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Politics Briefing: Pierre Poilievre's good day – his rating is soaring and he's added to his caucus – The Globe and Mail

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Hello,

Fresh off a decisive victory for his newest Conservative caucus member, Tory Leader Pierre Poilievre woke up to the news Tuesday that he has hit a 10-year high among Conservative leaders for the coveted preferred prime minister ranking.

According to Nanos Research data, Poilievre has outpaced Prime Minister Justin Trudeau in the preferred prime minister category since September. Now he is also ahead of where Mr. Trudeau was ranked a year before the 2015 federal election and also tracking ahead of Stephen Harper circa 2014.

He’s also outperforming Erin O’Toole and Andrew Scheer, the two Conservative leaders who have also vied against Trudeau.

According to the Nanos polling, Poilievre is the preferred prime minister for 37 per cent of respondents. Trudeau is tied with the unsure category – each at 19 per cent – and NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh is the preference for 17 per cent.

The data is based on a four-week rolling average in which 250 respondents are polled each week, for a total sample size of 1,000 respondents. The telephone survey has a margin of error of 3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

The Conservatives are also celebrating Monday night’s by-election result in Durham, Ont., where O’Toole’s Conservative successor, Jamil Jivani, won the riding in a landslide. With 57.4 per cent support, Jivani dramatically increased his party’s share of the vote by more than 11 percentage point from 2021. The gains came at the expense of the Liberals and NDP, which fell to 22.5 per cent and 10.4 per cent, respectively.

The People’s Party of Canada slipped in its share of the vote to 4.4 per cent on Monday night from 6 per cent in 2021. Voter turnout was just 28 per cent.

This is the daily Politics Briefing newsletter, written by Marieke Walsh. It is available exclusively to our digital subscribers. If you’re reading this on the web, subscribers can sign up for the Politics newsletter and more than 20 others on our newsletter signup page. Have any feedback? Let us know what you think.

TODAY’S HEADLINES

Brian Mulroney’s state funeral scheduled for March 23: Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s office announced the funeral will be held in Montreal in two weeks. Prior to the service there will be a lying-in-state in Ottawa and a lying-in-repose in Montreal. Mulroney, a titan of Canadian politics whose policies transformed the economy, died last week in Palm Beach, Fla. He was 84.

RCMP accused of pattern of mistreatment toward Rebel News: A statement of claim was filed in the Ontario Superior Court of Justice that alleges the arrest of Rebel News reporter David Menzies early this year is part of a pattern of “intimidation and exclusion” by the RCMP against the organization. Kristy Kirkup reports.

Guilbeault calls Saskatchewan Premier immoral for breaking carbon-price law: Environment Minister Steven Guilbeault says Ottawa has to take action against Saskatchewan for breaking the federal carbon-pricing law. Saskatchewan Premier Scott Moe said last week his province would not submit the money it owed for the carbon price on natural gas as required on Feb. 29. The Canadian Press has more.

ArriveCan fallout prompts scrutiny of Indigenous procurement program: Political fallout over the ArriveCan app should be a catalyst for Ottawa to deal with long-standing problems with a procurement program aimed at supporting Indigenous businesses, says the Canadian Council for Aboriginal Business. Bill Curry has the latest on the file.

THIS AND THAT

Today in the Commons: The House of Commons is on a two-week break. The public accounts committee, however, is meeting to continue its study of the ArriveCan scandal.

THE DECIBEL

On the Decibel today, senior parliamentary reporter Steven Chase breaks down the bombshell documents tabled in the House of Commons last week that revealed two scientists who worked at a high-security infectious-disease lab in Winnipeg provided confidential scientific information to China. The documents show that one of the scientists was “a realistic and credible threat to Canada’s economic security.” Catch the latest episode here.

PRIME MINISTER’S DAY

Justin Trudeau met with the President of Ecuador, Daniel Noboa, and later met with the Assembly of First Nations National Chief Cindy Woodhouse Nepinak.

LEADERS

NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh spent Tuesday in Campbell River, B.C. The small town on Vancouver Island is in NDP MP Rachel Blaney’s riding. She joined him for a visit at Ocean Pacific Marine Store & Boatyard, and the two will then be joined by NDP MP Gord Johns for a meet and greet in Comox, B.C.

Bloc Québécois Leader Yves-François Blanchet is on a three-day trip to Washington, D.C., where he is talking softwood lumber tariffs and French-language regulations in Quebec.

There was no schedule released for Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre.

OPINION

Danielle Smith’s attack on clean power is an attack on free enterprise

“This government attack on one industry is not a random event. While Ms. Smith says she supports net-zero emissions by 2050, her actions are effectively working to ensure Alberta falls short. She opposes Ottawa’s goal to cut most emissions from power generation by 2035. Alberta is, she claims, “a natural-gas province.” Favouring fossil fuels and slowing clean power is the UCP strategy.” – Editorial Board, The Globe and Mail

Jamil Jivani will fit right in with activist, populist conservatism of Poilievre

If the Conservatives win the next election, no one is going to write a story about their retreat into incremental centrism. Things will be wild. There will be one tough-on-crime bill after another, spending cuts, sharp reductions in the budget deficit, even as the military receives more funding. It will be a fiery time that will delight conservatives and appall progressives. And Jamil Jivani will be in the thick of it.” – John Ibbitson, The Globe and Mail

The proposed new pharmacare program is yet another pilot project with an uncertain future

“Canada is “a country of perpetual pilot projects,” former health minister Monique Bégin once famously said. Despite all the hype surrounding the “historic” Bill C-64, or the Pharmacare Act, what’s being floated is really nothing more than a giant pilot project.” – André Picard, The Globe and Mail

How and why Ottawa can and should get back to balance by 2028

“When you’re running deficits and debt somebody has to pay them some time and some way. It never comes free.” – Don Drummond, of the C.D. Howe Institute, on the Herle Burly podcast

Got a news tip that you’d like us to look into? E-mail us at tips@globeandmail.com. Need to share documents securely? Reach out via SecureDrop.

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NDP caving to Poilievre on carbon price, has no idea how to fight climate change: PM

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OTTAWA – Prime Minister Justin Trudeau says the NDP is caving to political pressure from Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre when it comes to their stance on the consumer carbon price.

Trudeau says he believes Jagmeet Singh and the NDP care about the environment, but it’s “increasingly obvious” that they have “no idea” what to do about climate change.

On Thursday, Singh said the NDP is working on a plan that wouldn’t put the burden of fighting climate change on the backs of workers, but wouldn’t say if that plan would include a consumer carbon price.

Singh’s noncommittal position comes as the NDP tries to frame itself as a credible alternative to the Conservatives in the next federal election.

Poilievre responded to that by releasing a video, pointing out that the NDP has voted time and again in favour of the Liberals’ carbon price.

British Columbia Premier David Eby also changed his tune on Thursday, promising that a re-elected NDP government would scrap the long-standing carbon tax and shift the burden to “big polluters,” if the federal government dropped its requirements.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Quebec consumer rights bill to regulate how merchants can ask for tips

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Quebec wants to curb excessive tipping.

Simon Jolin-Barrette, minister responsible for consumer protection, has tabled a bill to force merchants to calculate tips based on the price before tax.

That means on a restaurant bill of $100, suggested tips would be calculated based on $100, not on $114.98 after provincial and federal sales taxes are added.

The bill would also increase the rebate offered to consumers when the price of an item at the cash register is higher than the shelf price, to $15 from $10.

And it would force grocery stores offering a discounted price for several items to clearly list the unit price as well.

Businesses would also have to indicate whether taxes will be added to the price of food products.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Youri Chassin quits CAQ to sit as Independent, second member to leave this month

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Quebec legislature member Youri Chassin has announced he’s leaving the Coalition Avenir Québec government to sit as an Independent.

He announced the decision shortly after writing an open letter criticizing Premier François Legault’s government for abandoning its principles of smaller government.

In the letter published in Le Journal de Montréal and Le Journal de Québec, Chassin accused the party of falling back on what he called the old formula of throwing money at problems instead of looking to do things differently.

Chassin says public services are more fragile than ever, despite rising spending that pushed the province to a record $11-billion deficit projected in the last budget.

He is the second CAQ member to leave the party in a little more than one week, after economy and energy minister Pierre Fitzgibbon announced Sept. 4 he would leave because he lost motivation to do his job.

Chassin says he has no intention of joining another party and will instead sit as an Independent until the end of his term.

He has represented the Saint-Jérôme riding since the CAQ rose to power in 2018, but has not served in cabinet.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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