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The great COVID-19 infodemic: How disinformation networks are radicalizing Canadians
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Revealed: How a web of Canadian doctors are undermining the fight against COVID-19 – Global News
Seemingly baffled, Ontario Superior Court Justice Edward Morgan didn’t quite know what to say when told only one of the four defendants for a hearing showed up.
It was a landmark hearing for Ontario. Four doctors — Rochagne Kilian, Mary O’Connor, Mark Trozzi and Patrick Phillips — had been scheduled to appear to fight legal proceedings brought by the College of Physicians and Surgeons of Ontario (CPSO) late last year.
Trozzi, O’Connor and Kilian have been accused by the CPSO of failing to comply with investigations into allegations they issued false medical exemptions for the COVID-19 vaccine. Phillips, the CPSO says, is threatening to re-release a tranche of confidential documents on Twitter.
But on January 7, only O’Connor, and her lawyer Michael Swinwood, showed up on Zoom to argue their case.
“Alright. Um, ah, okay,” Morgan said, after being informed that Trozzi and Phillips’ lawyer, Michael Alexander, had decided to “withdraw” and would not be appearing at the hearing, despite CPSO counsel telling Alexander this was not allowed under civil procedure.
Conversation then turned to Kilian. Her lawyer, Rocco Galati, had been hospitalized and was in intensive care with an undisclosed illness, resulting in her case being rescheduled.
The prominent anti-vaccine lawyer has frequently represented groups and individuals challenging vaccine mandates and has described vaccination as “experimentation.”
Morgan wished Galati good health before deciding to press ahead with the hearing.
What followed was a journey down a rabbithole of anti-Covid-19-vaccine rhetoric, conspiracy theories and one claim that the pandemic was a “planned exercise in population control.” It concluded with an argument from defense lawyer, Swinwood, that Canada’s Covid restrictions are akin to Nazi Germany regulations.
But these views from licensed medical professionals — seemingly at odds with the science that an education in medicine preaches — are not confined to this one virtual court hearing in Ontario. A small but vocal minority of doctors across Canada is attempting to sway public opinion to oppose COVID-19 vaccines.
Many are being investigated or have had their medical licences suspended. Many have not.
Experts are concerned that these doctors — speaking at rallies and promoting their views in widely shared videos — are lending weight to the anti-vaccine cause.
“It’s definitely harmful to the public. I think it’s absolutely connected to the vaccine hesitancy rates that we’re seeing,” Queen’s University assistant professor and family doctor Michelle Cohen says.
“They’re just adding to the infodemic and to this sludge of disinformation … that’s just flying around and making it very confusing for many people to figure out what is accurate and what is not.”
At first glance it seems that these doctors are acting independently.
But Global News can reveal that many are connected.
Enable Air: selling exemptions ‘for a fee’
According to court documents from January 7, Kilian is alleged to have provided vaccine exemptions through a website called Enable Air, which works with “licensed physicians” to grant vaccination and mask exemptions for an undisclosed fee.
As a result, the Owen Sound family doctor had her certificate of registration suspended late last year.
Enable Air was taken down late last year after media inquiries into its operation. It later re-launched, with an added footnote about media “corruption.”
The website does not disclose the physicians who are issuing the exemptions. Nor does it disclose its organizers.
But upon investigation of an archived version of Enable Air’s original website, the mobile number listed in the HTML code under the “Message us on WhatsApp” widget can be matched with publicly listed contact information for a B.C. physician. His name is Gwyllyn Goddard.
Goddard’s website describes him as, among other things, an entrepreneur, humanitarian and family physician.
But, Goddard’s College of Physicians and Surgeons of BC (CPSBC) listing shows he resigned in 2016.
When contacted, Goddard said he had “no idea” what Enable Air is. When asked why his number was listed on its website, he said his phone number “is part of an email group that I sold into a company like 10 years ago and they’re all managed by one company, so I get a free cellphone basically.”
When asked to explain what he meant, he repeated a similar answer but said it was 15 years ago.
Goddard then said he had to go and hung up.
Half an hour later, Enable Air’s website was taken down. But the exemption form, a Google document, remains active.
Lawyer Rocco Galati has also been connected to the website.
In an archived page from July 2021, the website states 50 per cent of the “post administrative fees” for the Enable Air medical exemptions go to Galati, who is also the executive director of the Toronto-based Constitutional Rights Centre, “to pay for the fees required to win cases that support employees and other people’s rights to informed medical consent.”
Global News called Galati’s office and sent multiple emails to his associates but has not received a reply.
Enable Air claims to have been a popular service. In an archived page from May 2021, the website states 462 people were currently in the queue for exemptions.
Global News obtained a medical exemption from a source, provided by Enable Air, dated 24 June, 2021.
The exemption — drawn up in an array of fonts and colours — states that the patient should be exempt from wearing a mask and receiving a vaccine, citing a wide-ranging list of medical reasons the exemption “might include” from claustrophobia to migraines.
It was signed by another B.C. doctor: Dr. Stephen Malthouse.
Malthouse found notoriety in October when he wrote an open letter to Dr. Bonnie Henry, B.C.’s health officer, challenging COVID restrictions and claiming COVID-19 is no more deadly than the flu. In March, he suggested in a video that mRNA vaccines could cause autoimmune diseases or infertility — claims that have been debunked.
Malthouse’s CPSBC page shows he is still practising. He did not answer emails or phone calls from Global News.
In June 2021, Malthouse filed a petition to the B.C. Supreme Court, accusing the CPSBC of violating his free speech, after the college threatened to reprimand him for public comments he made against the COVID-19 vaccines.
In the petition, Malthouse argues the college had no right to “curtail, deny, nor regulate” his free speech.
Malthouse was represented on this petition by Rocco Galati.
Doctors on Tour alleges Covid vaccine ‘kills children’
Malthouse is now part of a contingent of medical professionals touring the country to persuade the general public that vaccines are harmful, called ‘Doctors on Tour’.
Videos posted online from an event held on December 13 at the Embassy Church in Kelowna shows a packed room of non-mask wearing congregants, huddled around Malthouse, whooping and clapping.
Malthouse asked the assembled crowd to act as “emissaries” and to “pass the word” on a stream of claims he makes about the vaccine, including that they “could kill children.”
Health Canada, the CDC and many other health agencies say the vaccines are safe and effective. A growing body of research shows a first booster or third COVID-19 vaccine dose, which is recommended for all Canadian adults, raises antibody levels, cuts death rates and hospitalization.
Malthouse then introduces Dr Charles Hoffe, who begins with a speech about St. Bartholomew’s Health Centre in Lytton, where he worked, preparing for COVID-19 by setting up a negative pressure room to intubate “dead and dying patients.”
St Bartholomew’s was Lytton’s sole medical clinic before the town burned to the ground in June 2021.
Hoffe then said, to rapturous applause, not “one single Covid patient” was admitted to the emergency room before the clinic was destroyed.
But that’s because Covid patients would never have stayed in Lytton.
A spokesperson for Interior Health told Global News that St. Bartholomew’s had no in-patient beds, so patients requiring intensive care would have been taken to the nearest hospital with an ICU, which was the Royal Inland Hospital in Kamloops.
Hoffe then went on to reference his own research using D-dimer tests (a blood test that checks for clots), claiming that “more than half” of participants tested positive for blood clots after receiving a COVID-19 vaccine — a direct contradiction to the rate of between one in 83,000 and one in 55,000 patients cited by the National Advisory Center on Immunization.
He concluded by stating the vaccines are “lethal”, describes them as “clot shots” and “death shots”, and claims that “more people have died from these shots than from all vaccines in history combined.”
According to federal data, 258 deaths have occurred following the administration of 68.2 million vaccine doses and most cannot be definitively linked to the vaccine. This pales in comparison to the number of COVID-related deaths in Canada, which now stands at 31,190.
When contacted, a reasoned and methodical Hoffe politely set out his arguments about the safety of the vaccine, citing his own research and international studies Global could not find. To the untrained ear, his reasoning sounds rational and well-researched.
It was far different from the man who had stood on a chair in a church and proclaimed the vaccine a “death shot” just a few weeks earlier.
Hoffe said he was reprimanded by Interior Health for “questioning the safety” of Covid-19 vaccines in an email to 18 colleagues, calling it an “experimental treatment”, in March 2021. This was then referred to the CPSBC, who placed him under investigation, he said.
One month later, he said he told a patient who came to him with a “vaccine injury” that she did not need to have her second dose, and was reported by a nurse to a St Batholomew’s supervisor. Hoffe said he was then fired.
Interior Health said they could not answer questions about human resource issues but confirmed Hoffe was no longer working at St Bartholomew’s prior to the centre burning down.
In the months since, Hoffe said he “keeps getting new complaints” from the CPSBC in relation to his conduct, including sharing unverified statistics during the ‘Doctors on Tour’ event. However, he said he has only had one hearing and remains under investigation, nine months after his first complaint.
Hoffe’s license remains active. He said he continues to see patients one or two days per week in a room loaned to him by a local First Nation band in Lytton, but mostly does Zoom or telephone consultations.
The CPSBC refused to comment on Hoffe’s case.
Hoffe says his lawyer is Michael Alexander. Alexander is also representing Trozzi and Phillips — defendants in the January 7 hearing in Ontario.
From B.C. to Ontario: how the doctors are linked
Hoffe’s D-dimer claims have gone on to find a foothold in anti-vaccine groups on social media platform Telegram. The claims have been shared as reliable medical information. They have also been repeated by other doctors. Rochagne Kilian is one of them.
In a video uploaded to YouTube in late October, Kilian repeats many of Hoffe’s claims about an alleged rise of blood clots in vaccine recipients.
The video contains the logo for the Canadian Covid Care Alliance (CCCA) and is hosted on their YouTube page. The CCCA is described as a group of “Canadian doctors, scientists and health care practitioners committed to providing independent science-based evidence to empower Canadians.”
The CCCA’s website and social media pages are full of statements about COVID-19 vaccines that contradict public health advice. The website does not identify the doctors affiliated with the service.
But the CCCA’s listed address on their Corporations Canada page matches that of Toronto physician Ira Bernstein.
Bernstein, a family physician of 30 years, has appeared in videos speaking openly about treating COVID-19 patients with ivermectin — a medication Health Canada has authorized to treat parasitic worm infections in humans.
“(However,) there is no evidence that ivermectin works to prevent or treat COVID-19, and it is not authorized for this use,” says Health Canada. It has not received any submission or applications for clinical trials geared to COVID-19 treatment.
In several videos, Bernstein also discloses he is the founder of the CCCA. On Twitter and LinkedIn he states his speciality is “nutritional medicine.”
In one video, on Canadian online video platform Rumble, Bernstein discusses founding the medical group with Jennifer Hibberd (a dentist) and David Ross (an accountant).
In an email, Ross declined to answer specific questions and declined a phone interview. Instead, he said the CCCA aimed to be “part of the solution”, but did not clarify what the CCCA was trying to solve.
Hibberd did not respond to questions.
What is the Canadian Covid Care Alliance?
A recent CCCA video has received more than 1.6 million views on Rumble.
The nearly 40 minute-long presentation, entitled “Pfizer inoculations do more harm than good”, makes several false claims about the Pfizer vaccine or statements that contradict statements made by health officials, including that animal testing was “skipped” during the vaccine’s development (the vaccine was tested on macaques), the vaccine is not safe for pregnant people (health officials have repeatedly said all vaccines approved for use in Canada are safe for those thinking of getting pregnant, pregnant or breastfeeding) and Danish football star Christian Eriksen collapsed on the pitch following a COVID-19 vaccination (Eriksen was not vaccinated).
The video also repeats a previously debunked claim that the Pfizer vaccine caused 1,200 deaths in a 90-day period.
Bernstein and Kilian are now both planning new medical services (Bernstein plans to launch a telemedicine health service. Kilian plans a facility for “disenfranchised patients”, despite her licence being suspended).
Kilian’s husband, Abrie Kilian, spoke to Global News on her behalf, but declined to comment on the hearing and her alleged association with Enable Air.
Unlike Kilian, Bernstein’s CPSO license is still active, with no restrictions. According to the Ontario Physicians and Surgeons Discipline Tribunal’s website, Bernstein has not been referred for disciplinary action.
A CPSO spokesperson said they could not comment on the existence of an investigation until it was referred to the tribunal.
Bernstein did not answer emails or phone calls.
College investigations can take years
The fact that Bernstein is not currently facing disciplinary action is not unusual. The process for a College to investigate one of its members is lengthy and involves the collation of substantive evidence.
The CPSO, in particular, attempts to resolve complaints within 10 months, but complex cases can take years.
Ontario is also unique in its ability to restrict or suspend licences for those under investigation — but the bar to do so is high. In most cases, health professionals can continue practising medicine while being investigated.
That’s why the January 7 hearing is such a landmark proceeding. Killian, O’Connor, Trozzi and Phillips are among the only health professionals in Canada with their medical licences suspended or restricted in relation to COVID-19.
According to court documents, O’Connor, an Ottawa doctor, is alleged to have issued a vaccine exemption to a patient because the vaccine “could cause a life-threatening illness.”
In a response to the CPSO’s concerns about her conduct, O’Connor then asked the CPSO to “define COVID-19” and described the vaccinations as “gene therapy experiments.”
Her licence was suspended on December 23, 2021.
O’Connor’s lawyer, Michael Swinwood, told Justice Morgan in his closing on January 7 that issuing exemptions was a matter of constitutional freedom and then said the similarities between health restrictions in Canada and Nazi Germany were “eerie.”
Calls and emails to Swinwood and O’Connor have gone unanswered.
‘He appears to be a very concerning individual’
Trozzi, who didn’t show up on January 7 along with Phillips, was barred from issuing medical exemptions for COVID-19 vaccines, masking requirements and testing at the same time as Kilian. His licence, however, is still active.
According to court documents, Trozzi — who is not affiliated with any hospital and is on sabbatical — granted medical exemptions to patients in which he described vaccines as “injectable COVID-19 experimental genetic therapies.”
Trozzi operates a website on which he blogs alongside Paul Elias Alexander — a Canadian health researcher and former Trump administration official. According to CPSO lawyer Peter Wardle, Trozzi has described the pandemic as a “planned exercise in population control.”
“He appears to be a very concerning individual with some very dangerous views,” Wardle said during the hearing.
Questions to Trozzi were answered by Alexander, who said Trozzi “had not issued any ‘fake’ medical exemptions” and stood by claims the vaccines are “not safe and effective.”
When asked why he and his clients did not show up to the hearing, Alexander said they “determined that it wasn’t in our interests to appear” and “other actions are underway” to address the allegations.
The application against Phillips, accused of publishing confidential documents online, came after the rural family doctor made comments on social media against vaccines and public health measures, including comparing COVID-19 public health measures in Canada to the genocide of Jewish people in World War II Germany.
The CPSO said Phillips was “incompetent” in his communications.
Two investigations into Phillips followed, one prompted by his comments on social media and the second after he posted a tranche of confidential CPSO documents from the investigation on Twitter, including the names of experts and CPSO staff, leading them to be attacked online by Phillips’ supporters. At the time, Phillips had 40,000 Twitter followers.
Wardle said Phillips ultimately took the documents down but he is now threatening to repost them.
Phillips’ Twitter account has since been suspended. His medical licence is restricted.
Alexander said Phillips has a right to publish his investigative materials under section 36 of the Regulated Health Professions Act.
Section 36 states information should be kept confidential in the course of a doctor’s duties with very few exceptions. One exception is if there is “compelling public interest” in a CPSO investigation.
Alexander repeated the same statement given for Trozzi. Phillips stands by his views that COVID-19 vaccines are “not safe and effective.”
A listing on a Christian crowdfunding site, where Phillips’ is soliciting donations for his legal fight, has raised almost $45,000.
The listing states Phillips had been working on his legal defence with Rocco Galati.
‘A borderless flow of disinformation’
Global News asked all 10 provinces and three territories how many physicians have been investigated due to anti-vaccine views.
A spokesperson for Manitoba refused to answer. Saskatchewan said there have been two letters of concern sent to physicians, B.C. would not comment on investigations but said they have not suspended any physician’s licences in connection with disinformation. Quebec said “some” reports had been received but all had been dealt with. Ontario said there have been two suspensions and four restrictions.
There have been none in Newfoundland and Labrador, Nova Scotia, Northern Territories, Yukon and Alberta. New Brunswick and Prince Edward Island did not respond.
This raises a big unanswered question when Canadians are sharing information, knowingly or unknowingly, that draws on unverified health information put out there by licensed doctors. Are medical regulators doing enough to hold doctors to account for their public statements?
Telegram is now awash with references to “clot shots” and “death shots” and citations of doctors’ unverified information on myocarditis and blood clots. People speak freely on Twitter about how to find ivermectin in Canada.
Queen’s University assistant professor Michelle Cohen says the movement is “really problematic” as doctors are often held up as experts.
“Their medical credentials get used to promote these denialist and anti-vax, anti-mask and anti-public health ideas and their credentials are just kind of waved out there, like a flag,” she says.
“So it really matters a lot that these doctors are showing up on these large platforms and saying, ‘I’m a doctor, here’s the research I’ve done. Here’s what I see. Here’s the science as I understand it’, and then just unleashing a bunch of just provably false information and unscientific nonsense that people aren’t necessarily going to be able to parse.”
She said many Canadian doctors were taking their cues from prominent U.S. anti-vaccine doctors and there was now a “borderless flow of disinformation” between the two countries.
Cohen says there is “definitely not” enough being done to hold these doctors to account.
“[Colleges] are not moving quickly enough. Investigation takes months and months and months. And the speed of this information is very fast.”
News
Nova Scotia election debate: Leaders clash over pace of health-care improvement
HALIFAX – Nova Scotia’s NDP and Liberal leaders attacked Progressive Conservative leader Tim Houston’s claims of reviving the province’s ailing health-care system, citing patient horror stories during a televised debate Thursday.
As Houston stuck to his argument that his government inherited “a mess” that it has started to stabilize, Liberal Leader Zach Churchill responded by saying that the number of people on a wait list seeking family doctors has gone from 60,000 when the Liberals governed to recent figures of about 145,000.
“If we continue on this track, there are going to be half a million people in this province without a doctor, and that’s going to be devastating for the health system and for people’s health,” said Churchill.
Houston countered by saying the system had crumbled under 12 years of NDP and Liberal governments, arguing. “We were taking over from parties that were inactive in health care.”
The Progressive Conservative leader — who is running for a second term in the Nov. 26 election — conceded improvement to the system “is taking time,” while saying that since 2021 there has been a net gain of 250 doctors, with more coming through programs to train physicians and speed up certification for foreign-trained doctors.
He said that there are one million more “appointment opportunities” for patients than when his government took office, as his government has opened more clinics and allowed health-care professionals such as pharmacists to take on wider scopes of practice.
However, NDP Leader Claudia Chender responded by telling the story of a young mother who waited for 14 hours with her feverish child in an emergency room, saying this is “completely unacceptable and it’s because of a lack of primary care.” The NDP is promising to create 15 collaborative care clinics in its first year of government.
During an exchange with Houston, Churchill claimed that despite hundreds of millions in added spending on health, “there are more mice than staff” at Halifax’s Victoria General hospital.
Chender also sharply criticized Houston after he noted a health-care app pioneered by the Tories had “opened up access” to care for people facing a mental health crisis in the middle of the night. The NDP leader said, “what we need is actual resources to help people when they need it.”
The debate hosted by CBC grew lively over Houston’s argument that his government would be the most effective in reducing inflation because he has opposed implementing carbon pricing on fuel.
“I am the only one that will stand up to the carbon tax. I know the Liberals want a carbon tax under a different name. It’s still a carbon tax, it impacts the price of everything. The best thing we can do with affordability … is stand up to the carbon tax,” he said.
Chender said she found it ironic that Houston was saying he was the voice of action, “when all you do is blame Ottawa for the challenges that people are facing today in Nova Scotia.”
Churchill, meanwhile, noted the “carbon tax is still here …. We will end the carbon tax by bringing in a cap-and-trade system that will do our part to reduce emissions, give money back to you so you can pay for your heat pumps, get rebates for your electric vehicles and it will also take 10 to 15 cents off at the pump.”
“Mr. Houston would rather kick and scream and whine than actually do his job and negotiate a better deal for you,” said the Liberal leader.
That led to the assertion by Houston — one he has made frequently during the campaign — that he alone is untethered to a federal party.
“I’m the only leader on this stage that is only looking out for the interests of Nova Scotians and not beholden to a political party. The NDP are beholden to Jagmeet Singh in Ottawa, the Liberals are beholden to Justin Trudeau in Ottawa. I am only beholden to Nova Scotians,” he said.
At the dissolution of the 55-seat legislature, the Progressive Conservatives held 34 seats, the Liberals had 14 seats, the NDP held six and there was one independent member. Recent polls show the Tories with a sizable lead over the other two parties.
The debate also included some sharp exchanges over Houston’s credibility after he jettisoned several promises made in the last election.
The Progressive Conservative leader said, “Everything that I tell you, I believe in my heart we can do …. I believe I’ve shown Nova Scotians that when new information comes available or when I can see that I’m wrong, I have the courage to change path.”
But Churchill responded that Houston’s failure to keep a promise to hold the election on a fixed date — which would have been next summer — was a signal he’s more interested in gaining power than being accountable.
“This election is not about you, it’s about him,” he told viewers.
The Liberal leader said he would not seek re-election if he were unable to keep his promises. “Even through the hard times when the public pressure shifts and the headlines get bad, you can’t govern like a wet noodle in the wind,” he said.
This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 14, 2024.
— With files from Keith Doucette.
News
Trudeau to attend APEC in Peru, G20 summit in Brazil as peer nations brace for Trump
OTTAWA – Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has arrived in Lima, Peru, where he will attend the APEC summit before heading to Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, for the G20.
Both summits aim to improve the multilateral institutions that have drawn skepticism from U.S. president-elect Donald Trump.
In Peru, Trudeau will take part in meetings of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation group, which largely involves resolving barriers to trade and forming better links across the Pacific Rim.
On Sunday, the prime minister will leave for Brazil for the G20 summit, for discussions ranging from the war in Ukraine to artificial intelligence and ending hunger.
Both summits will involve meeting with other heads of government in formal meetings as well as side conversations.
Analysts say it will be key for Canada to try to retain strong ties with numerous countries, as the looming Trump administration plans to raise tariffs and could disrupt global trade flows.
Trudeau is travelling with his daughter, Ella-Grace, 15.
This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 14, 2024.
Note to readers: This is a corrected story. A previous version said Trudeau will be flying to Brazil on Saturday.
The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.
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Trudeau in Peru for APEC meeting as leaders seek to reinforce multilateralism
OTTAWA – Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is in Peru, kicking off five days of meetings with leaders from around the globe as the world braces for the looming return of U.S. president-elect Donald Trump.
The meetings come as emerging powers like China vie for influence in South America, and as Canada clings to global trade blocs and multilateral systems under pressure from populist leaders.
In Lima, Trudeau is attending an Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit, or APEC. The group focuses on resolving trade barriers and forming better links across the Pacific Rim. He’ll then head to Brazil for the G20 leaders’ summit of the world’s biggest economies.
Vina Nadjibulla, research vice-president for the Asia Pacific Foundation, said there’s lot to criticize about both summits, from who gets to attend to how productive they tend to be. But she stressed they are crucial for Canada navigating its place in a shifting world.
“Our prosperity depends on this,” she said.
“As things are shifting, there’s a lot of anxiety and we need to be at the table in reshaping the international trade order and reshaping the international economic order.”
Trudeau is set to take part in meetings Friday with guest countries invited by the Peruvian hosts, and the prime minister will give a lunchtime speech to delegates. The afternoon will involve meetings with various national and business leaders, including at an event focused inclusive growth and environmental sustainability.
APEC played a role in the creation of the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership, or CPTPP, a trade deal representing a massive area of countries along the Pacific Rim, from New Zealand to Chile. Canada ratified the agreement in 2018.
The U.S. was part of forming the trade pact, but Trump withdrew Washington from it on his first day in office in 2017. His successor, current U.S. President Joe Biden, never rejoined the pact, in a sign of cross-partisan weariness among Americans toward globalization.
Nadjibulla said the looming Trump presidency likely means a reduced role for the U.S. in multilateral institutions and fighting climate change, as well as greater tension with China over trade, tariffs and technology.
Canada is currently chairing the CPTPP trade bloc, and next year will be hosting the G7 summit of advanced economies, culminating in a leader’s summit in Alberta. This means Trudeau will be pushing to preserve rules-based trade “that is critical to our prosperity” over the coming days, Nadjibulla said.
“APEC is meeting in the context of rising protectionism, intense geopolitical competition, uncertain economic growth and the Trump election,” she said.
“It’s really quite different from the founding vision of APEC, which is all about trade liberalization (and) deeper economic integration. APEC was essentially a product of an era of hyperglobalization, which is definitely coming to an end.”
APEC meetings also give leaders a chance to meet when they are unlikely to visit each other’s countries, such as in San Francisco last year when Chinese President Xi Jinping and Biden smoothed out diplomatic tensions caused by surveillance balloons and restrictions on microchip usage.
Canadian officials have been mum on the prospect of Trudeau meeting with Xi, either in a formal sit-down or an informal hallway chat.
Foreign Affairs Minister Mélanie Joly went to Beijing in July, which could set the stage for Trudeau to do so on this trip, but Nadjibulla said the Chinese leader is likely more focused on other leaders at both summits.
“The tone and the rhetoric, I think, will escalate in the coming months, partly because of the actions that the U.S. is likely to take, and Canada will have to stay aligned with that,” Nadjibulla said.
Media in India are also speculating as to whether Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi will meet with Trudeau, though Nadjibulla said that’s unlikely given Modi’s government blaming the Trudeau government and not Canada as a whole for heightened tensions.
Nadjibulla stressed that Canada is a respected nation in the region, including in Peru.
“We’re not a small player, because of our historic engagement particularly in the mining sector. And we can play an important role in shoring up the Western presence at the meetings.”
More than a dozen Canadian business leaders are attending the summit, as industry looks to expand commerce in the region involving critical minerals and clean technology.
On Sunday, the prime minister will leave for Brazil for the G20 summit, for discussions ranging from the war in Ukraine to artificial intelligence and ending hunger.
The Group of 20 includes leaders ranging from long-standing allies such as French President Emmanuel Macron, to populist firebrands like Argentine President Javier Milei, who just withdrew his negotiators from the annual UN climate talks underway in Azerbaijan.
John Kirton, head of the G20 Research Group, expects Trudeau and many leaders to have informal talks on the sidelines to make sense of how to navigate another Trump presidency.
“Trudeau will be in a relatively privileged position, because he’s been with Donald Trump at (several) summits, and we’re the next-door neighbours; we’re a front-line state,” he said.
His team, based out of the University of Toronto, will be closely watching for what the ending communiqué has to say about global trade, with Trump promising protectionist policies.
Trump has vowed to implement high tariffs that have been panned by economists. The London School of Economics warned last month these policies would likely hurt the economies of the U.S., China and the European Union.
Nadjibulla said it’s crucial that governments like Canada avoid fatalism, and remember that Trump’s promised policies might look different when they’re actually implemented.
“There is room and opportunity for economies and countries to co-ordinate and try to shape common responses to what they perceive to be a threat,” she said.
“These multilateral gatherings are still the best that we have. And we have to do everything we can to make them more relevant and better fit to address today’s challenges.”
This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 15, 2024.
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