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Republicans not just breaking the rules of politics, they are annihilating them

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Supporters of former President Donald Trump gather near his Mar-A-Lago home after he was indicted on a new set of charges related to the mishandling of classified documents on June 11 in Palm Beach, Fla.Scott Olson/Getty Images

If we’ve learned anything about American civic affairs in recent years, it’s this: The iron laws of politics are made to be broken.

Donald Trump has broken them, his rivals for the Republican presidential nomination have broken them, Joe Biden has broken them. The rules of the road of the country’s politics have been swept to the side of the road.

It’s not that established rules were not broken before. It was a rule that Democrats didn’t undertake a frontal assault on racial segregation, until Lyndon Johnson did; the 36th president pushed for the Civil Rights Act of 1964 and the Voting Rights Act of 1965. It was a rule that Republican presidential candidates couldn’t win Southern states, until Richard Nixon did; he competed heavily in Dixie and made the South part of what came to be known, in the phrase of Republican theorist Kevin Phillips, “the emerging Republican majority.”

It was a rule that Democratic political candidates couldn’t criticize labour unions until, in the 1984 presidential campaign, senators John Glenn and Gary Hart did; their complaints about the power of “the barons and the bosses” nearly sank the front-running nomination campaign of former vice-president Walter Mondale. And it was a rule that business executives couldn’t win the presidency, until two did; George W. Bush and Donald Trump did what Wendell Willkie, Steve Forbes and Ross Perot couldn’t accomplish.

Now, in the early days of the 2024 presidential election, some of the remaining iron rules have turned to dross:

Presidential campaigns against incumbent presidents are really referenda on the sitting president.

There’s plenty of evidence for that. Franklin Roosevelt won that referendum three times. The election that followed in 1948 was more about Harry Truman than governor Thomas Dewey of New York, just as the 1996 election was more about Bill Clinton than senator Bob Dole. And surely the 2020 election was more about Mr. Trump than Joe Biden. Mr. Biden won largely because he wasn’t Mr. Trump.

But now, as the Great Rematch looms for 2024, the election may be partially on the record – on immigration, the economy and foreign policy – of Mr. Biden, but it really is a referendum on Mr. Trump, who has cast a shadow over this successor far greater than even Herbert Hoover did over FDR in 1933. The question in 2024 is whether the American people want four more years under the influence of Mr. Trump, who has dominated American politics more than any former president, ever.

— Presidential elections are about the future, not the past.

In a country congenitally future-oriented, that has always been the case. Abraham Lincoln’s election was about the future of slavery. Warren Harding and FDR won the presidency because they offered a break from the past. John F. Kennedy was elected promising a “New Frontier” created by “a new generation of leadership.” Barack Obama implicitly, and in rare occasions explicitly, campaigned on creating a fresh era of racial reconciliation.

Not this time. Mr. Trump is re-litigating the 2020 election, which he still insists he won, and in campaign appearances cannot resist returning to the battles of his past: against Hillary Rodham Clinton, against the criticisms of his ties with Russia, against the press, even against Mr. Obama. To the extent that his campaign is future-oriented, it is dominated by threats to the individuals and institutions that have produced the grievances of his past. Conservative politicians are fond of employing Winston Churchill’s remark that “if we open a quarrel between the past and the present, we shall find that we have lost the future.” Mr. Trump has either not encountered that notion or simply cannot heed it.

— Presidential candidates summon the troops by referencing the heroes of their party’s triumphs.

Until the mid-1960s, Democratic presidential candidates invoked the name of FDR, who built the coalition that gave the party victories in seven of the nine elections beginning in 1932. You haven’t heard a Democratic candidate make a triumphal reference to the 32nd president in years. Until the late 1990s, Democratic presidential candidates imitated the style of John F. Kennedy. You haven’t heard a competitive Democratic candidate play the Kennedy card since Mr. Clinton; indeed the only political figure summoning Kennedy overtones is Casey DeSantis, the wife of Florida Governor Ron DeSantis whose couture seems to mimic that of Jacqueline Kennedy. (The campaign of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. doesn’t count. He was born with the Kennedy name.)

It’s not different for the Republicans. In three presidential campaigns, Richard Nixon either sought to personify the aura of Dwight Eisenhower or subtly invoked it. Mr. Eisenhower now is as much a part of the GOP past as James A. Garfield and Rutherford B. Hayes. For years Republicans sought to recapture the mantle and magic of Ronald Reagan. Hardly anyone besides Mike Pence does that anymore, though Senator Tim Scott’s sense of optimism is reminiscent of Mr. Reagan’s, and the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library and Museum is a popular venue for Republican candidates to make major campaign pronouncements. (In that setting, though not in many others, it is inevitable to invoke the name of the 40th president.)

The bottom line: Mr. Trump has so remade the GOP in his own image that his presidential predecessors seem like fallen idols.

— Candidates profit when their rivals encounter trouble.

It was an immutable rule, until it wasn’t. Former president Nixon profited in 1968 when governor George Romney of Michigan said he had a “brainwashing” in Vietnam. (Senator Eugene McCarthy, contemptuous of Mr. Romney’s intelligence, said that a “light rinse” would have done.) Governor Michael Dukakis of Massachusetts emerged as a leading Democratic candidate when senator Gary Hart withdrew from the 1988 race after he was caught in awkward circumstances with a model.

Then came Donald Trump, for whom bad news does not create a bear market. His first indictment proved to be a popularity and financial boom. His court appearance Tuesday after his indictment was the same. Mr. Trump may lack conventional skills, but he possesses one remarkable skill. Even out of office, he strikes down established laws. For Mr. Trump, if not for the nation, bad news is good news.

 

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‘Disgraceful:’ N.S. Tory leader slams school’s request that military remove uniform

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HALIFAX – Nova Scotia Premier Tim Houston says it’s “disgraceful and demeaning” that a Halifax-area school would request that service members not wear military uniforms to its Remembrance Day ceremony.

Houston’s comments were part of a chorus of criticism levelled at the school — Sackville Heights Elementary — whose administration decided to back away from the plan after the outcry.

A November newsletter from the school in Middle Sackville, N.S., invited Armed Forces members to attend its ceremony but asked that all attendees arrive in civilian attire to “maintain a welcoming environment for all.”

Houston, who is currently running for re-election, accused the school’s leaders of “disgracing themselves while demeaning the people who protect our country” in a post on the social media platform X Thursday night.

“If the people behind this decision had a shred of the courage that our veterans have, this cowardly and insulting idea would have been rejected immediately,” Houston’s post read. There were also several calls for resignations within the school’s administration attached to Houston’s post.

In an email to families Thursday night, the school’s principal, Rachael Webster, apologized and welcomed military family members to attend “in the attire that makes them most comfortable.”

“I recognize this request has caused harm and I am deeply sorry,” Webster’s email read, adding later that the school has the “utmost respect for what the uniform represents.”

Webster said the initial request was out of concern for some students who come from countries experiencing conflict and who she said expressed discomfort with images of war, including military uniforms.

Her email said any students who have concerns about seeing Armed Forces members in uniform can be accommodated in a way that makes them feel safe, but she provided no further details in the message.

Webster did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

At a news conference Friday, Houston said he’s glad the initial request was reversed but said he is still concerned.

“I can’t actually fathom how a decision like that was made,” Houston told reporters Friday, adding that he grew up moving between military bases around the country while his father was in the Armed Forces.

“My story of growing up in a military family is not unique in our province. The tradition of service is something so many of us share,” he said.

“Saying ‘lest we forget’ is a solemn promise to the fallen. It’s our commitment to those that continue to serve and our commitment that we will pass on our respects to the next generation.”

Liberal Leader Zach Churchill also said he’s happy with the school’s decision to allow uniformed Armed Forces members to attend the ceremony, but he said he didn’t think it was fair to question the intentions of those behind the original decision.

“We need to have them (uniforms) on display at Remembrance Day,” he said. “Not only are we celebrating (veterans) … we’re also commemorating our dead who gave the greatest sacrifice for our country and for the freedoms we have.”

NDP Leader Claudia Chender said that while Remembrance Day is an important occasion to honour veterans and current service members’ sacrifices, she said she hopes Houston wasn’t taking advantage of the decision to “play politics with this solemn occasion for his own political gain.”

“I hope Tim Houston reached out to the principal of the school before making a public statement,” she said in a statement.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Saskatchewan NDP’s Beck holds first caucus meeting after election, outlines plans

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REGINA – Saskatchewan Opposition NDP Leader Carla Beck says she wants to prove to residents her party is the government in waiting as she heads into the incoming legislative session.

Beck held her first caucus meeting with 27 members, nearly double than what she had before the Oct. 28 election but short of the 31 required to form a majority in the 61-seat legislature.

She says her priorities will be health care and cost-of-living issues.

Beck says people need affordability help right now and will press Premier Scott Moe’s Saskatchewan Party government to cut the gas tax and the provincial sales tax on children’s clothing and some grocery items.

Beck’s NDP is Saskatchewan’s largest Opposition in nearly two decades after sweeping Regina and winning all but one seat in Saskatoon.

The Saskatchewan Party won 34 seats, retaining its hold on all of the rural ridings and smaller cities.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 8, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Nova Scotia election: Liberals say province’s immigration levels are too high

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HALIFAX – Nova Scotia‘s growing population was the subject of debate on Day 12 of the provincial election campaign, with Liberal Leader Zach Churchill arguing immigration levels must be reduced until the province can provide enough housing and health-care services.

Churchill said Thursday a plan by the incumbent Progressive Conservatives to double the province’s population to two million people by the year 2060 is unrealistic and unsustainable.

“That’s a big leap and it’s making life harder for people who live here, (including ) young people looking for a place to live and seniors looking to downsize,” he told a news conference at his campaign headquarters in Halifax.

Anticipating that his call for less immigration might provoke protests from the immigrant community, Churchill was careful to note that he is among the third generation of a family that moved to Nova Scotia from Lebanon.

“I know the value of immigration, the importance of it to our province. We have been built on the backs of an immigrant population. But we just need to do it in a responsible way.”

The Liberal leader said Tim Houston’s Tories, who are seeking a second term in office, have made a mistake by exceeding immigration targets set by the province’s Department of Labour and Immigration. Churchill said a Liberal government would abide by the department’s targets.

In the most recent fiscal year, the government welcomed almost 12,000 immigrants through its nominee program, exceeding the department’s limit by more than 4,000, he said. The numbers aren’t huge, but the increase won’t help ease the province’s shortages in housing and doctors, and the increased strain on its infrastructure, including roads, schools and cellphone networks, Churchill said.

“(The Immigration Department) has done the hard work on this,” he said. “They know where the labour gaps are, and they know what growth is sustainable.”

In response, Houston said his commitment to double the population was a “stretch goal.” And he said the province had long struggled with a declining population before that trend was recently reversed.

“The only immigration that can come into this province at this time is if they are a skilled trade worker or a health-care worker,” Houston said. “The population has grown by two per cent a year, actually quite similar growth to what we experienced under the Liberal government before us.”

Still, Houston said he’s heard Nova Scotians’ concerns about population growth, and he then pivoted to criticize Prime Minister Justin Trudeau for trying to send 6,000 asylum seekers to Nova Scotia, an assertion the federal government has denied.

Churchill said Houston’s claim about asylum seekers was shameful.

“It’s smoke and mirrors,” the Liberal leader said. “He is overshooting his own department’s numbers for sustainable population growth and yet he is trying to blame this on asylum seekers … who aren’t even here.”

In September, federal Immigration Minister Marc Miller said there is no plan to send any asylum seekers to the province without compensation or the consent of the premier. He said the 6,000 number was an “aspirational” figure based on models that reflect each province’s population.

In Halifax, NDP Leader Claudia Chender said it’s clear Nova Scotia needs more doctors, nurses and skilled trades people.

“Immigration has been and always will be a part of the Nova Scotia story, but we need to build as we grow,” Chender said. “This is why we have been pushing the Houston government to build more affordable housing.”

Chender was in a Halifax cafe on Thursday when she promised her party would remove the province’s portion of the harmonized sales tax from all grocery, cellphone and internet bills if elected to govern on Nov. 26. The tax would also be removed from the sale and installation of heat pumps.

“Our focus is on helping people to afford their lives,” Chender told reporters. “We know there are certain things that you can’t live without: food, internet and a phone …. So we know this will have the single biggest impact.”

The party estimates the measure would save the average Nova Scotia family about $1,300 a year.

“That’s a lot more than a one or two per cent HST cut,” Chender said, referring to the Progressive Conservative pledge to reduce the tax by one percentage point and the Liberal promise to trim it by two percentage points.

Elsewhere on the campaign trail, Houston announced that a Progressive Conservative government would make parking free at all Nova Scotia hospitals and health-care centres. The promise was also made by the Liberals in their election platform released Monday.

“Free parking may not seem like a big deal to some, but … the parking, especially for people working at the facilities, can add up to hundreds of dollars,” the premier told a news conference at his campaign headquarters in Halifax.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 7, 2024.

— With files from Keith Doucette in Halifax

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