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Research Says Recession May Help The Creative Economy Prosper

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Recent years have been tough for the creative industries. First, the financial crash that started in 2007 took its toll, and then, the global pandemic of 2020 led many companies to shut their doors permanently. Now, the sector is facing another crisis: a potential global recession. What’s a leader to do?

The current economic climate—on both sides of the Atlantic—is uncertain, with many industries reeling. In the UK, inflation has risen to 10%, the highest level in several years, while real wages are falling. The Pound has slumped against the US dollar, making imported goods more expensive, and so has the Euro, which is down 14% year-to-date (YTD). In the US, meanwhile, the stock market has been volatile, with trade tensions with China weighing on investor confidence. Since March, the Federal Reserve has raised interest rates five times, including three consecutive 75-basis-point rate hikes in June, July and September. The Fed’s actions have been well-received by the markets, with stocks surging to new highs. But some argue that the Fed is behind the curve on inflation and that higher interest rates will only further damper economic growth. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has downgraded its forecast for world economic growth by 0.4% to 3.2%. But the IMF is not alone in its assessment: the OECD has also reduced its growth outlook.

Entrepreneurial leader Marc Bernegger explained in an interview, “The rise of interest rates, inflation and commodity prices invariably indicate recession, and these are undoubtedly taking place right now irrespective of national borders.” However, although he believes the situation looks bleak, there’s hope for the creative economy.

Firstly, in tough fiscal times, consumers flock to entertainment and escapism, which means there will always be demand for innovative products and services. Secondly, many companies are turning to digital platforms to reach their audiences, providing a significant opportunity for the creative economy. Finally, even in these turbulent times, creativity may, in fact, spike creativity, according to the theory of frugal innovation—the process of developing products and services that are simple and affordable yet still offer value to consumers.

That said, frugal innovation is not just about developing new products and services but also about finding new ways of doing things. For example, consider the rise of the sharing economy—predicated on sharing resources instead of owning them—which helped Airbnb, Uber and WeWork proliferate. Moreover, according to an extensive research study sponsored by the British Council, frugal innovation is a valuable tool for leaders of all sectors looking to navigate uncertainty. This consensus emerges from the Creative Spark: Higher Education Enterprise Program—a five-year initiative which began in 2018—to develop entrepreneurship across seven countries: Ukraine, Central Asia (Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan) and South Caucasus (Azerbaijan, Armenia, Georgia). The program engaged with more than 1,200 individuals across the creative industries and found that frugal innovation is a crucial driver of creativity and entrepreneurship. So, although the current economic climate is uncertain, there are still opportunities for leaders to capitalize on.

The Centre for Euro-Asian Studies (CEAS)—a prominent contributor to the British Council program—researched how frugal innovation thrives within the sector and found that economic uncertainty fuels creators. This is because frugal innovation is often born from necessity, as creatives seek to stretch their resources further—leading to remarkable creativity. For example, during the 2008 economic crisis, fashion designers in Spain created entire collections from recycled materials, while in Greece, advertising agencies began offering pro-bono services to small businesses—subsequently dubbed “crisis aesthetic.”

CEAS, which garners a global reputation for studying Euro-Asian countries, considered Kazakhstan’s Entrepreneurial Ecosystem (EE) and EE stakeholders as an instrument to enhance the country’s creative industries and entrepreneurship policy. The results—highly generalizable to other nations—suggest frugal innovation can be fostered by implementing a “growth-oriented” enterprise policy that unites entrepreneurial leaders in clusters based on specialization. Moreover, the policy should focus on providing “soft” infrastructure such as co-working spaces, accelerators and incubators, which can serve as important platforms for promoting knowledge spillovers and social capital accumulation: essential ingredients for frugal innovation because they provide opportunities to interact, network, and exchange knowledge.

Both ingredients can be observed at The Kazakh-British Centre for Competitiveness (KBCC), an international think tank coordinated by the British Council and JSC Science Fund, which emerged from CEAS’s research partnership with the Kazakh-British Technical University’s Business School and IT Faculty.

KBCC is clear: Governments have a role in promoting frugal innovation: an indicative process of trial and error, experimentation and iteration. In other words, it’s a creative process. And that is why the current climate of uncertainty presents an opportunity for the creative industries to thrive. “What government can do is create an environment conducive to creativity and entrepreneurship,” said Richard Meehan in an interview. His assertion is supported by Paul Glover, who added, “This means investing in education, research and development and promoting collaboration between the public and private sectors.”

Meehan and Glover—two members of the Rich Meehan Trio—believe while the current situation may seem bleak, it could be a boon for the creative industries—and other sectors that adopt similar principles. So what does this all mean for leaders?

First and foremost, it’s essential to understand that consumers’ needs and wants will change during a recession, asserted Yelena Kalyuzhnova, Vice Chair of the British Institute of Energy Economics Council, in an interview. Kalyuzhnova, who also leads CEAS, proposes leaders be prepared to pivot their innovation strategy accordingly—for example, adjusting marketing approaches to focus on value rather than luxury.

Secondly, don’t be afraid to experiment—now is the time to fail fast. “Frugal innovation is about doing more with less, so think outside the box and explore alternative approaches,” said Kalyuzhnova. For example, consider the recent rise in popularity of independent musicians, such as Meehan and Glover, using technology to bypass traditional channels, releasing their music faster than their major label counterparts and therefore retaining more creative control over their work. Contemplate how agile principles like these could help disseminate directions more quickly and effectively—using storyboards can help teams communicate ideas more clearly and concisely, and adopting a tool like Jira to help manage and track tasks more efficiently.

Thirdly, embrace collaboration—because two heads are better than one, and three heads are even better. “When resources are tight, it’s important to pool your talents and work together towards a common goal,” said Kalyuzhnova, who yesterday met Lúcio Vinhas de Souza, an advisor at the European External Action Service in Brussels, to discuss the implications of CEAS’s research on public policy. Vinhas de Souza, who until recently, led the economics department of the European Political Strategy Centre (EPSC)—the internal think tank of the European Commission President, said the pair had “useful discussions about the creative industries study Kalyuzhnova managed,” in an email.

Finally, don’t forget the power of storytelling. In these troubled times, people seek narratives that offer hope and inspiration. The best stories can transcend borders and connect us on a deeper level. They remind us of our shared humanity and inspire us to dream. So don’t be afraid to tell your own frugal innovation story—it just might be the thing that inspires someone else to change the world.

In summary, while a recession is challenging for most industries, it could help the creative economy break free from the shackles of the past and embrace a new era of growth and prosperity—because recessions tend to lead to periods of innovation. Moreover, leaders are often more open to new ideas in times of economic hardship because they are more willing to take risks. And, after all, risk-taking is essential when it comes to the creative industries. In fact, many of the world’s most innovative companies—including Apple, Google and Tesla—have already embraced frugal innovation in some regard recently.

Ultimately, frugal innovation is about doing more with less, which we can all benefit from, regardless of our circumstances, and market served. So, what are you waiting for? Now is the time to get creative and embrace frugal innovation.

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A timeline of events in the bread price-fixing scandal

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Almost seven years since news broke of an alleged conspiracy to fix the price of packaged bread across Canada, the saga isn’t over: the Competition Bureau continues to investigate the companies that may have been involved, and two class-action lawsuits continue to work their way through the courts.

Here’s a timeline of key events in the bread price-fixing case.

Oct. 31, 2017: The Competition Bureau says it’s investigating allegations of bread price-fixing and that it was granted search warrants in the case. Several grocers confirm they are co-operating in the probe.

Dec. 19, 2017: Loblaw and George Weston say they participated in an “industry-wide price-fixing arrangement” to raise the price of packaged bread. The companies say they have been co-operating in the Competition Bureau’s investigation since March 2015, when they self-reported to the bureau upon discovering anti-competitive behaviour, and are receiving immunity from prosecution. They announce they are offering $25 gift cards to customers amid the ongoing investigation into alleged bread price-fixing.

Jan. 31, 2018: In court documents, the Competition Bureau says at least $1.50 was added to the price of a loaf of bread between about 2001 and 2016.

Dec. 20, 2019: A class-action lawsuit in a Quebec court against multiple grocers and food companies is certified against a number of companies allegedly involved in bread price-fixing, including Loblaw, George Weston, Metro, Sobeys, Walmart Canada, Canada Bread and Giant Tiger (which have all denied involvement, except for Loblaw and George Weston, which later settled with the plaintiffs).

Dec. 31, 2021: A class-action lawsuit in an Ontario court covering all Canadian residents except those in Quebec who bought packaged bread from a company named in the suit is certified against roughly the same group of companies.

June 21, 2023: Bakery giant Canada Bread Co. is fined $50 million after pleading guilty to four counts of price-fixing under the Competition Act as part of the Competition Bureau’s ongoing investigation.

Oct. 25 2023: Canada Bread files a statement of defence in the Ontario class action denying participating in the alleged conspiracy and saying any anti-competitive behaviour it participated in was at the direction and to the benefit of its then-majority owner Maple Leaf Foods, which is not a defendant in the case (neither is its current owner Grupo Bimbo). Maple Leaf calls Canada Bread’s accusations “baseless.”

Dec. 20, 2023: Metro files new documents in the Ontario class action accusing Loblaw and its parent company George Weston of conspiring to implicate it in the alleged scheme, denying involvement. Sobeys has made a similar claim. The two companies deny the allegations.

July 25, 2024: Loblaw and George Weston say they agreed to pay a combined $500 million to settle both the Ontario and Quebec class-action lawsuits. Loblaw’s share of the settlement includes a $96-million credit for the gift cards it gave out years earlier.

Sept. 12, 2024: Canada Bread files new documents in Ontario court as part of the class action, claiming Maple Leaf used it as a “shield” to avoid liability in the alleged scheme. Maple Leaf was a majority shareholder of Canada Bread until 2014, and the company claims it’s liable for any price-fixing activity. Maple Leaf refutes the claims.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 19, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:L, TSX:MFI, TSX:MRU, TSX:EMP.A, TSX:WN)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX composite up more than 250 points, U.S. stock markets also higher

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 250 points in late-morning trading, led by strength in the base metal and technology sectors, while U.S. stock markets also charged higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 254.62 points at 23,847.22.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 432.77 points at 41,935.87. The S&P 500 index was up 96.38 points at 5,714.64, while the Nasdaq composite was up 486.12 points at 18,059.42.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.68 cents US compared with 73.58 cents US on Thursday.

The November crude oil contract was up 89 cents at US$70.77 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was down a penny at US2.27 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$9.40 at US$2,608.00 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents at US$4.33 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 19, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Construction wraps on indoor supervised site for people who inhale drugs in Vancouver

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VANCOUVER – Supervised injection sites are saving the lives of drug users everyday, but the same support is not being offered to people who inhale illicit drugs, the head of the BC Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS says.

Dr. Julio Montaner said the construction of Vancouver’s first indoor supervised site for people who inhale drugs comes as the percentage of people who die from smoking drugs continues to climb.

The location in the Downtown Eastside at the Hope to Health Research and Innovation Centre was unveiled Wednesday after construction was complete, and Montaner said people could start using the specialized rooms in a matter of weeks after final approvals from the city and federal government.

“If we don’t create mechanisms for these individuals to be able to use safely and engage with the medical system, and generate points of entry into the medical system, we will never be able to solve the problem,” he said.

“Now, I’m not here to tell you that we will fix it tomorrow, but denying it or ignoring it, or throw it under the bus, or under the carpet is no way to fix it, so we need to take proactive action.”

Nearly two-thirds of overdose deaths in British Columbia in 2023 came after smoking illicit drugs, yet only 40 per cent of supervised consumption sites in the province offer a safe place to smoke, often outdoors, in a tent.

The centre has been running a supervised injection site for years which sees more than a thousand people monthly and last month resuscitated five people who were overdosing.

The new facilities offer indoor, individual, negative-pressure rooms that allow fresh air to circulate and can clear out smoke in 30 to 60 seconds while users are monitored by trained nurses.

Advocates calling for more supervised inhalation sites have previously said the rules for setting up sites are overly complicated at a time when the province is facing an overdose crisis.

More than 15,000 people have died of overdoses since the public health emergency was declared in B.C. in April 2016.

Kate Salters, a senior researcher at the centre, said they worked with mechanical and chemical engineers to make sure the site is up to code and abidies by the highest standard of occupational health and safety.

“This is just another tool in our tool box to make sure that we’re offering life-saving services to those who are using drugs,” she said.

Montaner acknowledged the process to get the site up and running took “an inordinate amount of time,” but said the centre worked hard to follow all regulations.

“We feel that doing this right, with appropriate scientific background, in a medically supervised environment, etc, etc, allows us to derive the data that ultimately will be sufficiently convincing for not just our leaders, but also the leaders across the country and across the world, to embrace the strategies that we are trying to develop.” he said.

Montaner said building the facility was possible thanks to a single $4-million donation from a longtime supporter.

Construction finished with less than a week before the launch of the next provincial election campaign and within a year of the next federal election.

Montaner said he is concerned about “some of the things that have been said publicly by some of the political leaders in the province and in the country.”

“We want to bring awareness to the people that this is a serious undertaking. This is a very massive investment, and we need to protect it for the benefit of people who are unfortunately drug dependent.” he said.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 18, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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