Social Changes: Can The Economy And Business Survive? - Forbes | Canada News Media
Connect with us

Economy

Social Changes: Can The Economy And Business Survive? – Forbes

Published

 on


The United States is a troubled country; what does that mean for business and the economy? Consider words from the chairman of the Federal Reserve:

“I think also that something has happened to the American people, something has happened to the system of responses of both consumers and business people. They are not reacting to classical remedies the way they did because they are living in a disturbed world and they are themselves disturbed and are to a large degree, confused. These have been very troubled times and they have left their mark on the psychology of people, on the thinking of people, and that inevitably spills over into the economic realm. We have had a very long and most unhappy war which has divided this country and confused the people. Not very long ago we had riots in the streets and we had riots in the colleges….

“Now we have youngsters who are going to vote and now women are also marching in the streets, and now we have badly unbalanced budgets. If only life would quiet down for a while, if only both the administration and the Congress would become just a little less active in pushing new reforms for a while, if only some of my academic colleagues would keep quiet for a while, then I think this country might absorb a little better all these tumultuous changes around us and we might find that old-fashioned economic policies are working better. Of late, they have not worked too well.”

That was Arthur Burns in 1972 testimony to Congress.

Fifty years ago we were winding down the Vietnam War. Riots had occurred in major cities and on college campuses in the 1960s.

Busing of school children began in the 1970s, Burns noted (at the end of the first paragraph, where the ellipsis appears). School desegregation had been outlawed in 1954, but little integration had occurred since then. So busing began but was very divisive. People who accepted integration as an abstract concept objected to their own children forced to take long bus rides to attend a school outside of their neighborhood.

The workplace experienced challenges. A few years before Burns’ statement, a Ford Motor Company vice president of labor relations said about their employees, “For many, the traditional motivations of job security, money rewards, and opportunity for personal advancement are proving insufficient. Large numbers of those we hire find factory life so distasteful they quit after only brief exposure to it. The general increase in real wage levels in our economy has afforded more alternatives for satisfying economic needs.”

Ford’s experience in the late 1960s presaged current labor market challenges: companies unable to find workers, and when they did succeed in hiring someone, found the person likely to quit or just stop showing up without notice. The key insight was people didn’t need unpleasant work to pay their bills.

The killing of George Floyd in 2020 triggered many protests and some riots, with businesses and the overall economy affected by the strong public revulsion. Yet the 1960s saw large scale riots in many cities, including Los Angeles, Newark and Detroit. The commission set up in 1967 to study the riots reported, “Our nation is moving toward two societies, one black, one white—separate and unequal. Reaction to last summer’s disorders has quickened the movement and deepened the division. Discrimination and segregation have long permeated much of American life; they now threaten the future of every American.”

Today in 2022, our current challenges are real and need attention. Recounting past problems does not negate the current problems, but it does leave us with perspective: Nothing happening today will sink the economy or business in general. Changes have to be made, for sure, but nothing happening today warrants massive despair. We have come through worse turmoil, and we came out the better. We will come through today’s challenges, probably in better shape than we were before.

Note: the Burns testimony and Ford memorandum are described in Super Money by George Goodman writing under the pseudonym Adam Smith.

Adblock test (Why?)



Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

Liberals announce expansion to mortgage eligibility, draft rights for renters, buyers

Published

 on

 

OTTAWA – Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland says the government is making some changes to mortgage rules to help more Canadians to purchase their first home.

She says the changes will come into force in December and better reflect the housing market.

The price cap for insured mortgages will be boosted for the first time since 2012, moving to $1.5 million from $1 million, to allow more people to qualify for a mortgage with less than a 20 per cent down payment.

The government will also expand its 30-year mortgage amortization to include first-time homebuyers buying any type of home, as well as anybody buying a newly built home.

On Aug. 1 eligibility for the 30-year amortization was changed to include first-time buyers purchasing a newly-built home.

Justice Minister Arif Virani is also releasing drafts for a bill of rights for renters as well as one for homebuyers, both of which the government promised five months ago.

Virani says the government intends to work with provinces to prevent practices like renovictions, where landowners evict tenants and make minimal renovations and then seek higher rents.

The government touts today’s announced measures as the “boldest mortgage reforms in decades,” and it comes after a year of criticism over high housing costs.

The Liberals have been slumping in the polls for months, including among younger adults who say not being able to afford a house is one of their key concerns.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

Statistics Canada says manufacturing sales up 1.4% in July at $71B

Published

 on

 

OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says manufacturing sales rose 1.4 per cent to $71 billion in July, helped by higher sales in the petroleum and coal and chemical product subsectors.

The increase followed a 1.7 per cent decrease in June.

The agency says sales in the petroleum and coal product subsector gained 6.7 per cent to total $8.6 billion in July as most refineries sold more, helped by higher prices and demand.

Chemical product sales rose 5.3 per cent to $5.6 billion in July, boosted by increased sales of pharmaceutical and medicine products.

Sales of wood products fell 4.8 per cent for the month to $2.9 billion, the lowest level since May 2023.

In constant dollar terms, overall manufacturing sales rose 0.9 per cent in July.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

S&P/TSX gains almost 100 points, U.S. markets also higher ahead of rate decision

Published

 on

 

TORONTO – Strength in the base metal and technology sectors helped Canada’s main stock index gain almost 100 points on Friday, while U.S. stock markets climbed to their best week of the year.

“It’s been almost a complete opposite or retracement of what we saw last week,” said Philip Petursson, chief investment strategist at IG Wealth Management.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 297.01 points at 41,393.78. The S&P 500 index was up 30.26 points at 5,626.02, while the Nasdaq composite was up 114.30 points at 17,683.98.

The S&P/TSX composite index closed up 93.51 points at 23,568.65.

While last week saw a “healthy” pullback on weaker economic data, this week investors appeared to be buying the dip and hoping the central bank “comes to the rescue,” said Petursson.

Next week, the U.S. Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut its key interest rate for the first time in several years after it significantly hiked it to fight inflation.

But the magnitude of that first cut has been the subject of debate, and the market appears split on whether the cut will be a quarter of a percentage point or a larger half-point reduction.

Petursson thinks it’s clear the smaller cut is coming. Economic data recently hasn’t been great, but it hasn’t been that bad either, he said — and inflation may have come down significantly, but it’s not defeated just yet.

“I think they’re going to be very steady,” he said, with one small cut at each of their three decisions scheduled for the rest of 2024, and more into 2025.

“I don’t think there’s a sense of urgency on the part of the Fed that they have to do something immediately.

A larger cut could also send the wrong message to the markets, added Petursson: that the Fed made a mistake in waiting this long to cut, or that it’s seeing concerning signs in the economy.

It would also be “counter to what they’ve signaled,” he said.

More important than the cut — other than the new tone it sets — will be what Fed chair Jerome Powell has to say, according to Petursson.

“That’s going to be more important than the size of the cut itself,” he said.

In Canada, where the central bank has already cut three times, Petursson expects two more before the year is through.

“Here, the labour situation is worse than what we see in the United States,” he said.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.61 cents US compared with 73.58 cents US on Thursday.

The October crude oil contract was down 32 cents at US$68.65 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was down five cents at US$2.31 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$30.10 at US$2,610.70 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents US$4.24 a pound.

— With files from The Associated Press

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Trending

Exit mobile version