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Tesla’s shares fall 15 percent after S&P 500 snub – Ars Technica

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Aurich Lawson

Shares of Tesla opened at $356 on Tuesday morning—down about 15 percent from Friday’s closing price. The decline capped a rough week of trading for the carmaker. A week ago Tuesday, Tesla shares opened slightly above $500, a new record. They have been sliding ever since and are now down about 30 percent from last week’s highs.

To be fair, those losses have merely put Tesla’s stock back to the level it last reached in mid-August. Tesla stock soared in the second half of August after the company announced a five-for-one stock split on August 11. The value of Tesla’s shares is still about four times what it was on January 1.

Snubbed by the S&P 500

Several factors seem to be weighing on Tesla’s share price. One is the decision not to include Tesla in its influential S&P 500 index.

The S&P 500 is supposed to be an index of large companies, and Tesla’s market capitalization is now far higher than others included in the index. For example, Etsy was just added to the index despite having a value that’s about 25 times smaller than Tesla’s. The committee in charge of the S&P 500 has not explained why Tesla has been left out.

The snub matters because a lot of people have their savings invested in S&P 500 index funds that mirror the composition of the index. So when a company is added to the index, index funds have to buy shares in the company, putting upward pressure on the price. Markets may have been pricing in the likelihood of Tesla becoming part of the S&P 500, leading to a price decline when that didn’t materialize.

$5 billion in new Tesla shares

Another factor weighing on Tesla’s shares may be last week’s massive $5 billion stock offering. The offering was announced last Tuesday, and a new regulatory filing says that Tesla successfully completed it on Friday.

A flood of new shares sometimes causes a company’s stock price to fall. But not always. When Tesla raised $2 billion from the stock market in May 2019, Tesla’s stock ended the day up 4 percent. Investors might be enticed to buy more shares if they believe the new money will improve the company’s prospects for growth.

Ultimately, week-to-week fluctuations in Tesla’s stock price won’t matter very much for the company’s long-term future. The big challenge is to put Tesla’s freshly raised $5 billion to work designing new vehicles and building new factories.

If Tesla can dramatically boost output—and find buyers for all the new cars—it might be able to justify its soaring market valuation. In that case, the S&P 500 will need to include Tesla in its index sooner or later.

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Netflix’s subscriber growth slows as gains from password-sharing crackdown subside

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Netflix on Thursday reported that its subscriber growth slowed dramatically during the summer, a sign the huge gains from the video-streaming service’s crackdown on freeloading viewers is tapering off.

The 5.1 million subscribers that Netflix added during the July-September period represented a 42% decline from the total gained during the same time last year. Even so, the company’s revenue and profit rose at a faster pace than analysts had projected, according to FactSet Research.

Netflix ended September with 282.7 million worldwide subscribers — far more than any other streaming service.

The Los Gatos, California, company earned $2.36 billion, or $5.40 per share, a 41% increase from the same time last year. Revenue climbed 15% from a year ago to $9.82 billion. Netflix management predicted the company’s revenue will rise at the same 15% year-over-year pace during the October-December period, slightly than better than analysts have been expecting.

The strong financial performance in the past quarter coupled with the upbeat forecast eclipsed any worries about slowing subscriber growth. Netflix’s stock price surged nearly 4% in extended trading after the numbers came out, building upon a more than 40% increase in the company’s shares so far this year.

The past quarter’s subscriber gains were the lowest posted in any three-month period since the beginning of last year. That drop-off indicates Netflix is shifting to a new phase after reaping the benefits from a ban on the once-rampant practice of sharing account passwords that enabled an estimated 100 million people watch its popular service without paying for it.

The crackdown, triggered by a rare loss of subscribers coming out of the pandemic in 2022, helped Netflix add 57 million subscribers from June 2022 through this June — an average of more than 7 million per quarter, while many of its industry rivals have been struggling as households curbed their discretionary spending.

Netflix’s gains also were propelled by a low-priced version of its service that included commercials for the first time in its history. The company still is only getting a small fraction of its revenue from the 2-year-old advertising push, but Netflix is intensifying its focus on that segment of its business to help boost its profits.

In a letter to shareholder, Netflix reiterated previous cautionary notes about its expansion into advertising, though the low-priced option including commercials has become its fastest growing segment.

“We have much more work to do improving our offering for advertisers, which will be a priority over the next few years,” Netflix management wrote in the letter.

As part of its evolution, Netflix has been increasingly supplementing its lineup of scripted TV series and movies with live programming, such as a Labor Day spectacle featuring renowned glutton Joey Chestnut setting a world record for gorging on hot dogs in a showdown with his longtime nemesis Takeru Kobayashi.

Netflix will be trying to attract more viewer during the current quarter with a Nov. 15 fight pitting former heavyweight champion Mike Tyson against Jake Paul, a YouTube sensation turned boxer, and two National Football League games on Christmas Day.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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