Posthaste: Canadian oilpatch is enjoying a rare positive moment — will it last? - Financial Post | Canada News Media
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Posthaste: Canadian oilpatch is enjoying a rare positive moment — will it last? – Financial Post

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Seasoned oilpatch investors have learned never to get too excited about a few positive price movements, but they can at least let out a sigh of relief as Brent crude prices crossed US$45 and the U.S. crude benchmark remained well above US$40 per barrel this week.

Oil is trending higher this morning too, after the American Petroleum Institute said that crude stocks fell by 4 million barrels last week, compared to analysts’ expectations for a draw of 2.9 million barrels.

The 16-company S&P/TSX Capped Energy Index also enjoyed a rare good day yesterday, jumping 2.13 per cent but remains catastrophically wounded, down 47 per cent for the year.

Oslo-based Rystad Energy notes that positive comments about recovering demand in Asia by Saudi Arabian Oil Co., or Aramco, has boosted confidence that demand is on the right track at least in the world’s most energy-thirsty region.

“On the other side of the globe, talks of a coronavirus-related economic relief in the U.S. help boost confidence among oil and gas firms, that have so far lacked the funds to invest this year, or were simply avoiding the risk in a depressed market,” said Rystad analyst Bjornar Tonhaugen in a note.

Energy consultancy IHS has been even more bullish, revising upward its average price of Brent to US$42.35 per barrel in 2020 and US$49.25 per barrel in 2021 — up US$7.09 and US$5.25, respectively, from its outlook in May.

“Emerging bruised and battered from the worst of the COVID-19 outbreak, oil markets are now at a delicate pivot point as they transition” to the next phase of recovery IHS said in a report last week.

In Canada, two acquisitions valued at more than $950 million also suggests the market may have bottomed out and larger players with cash are comfortable enough to splash some cash on assets being offered at a bargain.

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. bought Montney-focused Painted Pony Energy Ltd. for $461 million earlier this week, while last month U.S. oil major ConocoPhillips agreed to buy assets from Kelt Exploration Ltd in the same shale oil play for $500 million.

Citibank Group expects the U.S. ‘shale gale’ to remain subdued for the next two years, which would help cap global oil supply and make room for Canadian output.

“Over 2020-21, the declines in U.S. oil production due to the oil price crash now look fairly locked-in through mid-to-end-2021, with production mostly some 2-3-million bpd below January 2020 levels,” Citi said in a note Tuesday.

“Even as prices have recovered to the US$40s, temporary supply curtailments are reversing, but production trajectories are still lower over 2020-21 than they otherwise would have been.”

There has also been some other morsels of good news for the Canadian oilpatch lately.

A White House permit issued in July raised the cross-border shipping limit for TC Energy Corp.’s Keystone pipeline to 760,000 barrels a day, from 590,000 bpd.

The U.S. government is also contemplating a massive infrastructure bill, which would be positive for oil demand and for bitumen, which is a key product needed to build roads.

“On the heavy oil side, MEG (Energy Ltd.) stated that it is seeing interest from USGC (U.S. Gulf Coast) refiners to do longer contracts than just buying on the spot market. This is a good indicator of potential tightness, according to management,” EightCapital analysts said in a note. “Also, PADD II (MidWest) refiners are expressing concerns on lack of heavy oil supply. This is supportive of our continued bullish view on global heavy oil dynamics.”

Still, there have been many false dawns for the oil market, with more infighting between OPEC members and its allies or the return of coronavirus cases in strong numbers capable of derailing the recovery.

A win for Joe Biden and his newly appointed running mate Kamala Harris — who co-sponsored the original Green New Deal —, in the U.S. presidential elections in November, could spell trouble for the oilpatch next year.

“Overall, caution is the word. A batch of good indications will always help the bulls, but seeing the bigger picture it may make much more sense to expect a slow recovery, not only in oil demand, but also in prices,” Rystad’s Tonhaugen said.

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Roots sees room for expansion in activewear, reports $5.2M Q2 loss and sales drop

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TORONTO – Roots Corp. may have built its brand on all things comfy and cosy, but its CEO says activewear is now “really becoming a core part” of the brand.

The category, which at Roots spans leggings, tracksuits, sports bras and bike shorts, has seen such sustained double-digit growth that Meghan Roach plans to make it a key part of the business’ future.

“It’s an area … you will see us continue to expand upon,” she told analysts on a Friday call.

The Toronto-based retailer’s push into activewear has taken shape over many years and included several turns as the official designer and supplier of Team Canada’s Olympic uniform.

But consumers have had plenty of choice when it comes to workout gear and other apparel suited to their sporting needs. On top of the slew of athletic brands like Nike and Adidas, shoppers have also gravitated toward Lululemon Athletica Inc., Alo and Vuori, ramping up competition in the activewear category.

Roach feels Roots’ toehold in the category stems from the fit, feel and following its merchandise has cultivated.

“Our product really resonates with (shoppers) because you can wear it through multiple different use cases and occasions,” she said.

“We’ve been seeing customers come back again and again for some of these core products in our activewear collection.”

Her remarks came the same day as Roots revealed it lost $5.2 million in its latest quarter compared with a loss of $5.3 million in the same quarter last year.

The company said the second-quarter loss amounted to 13 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended Aug. 3, the same as a year earlier.

In presenting the results, Roach reminded analysts that the first half of the year is usually “seasonally small,” representing just 30 per cent of the company’s annual sales.

Sales for the second quarter totalled $47.7 million, down from $49.4 million in the same quarter last year.

The move lower came as direct-to-consumer sales amounted to $36.4 million, down from $37.1 million a year earlier, as comparable sales edged down 0.2 per cent.

The numbers reflect the fact that Roots continued to grapple with inventory challenges in the company’s Cooper fleece line that first cropped up in its previous quarter.

Roots recently began to use artificial intelligence to assist with daily inventory replenishments and said more tools helping with allocation will go live in the next quarter.

Beyond that time period, the company intends to keep exploring AI and renovate more of its stores.

It will also re-evaluate its design ranks.

Roots announced Friday that chief product officer Karuna Scheinfeld has stepped down.

Rather than fill the role, the company plans to hire senior level design talent with international experience in the outdoor and activewear sectors who will take on tasks previously done by the chief product officer.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:ROOT)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Talks on today over HandyDART strike affecting vulnerable people in Metro Vancouver

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VANCOUVER – Mediated talks between the union representing HandyDART workers in Metro Vancouver and its employer, Transdev, are set to resume today as a strike that has stopped most services drags into a second week.

No timeline has been set for the length of the negotiations, but Joe McCann, president of the Amalgamated Transit Union Local 1724, says they are willing to stay there as long as it takes, even if talks drag on all night.

About 600 employees of the door-to-door transit service for people unable to navigate the conventional transit system have been on strike since last Tuesday, pausing service for all but essential medical trips.

Hundreds of drivers rallied outside TransLink’s head office earlier this week, calling for the transportation provider to intervene in the dispute with Transdev, which was contracted to oversee HandyDART service.

Transdev said earlier this week that it will provide a reply to the union’s latest proposal on Thursday.

A statement from the company said it “strongly believes” that their employees deserve fair wages, and that a fair contract “must balance the needs of their employees, clients and taxpayers.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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