Solving home bias when investing isn't simple, but there are strategies to overcome it | Canada News Media
Connect with us

Investment

Solving home bias when investing isn’t simple, but there are strategies to overcome it

Published

 on

Andrew Feindel: Examining the psychology behind home bias may help position a portfolio for success

By Andrew Feindel

All the attention-grabbing headlines out there these days make it more challenging than ever to separate valuable information from irrelevant distractions in order to make informed investment decisions without falling prey to emotional reactions.

This is particularly true with topics such as home bias, where an individual investor’s experiences heavily influence their perceptions, so emotions can cloud their judgment. This can lead to less-than-optimal long-term investment strategies that may impact their chances of achieving their financial goals.

Solving home bias is more complicated than it sounds, but examining the psychology behind it may help position a portfolio for success.

Why is there home bias?

The degree of home bias investors exhibit is frequently influenced by psychological factors instead of logical reasoning.

For example, an investor’s past experiences can significantly shape their risk tolerance and investment choices. If an investor made substantial investments in the Canadian market between 2000 and 2010 — when it outperformed many other market indexes — they would likely have a greater tilt towards home bias.

Article content

Conversely, an investor who began investing domestically after 2010, when the Canadian market underperformed, might be hesitant to seize domestic opportunities. Other factors that can reinforce these subconscious biases might include one’s political beliefs, view on foreign governments and/or occupation.

In order to create appropriate investment strategies suitable to each client’s unique circumstances, advisers should strive to understand these biases and help clients consider more pivotal investment variables.

 

Strategies to tackle home bias

It is crucial to take a step back when determining the right degree of diversification an investor needs, and look at markets from a broader perspective to strategically position a portfolio for different market cycles.

The last bull cycle from 2009 to 2021 was filled with quantitative easing, disinflation, low yields, growth and large-cap stock dominance, globalization and monetary excess. However, the next bull cycle is looking quite different, with quantitative tightening, inflation, normalized yields, onshoring and the resurgence of small-cap and value stocks potentially being the core drivers.

Whereas the last bull cycle did not favour home bias for Canadians, should the key variables of the next bull cycle diverge from those of the previous one, a strong argument could be made for favouring some form of home bias for Canadians.

Given the volatility of macroeconomic and geopolitical factors, it is important to not fixate on a single perspective and stress test portfolios by assigning probabilities to different scenarios.

Assuming best-case, base-case and worst-case scenarios — adjusting variables to see the effects on portfolio returns and volatility — will help capture a wide range of possible outcomes and avoid being caught off-guard by changing market conditions.

The right allocation

Personal circumstances are crucial considerations when determining the appropriate degree of diversification, often more so than strategic market factors. Elements such as age, risk tolerance, family situation, income and liabilities need to be considered alongside market factors to ensure a balanced portfolio.

For instance, as individuals approach retirement, they should consider holding more Canadian assets to avoid currency and liquidity risks. Those who need access to their money over the short term should be investing conservatively in havens such as guaranteed investment certificates, high-interest savings accounts or short-term bonds to avoid price risk. And individuals with a higher risk tolerance may want to hold more foreign assets over a longer-term horizon.

Specific allocations will vary depending on a mix of individual and market variables, but it’s generally advisable to avoid holding more than 80 per cent to 90 per cent in either foreign or domestic assets as a balanced approach is often more beneficial.

Luckily, Canadians have access to a variety of investment solutions that simplify the process of creating a balanced portfolio while offering tax advantages, whether investing domestically or internationally.

For example, Horizons Equal Weight Canada Banks Index exchange-traded fund provides exposure to the Big Six while deferring taxable distributions until you sell the ETF, making it tax efficient compared to buying the six banks individually. The Purpose Tactical Asset Allocation ETF is another tax-efficient fund that automatically adjusts asset allocation between equities and bonds to generate absolute returns. For those seeking equity exposure with enhanced yield, the Evolve S&P 500 Enhanced Yield Fund provides exposure to the S&P 500 with an option strategy that provides additional income.

Keep in mind that there are rarely, if ever, times of complete certainty in markets. Every day, new developments throw into question the viability of investment strategies. In this ever-changing environment, an adviser can help clear the fog of financial complexities and shed light on timeless, fundamental investment principles that help you achieve your financial goals.

By clarifying misconceptions and educating clients on security selection, portfolio allocation and macroeconomic conditions, advisers can provide clients the confidence to adhere to their investment strategies and base decisions on understanding and logic instead of emotional impulses.

Andrew Feindel, CFA, CFP, CSWP, CIM, FMA, CPCA, FCSI, HBA, is a portfolio manager and investment adviser for Richie-Feindel Wealth Management at Richardson Wealth Ltd. and the author of Kickstart Your Corporation (2020) and Kickstart: How Successful Canadians Got Started (2008)

 

Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

Energy stocks help lift S&P/TSX composite, U.S. stock markets also up

Published

 on

 

TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was higher in late-morning trading, helped by strength in energy stocks, while U.S. stock markets also moved up.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 34.91 points at 23,736.98.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 178.05 points at 41,800.13. The S&P 500 index was up 28.38 points at 5,661.47, while the Nasdaq composite was up 133.17 points at 17,725.30.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.56 cents US compared with 73.57 cents US on Monday.

The November crude oil contract was up 68 cents at US$69.70 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up three cents at US$2.40 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$7.80 at US$2,601.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up a penny at US$4.28 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 17, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

S&P/TSX gains almost 100 points, U.S. markets also higher ahead of rate decision

Published

 on

 

TORONTO – Strength in the base metal and technology sectors helped Canada’s main stock index gain almost 100 points on Friday, while U.S. stock markets climbed to their best week of the year.

“It’s been almost a complete opposite or retracement of what we saw last week,” said Philip Petursson, chief investment strategist at IG Wealth Management.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 297.01 points at 41,393.78. The S&P 500 index was up 30.26 points at 5,626.02, while the Nasdaq composite was up 114.30 points at 17,683.98.

The S&P/TSX composite index closed up 93.51 points at 23,568.65.

While last week saw a “healthy” pullback on weaker economic data, this week investors appeared to be buying the dip and hoping the central bank “comes to the rescue,” said Petursson.

Next week, the U.S. Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut its key interest rate for the first time in several years after it significantly hiked it to fight inflation.

But the magnitude of that first cut has been the subject of debate, and the market appears split on whether the cut will be a quarter of a percentage point or a larger half-point reduction.

Petursson thinks it’s clear the smaller cut is coming. Economic data recently hasn’t been great, but it hasn’t been that bad either, he said — and inflation may have come down significantly, but it’s not defeated just yet.

“I think they’re going to be very steady,” he said, with one small cut at each of their three decisions scheduled for the rest of 2024, and more into 2025.

“I don’t think there’s a sense of urgency on the part of the Fed that they have to do something immediately.

A larger cut could also send the wrong message to the markets, added Petursson: that the Fed made a mistake in waiting this long to cut, or that it’s seeing concerning signs in the economy.

It would also be “counter to what they’ve signaled,” he said.

More important than the cut — other than the new tone it sets — will be what Fed chair Jerome Powell has to say, according to Petursson.

“That’s going to be more important than the size of the cut itself,” he said.

In Canada, where the central bank has already cut three times, Petursson expects two more before the year is through.

“Here, the labour situation is worse than what we see in the United States,” he said.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.61 cents US compared with 73.58 cents US on Thursday.

The October crude oil contract was down 32 cents at US$68.65 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was down five cents at US$2.31 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$30.10 at US$2,610.70 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents US$4.24 a pound.

— With files from The Associated Press

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

S&P/TSX composite down more than 200 points, U.S. stock markets also fall

Published

 on

 

TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was down more than 200 points in late-morning trading, weighed down by losses in the technology, base metal and energy sectors, while U.S. stock markets also fell.

The S&P/TSX composite index was down 239.24 points at 22,749.04.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was down 312.36 points at 40,443.39. The S&P 500 index was down 80.94 points at 5,422.47, while the Nasdaq composite was down 380.17 points at 16,747.49.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.80 cents US compared with 74.00 cents US on Thursday.

The October crude oil contract was down US$1.07 at US$68.08 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was up less than a penny at US$2.26 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$2.10 at US$2,541.00 an ounce and the December copper contract was down four cents at US$4.10 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 6, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Trending

Exit mobile version