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Swiss Economy Grows More Than Expected Defying Factory Downturn – BNN Bloomberg

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(Bloomberg) — Swiss growth unexpectedly maintained momentum at the end of last year, even as manufacturing continued to weigh on the economy.

Gross domestic product, adjusted for large sports events, rose 0.3% in the fourth quarter, according to data published on Thursday. That expansion, which matches the pace of the previous three month, was stronger than the 0.1% increase predicted in a Bloomberg survey. 

In 2023 as a whole, the economy grew by 1.3%, beating expectations of 0.7%.

“Following a positive previous quarter, value added in manufacturing dipped somewhat, driven by the chemical and pharmaceutical industry falling into negative territory on the back of declining exports,” said the State Secretariat for Economic Affairs, which compiles the data. “The other industrial sectors, however, grew again following two negative quarters.”

The numbers mean that Switzerland, like many of its European peers, saw just one quarter of contraction last year. 

Weak global demand, exacerbated by a strong franc, also weighed on Swiss manufacturing, but problems there are being offset by services, especially the booming tourism sector. Economists predict that GDP will continue to grow in coming quarters.

“Firms have become more confident about their expectations for business trends over the next six months,” Zurich’s KOF economic research center said in its latest economic forecast. “The outlook is more positive than it was before – particularly in manufacturing.”

Further momentum could come from the Swiss National Bank, which is expected to start cutting interest rates later this year, though analysts don’t yet see a move at its next scheduled meeting in March.

–With assistance from Kristian Siedenburg, Joel Rinneby and Harumi Ichikura.

©2024 Bloomberg L.P.

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PBO projects deficit exceeded Liberals’ $40B pledge, economy to rebound in 2025

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OTTAWA – The parliamentary budget officer says the federal government likely failed to keep its deficit below its promised $40 billion cap in the last fiscal year.

However the PBO also projects in its latest economic and fiscal outlook today that weak economic growth this year will begin to rebound in 2025.

The budget watchdog estimates in its report that the federal government posted a $46.8 billion deficit for the 2023-24 fiscal year.

Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland pledged a year ago to keep the deficit capped at $40 billion and in her spring budget said the deficit for 2023-24 stayed in line with that promise.

The final tally of the last year’s deficit will be confirmed when the government publishes its annual public accounts report this fall.

The PBO says economic growth will remain tepid this year but will rebound in 2025 as the Bank of Canada’s interest rate cuts stimulate spending and business investment.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Statistics Canada says levels of food insecurity rose in 2022

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OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says the level of food insecurity increased in 2022 as inflation hit peak levels.

In a report using data from the Canadian community health survey, the agency says 15.6 per cent of households experienced some level of food insecurity in 2022 after being relatively stable from 2017 to 2021.

The reading was up from 9.6 per cent in 2017 and 11.6 per cent in 2018.

Statistics Canada says the prevalence of household food insecurity was slightly lower and stable during the pandemic years as it fell to 8.5 per cent in the fall of 2020 and 9.1 per cent in 2021.

In addition to an increase in the prevalence of food insecurity in 2022, the agency says there was an increase in the severity as more households reported moderate or severe food insecurity.

It also noted an increase in the number of Canadians living in moderately or severely food insecure households was also seen in the Canadian income survey data collected in the first half of 2023.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct 16, 2024.

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Statistics Canada says manufacturing sales fell 1.3% to $69.4B in August

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OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says manufacturing sales in August fell to their lowest level since January 2022 as sales in the primary metal and petroleum and coal product subsectors fell.

The agency says manufacturing sales fell 1.3 per cent to $69.4 billion in August, after rising 1.1 per cent in July.

The drop came as sales in the primary metal subsector dropped 6.4 per cent to $5.3 billion in August, on lower prices and lower volumes.

Sales in the petroleum and coal product subsector fell 3.7 per cent to $7.8 billion in August on lower prices.

Meanwhile, sales of aerospace products and parts rose 7.3 per cent to $2.7 billion in August and wood product sales increased 3.8 per cent to $3.1 billion.

Overall manufacturing sales in constant dollars fell 0.8 per cent in August.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 16, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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