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Real danger existed during Economy Falls hiker incident, participants say – TheChronicleHerald.ca

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TRURO, N.S. —

Standing on a ledge part way up Economy Falls with a frantic dog that had just fallen over the top, Tyler Dolliver figured the best chance of survival for both he and the golden retriever was to call 911.

“Apparently the dog fell over the top about 30 feet down and landed on a ledge about 80 feet up,” the Onslow resident said. “I was a bit panicked. It was dangling near the edge there and it was not a good spot to be in.”

Dolliver had hiked into the falls with his wife Krystal and were making their way to the bottom when he heard what turned out to be a dog yelping in distress.

“About three quarters of the way down we heard what we thought was kids playing or like a dog playing, something like that. We heard squeaks and stuff, we didn’t think it was anything ominous,” he said.

When they got to the bottom the sounds became more distinctive so he climbed up to see what he could do.

“By the time I got there, there was already some pretty close calls and I’m petrified of heights,” Dolliver said.

At that point, he hollered down to his wife to call for help. Heading back up the trail, Krystal ran into the dog’s owner, Tammy Hovey of Bible Hill, and the friend she was hiking with, frantically making their way down. The friend (who was not available to give permission to use her name) climbed out on the rocks towards Dolliver to help.

“I didn’t believe it was going to be safe for me and the dog to come down … because I was now stuck on the ledge and the dog was frantic, and if he had got off that ledge, he would not have made it. Not a damn chance.”

Eventually, Dolliver and Hovey’s friend began making their way, as he painstakingly lowered himself a bit more than a metre at a time and then lifted the dog down behind him.

“I would lower myself down about five feet and then pull the dog to my chest…with the falls running down (over) us.”

With Hovey’s friend assisting, the pair would stop every so often to catch their breath and over the course of about an hour, made it to the bottom.

They had just barely done so, Dolliver said, when members of the Economy Fire Department appeared on the scene in response to the 911 call. When they saw the situation had been resolved, the emergency response team turned and went back up the trail, he said.

Later, in an interview with SaltWire Network, fire chief Geoff MacLaughlin expressed frustration that his members had been called out, what on the surface, appeared to be nothing more than a nuisance call.

“That’s what you get when you don’t pay attention,” MacLaughlin said, at the time, in a telephone interview. “They got themselves out and they are fine,” he said. “I think everyone is more annoyed than anything. That’s what you get when you don’t put your dog on a leash.”

That response, however, did not sit well with Dolliver. While giving the responders credit for arriving at the scene quickly and although he wanted it made clear that he did not want to express negative comments about anyone involved, he felt the firefighters could have taken a bit more time to fully understand the situation that had evolved.

“They seemed irritated definitely. They didn’t seem to grasp what just happened.”

And after seeing the chief’s published comments, Dolliver said he felt the other side of the story should be told.

“It was such a negative story without them having the back story of what happened. It’s such a sad state in today’s affairs,” he said.

And while Dolliver also agreed it would be best for hikers to keep their dogs on a leash, he doesn’t feel that is what the focus should have been on at that time.

“I can tell you if that dog wasn’t as smart as he was and those owners weren’t as good as they were, that dog and maybe one of us never would have made it off the hill,” he said.

“I know the emotions and the fear I went through and I know that we used that number and the service 100 per cent for the way it needed to be.”

Hovey said her dog is a one-year-old golden retriever, named Hemi. And while it normally stays at her side when they are walking, she believes he heard the sound of the water and just took off.

“Hemi just got away from us and in a split second he was gone, so there wasn’t really a whole lot we could do about it,” she said.

Hovey had also called 911 as soon as Hemi went over the falls because they did not know whether he had been hurt.

But she said they were “were just over the moon that Tyler was there and was already climbing up the waterfall to get Hemi…” as they made their way down the trail.

“Tyler was awesome. We were so thankful for him being there and can’t thank him enough for being there. He never even gave it a second thought. He went right up to get him. He was great.”

Hovey said she also called 911 back to cancel paramedic assistance and she both thanked and apologized to the emergency responders.

Having had never been to the falls before, she acknowledged that they could have taken better precaution.

“We own that, and we took that responsibility and apologized for calling and getting everybody up and rolling.”

But Hovey said the call for help was made at a point when she truly believed it was needed.

“It just seemed that the fire chief was very, very upset that I had called. But we didn’t know if the dog was hurt and if we could get him down,” she said.

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Ontario Introduces Legislation to Protect Public Health as Economy Reopens – Government of Ontario News

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Proposed Bill Would Provide Flexibility to Address the Ongoing Threat of COVID-19

TORONTO — Today, the Ontario government introduced proposed legislation that, if passed, would give the province the necessary flexibility to address the ongoing risks and effects of the COVID-19 outbreak. The proposed legislation is part of the government’s plan for the continued safe and gradual reopening of the province once the declaration of emergency ends.

Details about the proposed legislation were provided today by Premier Doug Ford, Christine Elliott, Deputy Premier and Minister of Health, and Solicitor General Sylvia Jones.

“If passed, the proposed legislation would allow us to chart a responsible path to economic reopening and recovery without putting all the progress we’ve made in fighting this virus at risk,” said Premier Ford. “Even as we continue certain emergency orders under the proposed legislation to protect public health, we will always be a government accountable to the people of Ontario. That’s why I will ensure ongoing updates are provided and that a report is tabled within four months of the anniversary of this proposed Act coming into force.”

“While the declaration of emergency may come to an end shortly, the risk posed by COVID-19 is likely to be with us for some time to come,” said Solicitor General Sylvia Jones. “This new legislation would provide the government with the necessary flexibility to ensure select tools remain in place to protect vulnerable populations, such as seniors, and respond to this deadly virus.”

The Reopening Ontario (A Flexible Response to COVID-19) Act, 2020 would, if passed, ensure important measures remain in place to address the threat of COVID-19 once the provincial declaration of emergency has ended. Specifically, the legislation would:

  • Continue emergency orders in effect under the Emergency Management and Civil Protection Act (EMCPA) under the new legislation for an initial 30 days.
  • Allow the Lieutenant Governor in Council to further extend these orders for up to 30 days at a time, as required to keep Ontarians safe.
  • Allow the Lieutenant Governor in Council to amend certain emergency orders continued under the EMCPA if the amendment relates to:
    • labour redeployment or workplace and management rules;
    • closure of places and spaces or regulation of how businesses and establishments can be open to provide goods or services in a safe manner;
    • compliance with public health advice; or
    • rules related to gatherings and organized public events.
  • Not allow new emergency orders to be created.
  • Allow emergency orders to be rescinded when it is safe to do so.

The ability to extend and amend orders under the new legislation would be limited to one year, unless extended by the Ontario legislature. Appropriate oversight and transparency would be ensured through regular, mandated reporting that provides the rationale for the extension of any emergency order. The legislation would include the same types of provisions on offences and penalties as set out under the EMCPA to address non-compliance with orders.

Quick Facts

  • The termination of the provincial emergency declaration under the EMCPA, or the passage of the proposed Act, would not preclude a head of council of a municipality from declaring under the EMCPA that an emergency exists in any part of the municipality or from continuing such a declaration.
  • The termination of the provincial emergency declaration under the EMCPA, or the passage of the proposed Act, would not preclude the exercise of the powers under the Health Protection and Promotion Act by Ontario’s Chief Medical Officer of Health or local medical officers of health.
  • The Government of Ontario declared a provincial declaration of emergency under s.7.0.1 of the EMCPA on March 17, 2020. The declaration has been extended under s.7.0.7 of the EMCPA and is in place until July 15, 2020, allowing the province to continue to make new emergency orders or amend existing orders under the EMCPA until that date.
  • On June 26, 2020, emergency orders then in effect that were made under section 7.0.2 of the EMCPA were extended to July 10.
  • A full list of current emergency orders in effect under the EMCPA can be found on the e-Laws website under the EMCPA and at Ontario.ca/alert.

Additional Resources

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William Watson: My hunch is the economy will bounce back quickly when this ‘Great Compression’ ends – Financial Post

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George Santayana meet Milan Kundera. Santayana (1863-1952) was the Spanish-born American philosopher most famous for saying: those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it. Kundera (1929-) is a Czech-born French writer whose best-known work, “The Unbearable Lightness of Being,” holds that individual experience is “light” because it is not repeated. So its capacity to teach is limited. Which thinker, I wonder, is the best guide to the COVID economy?

The economists Robert Hall of Stanford University and Marianna Kudlyak of the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank have recently discovered a remarkable regularity about the 11 postwar U.S. recessions: however high the unemployment rate rises it pretty much always declines at the rate of 0.85 percentage points per year.

In 2020, that is terrible news. As they write, with the unemployment rate about “nine percentage points above normal … it would take 11 years (nine divided by 0.85) to work off the pandemic’s bulge of unemployment as it currently stands.” (Granted, that was before the rate fell 2.2 points from May to June alone.)

The saving grace is that the current recession is like no other in American — or Canadian — history

We only just completed a long labour market recovery from the crash of 2008 (though we did complete it, with unemployment rates hitting long-term lows). No one wants another 10-year slog back to full employment. As three economists from the C.D. Howe Institute show elsewhere on this page, if the recovery does turn out to be slow, then in terms of accumulated lost output the current downturn will at least rival and may even “blow past” the other big recessions of recent memory (1982 and 1990).

The saving grace is that the current recession is like no other in American — or Canadian — history. (Take that, Santayana!) In fact it’s not so much a recession, with economic activity ebbing for reasons that often seem mysterious, as it is a compression. The Great Compression, you might call it. For reasons everyone understands though not everyone agrees with, the government hammered the economy shut for a couple of months by either literally outlawing many normal economic interactions or at least strongly discouraging them.

Will the recovery from such an unprecedented shutdown follow the pattern of previous recoveries (i.e., slow but inevitable) or will it go more quickly? My hunch is that when the compression does end the economy will bounce back relatively quickly. Hall and Kudlyak at least hold out that possibility, pointing to data showing that the overwhelming majority of today’s unemployed “anticipate being recalled to jobs from which they have been temporarily laid off, within the coming six months.” In the best-case scenario, these workers “return to their existing jobs rapidly without sacrificing their job-specific human capital” or going through the normal try-it-and-quit, try-it-and-quit search for a job that finally fits.

The last few data points from the U.S. are encouraging in this regard, with unemployment claims falling and employment and growth expectations rising faster than forecast.

What could go wrong? A second wave of the virus, obviously — though future lockdowns will be more targeted and therefore less costly economically.

Beyond that, there are three main problems.

First, the lucky among us have been working and earning as usual but spending less, either because things we like to spend on simply haven’t been available or because we fear our jobs are at risk, too. That creates a classic Keynesian problem of underconsumption. But figuring ways to encourage consumption shouldn’t be a problem for our tax policy people. Over the years they’ve devised all sorts of gimmicks to encourage this or that. Egging on ordinary consumption would be a novel challenge for them but one they can overcome. And it doesn’t require building new transportation systems or massive new solar arrays.

Second, we’ve got a structural problem: no one wants to fly, stay at hotels, ride the subway, dine out or go to movies or shows until doing so is safe again. There’s no Keynesian solution for that. The people in the affected industries either have to figure out ways to make it safe or find something else to do, whether for a time or for good. Travel agents, good with phones, could become contact-tracers. Pilots could operate heavy equipment. Chefs, projectionists, actors, salespeople and countless others? Jobs building infrastructure likely won’t help.

Our third big problem is government getting in the way. Relief money phases out too slowly. Infrastructure programs — probably the wrong answer anyway — take too long to come on line (they always do!). “Stimulus packages” get devoured by rent-seekers and the government’s pet projects.

With a leadership vacuum at the top the U.S. seems likely to have a ramshackle, unplanned recovery. But its first shoots are bright green and very promising. My bet is we in Canada take a much more scientific, planned and deliberate approach and, as a result, recovery takes a lot longer — especially if, looking down our noses at southern-state infection rates, we keep the border closed into the fall.

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Stocks slide from one-month high on economy jitters – BNN

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European stocks dropped from a one-month high as officials warned the economy will take longer to recover and Germany reported weaker-than-expected industrial data. U.S. futures slid and the dollar advanced.

All but one of the 19 industry groups in the Stoxx Europe 600 Index fell, with real estate and technology shares bearing the brunt of the selling. Bayer AG lost 5.5 per cent after its plan for handling future Roundup cancer claims hit a snag. Treasuries edged higher alongside most European bonds.

In Asia, Chinese stocks powered ahead for a sixth day, although at a slower pace. Iron ore futures jumped and the offshore yuan briefly strengthened through the 7 per dollar level for the first time since March.

Investors are catching their breath after a ferocious rally that pushed the Nasdaq Composite to a record high. While recent reports show that global economy could be past the worst of the slump, it’s a long road back to pre-crisis levels.

The European Commission gave its starkest warning yet about the impact of the pandemic, with the divergences between richer and poorer countries opening up even further than projected two months ago. Officials now forecast a contraction of 8.7 per cent in the euro area this year, a full percentage point deeper than previously predicted.

Here are some key events coming up:

  • The EIA crude oil inventory report comes Wednesday.
  • All eyes will be on the U.S. weekly jobless claims report on Thursday.
  • Singapore holds its general election on Friday.
  • Rate decisions in Australia and Malaysia Tuesday.

These are the main moves in markets:

Stocks

  • Futures on the S&P 500 Index declined one per cent as of 10:45 a.m. London time.
  • The Stoxx Europe 600 Index sank 1.1 per cent.
  • The MSCI Asia Pacific Index declined 0.7 per cent.
  • The MSCI Emerging Market Index sank 0.7 per cent.

Currencies

  • The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index jumped 0.5 per cent.
  • The euro decreased 0.4 per cent to US$1.1266.
  • The British pound fell 0.2 per cent to US$1.2469.
  • The onshore yuan weakened 0.1 per cent to 7.025 per dollar.
  • The Japanese yen weakened 0.4 per cent to 107.73 per dollar.

Bonds

  • The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined one basis point to 0.67 per cent.
  • The yield on two-year Treasuries climbed less than one basis point to 0.16 per cent.
  • Germany’s 10-year yield declined one basis point to -0.44 per cent.
  • Britain’s 10-year yield fell one basis point to 0.192 per cent.
  • Japan’s 10-year yield increased one basis point to 0.046 per cent.

Commodities

  • West Texas Intermediate crude sank 1.5 per cent to US$40.04 a barrel.
  • Brent crude fell 1.2 per cent to US$42.60 a barrel.
  • Gold weakened 0.5 per cent to US$1,776.29 an ounce.

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