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RE/MAX Canada | Why Have Toronto Real Estate Prices Not Crashed? – RE/MAX News

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In only a few short months, the COVID-19 pandemic decimated the global economy and permanently altered our lives. When the world rang in a new decade, nobody could have envisioned a virus outbreak and the resulting “new normal” for consumers, businesses and governments for the years to come. Some experts forecast that it could take years before we return to any semblance of normalcy, whether in the way we interact with each other or how financial markets function.

Since the public health crisis has affected every facet of the economy worldwide, all eyes have been on the red-hot Canadian real estate market. Closer to home, buyers and owners alike are waiting to see if Toronto will finally witness a drop in condominium and house prices. While it’s difficult to project long-term trends, recent figures indicate real estate Toronto prices are far from crashing.

Did April Showers Bring May Flowers? 

In April, the economic fallout of COVID-19 and the many social distancing guidelines triggered a deep freeze in the Toronto regional real estate market. A month later, there was an unexpected rebound.

According to May figures released by the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB), home prices in Toronto and across the GTA were up 3 per cent year-over-year, to $863,599. In the 416 area, detached houses climbed 2.7 per cent and condos picked up 1.8 per cent. However, fewer transactions are taking place, with 4,606 properties changing hands in May – a 53.7-per-cent decline year-over-year but up 55.2 per cent compared to April 2020.

Overall, the real estate market has held steady throughout the financial crisis. While transactions have slumped since the coronavirus pandemic crippled the Canadian economy, average prices have remained resilient.

Why Have Toronto Real Estate Prices Not Crashed?

So, what is happening in one of the country’s hottest markets? The broader numbers show many people out of work, businesses shut down and rising household debt levels. At the same time, there has been sustained activity in the number of buyers compared to available listings. This is one of the chief factors in supporting price growth relative to last year’s pace, despite shifting market conditions.

Those who have kept their employment and refrained from dipping into their down-payment savings are in a good position to take advantage of lower borrowing costs. In March, the Bank of Canada (BoC) imposed a 50-basis-point emergency cut to interest rate, lowering its benchmark rate to 0.25 per cent. This is allowing buyers to borrow greater amounts of money at a lower cost over time. The institution has also pumped billions of liquidity into the financial system, making lenders more confident in issuing loans.

The federal government has employed measures to prevent a full-blown economic meltdown. Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. (CMHC) has supported lenders to cover the cost of mortgage deferrals. In a broader policy tool, the government implemented a wage subsidy program to help employers keep staff on payroll, helping millions continue to collect paycheques and cover their bills.

According to the Canadian Bankers Association (CBA), approximately half a million big-bank borrowers have been approved for mortgage payment deferrals during the pandemic. Banks are ostensibly already planning to work with customers in establishing flexible repayment plans. This has prevented homeowners from flooding the market with properties to avoid defaults.

Put simply, there are still plenty of buyers due to the market-friendly monetary and fiscal conditions driven by Ottawa and the central bank.

The Use of Technology in Real Estate

Another reason for the healthy level of activity within the Toronto real estate market is the commendable and innovative solutions adopted by real estate professionals to help transactions take place as smoothly and safely as possible.

The sector has done an incredible job adapting to the situation. At the beginning of the pandemic, the Ontario government announced that real estate offices were an essential service, allowing them to continue operating during this chaotic time. But the real estate industry has taken other necessary precautions as well.

To mitigate any health risks, realtors have utilized technology to support the home-buying process. They have leveraged digital listings, virtual tours, video conferencing, e-document and electronic signatures. When in-person showings are required, agents have continued to show properties under strict safety measures that include wearing face masks and gloves, having scheduled appointment, and showing the house or unit to no more than two adults at a given time.

What is the Future of Toronto Real Estate?

Over the last 6 weeks, there have been some dire projections for Toronto and the national real estate market. However, as the plethora of economic data has already highlighted, many of the findings are a lot better than what was forecasted earlier in the pandemic. Although the industry consensus is that the future is uncertain, the economics of the outbreak suggests it is not all storm clouds ahead. The fundamentals of the housing market are the same as they were before the pandemic: a huge demand and a short supply. This has not changed, and until it does, you can expect real estate prices in Toronto will not crash.

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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