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Strong infrastructure investment must be a priority now: RCCAO report – constructconnect.com – Daily Commercial News

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A recent report prepared for the Residential and Civil Construction Alliance of Ontario (RCCAO) states holding back on infrastructure investment could exacerbate the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, result in billions of dollars in lost tax revenue for federal and provincial governments and hamper Ontario’s economic recovery.

Entitled Navigating the COVID-19 Socio-economic Shock: How Infrastructure Investments Will Facilitate Future Growth in Ontario, the report prepared by the Canadian Centre for Economic Analysis (CANCEA), states now is a critical time for the Government of Canada to work with the Ontario government and municipalities to find solutions that address municipal operating deficits while also funding infrastructure projects.

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“We’re trying to send the message to the (federal) finance minister that although the debt situation may look dire right now, if you do make these investments, over the longer term you will get more tax revenues and more long-term building of our economic foundation in Canada,” said Andy Manahan, executive director of the RCCAO.

“I would really like to see them thinking about this as a non-political issue. They do need to work together and be more agile.

“If municipalities had a list of projects they thought were ready to tender this year, what a great time to speed that process up right now.” 

The operating deficits, caused by the increased need for services and a simultaneous drop in revenue, combined with the expected decline in both provincial and federal GDP due to the economic slowdown, could put Ontario’s planned infrastructure investments at risk while also threatening to limit the financial returns from past infrastructure investments, states the report. This could have long-term implications for growth even post-COVID-19.  

There will be no recovery unless municipalities first get the support they need,

— Bill Karsten

Federation of Canadian Municipalities

“If the Ontario and federal governments do not invest the same amount in infrastructure as was planned pre-crisis and the province uses funds from its capital budget to cover municipal deficits, then there will be clear and measurable consequences, namely lower long-term growth, fewer jobs and lower government revenue,” reads the report. “The current once-in-a-generation socio-economic crisis caused by the pandemic will only compound the consequences and significance of this decision.”

In an email to the Daily Commercial News, Federation of Canadian Municipalities (FCM) president Bill Karsten, said municipalities across the country are facing a financial crisis.

“Weeks ago, through FCM, they called for urgent, emergency operating funding to keep essential local services running for Canadians,” Karsten stated. “Municipalities are key economic drivers in this country, and the financial emergency they are facing because of COVID-19 threatens the economic recovery Canadians are counting on. We need to make sure that cities and communities are in a position to deliver needed stimulus at the local level, when it’s time.”

The RCCAO report aligns with FCM’s estimate that in order to cover all municipal operating deficits for 2020, municipalities will need $10 to $15 billion in direct support, he added.

“These conclusions add to the growing chorus of municipal, business and labour leaders calling on federal, provincial and territorial governments to come together to support municipalities, who are on the frontlines of the pandemic,” Karsten stated. “Investing directly in Canada’s communities and local infrastructure projects will help get this country back on its feet, but the fact remains that there will be no recovery unless municipalities first get the support they need to get out of this financial crisis.”

To date, the federal government’s response to municipal operating shortfalls, namely to fast-track $2.2 billion in infrastructure funding through the Gas Tax Fund, is insufficient, the report states.

“If ever there was a time where we needed to do asset management, state of good repair-type projects to keep the economy going, now would be the time,” said Manahan. “The state of good repair is stuff that can be done immediately. It’s typically more labour intensive so it does have more employment benefits right out of the gate.”

In the report, researchers proposed two contrasting risk scenarios for the next 10 and 30 years based on different levels of infrastructure spending.

Under one risk scenario, the federal and Ontario government investment levels are kept at the same percentage of GDP, which existed at pre-crisis levels and municipal operating deficits are paid for out of Ontario’s capital budget. The province would have 55,000 fewer jobs, on average, per year over the next decade, with the federal and provincial governments losing $8 billion and $12 billion, respectively, in revenue. Over the next 30 years, there would be 79,000 fewer jobs on average per year, and the federal and provincial governments would lose $36 billion and $51 billion, respectively.

Under the preferred scenario, where the federal and Ontario governments invest at pre-COVID levels and the federal government covers the majority of municipal operating deficits, Ontario would gain 61,000 jobs on average per year over the next 10 years and the federal and provincial governments would receive $9 billion and $13 billion, respectively, in revenue. Over the next 30 years, there would be a gain of 189,000 jobs on average per year and the federal and provincial governments would gain $86 billion and $123 billion, respectively.

Follow the author on Twitter @DCN_Angela.

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Warren Buffett Predicts 'Bad Ending' for Bitcoin — Is It a Doomed Investment? – Yahoo Finance

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Currently sitting in sixth on Forbes’ Real-Time Billionaires List, Berkshire Hathaway co-founder, chairman and CEO Warren Buffett is a first-rate example of an investor who stuck to his core financial beliefs early in life to become not only a success but a once-in-a-lifetime inspiration to those who followed in his footsteps.

One of the most trusted investors for decades, the 93-year-old Buffett isn’t shy to pontificate on his investment philosophy, which is centered around value investing, buying stocks at less than their intrinsic value and holding them for the long term.

Read Next: Warren Buffett: 6 Best Pieces of Money Advice for the Middle Class
Find Out: 5 Genius Things All Wealthy People Do With Their Money

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He’s also quite vocal on investments he deems worthless. And one of those is Bitcoin.

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Buffett’s Take on Bitcoin

Over the past decade, it’s been clear that the crypto craze isn’t something Buffett wants any part of. He described Bitcoin as “probably rat poison squared” back in 2018.

“In terms of cryptocurrencies, generally, I can say with almost certainty that they will come to a bad ending,” Buffett said in 2018. And his stance hasn’t wavered since. According to Benzinga, Buffett believes that cryptocurrencies aren’t a viable or valuable investment.

“Now if you told me you own all of the Bitcoin in the world and you offered it to me for $25, I wouldn’t take it because what would I do with it? I’d have to sell it back to you one way or another. It isn’t going to do anything,” Buffett said at the Berkshire Hathaway annual shareholder meeting in 2022.

Although the Oracle of Omaha has his misgivings about the unpredictable investment, does that mean crypto is doomed as an investment? Not necessarily.

For You: 10 Valuable Stocks That Could Be the Next Apple or Amazon

Is Buffett Wrong About Bitcoin?

Bitcoin bulls argue that while it’s not government-issued, cryptocurrency is as fungible, divisible, secure and portable as fiat currency and gold. Because they occupy a digital space, cryptocurrencies are decentralized, scarce and durable. They can last as long as they can be stored.

Crypto boosters continue to predict massive growth in the coin’s value. Earlier this year, SkyBridge Capital founder and former White House director of communications Anthony Scaramucci told reporters that Bitcoin could exceed $170,000 by mid-2025, and Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood predicts Bitcoin will hit $1.48 million by 2030, according to Fortune.

“They really don’t understand the concept and the whole history of money,” Scaramucci said of crypto critics like Buffett on a recent episode of Jason Raznick’s “The Raz Report.” Because we place a value on “traditional” currency, it is essentially worthless compared with the transparent and trustworthy digital Bitcoin, Scaramucci said.

Currently trading around the $66,000 mark, Bitcoin is up nearly 50% in 2024. This means it’s massively outperforming most indexes this year, including the S&P 500, which is up about 6% in 2024.

Although Berkshire Hathaway has invested heavily in Bitcoin-related Brazilian fintech company Nu Holdings, which has its own cryptocurrency called Nucoin, it’s possible Buffett will never come around fully to crypto, despite its recent surge in value. It’s contrary to the reliable investment strategy that has served him very well for decades.

“The urge to participate in something where it looks like easy money is a human instinct which has been unleashed,” Buffett said. “People love the idea of getting rich quick, and I don’t blame them … It’s so human, and once unleashed you can’t put it back in the bottle.”

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This article originally appeared on GOBankingRates.com: Warren Buffett Predicts ‘Bad Ending’ for Bitcoin — Is It a Doomed Investment?

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Ping An Profit Falls as Market Declines Hurt Investment Returns – BNN Bloomberg

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(Bloomberg) — Ping An Insurance (Group) Co.’s profit dropped 4.3% in the first quarter as stock-market declines and falling bond yields eroded investment returns. 

Net income fell to 36.7 billion yuan ($5 billion) in the three months ended March 31, from 38.4 billion yuan a year earlier, the Shenzhen-based company said in a filing to the Hong Kong stock exchange Tuesday. 

Operating profit, which strips out one-time items and short-term investment volatility, fell 3%.

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China’s stock market rout at the start of the year and lower bond yields have weighed on insurers’ investment returns. They hurt profit even as more customers seek to buy savings products. Co-Chief Executive Officer Michael Guo said last month that profitability will recover after a 23% drop in net income last year.  

“China’s macroeconomy gradually recovered in the first three months of 2024, but there were still challenges,” the company said in a statement, citing weak domestic demand.  “In response to volatile capital markets and declining treasury yields, Ping An continued to pursue long-term returns through cycles via value investing.”

Read More: Ping An Trust Wins First Court Ruling Over Delayed Trust Product

Net investment yield of insurance funds dropped to 3%, the statement said, down from 3.1% a year earlier. Real estate investments fell to 4.2% of the 4.9 trillion yuan portfolio, from 4.6% the year earlier.

The CSI 300 Index slumped as much 7.3% this year through the start of February, before government intervention fueled a rally. 

New business value, which gauges the profitability of new life policies sold, rose 21% in the first quarter. That followed a 36% jump last year as the company’s efforts to improve the productivity of life agents started to bear fruit. NBV per agent jumped 56% from a year earlier, the statement said. 

Ping An shares rose 3% to HK$33.00 in Hong Kong trading on Tuesday, trimming the year’s loss to 6.7%. 

(Updates with company comment in fifth paragraph, more details afterwards)

©2024 Bloomberg L.P.

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Own a cottage or investment property? Here's how to navigate the new capital gains tax changes – The Globe and Mail

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Open this photo in gallery:

Two brown Adirondack chairs on a wooden pier with a yellow canoe. Across the calm water is a brown cottage nestled among green trees. Canada flag is waving on a pole.flyzone/iStockPhoto / Getty Images

New rules for taxing capital gains mean quick decisions are required for cottages that families have owned for decades, and investment properties as well.

Until June 24, you can sell a second property or cottage and pay tax on just half your capital gain, however much it is. After that date, the recent federal budget proposes to increase the inclusion rate on capital gains greater than $250,000 to two-thirds. Capital gains of this size can easily be envisioned in the property market after the massive price gains of the past 10-plus years.

“From now until June, we might be seeing some hasty sales to bypass the increase in capital-gains tax for those people who have held a property for long enough to realize that gain above $250,000,” said Diana Mok, adjunct professor at the University of Western Ontario and an expert on real estate finance.

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But maybe you don’t want to rush into anything. Historically, the capital-gains inclusion rate has many times been adjusted up and down. The rate went from half to two-thirds in the late 1980s and then up to three-quarters from 1990 to 1999. In 2000, it was chopped back to two-thirds and then again to 50 per cent.

The next opening for a change would be after the next federal election, which is expected by fall of 2025 unless the minority Liberal government falls earlier. People may want to hold on to secondary properties until after that election. “I think this is a huge reason that people will be focused on the Conservative Party,” said Lani Stern, broker and senior vice-president of sales at Sotheby’s International Realty Canada.

Mr. Stern said he’s advising clients to sell only if they already had plans to do so. The federal government’s budget documents suggest there’s an expectation of a bulge of capital gains-generated tax revenue in general this year as people try to get ahead of the higher inclusion rate.

A capital gain is the difference between the purchase price of a home, stock or other asset and the sale price. The inclusion rate is the portion of the gain that is taxable. Currently, the 50-per-cent inclusion rate on a $500,000 capital gain means a taxable gain of $250,000.

The taxable amount of a $500,000 gain under the new rules would be $291,750. That’s $125,000, or 50 per cent of $250,000, plus $166,750, which is 66.7 per cent of the other $250,000 portion of the $500,000 gain.

Your margin tax rate would determine how much tax you actually pay on these gains.

Draft legislation for the new capital-gains rules has yet to be issued. But John Oakey, vice-president of taxation at Chartered Professional Accountants of Canada, said he believes it will be possible for capital gains to be split on the sale of properties co-owned by spouses. Each spouse would be able to report up to $250,000 in capital gains at the 50-per-cent inclusion rate.

The higher inclusion rate was billed in the budget as a way of targeting high-net-worth individuals, but middle-class families could be caught up as well in selling family cottages bought decades ago at a fraction of their current value. A principal residence can still be sold tax-free, but the gain on a cottage or investment property is taxable.

“Whether/when to transfer cottages to the next generation is a perennial question for many Canadians,” Andrew Guilfoyle, partner at Chronicle Wealth, said by e-mail. “The time crunch could make this much more difficult to execute versus simply realizing capital gains in an investment account of public stocks, as there will be legal documents and valuations needed.”

Prof. Mok sees the impact of the higher capital-gains inclusion rate being felt more by long-term investors than those who are flipping properties. “I could hardly see even the hottest market in Canada, such as Toronto, gaining $250,000 within a year or two,” she said.

Longer-term real estate investors will adjust to the higher tax rate, Prof. Mok predicted. Her thinking on this is influenced by what happened in Toronto after the introduction of a municipal land-transfer tax in 2008. Some observers thought house prices would cool down or fall, but that never happened. Similarly, people will adjust to the new capital-gains tax rate.

Are you a young Canadian with money on your mind? To set yourself up for success and steer clear of costly mistakes, listen to our award-winning Stress Test podcast.

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