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The Coronavirus is Beginning to Affect Real Estate – Architectural Digest

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The coronavirus has by now touched every aspect of daily life, inspiring fears of both economic instability and the outside world more generally. It’s been a particularly challenging and uncertain time for real estate, with the current pandemic reshaping both high-level market forces as well as the ground-level process of buying and selling property.

During a moment of increased caution and restricted movement, a New York Times article demonstrates how realtors have drastically augmented their process for showing and selling homes. That process involves everything from enhanced cleanings before and after showings to restrictions on touching certain fixtures, countertops, and appliances. Instead of truly “open” open houses, prospective buyers are sometimes forced to preregister so sellers and brokers can gauge how interested they are in buying—and make sure they’re feeling healthy enough to come by. The fact that sellers are increasingly shut in at home also makes setting up viewings more difficult.

That’s added up to a significant decrease in showings. According to data from New York metro area company Halstead Property cited by the Times, there were only 3,900 showings scheduled (not counting many cancellations) for the weekend of March 14–15, down from a typical 5,500 to 6,000. In some cases, pre-filmed video walkthroughs or FaceTime tours have filled the gap. But some like William Raveis NYC managing director Kathy Braddock concedes that this has its drawbacks: “obviously being able to go see the property is the best way to see the property,” she told the Times.

Beyond the complicated logistics of realty in the time of coronavirus, the situation has sent conflicting signals to buyers and sellers as the threat of a recession looms. Despite the New York area emerging as one of the U.S.’s epicenters of Coronavirus, an Olshan Realty report found that 21 Manhattan apartments priced at or above $4 million were sold during the week ending March 15, up from an average of 19 for the first 11 weeks of 2020. However, the dollar value of these transactions ($128.5 million) fell significantly from the prior week’s roughly $216.7 million.

Those statistics seem to track with the subtle shifts in buying and selling behavior observed by a flash survey of more than 70,000 National Association of Realtors residential members from March 9 and 10. While the majority of members reported no change to buyer and seller behavior as of yet, 9% say they’ve seen an increase in sellers as a result of favorable borrowing rates rates they hope to take advantage of by selling quickly and then moving.

However, buyers seem less optimistic. 13% of all NAR members noted decreased buyer interest in their given market, with a further 3% observing a significant decrease. Those decreases were even more pronounced in Washington (16% decrease, 3% significant decrease) and California (16% decrease, 5% significant decrease), two of the emerging west coast epicenters of COVID-19 cases at the time of the survey. That disparity in interest could create a climate that’s ultimately favorable to buyers, but it’s too early to tell what course the situation will take.

The lack of certainty around the situation has encouraged some larger commercial real estate players to pause their acquisitions for the time being. According to Crain’s Chicago Business, Origin Investments has “indefinitely postponed” $241 million worth of apartment building deals out of fears that they may be overpaying in a declining market.

“The market has changed, and our pricing needs to reflect the new normal, because closing at these prices today would undoubtedly lead to lower performance than our initial projections,” Origin Principals Michael Episcope and David Scherer said in an email. “We believe this is a time to take risk off the table.”

Given how both the scope of the pandemic and the nature of governmental responses to it seem to change practically by the hour, it will be hard to predict exactly where things stand in the real estate market. With Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and HUD announcing a moratorium on all foreclosures and evictions through the end of April, it’s possible that the situation could stabilize before anything too drastic happens. Still, the one thing you can count on at a moment like this is to expect the unexpected.

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Greater Toronto home sales jump in October after Bank of Canada rate cuts: board

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TORONTO – The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board says home sales in October surged as buyers continued moving off the sidelines amid lower interest rates.

The board said 6,658 homes changed hands last month in the Greater Toronto Area, up 44.4 per cent compared with 4,611 in the same month last year. Sales were up 14 per cent from September on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The average selling price was up 1.1 per cent compared with a year earlier at $1,135,215. The composite benchmark price, meant to represent the typical home, was down 3.3 per cent year-over-year.

“While we are still early in the Bank of Canada’s rate cutting cycle, it definitely does appear that an increasing number of buyers moved off the sidelines and back into the marketplace in October,” said TRREB president Jennifer Pearce in a news release.

“The positive affordability picture brought about by lower borrowing costs and relatively flat home prices prompted this improvement in market activity.”

The Bank of Canada has slashed its key interest rate four times since June, including a half-percentage point cut on Oct. 23. The rate now stands at 3.75 per cent, down from the high of five per cent that deterred many would-be buyers from the housing market.

New listings last month totalled 15,328, up 4.3 per cent from a year earlier.

In the City of Toronto, there were 2,509 sales last month, a 37.6 per cent jump from October 2023. Throughout the rest of the GTA, home sales rose 48.9 per cent to 4,149.

The sales uptick is encouraging, said Cameron Forbes, general manager and broker for Re/Max Realtron Realty Inc., who added the figures for October were stronger than he anticipated.

“I thought they’d be up for sure, but not necessarily that much,” said Forbes.

“Obviously, the 50 basis points was certainly a great move in the right direction. I just thought it would take more to get things going.”

He said it shows confidence in the market is returning faster than expected, especially among existing homeowners looking for a new property.

“The average consumer who’s employed and may have been able to get some increases in their wages over the last little bit to make up some ground with inflation, I think they’re confident, so they’re looking in the market.

“The conditions are nice because you’ve got a little more time, you’ve got more choice, you’ve got fewer other buyers to compete against.”

All property types saw more sales in October compared with a year ago throughout the GTA.

Townhouses led the surge with 56.8 per cent more sales, followed by detached homes at 46.6 per cent and semi-detached homes at 44 per cent. There were 33.4 per cent more condos that changed hands year-over-year.

“Market conditions did tighten in October, but there is still a lot of inventory and therefore choice for homebuyers,” said TRREB chief market analyst Jason Mercer.

“This choice will keep home price growth moderate over the next few months. However, as inventory is absorbed and home construction continues to lag population growth, selling price growth will accelerate, likely as we move through the spring of 2025.”

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 6, 2024.

The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.

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Homelessness: Tiny home village to open next week in Halifax suburb

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HALIFAX – A village of tiny homes is set to open next month in a Halifax suburb, the latest project by the provincial government to address homelessness.

Located in Lower Sackville, N.S., the tiny home community will house up to 34 people when the first 26 units open Nov. 4.

Another 35 people are scheduled to move in when construction on another 29 units should be complete in December, under a partnership between the province, the Halifax Regional Municipality, United Way Halifax, The Shaw Group and Dexter Construction.

The province invested $9.4 million to build the village and will contribute $935,000 annually for operating costs.

Residents have been chosen from a list of people experiencing homelessness maintained by the Affordable Housing Association of Nova Scotia.

They will pay rent that is tied to their income for a unit that is fully furnished with a private bathroom, shower and a kitchen equipped with a cooktop, small fridge and microwave.

The Atlantic Community Shelters Society will also provide support to residents, ranging from counselling and mental health supports to employment and educational services.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 24, 2024.

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Here are some facts about British Columbia’s housing market

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Housing affordability is a key issue in the provincial election campaign in British Columbia, particularly in major centres.

Here are some statistics about housing in B.C. from the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s 2024 Rental Market Report, issued in January, and the B.C. Real Estate Association’s August 2024 report.

Average residential home price in B.C.: $938,500

Average price in greater Vancouver (2024 year to date): $1,304,438

Average price in greater Victoria (2024 year to date): $979,103

Average price in the Okanagan (2024 year to date): $748,015

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Vancouver: $2,181

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Victoria: $1,839

Average two-bedroom purpose-built rental in Canada: $1,359

Rental vacancy rate in Vancouver: 0.9 per cent

How much more do new renters in Vancouver pay compared with renters who have occupied their home for at least a year: 27 per cent

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 17, 2024.

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