Quebec pension hit with real estate loss as 'hostile' market persists - BNN Bloomberg | Canada News Media
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Quebec pension hit with real estate loss as ‘hostile’ market persists – BNN Bloomberg

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Quebec’s public pension manager reported a 7.2 per cent return in 2023, as losses in real estate detracted from big gains in its credit and stock portfolios.

Caisse de Depot et Placement du Quebec has restructured its real estate business, shifting capital to apartments and industrial properties, but it wasn’t enough to offset problems in the office sector. The fund manager posted a 6.2 per cent loss on its $46 billion property portfolio — the only asset class for which it had a negative return last year.

Nathalie Palladitcheff, the head of Ivanhoe Cambridge, CDPQ’s real estate arm, described last year’s environment as “hostile.” High interest rates and low occupancy have created a difficult outlook for office owners and their lenders, with more than $1 trillion in commercial real estate loans set to mature by the end of next year.

“The increase in rates impacts both the valuation and the cost of debt, and this resulted in a very significant drop in transactional volumes on a global scale,” Palladitcheff said, referring to the broader real estate market. “They have been halved in Europe, halved in the United States, even an 80 per cent drop in transactions in Germany, for example.”

In equity markets, Canada’s second-largest pension fund benefited from its high exposure to the technology sector with a 17.7 per cent gain. But CDPQ’s private equity portfolio recorded just a 1 per cent increase, as rising financing costs impacted private companies.

The fund’s net assets grew by $32 billion to end last year at $434 billion. It’s a shift from 2022’s results, when the firm posted its worst annual return since the global financial crisis.

CDPQ’s assets under management have grown by almost $100 billion since the beginning of 2020.

“We may reach a crossroads in the year ahead, with many central banks likely to pivot, but the scope and sequence remain unknown,” CDPQ Chief Executive Officer Charles Emond said in a statement. “With a backdrop of downward but persistent inflationary pressure combined with lingering volatility, our portfolio remains well-positioned to keep delivering the long-term returns our depositors need.”

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Mortgage rule changes will help spark demand, but supply is ‘core’ issue: economist

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TORONTO – One expert predicts Ottawa‘s changes to mortgage rules will help spur demand among potential homebuyers but says policies aimed at driving new supply are needed to address the “core issues” facing the market.

The federal government’s changes, set to come into force mid-December, include a higher price cap for insured mortgages to allow more people to qualify for a mortgage with less than a 20 per cent down payment.

The government will also expand its 30-year mortgage amortization to include first-time homebuyers buying any type of home, as well as anybody buying a newly built home.

CIBC Capital Markets deputy chief economist Benjamin Tal calls it a “significant” move likely to accelerate the recovery of the housing market, a process already underway as interest rates have begun to fall.

However, he says in a note that policymakers should aim to “prevent that from becoming too much of a good thing” through policies geared toward the supply side.

Tal says the main issue is the lack of supply available to respond to Canada’s rapidly increasing population, particularly in major cities.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17,2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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National housing market in ‘holding pattern’ as buyers patient for lower rates: CREA

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OTTAWA – The Canadian Real Estate Association says the number of homes sold in August fell compared with a year ago as the market remained largely stuck in a holding pattern despite borrowing costs beginning to come down.

The association says the number of homes sold in August fell 2.1 per cent compared with the same month last year.

On a seasonally adjusted month-over-month basis, national home sales edged up 1.3 per cent from July.

CREA senior economist Shaun Cathcart says that with forecasts of lower interest rates throughout the rest of this year and into 2025, “it makes sense that prospective buyers might continue to hold off for improved affordability, especially since prices are still well behaved in most of the country.”

The national average sale price for August amounted to $649,100, a 0.1 per cent increase compared with a year earlier.

The number of newly listed properties was up 1.1 per cent month-over-month.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

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Two Quebec real estate brokers suspended for using fake bids to drive up prices

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MONTREAL – Two Quebec real estate brokers are facing fines and years-long suspensions for submitting bogus offers on homes to drive up prices during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Christine Girouard has been suspended for 14 years and her business partner, Jonathan Dauphinais-Fortin, has been suspended for nine years after Quebec’s authority of real estate brokerage found they used fake bids to get buyers to raise their offers.

Girouard is a well-known broker who previously starred on a Quebec reality show that follows top real estate agents in the province.

She is facing a fine of $50,000, while Dauphinais-Fortin has been fined $10,000.

The two brokers were suspended in May 2023 after La Presse published an article about their practices.

One buyer ended up paying $40,000 more than his initial offer in 2022 after Girouard and Dauphinais-Fortin concocted a second bid on the house he wanted to buy.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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