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Please Advise! Are Alberta Politics Worthy of Shakespeare? – TheTyee.ca

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[Editor’s note: Steve Burgess is an accredited spin doctor with a PhD in Centrifugal Rhetoric from the University of SASE, situated on the lovely campus of PO Box 7650, Cayman Islands. In this space he dispenses PR advice to politicians, the rich and famous, the troubled and well-heeled, the wealthy and gullible.]

Dear Dr. Steve,

Former Wildrose Party leader Brian Jean just won an Alberta provincial byelection in Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche. Although he ran as a United Conservative Party candidate, his platform focused on dumping UCP Premier Jason Kenney.

Is this a problem for Kenney?

Signed,

Red Deer

Dear Deer,

Is it a problem? Imagine a wedding where the bride says “I do” to the best man. Or an anniversary celebration where your partner books a cozy table for two in a lawyer’s office. Problem, you think?

The March 16 Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche byelection may one day be cited as evidence that the Ides of March are not strictly a one-day event. At any rate a man named Kenney ought to have enjoyed St. Patrick’s Day more than he probably did.

Poor Jason ought to be raising a celebratory Guinness or two this week. He may even try to do so. After all, his party’s candidate won. The NDP, leading in the polls and supposedly a shoo-in to form the next government, was beaten handily. That’s good news for the UCP. Unfortunately for the premier the byelection suggests that what’s good for the UCP is no longer necessarily good for Jason Kenney.

It’s not so much the byelection result itself that bodes ill for Kenney. Jean is a hometown candidate in Fort McMurray, a reliably conservative region, so the victory was not unexpected. It’s the UCP’s nomination of Jean to begin with that ought to produce a few beads of sweat on Alberta’s First Brow. In 2017 Jean ran against Kenney for the leadership of the newly-created UCP and resigned his seat not long after losing the race. This time he has been upfront about his belief that Kenney should be ousted as party leader, but that did not prevent him from capturing the UCP nomination. Kenney is like a king who yells “Seize him!” only to have the palace guard respond, “Seize him? Bit harsh, don’t you think? Can we buy him a drink instead? Seems like a nice fellow.”

If this is trouble for Kenney it’s a bit awkward for Jean as well. Back in 2015 Jean took over leadership of the Wildrose Party after former leader Danielle Smith led 17 breakaway Wildrose MPs over to the Conservatives. At the time Jean declared that the party was his family and said, “I don’t believe in stabbing your family in the back.”

Oops. Well, people change. And every family has that one really annoying uncle, right? Frankly, a complete prohibition on stabbing family members seems a little inflexible.

The UCP leadership review is set for April 9. Kenney will surely have some cards to play. In fact if the brief and eventful history of the party holds true this will be an occasion worthy of a company picnic with the Medicis and Borgias.

True to Alberta’s resource-based economy, Kenney too has proved to be highly, shall we say, resourceful. His 2017 victory over Jean for the party leadership raised more questions than a six-year-old at a planetarium. Allegations of fraud were reported on by the CBC and resulted in an ongoing investigation by the RCMP.

Never mind masks — mandated protection for the April 9 conference should include Kevlar vests.

Kenney is not the only leader who be on tenterhooks awaiting the results of the UCP leadership review. Rachel Notley too could have cause to be nervous. Until recently she and the NDP have had solid leads in provincial polls. But a new poll reported by the Toronto Star shows the UCP making a solid comeback. Notley maintains a comfortable lead over Kenney in personal approval. But would that lead hold up against a new UCP leader?

The Kenney campaign was accused of casting fraudulent votes in 2017. But if Notley somehow casts a vote for Kenney next month, it will probably be legit. She has a vested interest in keeping the premier around until next year’s provincial election. As for the UCP, they may well decide that they are Kim Kardashian to Kenney’s Kanye West. Breakups can be messy but sometimes you’ve just got to make the move.

Dr. Steve has been at the advice game for quite a spell. Long, long ago Dr. Steve advised Macbeth that everything would be cool until Birnam Wood came to Dunsinane. His expert assessment for Kenney now? Trees on the horizon, premier.

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Trump is consistently inconsistent on abortion and reproductive rights

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CHICAGO (AP) — Donald Trump has had a tough time finding a consistent message to questions about abortion and reproductive rights.

The former president has constantly shifted his stances or offered vague, contradictory and at times nonsensical answers to questions on an issue that has become a major vulnerability for Republicans in this year’s election. Trump has been trying to win over voters, especially women, skeptical about his views, especially after he nominated three Supreme Court justices who helped overturn the nationwide right to abortion two years ago.

The latest example came this week when the Republican presidential nominee said some abortion laws are “too tough” and would be “redone.”

“It’s going to be redone,” he said during a Fox News town hall that aired Wednesday. “They’re going to, you’re going to, you end up with a vote of the people. They’re too tough, too tough. And those are going to be redone because already there’s a movement in those states.”

Trump did not specify if he meant he would take some kind of action if he wins in November, and he did not say which states or laws he was talking about. He did not elaborate on what he meant by “redone.”

He also seemed to be contradicting his own stand when referencing the strict abortion bans passed in Republican-controlled states since the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade. Trump recently said he would vote against a constitutional amendment on the Florida ballot that is aimed at overturning the state’s six-week abortion ban. That decision came after he had criticized the law as too harsh.

Trump has shifted between boasting about nominating the justices who helped strike down federal protections for abortion and trying to appear more neutral. It’s been an attempt to thread the divide between his base of anti-abortion supporters and the majority of Americans who support abortion rights.

About 6 in 10 Americans think their state should generally allow a person to obtain a legal abortion if they don’t want to be pregnant for any reason, according to a July poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research. Voters in seven states, including some conservative ones, have either protected abortion rights or defeated attempts to restrict them in statewide votes over the past two years.

Trump also has been repeating the narrative that he returned the question of abortion rights to states, even though voters do not have a direct say on that or any other issue in about half the states. This is particularly true for those living in the South, where Republican-controlled legislatures, many of which have been gerrymandered to give the GOP disproportionate power, have enacted some of the strictest abortion bans since Roe v. Wade was overturned.

Currently, 13 states have banned abortion at all stages of pregnancy, while four more ban it after six weeks — before many women know they’re pregnant.

Meanwhile, anti-abortion groups and their Republican allies in state governments are using an array of strategies to counter proposed ballot initiatives in at least eight states this year.

Here’s a breakdown of Trump’s fluctuating stances on reproductive rights.

Flip-flopping on Florida

On Tuesday, Trump claimed some abortion laws are “too tough” and would be “redone.”

But in August, Trump said he would vote against a state ballot measure that is attempting to repeal the six-week abortion ban passed by the Republican-controlled Legislature and signed by Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis.

That came a day after he seemed to indicate he would vote in favor of the measure. Trump previously called Florida’s six-week ban a “terrible mistake” and too extreme. In an April Time magazine interview, Trump repeated that he “thought six weeks is too severe.”

Trump on vetoing a national ban

Trump’s latest flip-flopping has involved his views on a national abortion ban.

During the Oct. 1 vice presidential debate, Trump posted on his social media platform Truth Social that he would veto a national abortion ban: “Everyone knows I would not support a federal abortion ban, under any circumstances, and would, in fact, veto it.”

This came just weeks after Trump repeatedly declined to say during the presidential debate with Democrat Kamala Harris whether he would veto a national abortion ban if he were elected.

Trump’s running mate, Ohio Sen. JD Vance, said in an interview with NBC News before the presidential debate that Trump would veto a ban. In response to debate moderators prompting him about Vance’s statement, Trump said: “I didn’t discuss it with JD, in all fairness. And I don’t mind if he has a certain view, but I don’t think he was speaking for me.”

‘Pro-choice’ to 15-week ban

Trump’s shifting abortion policy stances began when the former reality TV star and developer started flirting with running for office.

He once called himself “very pro-choice.” But before becoming president, Trump said he “would indeed support a ban,” according to his book “The America We Deserve,” which was published in 2000.

In his first year as president, he said he was “pro-life with exceptions” but also said “there has to be some form of punishment” for women seeking abortions — a position he quickly reversed.

At the 2018 annual March for Life, Trump voiced support for a federal ban on abortion on or after 20 weeks of pregnancy.

More recently, Trump suggested in March that he might support a national ban on abortions around 15 weeks before announcing that he instead would leave the matter to the states.

Views on abortion pills, prosecuting women

In the Time interview, Trump said it should be left up to the states to decide whether to prosecute women for abortions or to monitor women’s pregnancies.

“The states are going to make that decision,” Trump said. “The states are going to have to be comfortable or uncomfortable, not me.”

Democrats have seized on the comments he made in 2016, saying “there has to be some form of punishment” for women who have abortions.

Trump also declined to comment on access to the abortion pill mifepristone, claiming that he has “pretty strong views” on the matter. He said he would make a statement on the issue, but it never came.

Trump responded similarly when asked about his views on the Comstock Act, a 19th century law that has been revived by anti-abortion groups seeking to block the mailing of mifepristone.

IVF and contraception

In May, Trump said during an interview with a Pittsburgh television station that he was open to supporting regulations on contraception and that his campaign would release a policy on the issue “very shortly.” He later said his comments were misinterpreted.

In the KDKA interview, Trump was asked, “Do you support any restrictions on a person’s right to contraception?”

“We’re looking at that and I’m going to have a policy on that very shortly,” Trump responded.

Trump has not since released a policy statement on contraception.

Trump also has offered contradictory statements on in vitro fertilization.

During the Fox News town hall, which was taped Tuesday, Trump declared that he is “the father of IVF,” despite acknowledging during his answer that he needed an explanation of IVF in February after the Alabama Supreme Court ruled that frozen embryos can be considered children under state law.

Trump said he instructed Sen. Katie Britt, R-Ala., to “explain IVF very quickly” to him in the aftermath of the ruling.

As concerns over access to fertility treatments rose, Trump pledged to promote IVF by requiring health insurance companies or the federal government to pay for it. Such a move would be at odds with the actions of much of his own party.

Even as the Republican Party has tried to create a national narrative that it is receptive to IVF, these messaging efforts have been undercut by GOP state lawmakers, Republican-dominated courts and anti-abortion leaders within the party’s ranks, as well as opposition to legislative attempts to protect IVF access.

___

The Associated Press receives support from several private foundations to enhance its explanatory coverage of elections and democracy. See more about AP’s democracy initiative here. The AP is solely responsible for all content.

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Saskatchewan Party’s Scott Moe, NDP’s Carla Beck react to debate |

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Saskatchewan‘s two main political party leaders faced off in the only televised debate in the lead up to the provincial election on Oct. 28. Saskatchewan Party Leader Scott Moe and NDP Leader Carla Beck say voters got a chance to see their platforms. (Oct. 17, 2024)

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Saskatchewan political leaders back on campaign trail after election debate

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REGINA – Saskatchewan‘s main political leaders are back on the campaign trail today after hammering each other in a televised debate.

Saskatchewan Party Leader Scott Moe is set to make an announcement in Moose Jaw.

Saskatchewan NDP Leader Carla Beck is to make stops in Regina, Saskatoon and Prince Albert.

During Wednesday night’s debate, Beck emphasized her plan to make life more affordable and said people deserve better than an out-of-touch Saskatchewan Party government.

Moe said his party wants to lower taxes and put money back into people’s pockets.

Election day is Oct. 28.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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