For decades, the faintest hint of cosmic pessimism has been limiting expectations if not dreams. Now, we’re in the midst of a new space race

In September this year, more than 10 million kilometres out in space, a little spaceship collided with a large asteroid called Dimorphos.
This was on purpose, a good shot. The mission was to disrupt the orbital path Dimorphos takes around its paired larger asteroid Didymos, which it did, by a lot more even than NASA expected
At the end of 2022, things are looking up, space-wise. Just a few weeks before NASA hit that asteroid bullseye, the first images arrived back on Earth from the new James Webb Space Telescope, stationed out at a stable place in the interplay between Sun and Earth gravity, facing out into the receding darkness. This successor to the 32-year-old Hubble launched last Christmas Day, equipped with, among other fancy things, a Canadian made device called the Near Infrared Imager and Slitless Spectrograph (NIRISS). Already, it is revealing new insights about how the universe’s first galaxies formed out of the remnants of the Big Bang.
Then in November, the Artemis 1 mission set off around the Moon and back on a new spaceship called Orion, carrying humanoid technical mannequins to prove it can one day safely carry human crew, and a new thermal shield to protect them from re-entry temperatures higher than anything previously encountered in crewed spaceflight.
Space news barely took a day off this year. Two days after Orion splashed down in the Pacific Ocean on Dec. 11, a research paper was published about a chance encounter on Mars, in which a huge dust devil, more than 100 metres tall, 25 metres across, and moving about 18 km/h across the surface of Mars happened to run directly over the Perseverance rover, which captured audio as well as video, and beamed it back to Earth.
Next year, for example, the European Space Agency plans to launch the JUICE mission (Jupiter Icy Moons Explorer) to map the icy moons Ganymede, Callisto and Europa that orbit the solar system’s largest planet. NASA plans both to launch a mission to an asteroid, and to welcome the return of samples from another asteroid, from a mission launched in 2020.
Even the grandest plans and predictions are coming into focus, thanks especially to Artemis, after a couple of initial hiccups delayed the launch. Its explicit goal is eventually to put an outpost space station in lunar polar orbit before sending a crewed mission to the surface and back. An entire generation of space scientists is invested in what would follow, a crewed Mars mission, and the beginning of interplanetary colonization.
What its research team can see in the resulting images, as the University of Toronto astronomer Lamiya Mowla puts it, “is not a picture of a point in time. This is a history of the universe.”
It is heady and exciting stuff. Taken together, all this evidence suggests the future of space science and exploration looks a bit more today like it did a generation ago, like an accelerating golden age.
Maybe there is no grand unified theory to be found in physics, no quantum theory of gravity. Maybe getting to Mars is practically impossible. Maybe life really is a unique fluke. The end of the Space Shuttle program a decade ago threatened to doom the International Space Station, which once promised to be a stepping stone for humans to the cosmos, not the dead-end “tin can” of Space Oddity. Maybe the momentum had left the space project.
The mid-century superpower space race is not only over, but at least one racer has degenerated into an imperial basket case, failing this year at even earthbound conquest. The Russian Soyuz spacecraft remains the workhorse of human transit to the space station, and until recently it was the only way to get there, but this month’s coolant leak was a reminder that it is 20th century technology for a 20th century purpose.
Private industry has picked up slack in rocketry. SpaceX has proved the benefit of re-usable rockets in launching at a fraction of what NASA spends to launch its new Space Launch System, and plans to soon test its Starship craft, designed for crewed flight both in orbit and eventually to Mars.
Technology has offered up not just new telescopes in space with vastly increased resolution, but also revolutionary new ways of looking, such as gravitational wave astronomy.
Hubble was launched in the era of floppy disks, before cell phones, with very low memory. “Now we can fit so much data on these chips,” she said. “There is definitely a technological explosion that happened between Hubble and JWST.”
She and colleagues working with new data from Webb recently discovered a galaxy nicknamed The Sparkler, which is interesting because it is both very distant and very old. It was already old when the light detected by Webb started its journey 9 billion years ago.
The Sparkler is good evidence that a lot of the structural formation is happening very early on, Mowla said.
In space, you can only see what used to be, not what presently is. Light moves so fast that it fools us in our everyday lives. We act as if it doesn’t matter, but there’s always a gap, the time it takes light to travel at its constant speed of about a billion kilometres an hour. Light is like the future. You can never truly see it coming. But it gets here quick.
“It’s one of the best parts of living in this universe, that every time you look up in the sky you’re essentially time travelling,” Mowla said. “We can never know what the sun looks like right at this moment, we have to wait 8 minutes to find out.”
It is the same for other stars, only more so, each one a different time away into the past.
“You’re looking at so many points in time at the same time. It gives you shivers, right?” she said.











