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Saskatchewan's current COVID-19 death rate highest in Canada – CTV News

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TORONTO —
Saskatchewan has been battered by COVID-19’s fourth wave, struggling with a surge in cases and deaths and a health care system that is on the brink of being overwhelmed — a cautionary tale, the beginnings of which can be traced back to the summer when public health measures ceased, according to one expert.

The situation in Saskatchewan has been bleak over the last couple of months.

Saskatchewan has had more than 73,000 cases of COVID-19 since the start of the pandemic, and nearly a fifth of those cases have occurred within the last 28 days.

The province’s COVID-19 death rate from the past month is more than three times higher than the national death rate, and is currently the highest provincial death rate in the country for the fourth wave, with Alberta in second.

On Tuesday, the number of COVID-19 patients in ICUs across Saskatchewan officially surpassed the province’s usual capacity.

Around 78 per cent of the new cases reported on Tuesday were in those who were unvaccinated, and nearly all of the new infections were in those under the age of 30.

Nearly 340 COVID-19 patients are currently hospitalized in Saskatchewan, 75 per cent of which are not fully vaccinated. The province has one of the lowest vaccination rates in the country.

The current seven-day average for new daily cases in Saskatchewan is 465, or around 38.6 new cases per 100,000 people. Saskatchewan only has a population of around 1.17 million, meaning that this rate of cases would be equivalent to Ontario logging more than 5,600 cases a day, instead of the 500 daily case average Ontario currently has.

So how did the province get here?

According to Dr. Nazeem Muhajarine, an epidemiologist and professor with the University of Saskatchewan, Saskatchewan’s current plight can be traced to three major things: the Delta variant; the province’s low vaccination rate; and, crucially, the government’s handling of public health measures.

“Our public health restrictions disappeared or lifted almost overnight on July 11th,” he told CTVNews.ca in a phone interview. “Other provinces also lifted the restrictions, but they did it gradually, they spread it over many weeks, in fact, or a month even, for example, in B.C. Whereas in Saskatchewan we basically went overnight from having restrictions in place to almost no restrictions.”

While Saskatchewan did have three steps to their plan to end restrictions, he said the province rushed into it.

“July 11 came and we wanted to see 70 per cent of our eligible population at least with one dose in them. And we didn’t get quite there, we were just […] under one per cent lower than 70 per cent, but anyway, the government decided ‘close enough’ to 70 per cent, we are going to lift all restrictions.’”

Masks were no longer required in public spaces. There were no gathering limits, and restaurants and bars didn’t need to limit seating. Life was back to normal — or, at least, that was the plan.

Muhajarine pointed out that during the summer, we didn’t understand the Delta variant as fully as we do now.

“The studies hadn’t produced the data to show how contagious this particular Delta variant is, and almost to the point that it presents itself almost like a different virus,” he explained.

“It is so much more transmissible than even the Alpha [variant], which was twice as transmissible compared to the […] wild variant.”

In August, with no protective measures in place, the “cascade sequence” of rising cases, hospitalizations and deaths started, Muhajarine said, leaving the province to scramble for solutions.

On Sept. 10, the government made self-isolation mandatory again for those who had tested positive for COVID-19. A week later, an indoor masking mandate was announced again, followed by a proof-of-vaccination plan for restaurants, movie theatres and indoor venues, as well as government employees.

“What is missing is any restrictions for indoor gathering[s],” Muhajarine said.

Despite calls for the province to place limits on the size of gatherings, Premier Scott Moe has resisted, denying a recent request from the mayor of Saskatoon for additional public health measures.

In a statement emailed to CTV News last week, the Saskatchewan government stated that they would not be limiting gathering sizes.

“The vast majority of new cases and hospitalizations are unvaccinated residents and those who are not vaccinated should get vaccinated,” the statement said.

Only 79.1 per cent of the eligible population (those 12 years old and up) in Saskatchewan have received at least one dose of the vaccine, the lowest rate in Canada and more than five per cent behind the province with the next lowest rate, Alberta.

Muhajarine explained that Saskatchewan’s population is largely spread among smaller rural settings and towns, and that there is a divide in terms of vaccine uptake in rural communities versus urban ones.

Those in rural communities may feel that the lack of population density in their region will protect them anyway, or may have less trust in the government, he said, potentially contributing to the province’s low vaccination rate.

But focusing only on vaccination is not going to solve Saskatchewan’s problem, Muhajarine said.

“Delta had a lot of vulnerable people to infect because of the low vaccination rate and also the complete dependency on vaccines as a way to get out of this pandemic,” he explained.

“Vaccines are very important, but vaccines need to be complemented with other measures, public health measures.”

One of the big concerns about Saskatchewan right now is the toll on the health care system.

On Tuesday, Saskatchewan announced that they had 80 COVID-19 patients in the ICU, meaning that with COVID-19 patients alone, they had surpassed the province’s baseline capacity of 79 beds.

The province is relying on surge capacity — in September, anticipating the system being overwhelmed, the province moved to increase the provincial ICU capacity to 175 by adding more beds.

Only 58 new beds have been added so far, bringing the capacity up to 137. As of Wednesday, there are 79 COVID-19 patients in the ICU. And while 79 COVID-19 patients in the ICU may not sound like a lot, it’s important to remember that the ICU is for patients in need of critical care for any reason, including trauma injuries, heart failure, strokes, brain aneurysms and other conditions.

As of Tuesday afternoon, 114 people were in the ICU in Saskatchewan in total, including COVID-19 patients and other patients.

“We are just at the very brink of having to triage, having medical people having to decide who gets to live and who gets to not live because of the capacity issues that they have,” Muhajarine said.

“We can create extra beds, like a field hospital, et cetera, but we need to find people to staff them. We need to have specialized people, and they’re difficult to find.”

Throughout this fourth wave, Muhajarine pointed out that leadership from the government has been largely absent.

In the summer, weeks passed with no public briefings on the COVID-19 situation in the province, even as cases started to rise in August.

“I think that what is really interesting is the lack of visibility and absence of our MLAs and our caucus, you know, who is governing this province,” Muhajarine said.

In late September, Saskatchewan’s NDP, the official opposition in the province, called on the provincial government to resume weekly COVID-19 briefings, calling the lack of availability of the premier and Health Minister Paul Merriman “an unbelievable abdication of duty.”

“You would think that in a fourth wave like this, […] leading [the country] in our death rates and hospitals pushed to the brink, the Minister of Health will be appearing every day, every single day of the week,” Muhajarine said.

“But he’s nowhere to be seen.”

He believes that in order for Saskatchewan to rise out of the fourth wave, the government needs to step up.

“The government can and has to do more,” Muhajarine said. “I mean, the government needs to impose, reintroduce, some limits to gathering, particularly in public places and indoor places as well.”

He added that proof-of-vaccination should be extended to those working in schools, where there are children who can’t receive the vaccine due to their age, and that rapid testing should be used more.

When we just look at the numbers, we lose sight of the main issue here, he added: the human toll of COVID-19.

“We just had the Thanksgiving weekend, a day in the year where our families get together and gave thanks for what they have,” Muhajarine said. “We had seven, eight people, […] die of COVID on Thanksgiving weekend. And they, if not for COVID, if it had gone a different way, those people […] would probably be sitting at a table, sharing a meal with their loved ones.

“We are just only quoting numbers. We are not thinking that these are actual people.” 

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STD epidemic slows as new syphilis and gonorrhea cases fall in US

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NEW YORK (AP) — The U.S. syphilis epidemic slowed dramatically last year, gonorrhea cases fell and chlamydia cases remained below prepandemic levels, according to federal data released Tuesday.

The numbers represented some good news about sexually transmitted diseases, which experienced some alarming increases in past years due to declining condom use, inadequate sex education, and reduced testing and treatment when the COVID-19 pandemic hit.

Last year, cases of the most infectious stages of syphilis fell 10% from the year before — the first substantial decline in more than two decades. Gonorrhea cases dropped 7%, marking a second straight year of decline and bringing the number below what it was in 2019.

“I’m encouraged, and it’s been a long time since I felt that way” about the nation’s epidemic of sexually transmitted infections, said the CDC’s Dr. Jonathan Mermin. “Something is working.”

More than 2.4 million cases of syphilis, gonorrhea and chlamydia were diagnosed and reported last year — 1.6 million cases of chlamydia, 600,000 of gonorrhea, and more than 209,000 of syphilis.

Syphilis is a particular concern. For centuries, it was a common but feared infection that could deform the body and end in death. New cases plummeted in the U.S. starting in the 1940s when infection-fighting antibiotics became widely available, and they trended down for a half century after that. By 2002, however, cases began rising again, with men who have sex with other men being disproportionately affected.

The new report found cases of syphilis in their early, most infectious stages dropped 13% among gay and bisexual men. It was the first such drop since the agency began reporting data for that group in the mid-2000s.

However, there was a 12% increase in the rate of cases of unknown- or later-stage syphilis — a reflection of people infected years ago.

Cases of syphilis in newborns, passed on from infected mothers, also rose. There were nearly 4,000 cases, including 279 stillbirths and infant deaths.

“This means pregnant women are not being tested often enough,” said Dr. Jeffrey Klausner, a professor of medicine at the University of Southern California.

What caused some of the STD trends to improve? Several experts say one contributor is the growing use of an antibiotic as a “morning-after pill.” Studies have shown that taking doxycycline within 72 hours of unprotected sex cuts the risk of developing syphilis, gonorrhea and chlamydia.

In June, the CDC started recommending doxycycline as a morning-after pill, specifically for gay and bisexual men and transgender women who recently had an STD diagnosis. But health departments and organizations in some cities had been giving the pills to people for a couple years.

Some experts believe that the 2022 mpox outbreak — which mainly hit gay and bisexual men — may have had a lingering effect on sexual behavior in 2023, or at least on people’s willingness to get tested when strange sores appeared.

Another factor may have been an increase in the number of health workers testing people for infections, doing contact tracing and connecting people to treatment. Congress gave $1.2 billion to expand the workforce over five years, including $600 million to states, cities and territories that get STD prevention funding from CDC.

Last year had the “most activity with that funding throughout the U.S.,” said David Harvey, executive director of the National Coalition of STD Directors.

However, Congress ended the funds early as a part of last year’s debt ceiling deal, cutting off $400 million. Some people already have lost their jobs, said a spokeswoman for Harvey’s organization.

Still, Harvey said he had reasons for optimism, including the growing use of doxycycline and a push for at-home STD test kits.

Also, there are reasons to think the next presidential administration could get behind STD prevention. In 2019, then-President Donald Trump announced a campaign to “eliminate” the U.S. HIV epidemic by 2030. (Federal health officials later clarified that the actual goal was a huge reduction in new infections — fewer than 3,000 a year.)

There were nearly 32,000 new HIV infections in 2022, the CDC estimates. But a boost in public health funding for HIV could also also help bring down other sexually transmitted infections, experts said.

“When the government puts in resources, puts in money, we see declines in STDs,” Klausner said.

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The Associated Press Health and Science Department receives support from the Howard Hughes Medical Institute’s Science and Educational Media Group. The AP is solely responsible for all content.

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World’s largest active volcano Mauna Loa showed telltale warning signs before erupting in 2022

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WASHINGTON (AP) — Scientists can’t know precisely when a volcano is about to erupt, but they can sometimes pick up telltale signs.

That happened two years ago with the world’s largest active volcano. About two months before Mauna Loa spewed rivers of glowing orange molten lava, geologists detected small earthquakes nearby and other signs, and they warned residents on Hawaii‘s Big Island.

Now a study of the volcano’s lava confirms their timeline for when the molten rock below was on the move.

“Volcanoes are tricky because we don’t get to watch directly what’s happening inside – we have to look for other signs,” said Erik Klemetti Gonzalez, a volcano expert at Denison University, who was not involved in the study.

Upswelling ground and increased earthquake activity near the volcano resulted from magma rising from lower levels of Earth’s crust to fill chambers beneath the volcano, said Kendra Lynn, a research geologist at the Hawaiian Volcano Observatory and co-author of a new study in Nature Communications.

When pressure was high enough, the magma broke through brittle surface rock and became lava – and the eruption began in late November 2022. Later, researchers collected samples of volcanic rock for analysis.

The chemical makeup of certain crystals within the lava indicated that around 70 days before the eruption, large quantities of molten rock had moved from around 1.9 miles (3 kilometers) to 3 miles (5 kilometers) under the summit to a mile (2 kilometers) or less beneath, the study found. This matched the timeline the geologists had observed with other signs.

The last time Mauna Loa erupted was in 1984. Most of the U.S. volcanoes that scientists consider to be active are found in Hawaii, Alaska and the West Coast.

Worldwide, around 585 volcanoes are considered active.

Scientists can’t predict eruptions, but they can make a “forecast,” said Ben Andrews, who heads the global volcano program at the Smithsonian Institution and who was not involved in the study.

Andrews compared volcano forecasts to weather forecasts – informed “probabilities” that an event will occur. And better data about the past behavior of specific volcanos can help researchers finetune forecasts of future activity, experts say.

(asterisk)We can look for similar patterns in the future and expect that there’s a higher probability of conditions for an eruption happening,” said Klemetti Gonzalez.

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The Associated Press Health and Science Department receives support from the Howard Hughes Medical Institute’s Science and Educational Media Group. The AP is solely responsible for all content.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Waymo’s robotaxis now open to anyone who wants a driverless ride in Los Angeles

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Waymo on Tuesday opened its robotaxi service to anyone who wants a ride around Los Angeles, marking another milestone in the evolution of self-driving car technology since the company began as a secret project at Google 15 years ago.

The expansion comes eight months after Waymo began offering rides in Los Angeles to a limited group of passengers chosen from a waiting list that had ballooned to more than 300,000 people. Now, anyone with the Waymo One smartphone app will be able to request a ride around an 80-square-mile (129-square-kilometer) territory spanning the second largest U.S. city.

After Waymo received approval from California regulators to charge for rides 15 months ago, the company initially chose to launch its operations in San Francisco before offering a limited service in Los Angeles.

Before deciding to compete against conventional ride-hailing pioneers Uber and Lyft in California, Waymo unleashed its robotaxis in Phoenix in 2020 and has been steadily extending the reach of its service in that Arizona city ever since.

Driverless rides are proving to be more than just a novelty. Waymo says it now transports more than 50,000 weekly passengers in its robotaxis, a volume of business numbers that helped the company recently raise $5.6 billion from its corporate parent Alphabet and a list of other investors that included venture capital firm Andreesen Horowitz and financial management firm T. Rowe Price.

“Our service has matured quickly and our riders are embracing the many benefits of fully autonomous driving,” Waymo co-CEO Tekedra Mawakana said in a blog post.

Despite its inroads, Waymo is still believed to be losing money. Although Alphabet doesn’t disclose Waymo’s financial results, the robotaxi is a major part of an “Other Bets” division that had suffered an operating loss of $3.3 billion through the first nine months of this year, down from a setback of $4.2 billion at the same time last year.

But Waymo has come a long way since Google began working on self-driving cars in 2009 as part of project “Chauffeur.” Since its 2016 spinoff from Google, Waymo has established itself as the clear leader in a robotaxi industry that’s getting more congested.

Electric auto pioneer Tesla is aiming to launch a rival “Cybercab” service by 2026, although its CEO Elon Musk said he hopes the company can get the required regulatory clearances to operate in Texas and California by next year.

Tesla’s projected timeline for competing against Waymo has been met with skepticism because Musk has made unfulfilled promises about the company’s self-driving car technology for nearly a decade.

Meanwhile, Waymo’s robotaxis have driven more than 20 million fully autonomous miles and provided more than 2 million rides to passengers without encountering a serious accident that resulted in its operations being sidelined.

That safety record is a stark contrast to one of its early rivals, Cruise, a robotaxi service owned by General Motors. Cruise’s California license was suspended last year after one of its driverless cars in San Francisco dragged a jaywalking pedestrian who had been struck by a different car driven by a human.

Cruise is now trying to rebound by joining forces with Uber to make some of its services available next year in U.S. cities that still haven’t been announced. But Waymo also has forged a similar alliance with Uber to dispatch its robotaxi in Atlanta and Austin, Texas next year.

Another robotaxi service, Amazon’s Zoox, is hoping to begin offering driverless rides to the general public in Las Vegas at some point next year before also launching in San Francisco.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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