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Politics | Sep 2nd 2023 Edition – The Economist

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Soldiers in Gabon seized power days after a presidential election returned the incumbent, Ali Bongo, to office in a ballot that was widely deemed fraudulent as usual. Mr Bongo’s father had ruled from 1967 until his death in 2009, when his son inherited the post. It is the eighth coup in west and central Africa since 2020, following one in Niger in July. Others include Burkina Faso, Chad, Guinea and Mali. France is watching nervously, since it has a military base in Libreville, Gabon’s capital, and has seen coup-led regimes expel its forces from Burkina Faso and Mali.

Security across much of Mali continued to deteriorate, as 13,000 UN peacekeepers and police continued to be drawn down; the ruling junta has ordered them all out by the end of the year. Following the death of Yevgeny Prigozhin, head of the Wagner mercenary group, which has been active in Mali, Russia pledged to keep giving “comprehensive assistance” to the country. The historic Malian city of Timbuktu, facing a blockade by jihadists, was short of food.

Zimbabwe’s electoral commission declared the incumbent president, Emmerson Mnangagwa, who overthrew Robert Mugabe in a coup in 2017, to have won re-election. The commission said Mr Mnangagwa defeated Nelson Chamisa, the main challenger, by 53% to 44%. Independent observers, supported by the Southern African Development Community, a regional club which had previously whitewashed elections in Zimbabwe, castigated the conduct of the poll.

Libya’s internationally recognised government based in Tripoli sacked its foreign minister, after protests erupted in several cities when it was revealed that she had held clandestine talks in Italy with her Israeli counterpart, presumably to discuss opening diplomatic relations.

At least 73 people died when a fire broke out in a building that was being used by squatters in central Johannesburg, South Africa’s commercial capital. It is thought that most of the dead were migrants.

Ukraine stepped up its drone attacks on Russia, hitting six regions in just one night. Russia conducted its most intense bombardment of Kyiv for several months, firing missiles and drones to terrorise the city’s residents. Meanwhile the Ukrainian army said it had recaptured the village of Robotyne in the south-east of the country. Russia said it had beaten back the assault.

A private ceremony was held to bury Yevgeny Prigozhin in St Petersburg. The Kremlin continued to deny that it had arranged for the leader of the Wagner Group to be killed in a plane crash. Vladimir Putin did not attend the funeral.

The French education minister, Gabriel Attal, announced that Muslim girls will not be allowed to wear the abaya, a loose-fitting full-length robe, in schools. Headscarves are already banned in French schools. Mr Attal argues that secularism means “freedom to emancipate oneself at school”, but the move has been condemned on the left, with one MP saying the government had become the “clothes police”.

A display of enmity among the European Union’s institutions came to the fore when the European Commission slapped down remarks made by Charles Michel, the president of the European Council, about enlargement. Mr Michel’s comment that the EU must be ready to extend its membership by 2030 were swiftly rebuffed by the commission, which said it wasn’t focused on a date. A summit in October will discuss the candidate countries, which include Ukraine and Moldova.

An early spring

The start of Donald Trump’s federal trial for conspiring to overturn the result of the presidential election three years ago has been set for March 4th. Mr Trump’s lawyers had asked that it be pushed back to 2026, but the judge ruled that a speedy trial was in society’s interest. March 4th is the day before Super Tuesday, when over a dozen states will hold party primaries.

image: Getty Images

A 21-year-old white man shot dead three black people at a store in Jacksonville, Florida, before taking his own life. The gunman’s motivation for murder was racial hatred. He had been briefly detained in 2017 for a mental-health issue.

Bernardo Arévalo became Guatemala’s president-elect after the results from a recent election were officially certified. The reformer is one step closer to taking power in January, but more challenges from a group of corrupt elites trying to block him from office are in the works. Semilla, his party, has been suspended, and Mr Arévalo and his vice-president face credible threats to their lives.

Terry Gou shook up the race to be Taiwan’s next president by declaring his candidacy as an independent. The founder of Foxconn, which assembles the iPhone and other devices, failed this year for the second time to secure the candidacy of the Kuomintang (KMT) party, which favours closer relations with China. The front-runner for January’s poll remains Lai Ching-te, the vice-president from the ruling Democratic Progressive Party, and the only candidate who takes a tough line on China.

Meanwhile Taiwan warned of the potential for a “sharp increase” in military tensions with China, as 12 Chinese aircraft crossed into its air-defence zone.

A court in Pakistan suspended Imran Khan’s conviction on corruption charges pending his appeal in the case. But the former prime minister will remain in jail as he is on remand in another case. Mr Khan says the 100 or so charges brought against him since he was ousted from power last year are politically motivated.

Australia set October 14th as the date for a referendum on whether the constitution should be altered to create an advisory body for Aboriginals and Torres Strait Islanders. Opinion polls point to rising support for a no vote.

Grant Shapps was appointed as Britain’s new defence secretary. He replaces the widely respected Ben Wallace, who at one point was considered for the job of NATO secretary-general.

Green light, red light

London’s ultra-low emission zone was expanded to all the city’s boroughs. Now all drivers of cars that do not meet certain emissions standards will be charged. The expansion is unpopular in outer London, which is poorer than inner London, and comes amid cost-of-living concerns. Despite calls from his Labour Party to reconsider, the mayor, Sadiq Khan, remained resolute in pressing ahead with the scheme. But the backlash has caused Mr Khan to shelve plans for zero-emission zones in the city.

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Battle between ‘fringe’ candidate and ex-Tory reflects schism in N.B. politics

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FREDERICTON – A riding in southwest New Brunswick that for decades was a Progressive Conservative stronghold is shaping up to be a bellwether that could offer a window into the future of the Tory party, and maybe of the province.

The Progressive Conservatives are putting up Faytene Grasseschi, an activist and Christian TV host, in the Hampton-Fundy-St. Martins riding. The Liberals, meanwhile, have also nominated a conservative — at least a former one.

John Herron, a two-term Progressive Conservative member of Parliament, agreed to join the Liberals because of the threat he said his opponent represents. His candidacy is a reflection of the schism among the Progressive Conservatives, many of whom have chosen to sit this election out because of the direction they said the party is going under Tory Leader Blaine Higgs, who is seeking a third term in office.

“Realistically, there are just two candidacies who could win this seat,” Herron told a meet and greet in the riding earlier this week, organized by the local chamber of commerce.

He didn’t mince words: “Ours and this version of the Conservatives, whose candidacy lives outside the fringes of this riding, and who represents an extreme fringe politics that goes beyond the moderate traditions of the province.”

Grasseschi told the crowd that she decided to get involved in provincial politics last summer, during the controversy that erupted when the Higgs government forced teachers to get parental consent before they could use the preferred first names and pronouns of transgender and nonbinary students under 16. The change triggered outcry across the country, including from Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.

But Higgs persisted, saying parents must be informed if their children are questioning their gender identity.

Grasseschi said her desire to run for office came when “I witnessed a senior citizen being assaulted,” referring to the 70-year-old premier of New Brunswick.

“He was being assaulted by the liberal media because he took a stand for parents, for the simple position that things shouldn’t be hidden from loving parents when it comes to their minors at school.”

Many Tories don’t agree with Higgs and Grasseschi. Twelve members of the Progressive Conservatives elected in 2020 chose not to run again, some citing the direction Higgs was taking the party. The Tory leader also faced a mutiny by disaffected riding association presidents who tried and failed to oust him as leader.

Higgs has said Grasseschi’s arrival has attracted “a lot of new members to the party,” and that he was not concerned that her beliefs could alienate socially progressive people. “We have a very diverse population and it is becoming more diverse. And we must respect the individual rights, freedoms and beliefs of each individual.”

J.P. Lewis, a political science professor at the University of New Brunswick in Saint John, said if the Progressive Conservatives and Grasseschi win, then that would be the “clearest test” of the direction of the party.

“It could be a sign that the party membership, or the eventual caucus, are shifting to a different place.”

Lewis said the riding is also interesting because of Grasseschi’s high social media profile. She is a well-known figure in Christian conservative circles and is the author of several books.

In one of her books, “Marked,” published in 2009 under her maiden name Kryskow, she wrote about God speaking to her and described same-sex marriage as a threat to traditional marriage — even suggesting it could lead to man being able to marry a dog.

Grasseschi, Lewis said, has “become the face of Higgs’s move further to the right again. Because she’s higher profile, because of her YouTube following and things like that, and because of the fact that the nomination contest actually got news coverage, which many don’t … I think for all those reasons, (this riding) is significant.”

One way to gauge whether voters are happy with the choice in Grasseschi is how many people show up to pick Higgs’s candidate, Lewis said. In 2020, the Progressive Conservatives got 4,351 votes, 61 per cent; Liberals got 1,084, good for 15 per cent; and the Greens took 816 votes, or 11 per cent.

Kent McNeilly, a resident of the riding who attended the meet and greet, said the results of the election in the riding could signal whether politics in the province is moving further to the right.

“This riding they used to say … federally and provincially, you can put a blue coat on a dog, and he’d win. Very rarely do we not go blue,” he said, referring to the Conservatives. “But there’s a good possibility that we might not go blue this time.”

Green candidate Laura Myers said the fact that former Tories are running on Liberal tickets speaks more about the direction of the Progressive Conservative party than anything else.

A number of people are disenchanted with the federal Liberal government, and that displeasure has trickled down to provincial politics, Myers noted. But she also said people have told her they are unhappy with the incumbent Tories.

Myers said she has lived in the riding for 34 years and usually Green candidates did not expect to win. “And now, I mean, I would say everything has changed . … I think the Greens have some momentum, and not just in this riding.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 5, 2024.

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Eby promises $75 million rural health loan forgiveness plan at Okanagan campaign stop

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VERNON, B.C. – NDP Leader David Eby is promising to offer a $75-million loan forgiveness program to entice doctors, nurses and heath professionals to expand health-care services in rural British Columbia.

Eby’s pledge comes as hospitals in rural B.C. face periods of emergency closures due primarily to staff shortage issues.

“There are challenges out there, like rural emergency rooms and staffing in smaller centers, and that’s what today’s announcement is all about,” said Eby at an outdoor news conference at a municipal park in Vernon on the shores of Lake Okanagan.

“We need to win the competition for doctors and nurses, both nationally and internationally,” he said.

Interior Health said Friday that emergency rooms at South Okanagan General Hospital in the Okanagan community of Oliver will be closed Saturday due to “limited physician availability.” Patients are advised to travel to Penticton for emergency care.

Eby said the program will offer student loan forgiveness of between $10,000 and $20,000 in return for doctors, nurses and other health-care professionals guaranteeing to stay in a rural community for a minimum of five years.

“The goal here is to make sure that when people are looking for a place to practice, they think about smaller centers in British Columbia, and they think about British Columbia and they prioritize working here,” he said.

Eby also pledged to reduce administrative restrictions facing midwives to enable easier access to abortion care, especially in rural areas.

The midwives will also be able to provide intrauterine device insertions, sexually transmitted infection tests and and provision of care for sexual assaults, he said.

Eby and B.C. Conservative Leader John Rustad both campaiged in the Okanagan Saturday, with both leaders making morning announcements in Vernon.

Rustad, who was also scheduled to be in Kelowna, promised to improve wildfire prevention and protect communities, especially in the Okanagan area which has been hit hard by wildfires.

Kelowna and West Kelowna were ravaged by wildfires last summer that forced thousands of people from their homes and damaged or destroyed almost 200 structures.

A statement from the B.C. Conservative Party says that if elected, they will call for a comprehensive review of current wildfire policies while shifting the focus to wildfire prevention, including investing in new technologies to reduce wildfire risks before the fires start.

Rustad said in the statement that the Okanagan and other parts of the province have suffered devastating losses because the NDP continues to focus on firefighting rather than fire prevention.

“We need to flip the script. The math is backwards — under Eby, we’re spending nine times more fighting fires than we are preventing them. It’s time for a better strategy that prioritizes prevention and safety,” Rustad said in the statement.

Green Leader Sonia Furstenau spent Saturday canvassing and attending a series of events in Victoria.

Election day is on Oct. 19 and British Columbians will be able to begin voting in advance polls on Oct. 10.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 5, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Eby defends B.C.’s speculation tax increase, says it will create more needed rentals

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VANCOUVER – New Democrat Leader David Eby is defending plans to increase British Columbia’s speculation tax on empty homes because he says it works.

He says the tax saw 20,000 vacant homes in Metro Vancouver rented out since its introduction in 2017 and he expects more rental opportunities will result from the increase.

The NDP’s election platform calls for the tax on vacant second properties to increase to one per cent of assessed value for Canadian owners from the current .5 per cent.

The New Democrats say the tax will increase to three per cent of assessed value for foreign property owners from the current 1.5 per cent.

Eby says they don’t actually want people to pay the tax and the best loophole people can use is to rent our their home.

Green Party Leader Sonia Furstenau is in Cowichan Bay with two of her candidates to announce what they’re calling “a new vision for B.C.’s forests,” which includes a ban on old-growth logging and making big firms pay their fair share in taxes, while stopping industry subsidies.

The announcement comes after she spent Thursday promoting her party’s promise to increase social and disability assistance rates to $2,400 per month, and provide a guaranteed income for youth aging out of care.

B.C. Conservative Leader John Rustad is in Kelowna to make an announcement after the Conservatives said they would eliminate B.C.’s nearly $9-billion deficit within two terms of government.

British Columbia’s election day is on Oct. 19.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 4, 2024

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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