adplus-dvertising
Connect with us

Economy

The big economy question at tonight’s debate

Published

 on

.cms-textAlign-left{text-align:left;}.cms-textAlign-center{text-align:center;}.cms-textAlign-right{text-align:right;}

IT’S ALL ABOUT THE MONEY — By now, the basic parameters of the 2024 race for the White House have been set.

Both major candidates are well known to voters, who in general don’t like them very much. Both President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump have been accused by their opponents of being unable to string the simplest of sentences together. Voters remain the most concerned about Biden’s age and Trump’s temperament.

But even though Americans are convinced they know these two candidates like the back of their hand, over 70 percent of voters say that they plan to tune in this evening to the first presidential debate — which has historically been the most watched of the cycle. So, what’s new that they can learn, even after Trump and Biden’s decades in the limelight, and two debates four years ago?

The policy area in which we might see the most surprises is on the economy. Voters generally rank the economy and inflation as their two top issues, and unlike other topics in which we’re sure to hear rote lines of attack, there’s some legitimate mystery as to how each candidate will spin their own record.

The economy is a current weakness for Biden, with more voters trusting Trump by double digits. And with his Bidenomics tour not exactly selling out arenas, the Biden campaign has often highlighted other areas of his record as central parts of his pitch to Americans to give him four more years.

So how he fends off attacks from Trump on inflation and the economy, which are sure to come in droves, is an open question. As POLITICO’s Adam Cancryn and Josh Sisco reported today, a host of progressive Democrats and allies of the White House are urging Biden to lean into a populist message on the economy, highlighting how he’s gone after corporate greed and contrasting his pro-union record with Trump’s embrace of billionaires and their priorities.

The idea that Biden should lean into a more economic populist message has long been a hobby horse of progressives. But Cancryn and Sisco report that this group includes more than just the Bernie Sanders wing of the party — his team also heard it from more mainstream Democrats as he hunkered down at Camp David for debate prep.

And the message does seem to make sense — according to a new Axios Vibes survey from The Harris Poll, 41 percent of Americans say that government spending and policies are most to blame for inflation, while 39 percent blame corporate greed and 20 percent blame supply chain disruptions. More Republicans blame the government than Democrats, and vice versa for corporations, but for independents it’s exactly even: 41 percent blame the government and 41 percent blame corporations. If Biden is going to come in for attacks on government spending, it might behoove him to change the topic to corporate greed where he can.

Trump’s economic message looks a little bit clearer than Biden’s at first glance. He will do what he can at every turn to hammer the president on government spending and inflation, which he called “a nation buster” at a rally in Wisconsin last week. But some of the Biden administration’s economic decisions might make it a little harder for Trump to draw contrasts.

In many cases, Biden has actually maintained or expanded Trump-era tariffs, in particular in relation to China. A two-year pause on tariffs on solar energy technology from four southeast Asian countries expired earlier in June, effectively ending the free trade era for clean energy technology in the U.S. Biden’s skepticism towards free trade has Trump insisting he’d do even more — more tariffs on China with fewer exceptions for certain goods and services in particular.

But how Trump plans to attack Biden for policies that sometimes look like Trump’s own — if CNN moderators Jake Tapper and Dana Bash bring up this question — remains unclear. POLITICO’s Victoria Guida suggested today that Tapper and Bash should ask the candidates, “Are there any downsides to tariffs?”

It’s a question that the vast majority of economists wouldn’t have any trouble answering in the affirmative. Yet, with a political consensus shifting towards protectionism (or “America First”), the question could draw out a rare place in which the candidates have to at least be precise about their policy disagreements.

There’s a distinct possibility that tonight’s debate looks similar in tenor and content to one or both of the 2020 faceoffs, and few people leave the evening feeling differently

Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

Statistics Canada reports real GDP grew 0.2% in July

Published

 on

 

OTTAWA – Statistics Canada says real gross domestic product grew 0.2 per cent in July, following essentially no change in June, helped by strength in the retail trade sector.

The agency says the growth came as services-producing industries grew 0.2 per cent for the month.

The retail trade sector was the largest contributor to overall growth in July as it gained one per cent, helped by the motor vehicles and parts dealers subsector which gained 2.8 per cent.

The public sector aggregate, which includes the educational services, health care and social assistance, and public administration sectors, gained 0.3 per cent, while the finance and insurance sector rose 0.5 per cent.

Meanwhile, goods-producing industries gained 0.1 per cent in July as the utilities sector rose 1.3 per cent and the manufacturing sector grew 0.3 per cent.

Statistics Canada’s early estimate for August suggests real GDP for the month was essentially unchanged, as increases in oil and gas extraction and the public sector were offset by decreases in manufacturing and transportation and warehousing.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 27, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

S&P/TSX composite tops 24,000 points for first time, U.S. markets also rise Thursday

Published

 on

 

TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index closed above 24,000 for the first time Thursday as strength in base metals and other sectors outweighed losses in energy, while U.S. markets also rose and the S&P 500 notched another record as well.

“Another day, another record,” said Angelo Kourkafas, senior investment strategist at Edward Jones.

“The path of least resistance continues to be higher.”

The S&P/TSX composite index closed up 127.95 points at 24,033.83.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 260.36 points at 42,175.11. The S&P 500 index was up 23.11 points at 5,745.37, while the Nasdaq composite was up 108.09 points at 18,190.29.

Markets continue to be optimistic about an economic soft landing, said Kourkafas, after the U.S. Federal Reserve last week announced an outsized cut to its key interest rate following months of speculation about when it would start easing policy.

Economic data Thursday added to the story that the U.S. economy remains resilient despite higher rates, said Kourkafas.

The U.S. economy grew at a three-per-cent annual rate in the second quarter, one report said, picking up from the first quarter of the year. Another report showed fewer U.S. workers applied for unemployment benefits last week.

The data shows “the economy remains on strong footing while the Fed is pivoting now in a decisive way towards an easier policy,” said Kourkafas.

The Fed’s decisive move gave investors more reason to believe that a soft landing is still the “base case scenario,” he said, “and likely reduces the downside risks for a recession by having the Fed moving too late or falling behind the curve.”

North of the border, the TSX usually gets a boost from Wall St. strength, said Kourkafas, but on Thursday the index also reflected some optimism of its own as the Bank of Canada has already cut rates three times to address weakening in the economy.

“The Bank of Canada likely now will be emboldened by the Fed,” he said.

“They didn’t want to move too far ahead of the Fed, and now that the Fed moved in a bigger-than-expected way, that provides more room for the Bank of Canada to cut as aggressively as needed to support the economy, given that inflation is within the target range.”

The TSX has also been benefiting from strength in materials after China’s central bank announced several measures meant to support the company’s economy, said Kourkafas.

However, energy stocks dragged on the Canadian index as oil prices fell Thursday following a report that Saudi Arabia was preparing to abandon its unofficial US$100-per-barrel price target for crude as it prepares to increase its output.

The Canadian dollar traded for 74.22 cents US compared with 74.28 cents US on Wednesday.

The November crude oil contract was down US$2.02 at US$67.67 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down seven cents at US$2.75 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$10.20 at US$2,694.90 an ounce and the December copper contract was up 15 cents at US$4.64 a pound.

— With files from The Associated Press

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 26, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Economy

S&P/TSX composite up more than 100 points, U.S. stocks also higher

Published

 on

 

TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 100 points in late-morning trading, helped by strength in the base metal sector, while U.S. stock markets were also higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was 143.00 points at 24,048.88.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 174.22 points at 42,088.97. The S&P 500 index was up 10.23 points at 5,732.49, while the Nasdaq composite was up 30.02 points at 18,112.23.

The Canadian dollar traded for 74.23 cents US compared with 74.28 cents US on Wednesday.

The November crude oil contract was down US$1.68 at US$68.01 per barrel and the November natural gas contract was down six cents at US$2.75 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$4.40 at US$2,689.10 an ounce and the December copper contract was up 13 cents at US$4.62 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 26, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

Source link

Continue Reading

Trending