Safe-haven demand boosts gold, silver, as crude oil crashes - Kitco NEWS | Canada News Media
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Safe-haven demand boosts gold, silver, as crude oil crashes – Kitco NEWS

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(Kitco News) – Gold and silver futures prices are trading solidly up in midday U.S. trading Monday. The feature in trading today is an extremely sharp drop of over 50% in crude oil futures prices—in just one day. Nymex crude oil futures hit an all-time low of $8.79 a barrel today. Just two months ago Nymex crude prices were above $60.00. North American storage facilities are full and there is no place to put new production, amid the huge drop in gasoline demand that has resulted in prices at the U.S. pump going for less than $1.00 a gallon at some locations. For the precious metals the slumping oil market is a mixed bag. It’s bullish from the sense of making for safe-haven demand amid a very anxious marketplace with crude prices tanking—especially on a near-term basis. However, it’s bearish from the sense of crude oil being the leader of the raw commodity sector and its price being in a free fall. It would be especially bearish for metals if oil prices remained at such low levels for more than a few weeks, which appears unlikely, given that June Nymex futures (the next contract out from May futures) are trading at $22.75 a barrel. June gold futures were last up $12.50 an ounce at $1,711.20. May Comex silver prices were last up $0.325 at $15.61 an ounce.

Global stock markets were mixed to lower in overnight trading. U.S. stock indexes are mixed at midday but well off their session lows. This is a busy week for U.S. corporate earnings, which are very likely to remind traders and investors of debilitating effects of the Covid-19 pandemic.

In the U.S., more and more citizens, many of whom are out of work and running out of money, are demanding that governments reopen businesses.

China’s central bank on Monday again cut its key lending rate by 20 basis points, to 3.85%, in a further effort to resuscitate its crippled economy.

In other news Monday, the German Bundesbank said Germany, the strongest economy in the European Union, is facing a severe economic recession from which it is not likely to recover any time soon. The German central bank said the reason for the slow recovery is that that German government is likely to keep social distancing restrictions on its citizens until a vaccine is found for Covid-19. More economists are saying the expected economic recovery in North America will also be slower than the optimistic forecasts that were initially reckoned by many.

The other important outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index near steady. The 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield is trading around 0.632% this morning—down from levels seen late last week and a sign of higher anxiety in the marketplace at present.

Technically, June gold futures bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage and are keeping alive a price uptrend on the daily bar chart. Gold bulls’ next upside near-term price breakout objective is to produce a close above solid technical resistance at $1,800.00. Bears’ next near-term downside price breakout objective is pushing prices below solid technical support at $1,675.00. First resistance is seen at $1725.00 and then at last Friday’s high of $1,738.80. First support is seen at $1,700.00 and then at today’s low of $1,685.00. Wyckoff’s Market Rating: 7.5

May silver futures bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls are keeping alive a four-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls’ next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $17.00 an ounce. The next downside price breakout objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $14.50. First resistance is seen at $16.00 and then at the April high of $16.30. Next support is seen at last week’s low of $15.195 and then at $15.00. Wyckoff’s Market Rating: 6.0.

May N.Y. copper closed down 225 points at 232.20 cents today. Prices closed nearer the session low today on a corrective pullback from recent gains. The copper bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage. A four-week-old price uptrend is in place on the daily bar chart. Copper bulls’ next upside price objective is pushing and closing prices above solid technical resistance at 250.00 cents. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid technical support at 220.00 cents. First resistance is seen at last week’s high of 235.80 cents and then at 238.00 cents. First support is seen at 230.00 cents and then at last week’s low of 226.35 cents. Wyckoff’s Market Rating: 6.0.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Dollarama keeping an eye on competitors as Loblaw launches new ultra-discount chain

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Dollarama Inc.’s food aisles may have expanded far beyond sweet treats or piles of gum by the checkout counter in recent years, but its chief executive maintains his company is “not in the grocery business,” even if it’s keeping an eye on the sector.

“It’s just one small part of our store,” Neil Rossy told analysts on a Wednesday call, where he was questioned about the company’s food merchandise and rivals playing in the same space.

“We will keep an eye on all retailers — like all retailers keep an eye on us — to make sure that we’re competitive and we understand what’s out there.”

Over the last decade and as consumers have more recently sought deals, Dollarama’s food merchandise has expanded to include bread and pantry staples like cereal, rice and pasta sold at prices on par or below supermarkets.

However, the competition in the discount segment of the market Dollarama operates in intensified recently when the country’s biggest grocery chain began piloting a new ultra-discount store.

The No Name stores being tested by Loblaw Cos. Ltd. in Windsor, St. Catharines and Brockville, Ont., are billed as 20 per cent cheaper than discount retail competitors including No Frills. The grocery giant is able to offer such cost savings by relying on a smaller store footprint, fewer chilled products and a hearty range of No Name merchandise.

Though Rossy brushed off notions that his company is a supermarket challenger, grocers aren’t off his radar.

“All retailers in Canada are realistic about the fact that everyone is everyone’s competition on any given item or category,” he said.

Rossy declined to reveal how much of the chain’s sales would overlap with Loblaw or the food category, arguing the vast variety of items Dollarama sells is its strength rather than its grocery products alone.

“What makes Dollarama Dollarama is a very wide assortment of different departments that somewhat represent the old five-and-dime local convenience store,” he said.

The breadth of Dollarama’s offerings helped carry the company to a second-quarter profit of $285.9 million, up from $245.8 million in the same quarter last year as its sales rose 7.4 per cent.

The retailer said Wednesday the profit amounted to $1.02 per diluted share for the 13-week period ended July 28, up from 86 cents per diluted share a year earlier.

The period the quarter covers includes the start of summer, when Rossy said the weather was “terrible.”

“The weather got slightly better towards the end of the summer and our sales certainly increased, but not enough to make up for the season’s horrible start,” he said.

Sales totalled $1.56 billion for the quarter, up from $1.46 billion in the same quarter last year.

Comparable store sales, a key metric for retailers, increased 4.7 per cent, while the average transaction was down2.2 per cent and traffic was up seven per cent, RBC analyst Irene Nattel pointed out.

She told investors in a note that the numbers reflect “solid demand as cautious consumers focus on core consumables and everyday essentials.”

Analysts have attributed such behaviour to interest rates that have been slow to drop and high prices of key consumer goods, which are weighing on household budgets.

To cope, many Canadians have spent more time seeking deals, trading down to more affordable brands and forgoing small luxuries they would treat themselves to in better economic times.

“When people feel squeezed, they tend to shy away from discretionary, focus on the basics,” Rossy said. “When people are feeling good about their wallet, they tend to be more lax about the basics and more willing to spend on discretionary.”

The current economic situation has drawn in not just the average Canadian looking to save a buck or two, but also wealthier consumers.

“When the entire economy is feeling slightly squeezed, we get more consumers who might not have to or want to shop at a Dollarama generally or who enjoy shopping at a Dollarama but have the luxury of not having to worry about the price in some other store that they happen to be standing in that has those goods,” Rossy said.

“Well, when times are tougher, they’ll consider the extra five minutes to go to the store next door.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:DOL)

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U.S. regulator fines TD Bank US$28M for faulty consumer reports

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TORONTO – The U.S. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau has ordered TD Bank Group to pay US$28 million for repeatedly sharing inaccurate, negative information about its customers to consumer reporting companies.

The agency says TD has to pay US$7.76 million in total to tens of thousands of victims of its illegal actions, along with a US$20 million civil penalty.

It says TD shared information that contained systemic errors about credit card and bank deposit accounts to consumer reporting companies, which can include credit reports as well as screening reports for tenants and employees and other background checks.

CFPB director Rohit Chopra says in a statement that TD threatened the consumer reports of customers with fraudulent information then “barely lifted a finger to fix it,” and that regulators will need to “focus major attention” on TD Bank to change its course.

TD says in a statement it self-identified these issues and proactively worked to improve its practices, and that it is committed to delivering on its responsibilities to its customers.

The bank also faces scrutiny in the U.S. over its anti-money laundering program where it expects to pay more than US$3 billion in monetary penalties to resolve.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TD)

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