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Stock market news live: Stock futures extend losses after Dow's worst quarter since 1987 – Yahoo Canada Finance

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<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="Stocks futures fell Wednesday morning, signaling more selling after the Dow posted its worst quarterly drop since 1987.” data-reactid=”16″>Stocks futures fell Wednesday morning, signaling more selling after the Dow posted its worst quarterly drop since 1987.

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="In the U.S., officials’ outlooks around the coronavirus outbreak have grown increasingly somber, as the case count topped 189,000 – comprising around one-fifth of known global cases – and the death toll rose about 3,000. During a White House briefing Tuesday evening, President Donald Trump said Americans should prepare for what is going to be “a very painful two weeks” as the pandemic paces toward a peak in the U.S. Based on new White House projections, the death toll could reach up to 240,000 domestically.” data-reactid=”17″>In the U.S., officials’ outlooks around the coronavirus outbreak have grown increasingly somber, as the case count topped 189,000 – comprising around one-fifth of known global cases – and the death toll rose about 3,000. During a White House briefing Tuesday evening, President Donald Trump said Americans should prepare for what is going to be “a very painful two weeks” as the pandemic paces toward a peak in the U.S. Based on new White House projections, the death toll could reach up to 240,000 domestically.

Each of the three major indices suffered stunning declines during the first three months of this year as the coronavirus outbreak escalated globally, triggering widespread stay-at-home orders, effectively shutting down travel-related industries and grinding a myriad other business operations to a halt.

As of market close Tuesday, the S&P 500 was down 20% for the year to date, the Dow fell 23.2% and the Nasdaq dropped 14.18%, with the latter’s declines cushioned relative to the other indices as investors bought into big tech names. The Information Technology sector was the leader in the S&P 500 for the first quarter, followed by the Health-Care sector.

The Energy sector, meanwhile, was the S&P 500’s biggest laggard, dropping 51% for the year to date. This coincided with a precipitous decline in crude oil prices, with domestic West Texas Intermediate posting its single largest quarterly and monthly declines on record, settling more than 66% lower for the year to date on Tuesday. Saudi Arabia has vowed to hike its oil output to a record in April, further applying downward pressure to prices on the supply side while the coronavirus simultaneously drags down energy demand.

8:15 a.m. ET: Private payrolls declined by 27,000 in March as small businesses shed jobs, according to ADP/Moody’s report

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="Private payrolls fell less than expected in March, according to the ADP/Moody’s monthly report capturing the early impacts of the coronavirus outbreak on the domestic labor market.” data-reactid=”23″>Private payrolls fell less than expected in March, according to the ADP/Moody’s monthly report capturing the early impacts of the coronavirus outbreak on the domestic labor market.

Headline private payrolls sank by 27,000, beating expectations for a decline of 150,000, according to Bloomberg-compiled consensus data. in February, private payrolls rose by 179,000, downwardly revised from the 183,000 previously reported.

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="The ADP/Moody’s survey collects data through the 12th of the month, and so does not fully capture the most recent impacts to the job market caused by the coronavirus outbreak and related social distancing measures.” data-reactid=”25″>The ADP/Moody’s survey collects data through the 12th of the month, and so does not fully capture the most recent impacts to the job market caused by the coronavirus outbreak and related social distancing measures.

By company size, small businesses bore the brunt of declines in March, with companies of up to 49 employees losing 90,000 payrolls. Medium and large business each posted net gains in payrolls.

Both the goods-producing and services sectors saw net job losses in March, with the services sector leading declines. Trade, transportation and utilities industries lost 37,000 jobs, and administrative services lost 12,000 payrolls. In the goods-producing sector, construction lost 16,000 jobs.

Small businesses lost 90,000 jobs in March, according to ADP/Moody's.

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Small businesses lost 90,000 jobs in March, according to ADP/Moody’s.

8:00 a.m. ET: Home Depot announces early store closures, expanded COVID-19 safety measures

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="The Home Depot (HD) became one of the latest major retailers to announce operational changes amid the coronavirus outbreak. The company said Wednesday morning it will shrink its store hours and close at 6 p.m. daily to give staff “additional time to perform cleaning and restock shelves.” Store associates will take their temperatures before work, it added.” data-reactid=”50″>The Home Depot (HD) became one of the latest major retailers to announce operational changes amid the coronavirus outbreak. The company said Wednesday morning it will shrink its store hours and close at 6 p.m. daily to give staff “additional time to perform cleaning and restock shelves.” Store associates will take their temperatures before work, it added.

The company also said it is limiting the number of customers inside at any given time, and eliminating spring promotions to avoid incentivizing more shoppers into retail locations. The company froze prices nationwide on products in high demand due to the coronavirus outbreak, and is prioritizing fulfillment to health-care centers and personnel.

Home Depot also said it is expanding its paid time off policy for workers to accommodate disruptions due to the coronavirus, and is implementing a temporary bonus program for workers in stores and distribution centers.

Shares of Home Depot fell 3.8% in early trading to $179.55 each.

7:09 a.m. ET Wednesday: Stock futures drop, Dow sheds 600+ points

Here were the main moves in markets, as of 7:09 a.m. ET:

  • S&P 500 futures (ES=F): down 3.19%, or -82 points to 2,487.75

  • Dow futures (YM=F): down 3.14% or -682 points to 21,069.00

  • Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): down 2.74% or -213 points to 7,573.25

  • Crude (CL=F): +$0.49 (+0.49%) to $20.58 a barrel

  • Gold (GC=F): +$10.00 (+0.63%) to $1,606.60 per ounce

  • 10-year Treasury (^TNX): -8.9 bps to yield 0.61%

7:00 a.m. ET Wednesday: Mortgage applications jumped last week as refinances surge, but new purchases extended declines

Mortgage applications jumped by a seasonally adjusted 15.3% over the prior week for the week ending March 27, the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) said Wednesday. This came following a 29.4% weekly drop for the week ending March 20.

The MBA’s index tracking refinances surged 26% from the previous week and was more than double that of the comparable period last year. Purchases, however, decreased 10% compared with the previous week, and 24% compared to the same week last year.

“Mortgage rates and applications continue to experience significant volatility from the economic and financial market uncertainty caused by the coronavirus crisis. After two weeks of sizable increases, mortgage rates dropped back to the lowest level in MBA’s survey, which in turn led to a 25 percent jump in refinance applications,” Joel Kan, MBA’s associate vice president of economic and industry forecasting, said in a statement. “The bleaker economic outlook, along with the first wave of realized job losses reported in last week’s unemployment claims numbers, likely caused potential homebuyers to pull back.”

6:01 p.m. ET Tuesday: Stock futures open little changed

Here were the main moves in markets, as of 6:01 p.m. ET:

  • S&P 500 futures (ES=F): down 0.47%, or -12 points to 2,557.75

  • Dow futures (YM=F): down 0.45% or -98 points to 21,653.00

  • Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): down 0.32% or -25 points to 7,761.25

The empty Trading Floor of the NYSE after the market has closed.The empty Trading Floor of the NYSE after the market has closed.

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The empty Trading Floor of the NYSE after the market has closed.

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="Follow Yahoo Finance on&nbsp;Twitter,&nbsp;Facebook,&nbsp;Instagram,&nbsp;Flipboard,&nbsp;LinkedIn, and&nbsp;reddit.” data-reactid=”101″>Follow Yahoo Finance on TwitterFacebookInstagramFlipboardLinkedIn, and reddit.

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="Find live stock market quotes and the latest business and finance news” data-reactid=”102″>Find live stock market quotes and the latest business and finance news

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History Suggests Record 50-Day Stock Market Rally May Be Just The Beginning – Benzinga

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The S&P 500 has gained a record 39.6% since it hit its 2020 low back on March 23. Not only has that rally erased much of the year’s COVID-19-related losses, it’s also the best 50-day stretch in the history of the market.

After such a strong rally, traders are understandably getting uneasy the market is overbought and due for a pullback. However, from a purely historical perspective, the strongest 50-day periods have generally led to even more gains over the year that follows, according to LPL Financial Senior Market Strategist Ryan Detrick.

A Closer Look

On Thursday, Detrick looked at the seven other times since the S&P 500 was constructed in 1957 that the index has gained at least 20% over a 50-day period. In all seven instances, the index gained at least another 5.2% in the year that followed.

“Big 50-day rallies in the past have taken place near the start of new bull markets, and the returns going out a year were quite bullish,” Detrick wrote.

What’s Next?

LPL found that the S&P 500 averaged a 1.1% gain over the month following the best 50-day stretches. The S&P 500 has averaged a 6.2% gain over three months, a 9.1% gain over six months and a 19.4% gain over the year following these exceptional 50-day stretches.

Detrick said traders are right to be concerned about the durability of the rally in the near-term given potential red flags in the put-to-call ratios among option traders. However, history suggests the next six months to a year could be very kind to investors overall.

Benizinga’s Take

It’s difficult to step in and chase the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE: SPY) today after the market has had its best 50 days in history. However, LPL’s research suggests long-term investors with dry powder should consider scooping up S&P 500 stocks on any near-term pullbacks.

Do you agree with this take? Email feedback@benzinga.com with your thoughts.

Related Links:

5 Reasons The Value Stock Rally May Run Out Of Steam

What The Yield Curve Is Saying About The Stock Market Rally

© 2020 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.

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Bombardier to lay off nearly 200 regional rail workers in GTA – BNNBloomberg.ca

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Bombardier Inc. says it will temporarily lay off 196 employees working on regional transit services in the Greater Toronto Area due to a steep decline in ridership numbers amid the COVID-19 pandemic.

The company said in an email the job cuts, effective June 21, amount to about 20 per cent of its workforce at GO Transit and the Union Pearson Express.

Both rail services are owned by the Metrolinx transit agency, which contracts out operations to Bombardier.

Bombardier says ridership has dropped by 90 per cent due to the impact of the pandemic, prompting a reduction in service levels.

Commuting has plummeted as confinement measures shuttered businesses, triggered layoffs and prompted work-from-home policies.

Air passenger numbers have also plunged, with international traveller volumes falling 98 per cent year over year at Canadian airports last week, according to the Canada Border Services Agency.

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Did Iraq Just Doom The OPEC Deal? | OilPrice.com – OilPrice.com

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Did Iraq Just Doom The OPEC Deal? | OilPrice.com

Julianne Geiger

Julianne Geiger is a veteran editor, writer and researcher for Oilprice.com, and a member of the Creative Professionals Networking Group.

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    OPEC is in negotiations with its members to find the best way forward, but talks appear to have stalled over one laggard, Iraq, which has failed to live up to its agreement under the cartel’s production cut deal. Does this give OPEC cover for meeting delays and overall noncompliance, or is it a sincere effort to get it onboard?

    Whether Iraq can be brought in line and fully comply with its share of the OPEC deal is certainly doubtful. Yet interestingly enough, OPEC and Russia have staked the extension of the dealy past June, when the current level of cuts expire and cuts begin to ease, entirely on whether all laggard members bring production down to agreed-upon levels. 

    Either OPEC and Russia are certain they can get Iraq to bring its production down to its quota, or they are content to have the cartel’s production above normal. 

    Russia and Saudi Arabia both agreed that the current level of production cuts should be extended at least one more month. The caveat? That all other countries implement their established quotas in full. 

    That’s a pretty big ask, and if history repeats itself, it’s impossible. What this means for oil prices is that there would be no extension, inventories won’t draw down as quickly, and oil prices will remain depressed along with demand for crude–which although it is picking back up thanks to lockdowns being lifted, is still about 20 million barrel per day under what it was before the pandemic. 

    Iraq isn’t the only laggard, to be fair. Nigeria, Angola, and Kazakhstan are also not keeping up their end of the bargain. The cartel went to work trying to get the three, and Iraq, to recommit to the cuts, and with the exception of Iraq, all three gave the requisite assurances.  Related: Are Investors Ignoring The Largest Financial Risk Ever?

    Of course, that doesn’t mean they will necessarily do so, but it’s at least a start. 

    Iraq, however, has not committed to bringing its production down to the quota in June. 

    OPEC’s compliance for May is thought to be about 89%. This isn’t terrible considering the volume of how much is being cut. Still, compliant Saudi Arabia is declaring its unwillingness to continue its share of the cuts for another month unless the laggards get their act together. Laggards that include Iraq, whose compliance reached only about 42% in May.

    OPEC won’t even have the meeting this week unless Iraq agrees to improve its compliance. 

    Is it all just a ploy to manage market expectations in the run up to the meeting to ensure that whatever agreement is hatched is looked upon favorably, therefore maximizing the price impact? Is it a strategy to get out of extending the deal, perhaps as discussed with U.S. President Donald Trump? Is it designed to put maximum pressure on Iraq to comply? 

    Chances are, we’ll never know. But one thing is for certain: Iraq will not comply with the deal–period. 

    In fact, it said as much. Iraq said it would fully implement cuts by the end of July-in their promise-to-fulfill-later kind of way that they have done in the past. 

    Iraq the Laggard

    For the most part, when it comes to chronic noncompliance, we are talking about the usual suspects of Iraq and Nigeria. But Iraq is so much bigger. 

    Both countries have unique challenges when it comes to sticking to any production cut deal that OPEC or OPEC+ could ever hatch. For Iraq, it is their reliance on international oil companies, most of which operate in the semi-autonomous Kurdistan region. So on one hand, Iraq doesn’t want to bite the hand that feeds it–big foreign oil companies–and on the other, Iraq has a tough time trying to regulate what goes on in the Kurdistan region. This is not even to mention the rocky political climate in Iraq. Related: Can Yemen’s Oil Industry Make A Comeback?

    For Nigeria, it’s the fact that it has a strong reliance on its oil revenues. Most OPEC nations rely on oil revenue for a substantial part of the revenue. But for Nigeria, shutting down oil production and forgoing the revenue associated with that oil production is tough.  Yet Nigeria has agreed, although its May compliance was still not up to snuff.

    OPEC’s Other Problem

    Is OPEC really worried about the extra barrels Iraq is pumping? After all, Saudi Arabia has overachieved its own quota for well over a year while the laggards basked in their overproduction. Most signs point to legitimate worry. Saudi Arabia has declined to publish its July OSP for July until after the meeting. The Kingdom is also raising its customs duties on hundreds of products to generate more non-oil revenue. In a similar vein, it’s tripling its VAT and suspending its cost of living allowances. These are worrisome signs.

    What’s most concerning in the market, however, is the notion that the OPEC deal could fall apart entirely. 

    The previous deal catastrophe is all too fresh in our minds after Russia and Saudi Arabia–the two heavyweights in the deal–failed to reach an agreement over the cuts. The deal failure triggered a price war between the two, plunging the world into a glut of oil and sending prices spiraling as demand fell in the wake of the pandemic. 

    By Julianne Geiger for Oilprice.com

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