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Politics Briefing: Erin O'Toole believes Chinese interference cost Conservatives up to nine seats in last election – The Globe and Mail

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Former Conservative leader Erin O’Toole says the party was targeted by a deluge of misinformation orchestrated by China and its proxies that led to the defeat of up to nine candidates in 2021 election.

In testimony today before the inquiry into foreign interference, O’Toole stressed he does not believe Chinese state meddling would have changed the outcome of the vote that produced a Liberal minority.

But he told the commission that voters in certain ridings were affected by interference, and government officials in charge of election integrity knew about it but never issued a warning to the public or the parties.

Full story by Ottawa bureau chief Robert Fife and senior parliamentary reporter Steven Chase.

This is the daily Politics Briefing newsletter, written by Ian Bailey. It is available exclusively to our digital subscribers. If you’re reading this on the web, subscribers can sign up for the Politics newsletter and more than 20 others on our newsletter signup page. Have any feedback? Let us know what you think.

TODAY’S HEADLINES

Trudeau seeking partners for multibillion-dollar housing initiative: The Prime Minister, announcing billions of dollars in federal funding to bolster apartment construction, says he will bypass provinces that don’t want to work with his government on the issue.

Canadian killed in Israeli air strike identified, as Ottawa calls for investigation: World Central Kitchen identified the victim, a dual Canadian-U.S. citizen, as 33-year-old Jacob Flickinger. Speaking on the sidelines of a NATO foreign ministers meeting in Brussels, Foreign Affairs Minister Mélanie Joly said Israel needed to respect international law, adding Canada would make sure it does.

Ontario students only in Ontario postsecondary institutions, Ford says: Premier Doug Ford noted, at a news conference, that efforts should be made to “get rid of the 18 per cent” of students in the province’s colleges and universities who are from foreign countries.

Manitoba’s NDP government delivers tax cuts, rebates in first budget: “This is a plan to be able to make good on so many of the promises that we were elected by Manitobans to deliver on,” Premier Wab Kinew said.

Music industry seeks budget change so bands and singers get royalties from TV, film: Musicians say Canada is out of step with countries such as Britain, France and Japan by not allowing singers and musicians to receive performance royalties from TV or film, even if their music becomes the theme tune to a hit show, movie or major ad campaign.

Canada’s new Shawarma Capital: CTV reports Ottawa city council has unanimously approved a motion to declare the city as the shawarma capital of the country, paying tribute to the Middle Eastern meal featuring marinated meat, garlic sauce and other toppings. Ottawa is home to nearly 200 shawarma restaurants. Mayor Mark Sutcliffe posted on the development.

TODAY’S POLITICAL QUOTES

“There is a risk of that chill, people not championing minority rights or human rights because of fear of interference or electoral challenge” – Former federal Conservative leader Erin O’Toole at the foreign interference inquiry hearing today, responding to a question about whether the prospect of electoral interference by China may prompt some Canadian politicians not to criticize China on its human-rights record.

“I can understand where someone who lost an election is trying to look for reasons other than themselves why they might have lost an election.” – Justin Trudeau on O’Toole’s concerns that misinformation orchestrated by China and its proxies cost the Conservatives seats.

THIS AND THAT

Thibedeau joins public affairs company: Former CBC journalist Hannah Thibedeau is joining Global Public Affairs, a government relations and strategic communications firm, as an executive communications officer. Thibedeau, long based in Ottawa, exited the broadcaster last week. Most recently, she was afternoon host on CBC News Network. The advisory on her appointment is here.

Ontario by-elections called: Premier Doug Ford has called provincial by-elections for May 2 in Milton and Lambton-Kent-Middlesex to replace cabinet ministers who resigned their seats to pursue other opportunities. Parm Gill stepped down as the member of provincial Parliament in Milton to run for the federal Conservatives in the next election. And Monte McNaughton quit his Lambton-Kent-Middlesex last September for an opportunity in the private sector.

Commons committee highlights: Darryl Vleeming, vice-president of the Canada Border Services Agency, appears before the public accounts committee on the Auditor-General’s report on the ArriveCan app.

Commons, Senate: The House of Commons is on a break until April 8. The Senate sits again April 9.

Deputy Prime Minister’s day: Chrystia Freeland, in Edmonton, toured a rental apartment building and made a housing announcement. Employment Minister Randy Boissonnault was also present.

Ministers on the road: With the Commons not sitting, a number of ministers are out across Canada, making announcements on government affordability policy. Public Services Minister Jean-Yves Duclos, Industry Minister François-Philippe Champagne and Tourism Minister Soraya Martinez Ferrada made a housing announcement in Quebec City. Duclos also made an infrastructure announcement in the Quebec capital. Health Minister Mark Holland and Northern Affairs Minister Dan Vandal made a housing announcement in Winnipeg. Immigration Minister Marc Miller and Energy Minister Jonathan Wilkinson, in Halifax, made a housing announcement. Labour Minister Seamus O’Regan made a housing announcement in Victoria. Justice Minister Arif Virani and Indigenous Services Minister Patty Hajdu, in Regina, made a housing announcement.

Meanwhile, Foreign Affairs Minister Mélanie Joly attended the NATO foreign affairs ministers’ meeting in Brussels, scheduled for today and tomorrow.

GG in Nunavut: Governor-General Mary Simon and her partner, Whit Fraser, continue their official visit to the territory. It concludes tomorrow.

PRIME MINISTER’S DAY

Justin Trudeau, in the Toronto area, visited an affordable housing development site and made a housing announcement, accompanied by Housing Minister Sean Fraser. Later, Trudeau met with students attending a local after-school program.

LEADERS

Bloc Québécois Leader Yves-François Blanchet is touring the Gaspé Peninsula this week, with commitments today that include a meeting with Jean-David Samuel, the president and chief executive officer of the Forillon Shipyard, and Gaspé Mayor Daniel Côté.

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre, in the Vancouver-region community of Tsawwassen, was scheduled to hold a party fundraising event.

Green Party Leader Elizabeth May, in Winnipeg, is on a tour with deputy leader Jonathan Pedneault, and was scheduled to meet with Manitoba Premier Wab Kinew, attend an event hosted by party members, and meet with community groups.

NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh, in Hamilton with MP Matthew Green and provincial New Democrat Monique Taylor, held a news conference.

THE DECIBEL

On today’s edition of The Globe and Mail podcast, Report on Business journalist Joe Castaldo, who has reported on Canada’s artificial intelligence infrastructure, explains why the issue of growing computing power isn’t as simple as buying more high-end computer chips, the potential problems of investing heavily into this tech, and what Canada can do to prevent a brain drain of AI talent.

TRIBUTE

Roger Gibbins: The veteran political scientist at the University of Calgary and president of the Canada West Foundation is being remembered for his pioneering work on the politics of Western Canada.

OPINION

Doug Ford and Bonnie Crombie both opposed new housing. One changed their mind

“Before Ontario Liberal Leader Bonnie Crombie was in favour of more housing, she was against it. In early 2022, a landmark housing report was presented to Ontario Premier Doug Ford, a wide-ranging blueprint of how to build a lot more housing. Mr. Ford shelved most of the big ideas. Ms. Crombie at the time was mayor of Mississauga. She also didn’t like the report, specifically its proposal to allow four homes on lots long restricted to only one. Ms. Crombie warned against change, publishing exaggerated images, and asserted the proposal was “alarming” and could “dramatically change” neighbourhoods. This space criticized both Ms. Crombie and Mr. Ford. One leader has changed – and one has not.” – The Globe and Mail Editorial Board

The secret shrug on foreign interference

“With CSIS, everything’s a big secret,” Ontario Premier Doug Ford once said about a 2022 briefing his government received about Chinese interference. It seemed funny at the time, because of course Canada’s spy agency is secretive. But when you hear the way federal officials failed to pass on useful information of foreign election interference to political parties during the 2021 election campaign, you can see the problem.” – Campbell Clark

Goodbye to budget secrecy, and good riddance

“There was a time when you could go to jail for revealing the contents of a budget before it had been introduced in the House. Finance ministers who let so much as a line of a budget slip out in advance were expected to resign. But the convention of budget secrecy has long since been observed more in ritual than in substance.” – Andrew Coyne

Canada can help establish an international protective force in Gaza

“The killing of aid workers in Gaza highlights the need to protect the supply and distribution of humanitarian assistance. This week’s Israeli attack on World Central Kitchen’s convoy is only the most recent example: There are reports that more than 200 humanitarian workers have been killed since the conflict began last October. This breakdown of security, including increasing vigilantism from criminal groups, constitutes a major obstacle to efforts aimed at addressing the famine that now afflicts Gaza. Supplying aid is one thing, but making sure it reaches the people in need is a separate challenge. We believe that Canada can make a meaningful difference in meeting that challenge.” Lloyd Axworthy and Allan Rock

Got a news tip that you’d like us to look into? E-mail us at tips@globeandmail.com. Need to share documents securely? Reach out via SecureDrop.

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Review finds no case for formal probe of Beijing’s activities under elections law

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OTTAWA – The federal agency that investigates election infractions found insufficient evidence to support suggestions Beijing wielded undue influence against the Conservatives in the Vancouver area during the 2021 general election.

The Commissioner of Canada Elections’ recently completed review of the lingering issue was tabled Tuesday at a federal inquiry into foreign interference.

The review focused on the unsuccessful campaign of Conservative candidate Kenny Chiu in the riding of Steveston-Richmond East and the party’s larger efforts in the Vancouver area.

It says the evidence uncovered did not trigger the threshold to initiate a formal investigation under the Canada Elections Act.

Investigators therefore recommended that the review be concluded.

A summary of the review results was shared with the Canadian Security Intelligence Service and the RCMP. The review says both agencies indicated the election commissioner’s findings were consistent with their own understanding of the situation.

During the exercise, the commissioner’s investigators met with Chinese Canadian residents of Chiu’s riding and surrounding ones.

They were told of an extensive network of Chinese Canadian associations, businesses and media organizations that offers the diaspora a lifestyle that mirrors that of China in many ways.

“Further, this diaspora has continuing and extensive commercial, social and familial relations with China,” the review says.

Some interviewees reported that this “has created aspects of a parallel society involving many Chinese Canadians in the Lower Mainland area, which includes concerted support, direction and control by individuals from or involved with China’s Vancouver consulate and the United Front Work Department (UFWD) in China.”

Investigators were also made aware of members of three Chinese Canadian associations, as well as others, who were alleged to have used their positions to influence the choice of Chinese Canadian voters during the 2021 election in a direction favourable to the interests of Beijing, the review says.

These efforts were sparked by elements of the Conservative party’s election platform and by actions and statements by Chiu “that were leveraged to bolster claims that both the platform and Chiu were anti-China and were encouraging anti-Chinese discrimination and racism.”

These messages were amplified through repetition in social media, chat groups and posts, as well as in Chinese in online, print and radio media throughout the Vancouver area.

Upon examination, the messages “were found to not be in contravention” of the Canada Elections Act, says the review, citing the Supreme Court of Canada’s position that the concept of uninhibited speech permeates all truly democratic societies and institutions.

The review says the effectiveness of the anti-Conservative, anti-Chiu campaigns was enhanced by circumstances “unique to the Chinese diaspora and the assertive nature of Chinese government interests.”

It notes the election was prefaced by statements from China’s ambassador to Canada and the Vancouver consul general as well as articles published or broadcast in Beijing-controlled Chinese Canadian media entities.

“According to Chinese Canadian interview subjects, this invoked a widespread fear amongst electors, described as a fear of retributive measures from Chinese authorities should a (Conservative) government be elected.”

This included the possibility that Chinese authorities could interfere with travel to and from China, as well as measures being taken against family members or business interests in China, the review says.

“Several Chinese Canadian interview subjects were of the view that Chinese authorities could exercise such retributive measures, and that this fear was most acute with Chinese Canadian electors from mainland China. One said ‘everybody understands’ the need to only say nice things about China.”

However, no interview subject was willing to name electors who were directly affected by the anti-Tory campaign, nor community leaders who claimed to speak on a voter’s behalf.

Several weeks of public inquiry hearings will focus on the capacity of federal agencies to detect, deter and counter foreign meddling.

In other testimony Tuesday, Conservative MP Garnett Genuis told the inquiry that parliamentarians who were targeted by Chinese hackers could have taken immediate protective steps if they had been informed sooner.

It emerged earlier this year that in 2021 some MPs and senators faced cyberattacks from the hackers because of their involvement with the Inter-Parliamentary Alliance on China, which pushes for accountability from Beijing.

In 2022, U.S. authorities apparently informed the Canadian government of the attacks, and it in turn advised parliamentary IT officials — but not individual MPs.

Genuis, a Canadian co-chair of the inter-parliamentary alliance, told the inquiry Tuesday that it remains mysterious to him why he wasn’t informed about the attacks sooner.

Liberal MP John McKay, also a Canadian co-chair of the alliance, said there should be a clear protocol for advising parliamentarians of cyberthreats.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17, 2024.

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NDP beat Conservatives in federal byelection in Winnipeg

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WINNIPEG – The federal New Democrats have kept a longtime stronghold in the Elmwood-Transcona riding in Winnipeg.

The NDP’s Leila Dance won a close battle over Conservative candidate Colin Reynolds, and says the community has spoken in favour of priorities such as health care and the cost of living.

Elmwood-Transcona has elected a New Democrat in every election except one since the riding was formed in 1988.

The seat became open after three-term member of Parliament Daniel Blaikie resigned in March to take a job with the Manitoba government.

A political analyst the NDP is likely relieved to have kept the seat in what has been one of their strongest urban areas.

Christopher Adams, an adjunct professor of political studies at the University of Manitoba, says NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh worked hard to keep the seat in a tight race.

“He made a number of visits to Winnipeg, so if they had lost this riding it would have been disastrous for the NDP,” Adams said.

The strong Conservative showing should put wind in that party’s sails, Adams added, as their percentage of the popular vote in Elmwood-Transcona jumped sharply from the 2021 election.

“Even though the Conservatives lost this (byelection), they should walk away from it feeling pretty good.”

Dance told reporters Monday night she wants to focus on issues such as the cost of living while working in Ottawa.

“We used to be able to buy a cart of groceries for a hundred dollars and now it’s two small bags. That is something that will affect everyone in this riding,” Dance said.

Liberal candidate Ian MacIntyre placed a distant third,

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024

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Trudeau says ‘all sorts of reflections’ for Liberals after loss of second stronghold

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OTTAWA – Prime Minister Justin Trudeau say the Liberals have “all sorts of reflections” to make after losing a second stronghold in a byelection in Montreal Monday night.

His comments come as the Liberal cabinet gathers for its first regularly scheduled meeting of the fall sitting of Parliament, which began Monday.

Trudeau’s Liberals were hopeful they could retain the Montreal riding of LaSalle—Émard—Verdun, but those hopes were dashed after the Bloc Québécois won it in an extremely tight three-way race with the NDP.

Louis-Philippe Sauvé, an administrator at the Institute for Research in Contemporary Economics, beat Liberal candidate Laura Palestini by less than 250 votes. The NDP finished about 600 votes back of the winner.

It is the second time in three months that Trudeau’s party lost a stronghold in a byelection. In June, the Conservatives defeated the Liberals narrowly in Toronto-St. Paul’s.

The Liberals won every seat in Toronto and almost every seat on the Island of Montreal in the last election, and losing a seat in both places has laid bare just how low the party has fallen in the polls.

“Obviously, it would have been nicer to be able to win and hold (the Montreal riding), but there’s more work to do and we’re going to stay focused on doing it,” Trudeau told reporters ahead of this morning’s cabinet meeting.

When asked what went wrong for his party, Trudeau responded “I think there’s all sorts of reflections to take on that.”

In French, he would not say if this result puts his leadership in question, instead saying his team has lots of work to do.

Bloc leader Yves-François Blanchet will hold a press conference this morning, but has already said the results are significant for his party.

“The victory is historic and all of Quebec will speak with a stronger voice in Ottawa,” Blanchet wrote on X, shortly after the winner was declared.

NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh and his party had hoped to ride to a win in Montreal on the popularity of their candidate, city councillor Craig Sauvé, and use it to further their goal of replacing the Liberals as the chief alternative to the Conservatives.

The NDP did hold on to a seat in Winnipeg in a tight race with the Conservatives, but the results in Elmwood-Transcona Monday were far tighter than in the last several elections. NDP candidate Leila Dance defeated Conservative Colin Reynolds by about 1,200 votes.

Singh called it a “big victory.”

“Our movement is growing — and we’re going to keep working for Canadians and building that movement to stop Conservative cuts before they start,” he said on social media.

“Big corporations have had their governments. It’s the people’s time.”

New Democrats recently pulled out of their political pact with the government in a bid to distance themselves from the Liberals, making the prospects of a snap election far more likely.

Trudeau attempted to calm his caucus at their fall retreat in Nanaimo, B.C, last week, and brought former Bank of Canada governor Mark Carney on as an economic adviser in a bid to shore up some credibility with voters.

The latest byelection loss will put more pressure on him as leader, with many polls suggesting voter anger is more directed at Trudeau himself than at Liberal policies.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17, 2024.

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