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The coronavirus-induced economic hiatus is a reckoning for Canada’s oil and gas sector – The Globe and Mail

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A pickup truck passes a mining shovel filling a haul truck at an oilsands mine near Fort McMurray, Alta., in this July 9, 2008, file photo.

Jeff McIntosh/The Canadian Press

Traffic congestion in the biggest cities in the United States has vanished. The world’s third-largest oil consumer, India, will be in a coronavirus-prompted lockdown for weeks. The near-constant roar of planes in the sky above London is quieted.

It’s a world in which global demand for oil could plummet further as the United States feels the full effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, and in which North American producers could soon be paying to have others take crude off their hands.

For the Canadian oil and gas industry, the economic hiatus is an existential reckoning. Canada sends almost all of its oil exports to the United States and tens of thousands of energy-sector workers here are at risk of losing their jobs. Dozens of Canadian energy companies could also fold in the months ahead, especially if left exposed to the twin global forces of a worldwide drop in demand, and a Saudi-Russian market-share battle.

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A West Texas Intermediate price at or below US$25 a barrel for any significant period could render the North American energy industry unrecognizable.

At risk is Canada’s position as a global oil producer, which stands at a not-insignificant 5 per cent of the world’s total volumes. Government plans to stave off the worst effects of the oil price-cratering need to be not only thoughtful and effective, but quick – with thinking geared toward an unknown point some time in the months ahead when economies begin to rev up again.

The oil and gas sector is not unique in its current economic pain. But other sectors looking for help aren’t likely to engender the same level of political hand-wringing as Canada’s oil industry. Environmental groups have spoken this week against giving billions of public dollars to “failing oil and gas companies” and prolonging “reliance on fossil fuels.”

And unlike many other parts of the Canadian economy, which had been buoyant up until recently, the oil and gas sector had only been muddling through the past five years. Up until last month, there were hopes that 2020 would be a recovery year.

In the age of the pandemic, federal Finance Minister Bill Morneau acknowledged the situation for the energy industry is particularly “challenging.” Billions of dollars in activity planned for this year has been cut, with more to come. Companies are already having trouble paying their debts.

The action taken by governments now will come into sharper focus in the months ahead, when lockdowns presumably are lifted and the global economy gears up. People will be champing at the bit to return to work. But the question remains: What will be left of the Canadian oil and gas sector?

The industry is so regional in nature – mostly focused in Western Canada, and even more so in Alberta – there’s a tendency to minimize the energy sector’s contribution to the broader economy.

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But crude oil and bitumen represented Canada’s top export in 2019, worth more than $90-billion – or about 15 per cent of the country’s total – according to Statistics Canada data. That compares with passenger cars and light trucks, Canada’s second-largest export category by dollars, at $57-billion. Canada’s financial sector and banks have massive exposure to the Canadian oil and gas sector.

In any bailout or aid package, there will be concern that the money flow will benefit shareholders or executives. However, it is possible to craft an aid package that takes workers, smaller and medium-sized companies, and climate into consideration, and also sees old orphan wells cleaned up.

And there’s no doubt that consumption will return, and oil production will continue in other parts of the world. A report from RBC analysts Wednesday said Schlumberger Ltd., the world’s largest oil field services company – which labours for oil producers – is forecasting a 50-per-cent drop in the U.S. rig count. The same report noted Middle East and Russian activity will be “relatively resilient.”

That line is particularly relevant, as the drop in oil prices to 20-year lows is because of a massive collapse in demand due to the pandemic, but also a market-share war where Saudi Arabia-led OPEC and Russia appear hell-bent on hitting the reset button on the global oil energy market, to their advantage.

If many North American companies crumble, those producers will gladly step up.

The federal government and Alberta’s United Conservatives – who usually agree on little – have established a type of détente. They’re working to come up with some kind of politically palatable solution to provide liquidity to Canadian energy companies, and to maintain some levels of employment. The plan is likely to be announced in the days ahead.

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The province is trying to gird the industry through other means. On Wednesday, The Globe and Mail reported on the Alberta government’s plan to declare oil sands workers essential as the province prepares to ratchet up its response to COVID-19.

At first blush, it might not make sense to focus on keeping oil production going, with prices and demand as low as they are. However, oil sands plants are similar to large factories that cannot be switched off easily, and are extremely hard to turn on again once they are shut off.

And keeping some level of production going during this depressed period also will help with a post-shutdown goal, of trying to hold onto a shred of market share for when the global economy gets running again.

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A timeline of events in the bread price-fixing scandal

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Almost seven years since news broke of an alleged conspiracy to fix the price of packaged bread across Canada, the saga isn’t over: the Competition Bureau continues to investigate the companies that may have been involved, and two class-action lawsuits continue to work their way through the courts.

Here’s a timeline of key events in the bread price-fixing case.

Oct. 31, 2017: The Competition Bureau says it’s investigating allegations of bread price-fixing and that it was granted search warrants in the case. Several grocers confirm they are co-operating in the probe.

Dec. 19, 2017: Loblaw and George Weston say they participated in an “industry-wide price-fixing arrangement” to raise the price of packaged bread. The companies say they have been co-operating in the Competition Bureau’s investigation since March 2015, when they self-reported to the bureau upon discovering anti-competitive behaviour, and are receiving immunity from prosecution. They announce they are offering $25 gift cards to customers amid the ongoing investigation into alleged bread price-fixing.

Jan. 31, 2018: In court documents, the Competition Bureau says at least $1.50 was added to the price of a loaf of bread between about 2001 and 2016.

Dec. 20, 2019: A class-action lawsuit in a Quebec court against multiple grocers and food companies is certified against a number of companies allegedly involved in bread price-fixing, including Loblaw, George Weston, Metro, Sobeys, Walmart Canada, Canada Bread and Giant Tiger (which have all denied involvement, except for Loblaw and George Weston, which later settled with the plaintiffs).

Dec. 31, 2021: A class-action lawsuit in an Ontario court covering all Canadian residents except those in Quebec who bought packaged bread from a company named in the suit is certified against roughly the same group of companies.

June 21, 2023: Bakery giant Canada Bread Co. is fined $50 million after pleading guilty to four counts of price-fixing under the Competition Act as part of the Competition Bureau’s ongoing investigation.

Oct. 25 2023: Canada Bread files a statement of defence in the Ontario class action denying participating in the alleged conspiracy and saying any anti-competitive behaviour it participated in was at the direction and to the benefit of its then-majority owner Maple Leaf Foods, which is not a defendant in the case (neither is its current owner Grupo Bimbo). Maple Leaf calls Canada Bread’s accusations “baseless.”

Dec. 20, 2023: Metro files new documents in the Ontario class action accusing Loblaw and its parent company George Weston of conspiring to implicate it in the alleged scheme, denying involvement. Sobeys has made a similar claim. The two companies deny the allegations.

July 25, 2024: Loblaw and George Weston say they agreed to pay a combined $500 million to settle both the Ontario and Quebec class-action lawsuits. Loblaw’s share of the settlement includes a $96-million credit for the gift cards it gave out years earlier.

Sept. 12, 2024: Canada Bread files new documents in Ontario court as part of the class action, claiming Maple Leaf used it as a “shield” to avoid liability in the alleged scheme. Maple Leaf was a majority shareholder of Canada Bread until 2014, and the company claims it’s liable for any price-fixing activity. Maple Leaf refutes the claims.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 19, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:L, TSX:MFI, TSX:MRU, TSX:EMP.A, TSX:WN)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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S&P/TSX composite up more than 250 points, U.S. stock markets also higher

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TORONTO – Canada’s main stock index was up more than 250 points in late-morning trading, led by strength in the base metal and technology sectors, while U.S. stock markets also charged higher.

The S&P/TSX composite index was up 254.62 points at 23,847.22.

In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 432.77 points at 41,935.87. The S&P 500 index was up 96.38 points at 5,714.64, while the Nasdaq composite was up 486.12 points at 18,059.42.

The Canadian dollar traded for 73.68 cents US compared with 73.58 cents US on Thursday.

The November crude oil contract was up 89 cents at US$70.77 per barrel and the October natural gas contract was down a penny at US2.27 per mmBTU.

The December gold contract was up US$9.40 at US$2,608.00 an ounce and the December copper contract was up four cents at US$4.33 a pound.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 19, 2024.

Companies in this story: (TSX:GSPTSE, TSX:CADUSD)

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Construction wraps on indoor supervised site for people who inhale drugs in Vancouver

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VANCOUVER – Supervised injection sites are saving the lives of drug users everyday, but the same support is not being offered to people who inhale illicit drugs, the head of the BC Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS says.

Dr. Julio Montaner said the construction of Vancouver’s first indoor supervised site for people who inhale drugs comes as the percentage of people who die from smoking drugs continues to climb.

The location in the Downtown Eastside at the Hope to Health Research and Innovation Centre was unveiled Wednesday after construction was complete, and Montaner said people could start using the specialized rooms in a matter of weeks after final approvals from the city and federal government.

“If we don’t create mechanisms for these individuals to be able to use safely and engage with the medical system, and generate points of entry into the medical system, we will never be able to solve the problem,” he said.

“Now, I’m not here to tell you that we will fix it tomorrow, but denying it or ignoring it, or throw it under the bus, or under the carpet is no way to fix it, so we need to take proactive action.”

Nearly two-thirds of overdose deaths in British Columbia in 2023 came after smoking illicit drugs, yet only 40 per cent of supervised consumption sites in the province offer a safe place to smoke, often outdoors, in a tent.

The centre has been running a supervised injection site for years which sees more than a thousand people monthly and last month resuscitated five people who were overdosing.

The new facilities offer indoor, individual, negative-pressure rooms that allow fresh air to circulate and can clear out smoke in 30 to 60 seconds while users are monitored by trained nurses.

Advocates calling for more supervised inhalation sites have previously said the rules for setting up sites are overly complicated at a time when the province is facing an overdose crisis.

More than 15,000 people have died of overdoses since the public health emergency was declared in B.C. in April 2016.

Kate Salters, a senior researcher at the centre, said they worked with mechanical and chemical engineers to make sure the site is up to code and abidies by the highest standard of occupational health and safety.

“This is just another tool in our tool box to make sure that we’re offering life-saving services to those who are using drugs,” she said.

Montaner acknowledged the process to get the site up and running took “an inordinate amount of time,” but said the centre worked hard to follow all regulations.

“We feel that doing this right, with appropriate scientific background, in a medically supervised environment, etc, etc, allows us to derive the data that ultimately will be sufficiently convincing for not just our leaders, but also the leaders across the country and across the world, to embrace the strategies that we are trying to develop.” he said.

Montaner said building the facility was possible thanks to a single $4-million donation from a longtime supporter.

Construction finished with less than a week before the launch of the next provincial election campaign and within a year of the next federal election.

Montaner said he is concerned about “some of the things that have been said publicly by some of the political leaders in the province and in the country.”

“We want to bring awareness to the people that this is a serious undertaking. This is a very massive investment, and we need to protect it for the benefit of people who are unfortunately drug dependent.” he said.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Sept. 18, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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