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Post Betts Trade Power Shift in the AL East

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The basic framework of the three-team deal, in the works for weeks and which obviously involves a large salary relief component for Boston, is as follows:

To Dodgers: 2018 AL MVP Mookie Betts and 2012 AL Cy Young David Price

To Red Sox: 23-year old OF Alex Verdugo (from LA), 21-year old RHP Brusdar Graterol (from Twins)

To Twins: RHP Kenta Maeda (from L.A.)

Players Involved

Verdugo hit .294/.342/.475 with 12 homers in 106 games with L.A. last season. Graterol was among the Twins top prospects (#83 on the recently updated MLB top-100), and is known for a fastball that can reach triple digits, according to MLB.com.

RHP Kenta Maeda, 31, goes to the Twins and is signed through the 2023 season. He’s posted a 3.19 ERA and 3.13 FIP as a reliever since 2017 (compared to a 4.12 ERA and 3.84 FIP as a starter across that same span), and has a 3.87 ERA with 9.8 K/9, 2.7 BB/9, 1.18 HR/9 and a 40.9% ground-ball rate over 589 career MLB innings.

The Dodgers can afford to take on much of the salaries of Betts and Price in trying to win their first World Series title since 1988, but they also enter 2020 with the third-best farm system in baseball, with five top-100 prospects according to MLB.com. That includes the #2 overall prospect in SS Gavin Lux, #23 prospect in RHP Dustin May, and #44 prospect in SS/2B Jeter Downs. None of them are involved in this trade.

In last week’s Baseball Prospectus update of their top-100 prospects, unsurprisingly there were no Red Sox. MLB Pipeline only ranks one Red Sox prospect in their top-100, A Advanced league 1B Triston Casas at #77.

In LHH Verdugo, the Sox acquire a young outfielder who has already proven capable of hitting major league pitching. He was considered “one of the best pure-hitting prospects in baseball” by MLB.com ahead of the 2018 season, and was ranked the No. 19 prospect overall by Baseball Prospectus ahead of the 2019 season.

Graterol instantly becomes the best prospect in the Red Sox farm system, with a 99-mph sinker, 88-mph slider and four-seam changeup at just 21 years of age. In his 2019 big league debut,  he struck out 10 and gave up five runs on 10 hits and two walks over 9 2/3 innings. Graterol shredded the minors with 230 strikeouts and a 2.48 ERA in 214 innings over four seasons. Of his 51 appearances, 41 were as a starter.

Betts, 27, who agreed to a record $27 million in arbitration for 2020, becomes an UFA next offseason and there was no guarantee the Red Sox would be able to re-sign the former AL MVP and 4X Gold Glove winner (think Mike Trout’s 12-year, $426 million deal with the Angels). He’s also a 4X All-Star, 3X Silver Slugger and won the batting title in his 2018 MVP campaign, slashing .346/.438/.640/1.078 all just in six MLB seasons.

Price, 34, is owed $96 million over the next three seasons. After his World Series heroics with the Sox in 2018, Price struggled with injuries last season, posting a 4.28 ERA in 107 1/3 innings. He’s a 5X All-Star and in addition to his 2012 Cy Young, has won the ERA title twice in his 12-year MLB career with Tampa, Detroit, Toronto and Boston.

World Series Odds

The trade immediately makes the Yankees and Dodgers the “odds on” favourites to advance to the 2020 World Series. The Yankees signed ace Gerrit Cole and lost nothing devastating from a 103-win team. Now, the Dodgers have obtained Mookie Betts to join a largely unchanged 106-win roster, and the trades of Maeda and a separate trade of Joc Pederson to the Angels, plus the expectation that Boston is taking on about half of Price’s remaining three years at $96 million means the Dodgers might not even go over the $208 million luxury-tax threshold.

AL East Fallout

New Red Sox chief of baseball operations Chaim Bloom immediately fulfills his mandate from owner John Henry to make the team younger and to free up salary cap space to get under the luxury tax threshold of $208 million for 2020. Spotrac sees Boston’s updated competitive balance tax payroll at $192 million post trade assuming the Red Sox pick up $16 million of David Price’s contract in 2020 and $48 million of the remaining $96 million over the next three seasons.

Trading away an AL MVP and their injury-plagued #2 starter suggests the Red Sox are re-tooling on the fly. This is in no way a tear down or a rebuild given a roster including Chris Sale, Jackie Bradley Jr., Eduardo Rodriguez, Xander Bogaerts, J.D. Martinez, Andrew Benintendi and Rafael Devers, but they do get younger with Verdugo under team control for the next five years and Graterol for the next six.

Does this open the door for the Blue Jays to compete for a wildcard slot in 2020?  Maybe, but unlikely. Pre-trade, MLB projected that Toronto will win 79 games in 2020. That could change given they face the suddenly less competitive Red Sox nineteen times this year. Should they go 14-5 now instead of 9-10 in their head-to-head matchup with Boston, that’s potentially 5+ more wins.

It certainly doesn’t hurt to lose two bWAR monsters from the AL East, with Betts at 6.8 in 2019 and at 42 over the past six seasons. His 2020 projected stats are .297/.386/.540/.926 with 27 HRs and 79 RBI.

Projections
Year Tm Age PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS TB
2020 Proj. 27 614 528 111 157 39 4 27 79 18 3 76 92 .297 .386 .540 .926 285

Price had a 1.9 bWAR last season but generated 10.8 wins above replacement since 2016 with the Red Sox.

Projections
Year Tm Age W L W-L% ERA SV IP H R ER HR BB IBB SO WHIP H9 HR9 BB9 SO9 SO/W
2020 Proj. 34 9 6 .600 4.15 1 130.0 124 65 60 19 42 1 137 1.277 8.6 1.3 2.9 9.5 3.26

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Arch Manning to get first start for No. 1 Texas as Ewers continues recovery from abdomen strain

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AUSTIN, Texas (AP) — No. 1 Texas will start Arch Manning at quarterback Saturday against Louisiana-Monroe while regular starter Quinn Ewers continues to recover from a strained muscle in his abdomen, coach Steve Sarkisian said Thursday.

It will be the first career start for Manning, a second year freshman. He relieved Ewers in the second quarter last week against UTSA, and passed for four touchdowns and ran for another in a 56-7 Texas victory.

Manning is the son of Cooper Manning, the grandson of former NFL quarterback Archie Manning, and the nephew of Super Bowl-winning QBs Peyton and Eli Manning.

Ewers missed several games over the previous two seasons with shoulder and sternum injuries.

The Longhorns are No. 1 for the first time since 2008 and Saturday’s matchup with the Warhawks is Texas’ last game before the program starts its first SEC schedule against Mississippi State on Sept. 28.

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Former Canada captain Atiba Hutchinson tells his story in ‘The Beautiful Dream”

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Making 104 senior appearances for Canada over a 20-year span, Atiba Hutchinson embodied quiet professionalism and leadership.

“He’s very humble but his influence is as strong as I’ve ever seen on men,” said former national team coach John Herdman.

“For me it was just a privilege, because I’ve had the honour to work with people like (former Canada women’s captain Christine) Sinclair. And Atiba, he’s just been a gift to Canada,” he added.

Hutchinson documents his journey on and off the field in an entertaining, refreshingly honest memoir called “The Beautiful Dream,” written with Dan Robson.

The former Canada captain, who played for 10 national team coaches, shares the pain of veteran players watching their World Cup dream slip away over the years.

Hutchinson experienced Canada’s lows himself, playing for a team ranked No. 122 in the world and 16th in CONCACAF (sandwiched between St. Kitts and Nevis and Aruba) back in October 2014.

Then there was the high of leading his country out at the 2022 World Cup in Qatar after a 36-year absence by the Canadian men.

And while he doesn’t throw anyone under the bus — for example, he notes the missed penalty kick in Canada’s World Cup opener in Qatar against Belgium without mentioning the taker (Alphonso Davies, whom he is very complimentary to) — he shares stories that paint a picture.

He describes the years of frustration the Canadian men experienced, with European club teammates ridiculing his commitment to the national team. In one telling story about a key World Cup qualifier in Honduras in October 2012, he relates learning in the dressing room before the match that the opposition players had been promised “land or homes” by their federation if they won.

“Meanwhile an executive from the Canadian Soccer Association entered and told us that we’d each receive an iPad or an iPod if we won,” Hutchinson writes.

Needing just a draw to advance to the final round of CONCACAF qualifying, Canada was trounced 8-1. Another World Cup campaign ended prematurely.

Hutchinson writes about the turnaround in the program under Herdman, from marvelling “at how good our younger players were” as he joined the team for World Cup qualifying ahead of Qatar to Canada Soccer flying the team to a game in Costa Rica “in a private jet that was swankier than anything I’d ever seen the federation pay for.”

Canada still lost 1-0, “a reminder we weren’t there yet,” he notes.

And Hutchinson recalls being “teary-eyed” during Canada’s memorable World Cup 2-1 qualifying win over Mexico in frigid Edmonton in November 2021.

“For the first time we had the respect of the other countries … We knew we had been viewed as an easy win by opponents like Mexico. Not anymore,” he writes.

The Canadian men, currently ranked 38th in the world, have continued their rise under coach Jesse Marsch

“I’m extremely proud to see how far we’ve come along,” Hutchinson said in an interview.

“Just to see what’s happening now with the team and the players that have come through and the clubs they’re playing at — winning leagues in different parts of Europe and the world,” he added. “It’s something we’ve never had before.”

At club level, Hutchinson chose his teams wisely with an eye to ensuring he would get playing time — with Osters and Helsingborgs IF in Sweden, FC Copenhagen in Denmark, PSV in the Netherlands and Besiktas in Turkey, where he payed 10 seasons and captained the side before retiring in June 2023 at the age of 40.

Turkish fans dubbed him “The Octopus” for his ability to win the ball back and hold onto it in his midfield role.

But the book reveals many trials and tribulations, especially at the beginning of his career when he was trying to find a club in Europe.

Today, Hutchinson, wife Sarah and their four children — ranging in age from one to nine — still live in Istanbul, where he is routinely recognized on the street.

He expects to get back into football, possibly coaching, down the line, but for the moment wants to enjoy time with his young family. He has already tried his hand as a TV analyst with TSN.

Herdman, for one, thought Hutchinson might become his successor as Canada coach.

Hutchinson says he never thought about writing a book but was eventually persuaded to do so.

“I felt like I could help out maybe some of the younger kids growing up, inspire them a bit,” he said.

The book opens with a description of how a young Hutchinson and his friends would play soccer on a lumpy patchy sandlot behind Arnott Charlton Public School in his native Brampton, Ont.

In May, Hutchinson and Brampton Mayor Patrick Brown celebrated the opening of the Atiba Hutchinson Soccer Court, an idea Hutchinson brought to Brampton city council in March 2022.

While Hutchinson’s playing days may be over, his influence continues.

“The Beautiful Dream, A Memoir” by Atiba Hutchinson with Dan Robson, 303 pages, Penguin Random House, $36.

Follow @NeilMDavidson on X platform, formerly known as Twitter

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024

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Canada to face three-time champion Germany in Davis Cup quarterfinals

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LONDON – Canada will meet three-time champion Germany in the Davis Cup quarterfinals in Malaga, Spain this November.

Canada secured a berth in the quarterfinals — also called The Final 8 Knockout Stage — with a 2-1 win over Britain last weekend in Manchester, England.

World No. 21 Felix Auger-Aliassime of Montreal anchored a five-player squad that included Denis Shapovalov of Richmond Hill, Ont., Gabriel Diallo of Montreal, Alexis Galarneau of Laval, Que., and Vasek Pospisil of Vernon, B.C.

The eight-team draw for the quarterfinals was completed Thursday at International Tennis Federation headquarters.

Defending champion Italy will play Argentina, the United States will meet Australia and Spain will take on the Netherlands. Schedule specifics have yet to be released but the Final 8 will be played Nov. 19-24.

Tim Puetz and Kevin Krawietz were unbeaten in doubles play last week to help Germany reach the quarterfinals. The country’s top singles player — second-ranked Alex Zverev — did not play.

The Canadians defeated Germany in the quarterfinals en route to their lone Davis Cup title in 2022. Germany won titles in 1988, ’89 and ’93.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 19, 2024.

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