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Property values of Calgary’s downtown office buildings appear to have stabilized

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The property values of Calgary’s downtown office buildings appear to have stabilized after a sharp drop last year but home prices are still falling, according to assessment data released Thursday by the city.

Calgary has yet to recover from a downturn in the oil sector that began in 2014, with the downtown still dotted with empty office space and sidewalks that remain quiet because of stubbornly high unemployment. However, the city’s office-space values may have finally found bottom, according to the new data.

The city’s 2020 assessment is based on the value of properties on July 1, 2019.

The average value of office buildings in Calgary increased by 1 per cent last year. The slight increase is a positive development for a real estate sector that withstood a 32-per-cent drop in office values in last year’s assessment. City assessor Nelson Karpa said that while early indications are positive for 2020, compared with the previous “dramatic decline,” he’s not yet ready to announce that a recovery is under way. “I’m not so sure I’d be prepared to call it just yet,” he told reporters at City Hall.

While retail and industrial properties are gaining value, the residential side of the city’s ledger has continued to fall after dropping by 1 per cent in the 2019 assessment. The average Calgary home lost $20,000 in value last year, about 4 per cent. Over the past two years, the value has dropped from $480,000 to $455,000. The average condominium had a slightly larger dip in value over the same two-year period.

The overall value of Calgary’s assessment roll fell to $301-billion, losing $5-billion over the past year. The province’s economy has sputtered since the summer, failing to gain steam as energy prices have remained subdued.

The struggling real estate market has had a significant impact on Calgary’s finances over the past year, leading council to consider a number of cuts to balance its budget. The city has dipped into its savings in recent years to keep tax increases down, an option that’s no longer viable, according to Calgary’s mayor.

The downtown office market, which represented one-third of the city’s tax base as recently as 2015, has seen values plummet in recent years. Tens of thousands of jobs have been lost in the city’s energy sector, pushing the unemployment rate up to 7.4 per cent in November. Delays in pipeline construction have led to concerns that a full recovery in the energy sector could be years away.

The values of some of the city’s most expensive office towers show persistent trouble in Calgary’s economy. The Bow Tower, which opened in 2013 and dominates the skyline, increased in value by 1.32 per cent to $772-million. The building was worth nearly $1-billion two years ago. A few blocks away, Bankers Hall lost another 13 per cent of its value after dropping about 20 per cent in last year’s assessment. The building, worth $895-million in 2017, is now valued at $622-million, according to its new assessment.

“The bleeding has stopped, but it’s still pretty bad out there. The question now is how long we’ll stay at the bottom and when we’ll start growing,” said Greg Kwong, the Alberta managing director for commercial realtor CBRE.

The vacancy rate in the office market is hovering around 27 per cent, according to Mr. Kwong, with about 11.5 million vacant square feet of office space, down slightly from last year but still high. “It’s a symptom of the bigger problem, which is unemployment. We have up to 80,000 people who were working in the downtown core five years ago who aren’t there anymore. Ultimately we need to get the oil patch back on its feet,” he said.

Alberta’s protracted economic downturn extended to Edmonton, where the capital city’s residential market experienced a 2.7-per-cent decrease, according to its assessment unveiled on Thursday. The value of the average commercial and industrial property in Edmonton fell by 2.9 per cent over the past year.

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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