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Republican wave could prove emboldening for left-leaning Democrats on Capitol Hill

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WASHINGTON — Their arrival atop a cresting “blue wave” of Democrats in 2018, two years into the caustic presidency of Donald Trump, heralded a bold new era of young, diverse and left-leaning political power on Capitol Hill.

Four years later, the prospect of a countervailing Republican wave in the 2022 midterm elections stands poised to embolden and empower the bulk of the change-minded progressive caucus inside President Joe Biden’s party.

Wait, what?

Welcome to the polarized world of U.S. politics, where the forces of change tend to wash away the moderate swing-vote middle, leaving only the safe-seat edges of the ideological spectrum as shelter from the coming electoral storm.

“In effect, if a party gets wiped out, the caucus becomes more extreme — it moves closer to the ideological end,” said Michael Berkman, director of the McCourtney Institute for Democracy at Penn State University.

“So I’m not sure that (progressives) lose power. In fact, they may gain power — both because they’re a larger percentage of the overall Democratic caucus, but also because they can say, ‘We lost —you should have listened to us.’”

They are far from infallible, of course: the perception that moderates are more electable is a big reason why Biden — not Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren or Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders — won the Democratic nomination for president in 2020.

A number of progressive Democrats failed to survive primary season, notably in New York, where the rise to power of Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez four years ago was a breakthrough moment for liberals.

And while the state’s moderate incumbent governor, Kathy Hochul, steamrolled leftist rival Jumaane Williams in the primaries, she now finds herself in a closer-than-expected battle with Republican challenger Lee Zeldin.

Minnesota Rep. Ilhan Omar, one of the most prominent and controversial members of the coalition of progressive Capitol Hill Democrats known as “the Squad,” narrowly squeaked through a primary challenge earlier this year — a closer call than she’s expected to face next week defending her solidly Democratic seat.

Nor are established progressives safe by any means: Cook Political Report, one of the most closely watched political barometers in Washington, this week moved California Rep. Katie Porter’s Orange County district into the “toss-up” category.

In a recent interview with Politico, Sanders, a self-described socialist who’s long served as the standard-bearer for progressive politics in Washington, dismissed the notion that liberal Democrats have been keeping a low profile this cycle.

Quite the opposite, said Sanders, who sees his mission as mobilizing younger voters.

“If we do not create a sense of excitement in young people and working-class people and our voter turnout is not high in a midterm election, I think Democrats may be in a lot of trouble,” he said.

“That’s what we are trying to do.”

Berkman is quick to point out that he’s not predicting a Republican blowout in next week’s midterm elections. But conventional political wisdom and recent polling both suggest the momentum is with the GOP.

Should that come to pass, the surviving progressive members of the Democratic caucus will likely find a measure of freedom in being out of power in Congress.

“Those more ideological members are at a real advantage now, because they don’t have to make policy, they don’t have to pass bills and they’re totally in an oppositional role,” Berkman said.

“They’re trying to make policy when they’re in the majority, but they’re not going to be trying to make policy when they’re in the minority.”

But while progressives may take on a more oppositional role in Congress, one place they are likely to find themselves with less leverage is the White House, said Chris Sands, director of the Canada Institute at the D.C.-based Wilson Center.

Previous Democratic presidents found themselves forced to adopt a more centrist posture when dealing with a Republican Congress — and that’s likely to be the case for Biden, whose party, too, will be dealing with a new political reality.

“The thing that happened to both Clinton and Obama is once they had a foil — whether it was a House or Senate chamber run by the Republicans — they had an ability to navigate closer to the center in American politics,” Sands said.

“They could say to the progressives pushing the envelope on one end, ‘Look, I don’t like them any more than you do, but if we’re going to get things done, we have to find a way to peel off some of these votes and we have to work with their leadership.’”

Whatever happens, the next two years in Congress are likely to be turbulent, Berkman said.

Republicans have vowed everything from impeachment proceedings against Biden to congressional investigations of his son Hunter, whose finances have long been an object of fascination for the president’s political enemies.

And noted bomb-throwers like Georgia Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene could well find themselves playing more prominent roles within the House and the party machinery, he added.

“I’m not sure I can even imagine what the next couple of years is going to be like,” Berkman said.

“Marjorie Taylor Greene moving into the leadership of the House Republican party — what would it mean for the party if that were the case? All signals are to me that she probably is being elevated within that party.

“So what else is she interested in, beyond chaos?”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 3, 2022.

 

James McCarten, The Canadian Press

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‘Disgraceful:’ N.S. Tory leader slams school’s request that military remove uniform

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HALIFAX – Nova Scotia Premier Tim Houston says it’s “disgraceful and demeaning” that a Halifax-area school would request that service members not wear military uniforms to its Remembrance Day ceremony.

Houston’s comments were part of a chorus of criticism levelled at the school — Sackville Heights Elementary — whose administration decided to back away from the plan after the outcry.

A November newsletter from the school in Middle Sackville, N.S., invited Armed Forces members to attend its ceremony but asked that all attendees arrive in civilian attire to “maintain a welcoming environment for all.”

Houston, who is currently running for re-election, accused the school’s leaders of “disgracing themselves while demeaning the people who protect our country” in a post on the social media platform X Thursday night.

“If the people behind this decision had a shred of the courage that our veterans have, this cowardly and insulting idea would have been rejected immediately,” Houston’s post read. There were also several calls for resignations within the school’s administration attached to Houston’s post.

In an email to families Thursday night, the school’s principal, Rachael Webster, apologized and welcomed military family members to attend “in the attire that makes them most comfortable.”

“I recognize this request has caused harm and I am deeply sorry,” Webster’s email read, adding later that the school has the “utmost respect for what the uniform represents.”

Webster said the initial request was out of concern for some students who come from countries experiencing conflict and who she said expressed discomfort with images of war, including military uniforms.

Her email said any students who have concerns about seeing Armed Forces members in uniform can be accommodated in a way that makes them feel safe, but she provided no further details in the message.

Webster did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

At a news conference Friday, Houston said he’s glad the initial request was reversed but said he is still concerned.

“I can’t actually fathom how a decision like that was made,” Houston told reporters Friday, adding that he grew up moving between military bases around the country while his father was in the Armed Forces.

“My story of growing up in a military family is not unique in our province. The tradition of service is something so many of us share,” he said.

“Saying ‘lest we forget’ is a solemn promise to the fallen. It’s our commitment to those that continue to serve and our commitment that we will pass on our respects to the next generation.”

Liberal Leader Zach Churchill also said he’s happy with the school’s decision to allow uniformed Armed Forces members to attend the ceremony, but he said he didn’t think it was fair to question the intentions of those behind the original decision.

“We need to have them (uniforms) on display at Remembrance Day,” he said. “Not only are we celebrating (veterans) … we’re also commemorating our dead who gave the greatest sacrifice for our country and for the freedoms we have.”

NDP Leader Claudia Chender said that while Remembrance Day is an important occasion to honour veterans and current service members’ sacrifices, she said she hopes Houston wasn’t taking advantage of the decision to “play politics with this solemn occasion for his own political gain.”

“I hope Tim Houston reached out to the principal of the school before making a public statement,” she said in a statement.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

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Saskatchewan NDP’s Beck holds first caucus meeting after election, outlines plans

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REGINA – Saskatchewan Opposition NDP Leader Carla Beck says she wants to prove to residents her party is the government in waiting as she heads into the incoming legislative session.

Beck held her first caucus meeting with 27 members, nearly double than what she had before the Oct. 28 election but short of the 31 required to form a majority in the 61-seat legislature.

She says her priorities will be health care and cost-of-living issues.

Beck says people need affordability help right now and will press Premier Scott Moe’s Saskatchewan Party government to cut the gas tax and the provincial sales tax on children’s clothing and some grocery items.

Beck’s NDP is Saskatchewan’s largest Opposition in nearly two decades after sweeping Regina and winning all but one seat in Saskatoon.

The Saskatchewan Party won 34 seats, retaining its hold on all of the rural ridings and smaller cities.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

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Nova Scotia election: Liberals say province’s immigration levels are too high

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HALIFAX – Nova Scotia‘s growing population was the subject of debate on Day 12 of the provincial election campaign, with Liberal Leader Zach Churchill arguing immigration levels must be reduced until the province can provide enough housing and health-care services.

Churchill said Thursday a plan by the incumbent Progressive Conservatives to double the province’s population to two million people by the year 2060 is unrealistic and unsustainable.

“That’s a big leap and it’s making life harder for people who live here, (including ) young people looking for a place to live and seniors looking to downsize,” he told a news conference at his campaign headquarters in Halifax.

Anticipating that his call for less immigration might provoke protests from the immigrant community, Churchill was careful to note that he is among the third generation of a family that moved to Nova Scotia from Lebanon.

“I know the value of immigration, the importance of it to our province. We have been built on the backs of an immigrant population. But we just need to do it in a responsible way.”

The Liberal leader said Tim Houston’s Tories, who are seeking a second term in office, have made a mistake by exceeding immigration targets set by the province’s Department of Labour and Immigration. Churchill said a Liberal government would abide by the department’s targets.

In the most recent fiscal year, the government welcomed almost 12,000 immigrants through its nominee program, exceeding the department’s limit by more than 4,000, he said. The numbers aren’t huge, but the increase won’t help ease the province’s shortages in housing and doctors, and the increased strain on its infrastructure, including roads, schools and cellphone networks, Churchill said.

“(The Immigration Department) has done the hard work on this,” he said. “They know where the labour gaps are, and they know what growth is sustainable.”

In response, Houston said his commitment to double the population was a “stretch goal.” And he said the province had long struggled with a declining population before that trend was recently reversed.

“The only immigration that can come into this province at this time is if they are a skilled trade worker or a health-care worker,” Houston said. “The population has grown by two per cent a year, actually quite similar growth to what we experienced under the Liberal government before us.”

Still, Houston said he’s heard Nova Scotians’ concerns about population growth, and he then pivoted to criticize Prime Minister Justin Trudeau for trying to send 6,000 asylum seekers to Nova Scotia, an assertion the federal government has denied.

Churchill said Houston’s claim about asylum seekers was shameful.

“It’s smoke and mirrors,” the Liberal leader said. “He is overshooting his own department’s numbers for sustainable population growth and yet he is trying to blame this on asylum seekers … who aren’t even here.”

In September, federal Immigration Minister Marc Miller said there is no plan to send any asylum seekers to the province without compensation or the consent of the premier. He said the 6,000 number was an “aspirational” figure based on models that reflect each province’s population.

In Halifax, NDP Leader Claudia Chender said it’s clear Nova Scotia needs more doctors, nurses and skilled trades people.

“Immigration has been and always will be a part of the Nova Scotia story, but we need to build as we grow,” Chender said. “This is why we have been pushing the Houston government to build more affordable housing.”

Chender was in a Halifax cafe on Thursday when she promised her party would remove the province’s portion of the harmonized sales tax from all grocery, cellphone and internet bills if elected to govern on Nov. 26. The tax would also be removed from the sale and installation of heat pumps.

“Our focus is on helping people to afford their lives,” Chender told reporters. “We know there are certain things that you can’t live without: food, internet and a phone …. So we know this will have the single biggest impact.”

The party estimates the measure would save the average Nova Scotia family about $1,300 a year.

“That’s a lot more than a one or two per cent HST cut,” Chender said, referring to the Progressive Conservative pledge to reduce the tax by one percentage point and the Liberal promise to trim it by two percentage points.

Elsewhere on the campaign trail, Houston announced that a Progressive Conservative government would make parking free at all Nova Scotia hospitals and health-care centres. The promise was also made by the Liberals in their election platform released Monday.

“Free parking may not seem like a big deal to some, but … the parking, especially for people working at the facilities, can add up to hundreds of dollars,” the premier told a news conference at his campaign headquarters in Halifax.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

— With files from Keith Doucette in Halifax

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