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TAIPEI, Dec 13 (Reuters) – Taiwan’s central bank is likely to keep its policy rate at a record low once again this week, with economic growth buoyed by robust tech demand, while inflation remains largely under control.
The central bank is expected to leave the benchmark discount rate (TWINTR=ECI) unchanged at 1.125% on Thursday at its quarterly meeting, all 25 economists in a Reuters poll said, after holding fire at its past six meetings. It last cut the rate in March of 2020.
Taiwan’s export-reliant economy has been supported by global demand for tech products from an increasing number of people working and studying from home during the COVID-19 pandemic, and has been further helped by a global recovery as major economies like the United State emerge from lockdown.
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While growth slowed to 3.7% in the third quarter due to the impact of a short-lived spike in domestic COVID-19 cases, policymakers have been bullish that the economy will expand more than 6% for the full year of 2021.
While the consumer price index last month hit an eight-and-a-half year high of 2.84% year-on-year, it is likely to end the year at a lower point of about 2% and below recent inflation levels seen in the United States, said Kevin Wang, an economist at Taishin Securities Investment Advisory Co. read more
“For Taiwan, this is not very serious inflation,” he added. “Although there are inflationary pressures, they are not such that the central bank has to act immediately.”
Also, if Taiwan raised the benchmark rate ahead of the United States, it would cause the Taiwan dollar to further strengthen, Wang said, an area of persistent concern for the central bank due to fear of being labelled a currency manipulator by the United States. read more
Taiwan’s manufacturers, including Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd (TSMC) (2330.TW), the world’s largest contract chip maker, are a key part of the global supply chain for technology giants such as Apple Inc (AAPL.O).
The central bank will give its own revised forecast for economic growth this year on Thursday, having predicted a 5.75% expansion at its last quarterly meeting in September.
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Poll compiled by Carol Lee; Reporting by Liang-sa Loh and Ben Blanchard; Editing by Ana Nicolaci da Costa
Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
OTTAWA – The parliamentary budget officer says the federal government likely failed to keep its deficit below its promised $40 billion cap in the last fiscal year.
However the PBO also projects in its latest economic and fiscal outlook today that weak economic growth this year will begin to rebound in 2025.
The budget watchdog estimates in its report that the federal government posted a $46.8 billion deficit for the 2023-24 fiscal year.
Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland pledged a year ago to keep the deficit capped at $40 billion and in her spring budget said the deficit for 2023-24 stayed in line with that promise.
The final tally of the last year’s deficit will be confirmed when the government publishes its annual public accounts report this fall.
The PBO says economic growth will remain tepid this year but will rebound in 2025 as the Bank of Canada’s interest rate cuts stimulate spending and business investment.
This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.
The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.
OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says the level of food insecurity increased in 2022 as inflation hit peak levels.
In a report using data from the Canadian community health survey, the agency says 15.6 per cent of households experienced some level of food insecurity in 2022 after being relatively stable from 2017 to 2021.
The reading was up from 9.6 per cent in 2017 and 11.6 per cent in 2018.
Statistics Canada says the prevalence of household food insecurity was slightly lower and stable during the pandemic years as it fell to 8.5 per cent in the fall of 2020 and 9.1 per cent in 2021.
In addition to an increase in the prevalence of food insecurity in 2022, the agency says there was an increase in the severity as more households reported moderate or severe food insecurity.
It also noted an increase in the number of Canadians living in moderately or severely food insecure households was also seen in the Canadian income survey data collected in the first half of 2023.
This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct 16, 2024.
The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.
OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says manufacturing sales in August fell to their lowest level since January 2022 as sales in the primary metal and petroleum and coal product subsectors fell.
The agency says manufacturing sales fell 1.3 per cent to $69.4 billion in August, after rising 1.1 per cent in July.
The drop came as sales in the primary metal subsector dropped 6.4 per cent to $5.3 billion in August, on lower prices and lower volumes.
Sales in the petroleum and coal product subsector fell 3.7 per cent to $7.8 billion in August on lower prices.
Meanwhile, sales of aerospace products and parts rose 7.3 per cent to $2.7 billion in August and wood product sales increased 3.8 per cent to $3.1 billion.
Overall manufacturing sales in constant dollars fell 0.8 per cent in August.
This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 16, 2024.
The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.
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