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Poll: Real estate prices a problem for more than half of Canadians

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Grousing (or gloating) about high real estate prices is no longer confined to Vancouver and Toronto.

Real estate prices are shooting up across the country.

As COVID hit, predictions were that real estate would fall by 18%. Instead, house prices across the country rose by 25%, starting a boom that has not subsided for the last year.

The national average home price reached a record $678,091 in February; prices are expected to rise more than 16% again this year.

The ability to work from home has changed people’s ideas about the three main rules of real estate — location, location, location — and now property prices in suburban areas, small towns, and cottage country are rising fast.

A new Angus Reid poll on home ownership and attitudes toward the housing market shows a widening chasm between the haves and the have-nots.

(And more reason to hate baby boomers.)

The housing market is prompting Canadians to take sides, with about 40% of those polled hoping real estate prices will continue to rise and around the same — 39% — hoping prices will fall.

One in five people polled (22%) are hoping for an actual crash, with prices falling 30% or more; that this would blow up the entire economy is either lost on these people or they don’t care.

However, as the poll noted, this is an undeniable indicator “of the amount of housing pain people are experiencing coast to coast, in large communities and small.”

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Given those findings, the Angus Reid cross-Canada poll created a Housing Pain Index to illustrate what Canadians are going through, dividing people into four groups: The Happy, The Comfortable, The Uncomfortable and The Miserable.

All four groups are well represented across Canada. Income counts, but age is a more predictive indicator of a person’s placement in the Housing Pain Index than any other demographic.

The small group — 13% of the populace — known as The Happy are older, higher income, likely to own a home, and likely to have owned that home for more than 15 years.

Three quarters (73%) of that crowd no longer pays a mortgage.

The Comfortable, about 26% of the population, are also older and higher income;70% are homeowners, of which 62% have paid off their mortgage. Renters in this group say their rent is reasonable.

The Uncomfortable, interestingly enough, span every income and age group and are found in every province at around the 35% mark.

More than half own homes (60%) and more than 82% of those homeowners have a mortgage. Only half say mortgage payments are handled fairly easily.

The Miserable, who are 24% of the population, are younger, have lower incomes, and are 42% renters. Eight in 10 who don’t own a house say they’d like one but can’t afford it.

The homeowners among them have mortgages (97%); only 10% can afford their payments easily.

Timing counts. The Happy and the Comfortable are more likely (90%) to have entered the market more than 15 years ago.

Half in the Uncomfortable or Miserable category bought in the last two to five years; that rises to 72% when one includes buyers who purchased in the last 12 months.

Sadly, at least 55% of residents canvassed in every province are either Uncomfortable or Miserable.

On average, 50% of Canadians, regardless of where they live, think housing in their area is too expensive.

Income matters, obviously, but every income level appears in each of the four Housing Pain Index categories.

About 14% of the Happy earn less than $25,000 a year, for example, while 19% of those in the Miserable bracket earn $100,000 or more and 9% earn $150,000 or more.

Canadians are united in their disdain for how officials have handled runaway real estate prices. An overwhelming majority in every province criticized their provincial government’s handling of housing affordability.

Angus Reid polled 5,004 Canadians who answered a series of questions on their current personal finances and housing situation.

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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