Strategist describes what a once-in-a-generation investment opportunity looks like | Canada News Media
Connect with us

Investment

Strategist describes what a once-in-a-generation investment opportunity looks like

Published

 on

Daily roundup of research and analysis from The Globe and Mail’s market strategist Scott Barlow

The RBC mining and materials equity team upgraded base metals stocks to “overweight” and published their top ideas for the first quarter of 2024,

“Our view: For Q1/24, we upgrade Base Metals & Energy Transition Metals to Overweight, upgrade Diversified/Bulks commodities to Overweight, maintain our Overweight rating on Precious Metals and Uranium, and reiterate our neutral view on Fertilizers. We are making two additions to the Best Ideas Portfolio and five deletions — we are adding Vale and Sandfire Resources and removing Pan American Silver, Ecora Resources, Norsk Hyro, Mineral Resources, and South32. The Q4/23 portfolio was up 14.9% outperforming the MSCI Benchmark up 12.0 per cent”

The companies on the list are now CF Industries, Nutrien, Capstone Copper, Hudbay Minerals, Sandfire Resources, Ivanhoe Mines, Pilbara Minerals, Adriatic Metals, Hochschild Mining, G Mining Ventures, Gold Fields, Northern Star Resources, De Grey Mining, Agnico Eagle, Royal Gold, Cameco, NexGen Energy, Vale, Champion Iron, Glencore, Teck Resources, and Anglo American.

***

BofA Securities investment strategist Michael Hartnett wonders how investors can believe Federal Reserve rate cuts are imminent,

“Only 5 times in last 90 years has Fed cut rates with core CPI (3.9 per cent) more than the [unemployment]-rate (3.7 per cent), cuts triggered by war (1942) or recession (1969, 1974, 1980, 1981), but neither in 2024…why Wall St soooo risk-on … At least until weak US$ says ‘policy mistake’ or U.S. labor market transitions to redundancies (-ve payroll) … Geopolitics inflationary … Transit volumes through Red Sea/Suez Canal down 35-45 per cent past 4 weeks … Red Sea 12 per cent of world trade, 30 per cent of container traffic) … Global freight rates up 120 per cent past 6 weeks … We like bonds (shorter-duration given policy risk), as well as bullion (the U.S., dollar will weaken); case for bonds … Equity-like returns without equity-like risk … Handy at a time when ‘soft landing’ slam-dunk consensus, and world growth so dependent on US consumer”

***

RB Advisors deputy chief investment officer Dan Suzuki continued to flesh out the firm’s belief we are at a ‘once-in-a-generation’ inflection pointy for investors,

“Market leadership tends to change in response to structural shifts in the macroeconomic fundamentals. The global economy is currently undergoing major inflections across inflation, interest rates, globalization, corporate profitability, demographics and government balance sheets. When coupled with the prevailing bifurcation of sentiment and record market concentration, the current juncture may offer investors a once-in-a-generation opportunity to rebalance portfolios. Just as in the wake of the Internet bubble, what part of the market you own could mean the difference between another lost decade of returns for crowded and expensive assets or very attractive returns or assets where capital is truly scarce. With all eyes on US large cap growth stocks and disinflation beneficiaries, we see bigger opportunities in international, small caps, value stocks and inflation beneficiaries”

“What does a once-in-a-generation investment opportunity look like?” – RB Advisors

***

 

Source link

Continue Reading

Investment

Tesla shares soar more than 14% as Trump win is seen boosting Elon Musk’s electric vehicle company

Published

 on

 

NEW YORK (AP) — Shares of Tesla soared Wednesday as investors bet that the electric vehicle maker and its CEO Elon Musk will benefit from Donald Trump’s return to the White House.

Tesla stands to make significant gains under a Trump administration with the threat of diminished subsidies for alternative energy and electric vehicles doing the most harm to smaller competitors. Trump’s plans for extensive tariffs on Chinese imports make it less likely that Chinese EVs will be sold in bulk in the U.S. anytime soon.

“Tesla has the scale and scope that is unmatched,” said Wedbush analyst Dan Ives, in a note to investors. “This dynamic could give Musk and Tesla a clear competitive advantage in a non-EV subsidy environment, coupled by likely higher China tariffs that would continue to push away cheaper Chinese EV players.”

Tesla shares jumped 14.8% Wednesday while shares of rival electric vehicle makers tumbled. Nio, based in Shanghai, fell 5.3%. Shares of electric truck maker Rivian dropped 8.3% and Lucid Group fell 5.3%.

Tesla dominates sales of electric vehicles in the U.S, with 48.9% in market share through the middle of 2024, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

Subsidies for clean energy are part of the Inflation Reduction Act, signed into law by President Joe Biden in 2022. It included tax credits for manufacturing, along with tax credits for consumers of electric vehicles.

Musk was one of Trump’s biggest donors, spending at least $119 million mobilizing Trump’s supporters to back the Republican nominee. He also pledged to give away $1 million a day to voters signing a petition for his political action committee.

In some ways, it has been a rocky year for Tesla, with sales and profit declining through the first half of the year. Profit did rise 17.3% in the third quarter.

The U.S. opened an investigation into the company’s “Full Self-Driving” system after reports of crashes in low-visibility conditions, including one that killed a pedestrian. The investigation covers roughly 2.4 million Teslas from the 2016 through 2024 model years.

And investors sent company shares tumbling last month after Tesla unveiled its long-awaited robotaxi at a Hollywood studio Thursday night, seeing not much progress at Tesla on autonomous vehicles while other companies have been making notable progress.

Tesla began selling the software, which is called “Full Self-Driving,” nine years ago. But there are doubts about its reliability.

The stock is now showing a 16.1% gain for the year after rising the past two days.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Investment

S&P/TSX composite up more than 100 points, U.S. stock markets mixed

Published

 on

 

TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 100 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in base metal and utility stocks, while U.S. stock markets were mixed.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 103.40 points at 24,542.48.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 192.31 points at 42,932.73. The S&P 500 index was up 7.14 points at 5,822.40, while the Nasdaq composite was down 9.03 points at 18,306.56.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.44 cents US on Tuesday.

The November crude oil contract was down 71 cents at US$69.87 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down eight cents at US$2.42 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$7.20 at US$2,686.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up a penny at US$4.35 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 16, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

S&P/TSX up more than 200 points, U.S. markets also higher

Published

 on

 

TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 200 points in late-morning trading, while U.S. stock markets were also headed higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 205.86 points at 24,508.12.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 336.62 points at 42,790.74. The S&P 500 index was up 34.19 points at 5,814.24, while the Nasdaq composite was up 60.27 points at 18.342.32.

The Canadian dollar traded for 72.61 cents US compared with 72.71 cents US on Thursday.

The November crude oil contract was down 15 cents at US$75.70 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down two cents at US$2.65 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was down US$29.60 at US$2,668.90 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents at US$4.47 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 11, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Trending

Exit mobile version