each variant case was originally diagnosed with COVID-19 on a graph over time so you can see the different types of variant cases and that daily change.”

Hinshaw said Alberta labs continue to test every single positive case of COVID-19 for variants of concern.

— With files from Emily Mertz, Global News

© 2021 Global News, a division of Corus Entertainment Inc.

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Telus prioritizing ‘most important customers,’ avoiding ‘unprofitable’ offers: CFO

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Telus Corp. says it is avoiding offering “unprofitable” discounts as fierce competition in the Canadian telecommunications sector shows no sign of slowing down.

The company said Friday it had fewer net new customers during its third quarter compared with the same time last year, as it copes with increasingly “aggressive marketing and promotional pricing” that is prompting more customers to switch providers.

Telus said it added 347,000 net new customers, down around 14.5 per cent compared with last year. The figure includes 130,000 mobile phone subscribers and 34,000 internet customers, down 30,000 and 3,000, respectively, year-over-year.

The company reported its mobile phone churn rate — a metric measuring subscribers who cancelled their services — was 1.09 per cent in the third quarter, up from 1.03 per cent in the third quarter of 2023. That included a postpaid mobile phone churn rate of 0.90 per cent in its latest quarter.

Telus said its focus is on customer retention through its “industry-leading service and network quality, along with successful promotions and bundled offerings.”

“The customers we have are the most important customers we can get,” said chief financial officer Doug French in an interview.

“We’ve, again, just continued to focus on what matters most to our customers, from a product and customer service perspective, while not loading unprofitable customers.”

Meanwhile, Telus reported its net income attributable to common shares more than doubled during its third quarter.

The telecommunications company said it earned $280 million, up 105.9 per cent from the same three-month period in 2023. Earnings per diluted share for the quarter ended Sept. 30 was 19 cents compared with nine cents a year earlier.

It reported adjusted net income was $413 million, up 10.7 per cent year-over-year from $373 million in the same quarter last year. Operating revenue and other income for the quarter was $5.1 billion, up 1.8 per cent from the previous year.

Mobile phone average revenue per user was $58.85 in the third quarter, a decrease of $2.09 or 3.4 per cent from a year ago. Telus said the drop was attributable to customers signing up for base rate plans with lower prices, along with a decline in overage and roaming revenues.

It said customers are increasingly adopting unlimited data and Canada-U.S. plans which provide higher and more stable ARPU on a monthly basis.

“In a tough operating environment and relative to peers, we view Q3 results that were in line to slightly better than forecast as the best of the bunch,” said RBC analyst Drew McReynolds in a note.

Scotiabank analyst Maher Yaghi added that “the telecom industry in Canada remains very challenging for all players, however, Telus has been able to face these pressures” and still deliver growth.

The Big 3 telecom providers — which also include Rogers Communications Inc. and BCE Inc. — have frequently stressed that the market has grown more competitive in recent years, especially after the closing of Quebecor Inc.’s purchase of Freedom Mobile in April 2023.

Hailed as a fourth national carrier, Quebecor has invested in enhancements to Freedom’s network while offering more affordable plans as part of a set of commitments it was mandated by Ottawa to agree to.

The cost of telephone services in September was down eight per cent compared with a year earlier, according to Statistics Canada’s most recent inflation report last month.

“I think competition has been and continues to be, I’d say, quite intense in Canada, and we’ve obviously had to just manage our business the way we see fit,” said French.

Asked how long that environment could last, he said that’s out of Telus’ hands.

“What I can control, though, is how we go to market and how we lead with our products,” he said.

“I think the conditions within the market will have to adjust accordingly over time. We’ve continued to focus on digitization, continued to bring our cost structure down to compete, irrespective of the price and the current market conditions.”

Still, Canada’s telecom regulator continues to warn providers about customers facing more charges on their cellphone and internet bills.

On Tuesday, CRTC vice-president of consumer, analytics and strategy Scott Hutton called on providers to ensure they clearly inform their customers of charges such as early cancellation fees.

That followed statements from the regulator in recent weeks cautioning against rising international roaming fees and “surprise” price increases being found on their bills.

Hutton said the CRTC plans to launch public consultations in the coming weeks that will focus “on ensuring that information is clear and consistent, making it easier to compare offers and switch services or providers.”

“The CRTC is concerned with recent trends, which suggest that Canadians may not be benefiting from the full protections of our codes,” he said.

“We will continue to monitor developments and will take further action if our codes are not being followed.”

French said any initiative to boost transparency is a step in the right direction.

“I can’t say we are perfect across the board, but what I can say is we are absolutely taking it under consideration and trying to be the best at communicating with our customers,” he said.

“I think everyone looking in the mirror would say there’s room for improvement.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

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TC Energy cuts cost estimate for Southeast Gateway pipeline project in Mexico

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CALGARY – TC Energy Corp. has lowered the estimated cost of its Southeast Gateway pipeline project in Mexico.

It says it now expects the project to cost between US$3.9 billion and US$4.1 billion compared with its original estimate of US$4.5 billion.

The change came as the company reported a third-quarter profit attributable to common shareholders of C$1.46 billion or $1.40 per share compared with a loss of C$197 million or 19 cents per share in the same quarter last year.

Revenue for the quarter ended Sept. 30 totalled C$4.08 billion, up from C$3.94 billion in the third quarter of 2023.

TC Energy says its comparable earnings for its latest quarter amounted to C$1.03 per share compared with C$1.00 per share a year earlier.

The average analyst estimate had been for a profit of 95 cents per share, according to LSEG Data & Analytics.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

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BCE reports Q3 loss on asset impairment charge, cuts revenue guidance

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BCE Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter as it recorded $2.11 billion in asset impairment charges, mainly related to Bell Media’s TV and radio properties.

The company says its net loss attributable to common shareholders amounted to $1.24 billion or $1.36 per share for the quarter ended Sept. 30 compared with a profit of $640 million or 70 cents per share a year earlier.

On an adjusted basis, BCE says it earned 75 cents per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of 81 cents per share in the same quarter last year.

“Bell’s results for the third quarter demonstrate that we are disciplined in our pursuit of profitable growth in an intensely competitive environment,” BCE chief executive Mirko Bibic said in a statement.

“Our focus this quarter, and throughout 2024, has been to attract higher-margin subscribers and reduce costs to help offset short-term revenue impacts from sustained competitive pricing pressures, slow economic growth and a media advertising market that is in transition.”

Operating revenue for the quarter totalled $5.97 billion, down from $6.08 billion in its third quarter of 2023.

BCE also said it now expects its revenue for 2024 to fall about 1.5 per cent compared with earlier guidance for an increase of zero to four per cent.

The company says the change comes as it faces lower-than-anticipated wireless product revenue and sustained pressure on wireless prices.

BCE added 33,111 net postpaid mobile phone subscribers, down 76.8 per cent from the same period last year, which was the company’s second-best performance on the metric since 2010.

It says the drop was driven by higher customer churn — a measure of subscribers who cancelled their service — amid greater competitive activity and promotional offer intensity. BCE’s monthly churn rate for the category was 1.28 per cent, up from 1.1 per cent during its previous third quarter.

The company also saw 11.6 per cent fewer gross subscriber activations “due to more targeted promotional offers and mobile device discounting compared to last year.”

Bell’s wireless mobile phone average revenue per user was $58.26, down 3.4 per cent from $60.28 in the third quarter of the prior year.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:BCE)

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