‘Take advantage of this pullback,’ says Morgan Stanley executive who sees buying opportunities amid Russia-Ukraine tension - MarketWatch | Canada News Media
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‘Take advantage of this pullback,’ says Morgan Stanley executive who sees buying opportunities amid Russia-Ukraine tension – MarketWatch

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Tension centered on Russia and Ukraine has opened up an opportunity for investors to put cash to work in the stock market, according to Andrew Slimmon, senior portfolio manager for equities at Morgan Stanley Investment Management.

“Take advantage of this pullback,” Slimmon said in a phone interview Tuesday. He said he expects the S&P 500 index
SPX,
+1.58%

can rally to around 5,100 this year, though stocks could “retest” lows seen in late January as hot inflation will continue to worry investors that the Federal Reserve may have to “tap the brakes in an aggressive way.” 

“I think as we get later into the year, the market is going to feel better,” Slimmon said. “I am in the camp that believes the Fed is not going to crush the economy and therefore the cyclical, value stocks should be biased in the portfolio over defensive and growth stocks.”

Some investors worry the Fed may have to move aggressively this year in raising interest rates to tame surging inflation, with the concern being that hiking rates too much too fast could hurt the economy. But Slimmon is betting the Fed won’t “kill” the economic recovery in the pandemic.

Interest rates going up is “good for financials,” he said. “The biggest overweight that we have is in financials.”

The S&P 500’s financials sector
SP500EW.40,
+1.76%

was up 1.5% in Tuesday afternoon trading, according to FactSet. The S&P 500 index was trading 1.4% higher, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA,
+1.22%

was up 1.2% and the Nasdaq Composite
COMP,
+2.53%

was showing a sharp 2% gain.

Stocks, which sold off Friday amid concerns that Russia was getting ready to invade Ukraine, were rising Tuesday as those fears eased. The Associated Press reported Tuesday that Russian President Vladimir Putin said Moscow is ready for talks with NATO on limits to missile deployments, a sign of easing tension that followed Russia announcing a pullback of some troops.

So far in 2022, the S&P 500 is down more than 6%, while the Dow is off around 4% and the Nasdaq Composite has fallen around 10%, FactSet data show, at last check. 

Historically, when the Fed raises rates, “as long as the yield curve doesn’t flatten to zero or invert,” value stocks outperform, said Slimmon. Investors are watching the yield curve closely as an inversion tends to signal a recession. At last check, the differential between the 2-year Treasury note
TMUBMUSD02Y,
1.555%

and the benchmark 10-year Treasury
TMUBMUSD10Y,
2.027%
,
a common measure of the yield curve, or the spread between yields for shorter maturity and their longer-dated counterparts, stood at under 0.50 percentage points. That represents a historically narrow spread but widening somewhat from previous sessions.

In economic data released Tuesday, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics said that wholesale prices, which reflect what businesses pay for supplies, jumped 1% in January. The surge in the producer-price index, or PPI, exceeded investor expectations and was another sign of high inflation engulfing the U.S. economy.

See: Wholesale prices surge again as hot inflation sears the U.S. economy

While Slimmon described the latest reading of PPI as “ugly,” he said inflation should begin to ease later this year as the surge in demand for goods in the pandemic declines. He pointed to “anecdotal evidence” in Morgan Stanley’s talks with companies, saying their inventories are building.

Slimmon also said that year-over-year readings of inflation measured by the consumer-price index should begin to subside in the spring as the comparisons will no longer be made from low prints. That should help reduce some “anxiety” surrounding the jump in the cost of living in the pandemic, he said.

Meanwhile, earnings-per-share estimates for the S&P 500 index have risen for this year and 2023, said Slimmon. As a portfolio manager, “what I care about is revisions,” he said. “And revisions are going up.”

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Roots sees room for expansion in activewear, reports $5.2M Q2 loss and sales drop

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TORONTO – Roots Corp. may have built its brand on all things comfy and cosy, but its CEO says activewear is now “really becoming a core part” of the brand.

The category, which at Roots spans leggings, tracksuits, sports bras and bike shorts, has seen such sustained double-digit growth that Meghan Roach plans to make it a key part of the business’ future.

“It’s an area … you will see us continue to expand upon,” she told analysts on a Friday call.

The Toronto-based retailer’s push into activewear has taken shape over many years and included several turns as the official designer and supplier of Team Canada’s Olympic uniform.

But consumers have had plenty of choice when it comes to workout gear and other apparel suited to their sporting needs. On top of the slew of athletic brands like Nike and Adidas, shoppers have also gravitated toward Lululemon Athletica Inc., Alo and Vuori, ramping up competition in the activewear category.

Roach feels Roots’ toehold in the category stems from the fit, feel and following its merchandise has cultivated.

“Our product really resonates with (shoppers) because you can wear it through multiple different use cases and occasions,” she said.

“We’ve been seeing customers come back again and again for some of these core products in our activewear collection.”

Her remarks came the same day as Roots revealed it lost $5.2 million in its latest quarter compared with a loss of $5.3 million in the same quarter last year.

The company said the second-quarter loss amounted to 13 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended Aug. 3, the same as a year earlier.

In presenting the results, Roach reminded analysts that the first half of the year is usually “seasonally small,” representing just 30 per cent of the company’s annual sales.

Sales for the second quarter totalled $47.7 million, down from $49.4 million in the same quarter last year.

The move lower came as direct-to-consumer sales amounted to $36.4 million, down from $37.1 million a year earlier, as comparable sales edged down 0.2 per cent.

The numbers reflect the fact that Roots continued to grapple with inventory challenges in the company’s Cooper fleece line that first cropped up in its previous quarter.

Roots recently began to use artificial intelligence to assist with daily inventory replenishments and said more tools helping with allocation will go live in the next quarter.

Beyond that time period, the company intends to keep exploring AI and renovate more of its stores.

It will also re-evaluate its design ranks.

Roots announced Friday that chief product officer Karuna Scheinfeld has stepped down.

Rather than fill the role, the company plans to hire senior level design talent with international experience in the outdoor and activewear sectors who will take on tasks previously done by the chief product officer.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 13, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:ROOT)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Talks on today over HandyDART strike affecting vulnerable people in Metro Vancouver

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VANCOUVER – Mediated talks between the union representing HandyDART workers in Metro Vancouver and its employer, Transdev, are set to resume today as a strike that has stopped most services drags into a second week.

No timeline has been set for the length of the negotiations, but Joe McCann, president of the Amalgamated Transit Union Local 1724, says they are willing to stay there as long as it takes, even if talks drag on all night.

About 600 employees of the door-to-door transit service for people unable to navigate the conventional transit system have been on strike since last Tuesday, pausing service for all but essential medical trips.

Hundreds of drivers rallied outside TransLink’s head office earlier this week, calling for the transportation provider to intervene in the dispute with Transdev, which was contracted to oversee HandyDART service.

Transdev said earlier this week that it will provide a reply to the union’s latest proposal on Thursday.

A statement from the company said it “strongly believes” that their employees deserve fair wages, and that a fair contract “must balance the needs of their employees, clients and taxpayers.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Transat AT reports $39.9M Q3 loss compared with $57.3M profit a year earlier

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MONTREAL – Travel company Transat AT Inc. reported a loss in its latest quarter compared with a profit a year earlier as its revenue edged lower.

The parent company of Air Transat says it lost $39.9 million or $1.03 per diluted share in its quarter ended July 31.

The result compared with a profit of $57.3 million or $1.49 per diluted share a year earlier.

Revenue in what was the company’s third quarter totalled $736.2 million, down from $746.3 million in the same quarter last year.

On an adjusted basis, Transat says it lost $1.10 per share in its latest quarter compared with an adjusted profit of $1.10 per share a year earlier.

Transat chief executive Annick Guérard says demand for leisure travel remains healthy, as evidenced by higher traffic, but consumers are increasingly price conscious given the current economic uncertainty.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 12, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:TRZ)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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