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Return on Investment: What to Expect – Motley Fool

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You have one goal when you invest: to make money. And every investor wants to make as much money as possible. That’s why you’ll want to have at least a general idea of what kind of return you might get before you invest in anything.

Return on investment, or ROI, is a commonly used profitability ratio that measures the amount of return, or profit, an investment generates relative to its costs. ROI is expressed as a percentage and is extremely useful in evaluating individual investments or competing investment opportunities. But what is a good ROI?

Image source: Getty Images.

What is a good rate of return? 

There isn’t just one answer to this question. A “good” ROI depends on several factors.

The most important consideration in determining a good ROI is your financial need. For example, suppose a young couple is investing to pay for college tuition for their newborn child. A good ROI for them will be one that enables their initial and ongoing investments to grow enough to pay for college expenses 18 years down the road.

This young family’s definition of a good ROI would be different from that of a retiree who’s seeking to supplement her income. She would consider a good ROI to be a rate of return that generates sufficient recurring income to enable her to live comfortably. Of course, one retiree’s definition of living comfortably could differ from another’s, so their definitions of a good ROI could differ as well.

It’s also important to consider what you’re investing in to evaluate what would be a good rate of return. The following table shows compound annual growth rates (CAGR) — rates of return that assume all profits are reinvested — for several major popular investment assets from 1926 through 2019:

Asset Type Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)
Small-cap stocks 11.9%
Large-cap stocks 10.2%
Government bonds 5.5%
Treasury bills 3.3%

Data source: Morningstar. 

These different historical rates of return underscore a key principle to understand: The higher the risk of a type of investment, the higher the ROI investors will expect. Is an ROI of 8% a good average annual return? The answer is yes if you’re investing in government bonds, which shouldn’t be as risky as investing in stocks. However, many investors probably wouldn’t view an average annual ROI of 8% as a good rate of return for money invested in small-cap stocks over a long period, because such stocks tend to be risky.

Expectations for return from the stock market

Most investors would view an average annual rate of return of 10% or more as a good ROI for long-term investments in the stock market. However, keep in mind that this is an average. Some years will deliver lower returns — perhaps even negative returns. Other years will generate significantly higher returns. 

For example, the following chart shows the S&P 500 index returns for each year since 2010. This chart illustrates the kind of year-to-year volatility that investors can experience with the stock market.

Data source: YCharts. Chart by author. 2020 return as of Nov. 27.

In two of the last 11 years, the S&P 500 had a negative return. In 2011 the index delivered a 0% return. In 2016 the S&P generated a positive return of 9.5%, but that was below the “good” ROI of 10% that investors prefer. Even with these subpar years, though, the S&P 500 delivered a compound annual growth rate of 11.4% during the entire period — a very good ROI.

This combination of year-to-year volatility and long-term attractive gains underscores why a buy-and-hold strategy offers investors a better chance of achieving a good ROI. You might lose money in any given year investing in stocks. Selling during those times, though, prevents you from benefiting from big gains later on. If you buy and hold stocks over the long term, your prospects for generating attractive returns will greatly improve.

How to calculate return on investment

To determine if an ROI is good, you first need to know how to calculate it. The good news is that it’s a really simple calculation:

ROI = (Ending value of investment – Initial value of investment) / Initial value of investment

The result is then presented as a ratio or percentage.

Suppose you invest $10,000 in a stock at the beginning of a year. By the end of the year, your stock has gone up enough to drive your overall investment to $11,000. What is your ROI? Let’s plug the numbers into the formula:

ROI = ($11,000-$10,000) / $10,000 = 10%

Based on historical stock market returns, this investment has achieved a good ROI. 

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S&P/TSX composite up more than 100 points, U.S. stock markets mixed

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 100 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in base metal and utility stocks, while U.S. stock markets were mixed.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 103.40 points at 24,542.48.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 192.31 points at 42,932.73. The S&P 500 index was up 7.14 points at 5,822.40, while the Nasdaq composite was down 9.03 points at 18,306.56.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.44 cents US on Tuesday.

The November crude oil contract was down 71 cents at US$69.87 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down eight cents at US$2.42 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$7.20 at US$2,686.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up a penny at US$4.35 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 16, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX up more than 200 points, U.S. markets also higher

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 200 points in late-morning trading, while U.S. stock markets were also headed higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 205.86 points at 24,508.12.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 336.62 points at 42,790.74. The S&P 500 index was up 34.19 points at 5,814.24, while the Nasdaq composite was up 60.27 points at 18.342.32.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.71 cents US on Thursday.

The November crude oil contract was down 15 cents at US$75.70 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down two cents at US$2.65 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$29.60 at US$2,668.90 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents at US$4.47 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX composite little changed in late-morning trading, U.S. stock markets down

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was little changed in late-morning trading as the financial sector fell, but energy and base metal stocks moved higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 0.05 of a point at 24,224.95.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was down 94.31 points at 42,417.69. The S&P 500 index was down 10.91 points at 5,781.13, while the Nasdaq composite was down 29.59 points at 18,262.03.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.71 cents US compared with 73.05 cents US on Wednesday.

The November crude oil contract was up US$1.69 at US$74.93 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was up a penny at US$2.67 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$14.70 at US$2,640.70 an ounce and the December copper contract was up two cents at US$4.42 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 10, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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