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Shopify's stock has exploded 140% in the last two months making it briefly the biggest company in Canada… – Business Insider

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  • Shopify’s stock has soared 140% in the last two months as many shoppers flock to e-commerce with lockdowns in place. 
  • The stock has risen 4,600% since the stock went public five years ago. 
  • Shopify reported earnings of $470 million in 1Q, 47% higher year-on-year.
  • Analysts think Shopify is overpriced and shoppers may flock back to the likes of Amazon. 
  • Visit Business Insider’s homepage for more stories.

Shopify overtook Royal Bank of Canada to become the country’s largest company by market cap earlier this month as the stock surged 140% in the last two months alone, and it emerges as one of the biggest winners during the pandemic. 

It currently boasts a market cap of 92.3 billion Canadian dollars ($66.4) and has now slipped back to become Canada’s second-largest company by market cap.

Coronavirus has torpedoed economic activity and led most conventional stores to shut down, leaving shoppers to resort to online retailers.

In March, Amazon halted the delivery of some non-essential shipments, a factor which greatly helped the Canadian start-up boost sales. 

But the future of stock is far less rosy analysts say. 

Stock is overpriced

A number of analysts told Markets Insider Shopify’s stock price is not sustainable even if COVID-19 drags on for many more months. 

Craig Kirsner, president of Stuart Estate Planning Wealth Advisors, said: “I 100% believe that companies like Shopify and Zoom are overpriced. They are based on the needs of the world right now and that need will go down once we are past coronavirus.”

He added: “I do believe these companies will be more important going forward. However, they are probably overvalued currently, as most bubble-type investments are.”

Robert R. Johnson, professor of finance at Heider College of Business, Creighton University, said: “The valuation of Shopify (SHOP) is, simply put, ludicrous. It is selling at 49 times sales. Not 49 times earnings, but 49 times sales. On a forward PE basis, it is selling at 5000 times consensus next 12 months earnings.”

Shopify posted earnings of $470 million a 47% increase year on year in its 1Q earnings this month. 

Johnson cited advice by iconic fund manager Peter Lynch, who led the behemoth Fidelity Magellan fund, stressing that good investments are not only ones that are great products and services but also those companies that have a sustainable business model. 

“In essence, there is no economic moat with Shopify. My advice is for investors to use the products offered by Shopify, just refrain from buying shares of its stock,” Johnson said. 

Markets Insider

Facebook joined the e-commerce craze on Tuesday through its announcement it is adding shops to its social network and Instagram, its biggest move into e-commerce yet. 

Facebook’s partnership with Shopify is a new free tool that helps merchants create a customized online storefront for Facebook and Instagram. 

How economies will fare after reopening

Kunal Chopra, chief executive of eTailz, pointed out that the start-up could lose steam if more retailers begin declaring bankruptcies. 

“A big driver is whether economy consumer spending may change when economies open up.” 

“There may be multiple bankruptcies, especially in the non-essential categories where that is going to [hurt Shopify].

But Ygal Arounian, equity research analyst covering SHOP for Wedbush Securities, thinks potential bankruptcies would help Shopify.

“Our view is that we are not going back to the pre-COVID normal. You are already seeing significant changes in the retail landscape. You are seeing bankruptcies for major retailers’ department stores.”

Arounian added: “It’s a positive for e-commerce and Shopify. It’s going to be a new normal and it’s going to include a lot more online and omnichannel commerce. Shopify will help facilitate that for many SMEs.”

But, Chopra said Amazon’s long-established infrastructure means Shopify won’t snatch a lot of market share in the long-term.

Chopra said: “One advantage Amazon has it has one of the best operational infrastructures in the world. It has fulfillment by Amazon.  You don’t get two-day Prime, one-day Prime, on Shopify unless you as a merchant can support that.”

“The other perspective is that that is where consumers are. One of the issues is that Shopify has to direct traffic to its site brand, it has to build that brand presence.”

Though he pointed out, Shopify allows the merchant to own the customer relationship where Amazon doesn’t. 

He added: “E-commerce here is to stay and they are both going to compete for market share, you will see a good balance between D2C and market places in the future,” but for now, our “short-term indication is a hold, long-term indication it is a buy.”

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Roots sees room for expansion in activewear, reports $5.2M Q2 loss and sales drop

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TORONTO – Roots Corp. may have built its brand on all things comfy and cosy, but its CEO says activewear is now “really becoming a core part” of the brand.

The category, which at Roots spans leggings, tracksuits, sports bras and bike shorts, has seen such sustained double-digit growth that Meghan Roach plans to make it a key part of the business’ future.

“It’s an area … you will see us continue to expand upon,” she told analysts on a Friday call.

The Toronto-based retailer’s push into activewear has taken shape over many years and included several turns as the official designer and supplier of Team Canada’s Olympic uniform.

But consumers have had plenty of choice when it comes to workout gear and other apparel suited to their sporting needs. On top of the slew of athletic brands like Nike and Adidas, shoppers have also gravitated toward Lululemon Athletica Inc., Alo and Vuori, ramping up competition in the activewear category.

Roach feels Roots’ toehold in the category stems from the fit, feel and following its merchandise has cultivated.

“Our product really resonates with (shoppers) because you can wear it through multiple different use cases and occasions,” she said.

“We’ve been seeing customers come back again and again for some of these core products in our activewear collection.”

Her remarks came the same day as Roots revealed it lost $5.2 million in its latest quarter compared with a loss of $5.3 million in the same quarter last year.

The company said the second-quarter loss amounted to 13 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended Aug. 3, the same as a year earlier.

In presenting the results, Roach reminded analysts that the first half of the year is usually “seasonally small,” representing just 30 per cent of the company’s annual sales.

Sales for the second quarter totalled $47.7 million, down from $49.4 million in the same quarter last year.

The move lower came as direct-to-consumer sales amounted to $36.4 million, down from $37.1 million a year earlier, as comparable sales edged down 0.2 per cent.

The numbers reflect the fact that Roots continued to grapple with inventory challenges in the company’s Cooper fleece line that first cropped up in its previous quarter.

Roots recently began to use artificial intelligence to assist with daily inventory replenishments and said more tools helping with allocation will go live in the next quarter.

Beyond that time period, the company intends to keep exploring AI and renovate more of its stores.

It will also re-evaluate its design ranks.

Roots announced Friday that chief product officer Karuna Scheinfeld has stepped down.

Rather than fill the role, the company plans to hire senior level design talent with international experience in the outdoor and activewear sectors who will take on tasks previously done by the chief product officer.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:ROOT)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Talks on today over HandyDART strike affecting vulnerable people in Metro Vancouver

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VANCOUVER – Mediated talks between the union representing HandyDART workers in Metro Vancouver and its employer, Transdev, are set to resume today as a strike that has stopped most services drags into a second week.

No timeline has been set for the length of the negotiations, but Joe McCann, president of the Amalgamated Transit Union Local 1724, says they are willing to stay there as long as it takes, even if talks drag on all night.

About 600 employees of the door-to-door transit service for people unable to navigate the conventional transit system have been on strike since last Tuesday, pausing service for all but essential medical trips.

Hundreds of drivers rallied outside TransLink’s head office earlier this week, calling for the transportation provider to intervene in the dispute with Transdev, which was contracted to oversee HandyDART service.

Transdev said earlier this week that it will provide a reply to the union’s latest proposal on Thursday.

A statement from the company said it “strongly believes” that their employees deserve fair wages, and that a fair contract “must balance the needs of their employees, clients and taxpayers.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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